NQ Short (07-28-25)The F-M Long Rig is active with a Gap Up and Pump/Dump play. Just notice KL 486 and how/when the NAZ gets above. In O/N, the Reg Session and previous hits at 23,440 got rejected and is why you are seeing the move in the off session. The BTD/FOMO chase is active, Pump/Dump near Open today for next move.
NQZ2028 trade ideas
NQ Short (08-01-25)The 5% pull back is playing out. We had the heavy selling after the O/N Pump/Dump into the selling of the Reg Session and Outside Day Reversal. Up for weeks and down in hours. Next break down will have to be the failure of the long standing Friday into Monday Long Play. We did get the reg session selling and now O/N selling. Looking for the trifecta and failed F-M move. Long Trap is active. Just watch the timely Tweets and Tricks at KL's.
NQ Short (07-30-25)NAZ is at upper target and Turn Zone from May 12th post. Failure here should see a 5% drop test. The idea is that buyers will need some sellers in order to get higher. The sellers will help to test the level strength. Month end into a Friday-Monday Long play and a break in this long standing pattern may create the opposite. Current danger zone is the 23,486 KL. Look Long above and short below. Scalping Shorts should turn to holding shorts and scalping Longs. Expect timely Tweets and same old Tricks near or under the DZ. O/N is still The BOSS until both the O/N and Reg Session sell (on same day).
Tuesday Long Trade for the NASDAQ 7/29I'm feeling ultra bullish on NQ right now. Ideally, I want to see price carve out an inverse head and shoulders or a double bottom—either could serve as a springboard to new highs. I took two longs this morning and captured solid gains off the weekly opening gap. Would love to see one final wick into that zone before we blast off.
Long Entry:23,476.75
Target: Break of the Highs | Trailing SL
Today's trades:
NQ & ES Technical AnalysisGood evening my friends... This is my first time posting something on this platform. I decided to share my analysis on NQ & ES here with you, but without sharing strategies, rules and entry techniques. Only the key levels and scenarios... I will make one or two comments every day... I am very happy to share my ideas with you!!!
Nasdaq outlook on the weekly.... Where will price go next?Market cycle outlook on the year :
We have now reached a new month.
August 1st, which a new market cycle for the month to form, along beginning the backend of the year 2025 and the front end of a new week coming.
Closed bearish this week along with hitting all time highs once again for the Nasdaq.
NASDAQ - Fair Value GAP On NASDAQ , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 23450.00.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
(FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
Why Are Markets Rising Despite the Tariffs?Because of the
1) Set timeline on finalizing the tariff rates and
2) The ongoing negotiations,
They aimed at striking a balanced deal between the U.S. and its trading partners.
The Liberation Day tariffs were announced on 2nd April, and markets initially crashed in response. However, just seven days later, on 9th April, the U.S. postponed the higher tariff increases for most countries by 90 days. Since then, markets have rebounded and even broken above their all-time highs set in December last year.
Now that the dust is settling with the expiration of timeline and ongoing negotiations, the big question is:
Where will the markets head next?
Mirco Nasdaq Futures and Options
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.sweetlogin.com
Lord Jesus Christ, Son of God, have mercy on us sinnersare you ready... ?
In the name of the Father, and of the Son, and of the Holy Spirit. Amen.
Glory to Thee, our God, glory to Thee.
O Heavenly King, O Comforter, the Spirit of Truth, who art in all places and fillest all things; Treasury of good things and Giver of life, come and dwell in us and cleanse us from every stain, and save our souls, O gracious Lord.
Holy God, Holy Mighty, Holy Immortal, have mercy on us.
Glory to the Father, and to the Son, and to the Holy Spirit: now and ever and unto ages of ages. Amen.
All-holy Trinity, have mercy on us. Lord, cleanse us from our sins. Master, pardon our iniquities. Holy God, visit and heal our infirmities for Thy name's sake.
Lord, have mercy.
Glory to the Father, and to the Son, and to the Holy Spirit: now and ever and unto ages of ages. Amen.
Our Father, who art in the heavens, hallowed be Thy name: Thy kingdom come; Thy will be done on earth, as it is in heaven. Give us this day our daily bread; and forgive us our trespasses, as we forgive those who trespass against us; and lead us not into temptation, but deliver us from the evil one.
For Thine is the kingdom, and the power, and the glory, of the Father, and of the Son, and of the Holy Spirit: now and ever and unto ages of ages. Amen.
In one, holy, catholic, and apostolic Church
Bias is still Bullish However its month end Overall bias is still strong bullish, do note that its coming to end of month, either we pull back a bit or continues higher till end of month then pullback. Losing 23350 and 23300, probabilities of moving lower will higher since we had short squeeze move last Friday. Max Pain is 23020 can be use as a guide off futures movement.
NQ : enormous amount of sell-stopsI have highlighted two zones where a lot of sell-stop orders are currently concentrated. Those who trade robots with fast buybacks, you can put your algorithms there. When entering these zones there will be a quick dropdown of the price if it comes to these zones in liquid time (American session).
Those who do not have robots, I will inform you when it will be possible to get some profit from these zones with limit trades.
NQ Range (07-23-25)The O/N slight lift back to Mid Level of range. The big Tweet regarding Japan, did show up after the close. Now we need to see how the Open Drive & Reg Session move today, may be snail lift higher 1st. The next bullish move would be F-M Long play. The selling just does not have much force or is part of the head fake prior to a decent drop test. Still Scalp Shorts to KL's and wait on some conviction selling to eventually show up.
NQ : Scalping levelsHere's a very likely scenario on the NQ trade. Once the price grows back, you can take short pullbacks from these levels.
Be careful on trading on the news. It is better not to trade in them. Also, the levels are unlikely to work in illiquid times.
I will post the results of the levels and my trades in the comments if everything will be according to the scenario.
NQ : Buy levelsAll right, the stops are off like I said in my prev NQ post.
Turns out there was an important FOMC news that I didn't notice. I don't usually trade on the news.
Now the levels where the green arrows are from are back in play. You can pips, you can scalp, you can look for longer trades from them. I usually scalp them.
NASDAQ 100 LOOKING OVERBOUGHT RIPE FOR A CORRECTION?Hey Traders so today was looking at the Nasdaq 100 and it seems like it's approaching overbought territory at all time highs.
Of course no one knows what earnings season will bring and seasonally historically August is normally a good month for stocks.
So if we look at previous rallies market seems to correct eventually 3% or 4%. I think that is actually healthy for the market also.
So if your bullish watch for 3% correction and buy back in around 22,800-23,000 put a stop under support at around 22,000-22,500. Hopefully the market won't make it that far on a sell off so odds of getting stopped out are low I think.
However if you are Bearish I don't reccommend selling at All Time High. Best odds for stronger selloff I think is waiting until September as it is historically the weakest month of the year for stocks seasonally.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
NASDAQ (Nas 100): Buyers Are In Control. Wait For LongsWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 28 - Aug 1st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The Nasdaq rose Friday to fresh highs, following a busy week of tariff updates and earnings. The index is showing no signs of bearishness.
Wait for pullbacks to FVGs to buys.
FOMC and NFP warrant caution with new entries. Wait until the news before new entries.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NFP Miss Implications: Recession Signal or Rate Cut CatalystCME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1!
Happy Friday, folks!
Today is the first Friday of August, and that means the highly anticipated Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers came in at 7.30 am CT.
US Non-Farm Payrolls (Jul) 73.0k vs. Exp. 110.0k (Prev. 147.0k, Rev. 14k); two-month net revisions: -258k (prev. +16k).
Other key labor market indicators were as follows:
• US Unemployment Rate (Jul) 4.2% vs. Exp. 4.2% (Prev. 4.1%)
• US Average Earnings MM (Jul) 0.3% vs. Exp. 0.3% (Prev. 0.2%)
• US Average Earnings YY (Jul) 3.9% vs. Exp. 3.8% (Prev. 3.7%, Rev. 3.8%)
• US Labor Force Particle (Jul) 62.2% (Prev. 62.3%)
Data and Key Events Recap:
What a year this week has been! It's been packed with high-impact economic data and pivotal central bank decisions, especially from the Federal Reserve. On top of that, trade and tariff announcements have dominated the headline.
U.S. economic data this week was broadly strong. Second-quarter GDP came in at 3.0%, beating expectations and signaling solid growth. The ADP employment report also surprised to the upside, printing 104K vs. the 77K forecast. Consumer confidence showed resilience as well, with the Conference Board’s reading rising to 97.2.
Inflation data was mixed but mostly in line. Core PCE for June rose 0.3% MoM, while the YoY reading ticked up to 2.8%, slightly above the expected 2.7%. The broader PCE Price Index also came in at 0.3% MoM, with a YoY print of 2.6%, slightly higher than forecast.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to keep the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 4.25% – 4.50%. Notably, Governors Waller and Bowman dissented, favoring a 25-basis-point rate cut as expected, however, marking the first dual dissent by governors since 1993.
Changes to the FOMC Statement included a downgraded assessment of economic growth, reflecting slower real consumer spending. The Committee reiterated that uncertainty around the economic outlook remains elevated. It maintained its view of the labor market as "solid" and inflation as "somewhat elevated." Forward guidance remained unchanged, emphasizing the Fed’s readiness to adjust policy as necessary while continuing to monitor risks to both sides of its dual mandate.
Here’s a summary of key points from the FOMC press conference:
• On current policy stance:
“We decided to leave our policy rate where it’s been, which I would characterize as modestly restrictive. Inflation is running a bit above 2%... even excluding tariff effects. The labor market is solid, financial conditions are accommodative, and the economy is not performing as if restrictive policy is holding it back.”
Chair Powell commented on the need to see more data to help inform Fed’s assessment of the balance of risks and appropriate Fed Funds rate.
• On labor market risks:
“By many statistics, the labor market is still in balance... You do see a slowing in job creation, but also a slowing in the supply of workers. That’s why the unemployment rate has remained roughly stable.”
• On inflation and tariffs:
“It’s possible that tariff-related inflationary effects could be short-lived, but they may also prove persistent. We’re seeing substantial tariff revenue—around $30 billion a month—starting to show up in consumer prices. Companies intend to pass it on to consumers, but many may not be able to. We’ll need to watch and learn how this unfolds over time.”
Trade Headlines:
US President Trump announced tariffs on countries ranging from 10%-41%. Average US tariff rate now at 15.2% (prev. 13.3%; 2.3% pre-Trump), according to Bloomberg. US officials said that if the US has a surplus with a country, the tariff rate is 10% and small deficit nations have a 15% tariff, US officials said they are still working out technicalities of rules of origin terms for transshipment and will implement rules of origin details in the coming weeks. No details on Russian oil import penalty. Sectoral Tariffs White House said new reciprocal tariff rates take effect on Friday. Although Canada’s tariffs were increased to 35%, excluding USMCA goods, the effective rate is only 5%.
The economic data is showing strength, on the contrary, tariffs announcements for most countries have now been announced. Investors need to consider that tariffs are not just a tool to reduce trade deficit, it is also a geopolitical tool presently being used to shape alliances. The US wants to soften BRICS, China and Russian influence on the world stage.
Key to note is that these tariffs are substantially lower than what was announced on April 2nd, 2025.
The key question now remains, do participants buy the dip or ‘sell the fact’ is the current playbook?
Market Implications
Given the prior revisions in NFP data of -258K, July’s payroll came in at 73K, missing forecasts of 110K. What does this mean for markets? Markets are now pricing in 75% chance of a September rate cut. Prior revisions along with the current job market slowing down imply that risks to the downside are substantially increasing. Fed’s current policy is not just moderately restrictive but rather it may likely tip the US into a recession if Fed Funds rates remain elevated. The Chair asked to see more data, and here it is but I do wonder why they did not take this data into account for the July meeting. Surely, it would have been available to them.
Another question to ask would be, is it due to defiance of rate cut calls by the US administration? Is the Fed already behind the curve?
Fed’s dual mandate targets inflation and maximum employment. While inflation is sticky, the Fed may need to abandon their 2% mandate in favor of average inflation of 2.5% to 3%. A less restrictive policy will provide needed stimulus along with the fiscal stimulus provided via the BBB bill.
This drastically changes, in our analysis, how investors position themselves heading into the remainder of the year.
Markets (equities) may retrace slightly but the dip in our opinion will still be the play given weaker labor market data and increased rate cut bets. The bad news here means that the Fed has the data it wants to see to start cutting. Market pricing in 2 cuts seems to be the way forward for now.
Approach Next Resistance Amid Cautious OptimismCurrent Price: 23272.25
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = 23480
- T2 = 23720
Stop Levels:
- S1 = 22990
- S2 = 22770
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in NASDAQ Futures.
**Key Insights:**
NASDAQ Futures exhibit strong recovery potential but face technical resistance at $23420. The market momentum suggests short-term bullishness despite concerns about seasonal reversals in late August to October. Traders are advised to focus on breakout scenarios while employing risk mitigation strategies including hedges.
**Recent Performance:**
Over the past six months, NASDAQ Futures have displayed substantial volatility. After a steep drop of 27%, the index staged an impressive 40% recovery. Such swings highlight heightened risk yet underscore resilience, bolstered by strong inflows into technology stocks.
**Expert Analysis:**
Analysts caution against overcrowded positions in mega-cap tech stocks dominating NASDAQ Futures. While the rally has offered compelling returns, seasonal risks suggest potential reversals during late summer and early autumn. Diversification strategies into less-crowded sectors may enhance portfolio robustness.
**News Impact:**
Recent announcements around AI adoption, earnings beats by key technology firms, and federal monetary policy stabilization have bolstered sentiment in tech-heavy indices, including NASDAQ Futures. Continued interest in growth stocks adds fuel to the bullish narrative despite looming risk factors.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Traders should consider a LONG position based on strong bullish sentiment and favorable technical setups. However, risk factors such as seasonal reversals and crowded trades in large-cap technology stocks require prudent stop levels and diversification strategies to protect against downside vulnerabilities.