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Silver Futures (Sep 2027)Silver Futures (Sep 2027)Silver Futures (Sep 2027)

Silver Futures (Sep 2027)

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SIU2027 trade ideas

SILVER – Breakout Attempt Underway SILVER | 1H TIMEFRAME Price is breaking out of the falling wedge + forming a cup-type rounded bottom from support. 📊 Technical Overview: • Cup formation breakout spotted ✅ • Price attempting to sustain above falling wedge resistance • 55 EMA & 25 EMA crossed bullish • Volume buildup visible • All-Time High Resistance remains at 116664 (HTF) 📍Key Levels: • Immediate Resistance: 11270–11300 • Breakout Zone Support: 11135–11100 • Upside Target: 11360 - 11440 • Invalidation Below: 11080 Retest of the breakout may offer an ideal long entry with a tight stop.
MCX:SILVER1!
by Shalvisharma5
4
Silver Near $40: Deficits and Demand Fuel the RallySilver prices surged to multi-year highs in July 2025, driven by an extraordinary convergence of bullish factors, pushing prices above $39 per ounce, levels last seen in 2011. Silver’s rally, supported by robust industrial demand and safe-haven inflows, aligns with traditional patterns as the U.S. dollar has weakened over 2.3% over the recent period. Macroeconomic Drivers and the U.S. Dollar Silver's rally is unfolding around shifting macro conditions. The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates at a restrictive 4.25-4.50% throughout 2025 due to persistently high inflation (2.7% YoY). However, expectations for more rate cuts are growing, with the CME FedWatch tool showing a 59.8% probability of a cut at the September meeting as of July 28. Adding to the complexity, U.S. trade policies have triggered significant market volatility and raised concerns over a potential supply shock. The U.S. administration has imposed steep 30% tariffs on imports from Mexico, set to resume on August 1. This has heightened fears, as Mexico is the world’s largest silver producer and supplies over half of U.S. silver imports. But macro drivers aren’t the full story. The real force behind silver’s rally lies in the physical market itself. A structural supply deficit, escalating industrial demand, and growing investor appetite from Asia and North America, are proving to be far more pivotal than shifting rates or a softer dollar. Physical Market Dislocation and Industrial Demand The year 2025 marks the fifth consecutive year of a structural deficit in the global silver market, and the imbalance between supply and demand shows no sign of easing. With minimal new mining capacity expected to come online and lengthy lead times for project development, supply constraints are structural rather than temporary. Since 2021, the cumulative shortfall has reached nearly 800 million ounces (25,000 tons), steadily drawing down available inventories and tightening the market. Industrial demand remains the central pillar of silver’s bull market. Forecasts for 2025 project record consumption of roughly 700 million ounces, driven by rapid adoption in green technologies and digital infrastructure. The electrical and electronics sector, which includes solar photovoltaics (PV), consumer electronics, automotive electronics, power grids, and 5G networks, has increased its silver usage by 51% since 2016. Solar PV alone consumed approximately 197.6 million ounces in 2024, a record largely driven by China’s 45% expansion in solar capacity. With global EV production expected to approach 20 million units in 2025, automotive silver demand alone could exceed 90 million ounces. Together, persistent deficits, accelerating industrial consumption, and capital flowing into physically backed investment vehicles are creating a market where available silver is increasingly scarce, amplifying upside pressure on prices regardless of short-term macroeconomic shifts. COMEX silver inventories peaked at 504.72 million ounces on May 11 but have since eased back to levels last seen on April 24, indicating a recovery in demand following the large accumulation in US inventories post-tariff shock. Positioning and Ratios Favour Gains With net inflows of 95 million ounces in the first half of 2025, silver ETP investment has already surpassed the total for all of last year. By June 30, global silver ETP holdings reached 1.13 billion ounces, just 7% below their highest level since the peak of 1.21 billion ounces in February 2021 Futures positioning has also surged , with long positions up 163% over six months. These factors have helped propel silver prices over 35% higher year-to-date, building on a 21% gain in 2024. The iShares SLV ETF netted inflows of $1,467.5 million over the past 3 months. Physical silver investment demand remains robust, with significant buying from Asian markets. India, the world’s leading silver importer, saw record purchases of physical bullion and silver-backed ETFs during the first six months of 2025. The gold-to-silver ratio, currently in the late 80s, remains historically elevated, suggesting silver remains significantly undervalued compared to gold. This indicates substantial upside potential for silver, especially given persistent market deficits, rising industrial and investment demand, and gold rising at the same time. Hypothetical Trade Set-up The silver market’s bullish fundamentals appear increasingly robust. Investors may consider accumulating silver positions, viewing short-term consolidations as attractive buying opportunities amid the compelling long-term outlook. Options open interest for the September contract shows a bullish bias with a put/call ratio of 0.82 and high call interest at the far out-of-the-money call strike of $45 per ounce. To express a bullish view on silver, investors can deploy a long position in CME Silver futures expiring in September. A hypothetical trade setup for this view is described below. ● Entry: $38.00 per ounce ● Target 1: $40.00 per ounce ● Target 2 (extension): $42.00 per ounce (if Fed easing in September coincides with physical tightness) ● Stop Loss: $36.70 per ounce ● Profit at Target 1: $10,000 ● Profit at Target 2: $20,000 ● Loss at Stop: $6,500 ● Reward-to-risk ratio: 1.54 (Target 1) and 3.08 (Target 2) Alternatively, investors can exercise the same view using CME Micro Silver futures, which offer smaller notional positions and more flexibility. Each Micro contract is priced in USD per ounce and represents 1,000 ounces of silver, compared to 5,000 ounces for the standard contract. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by mintdotfinance
SI1!: Silver Demand Zone: Possible Bullish ContinuationI am currently observing a potential long-term continuation on SI1! Silver (XAG/USD), as the Commitment of Traders (COT) data indicates an increase in positions from both commercial and non-commercial traders. The price is approaching a demand zone on the daily chart, suggesting a possible bullish move. The recent price action originated from an initial spike in the monthly supply zone, but there’s a possibility that the price could continue to rise further before reaching the next supply zone where a reversal might occur. Given the daily timeframe, I view this setup as suitable for a scalp trade. In my opinion, this presents an opportunity for short-term traders to capitalize on the potential upward movement. ✅ Please share your thoughts about SI1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by FOREXN1
1
SILVER WEEKLY UPDATE - Dead Cat Bounce Setup📉 SILVER – 1H TIMEFRAME - Inverted cup and handle pattern Silver tested support around 112,800–113,000 after a rounded top formation, rejecting the key EMA zones (25 & 55) and the previous demand-turned-supply zone. 🟠 Scenario Unfolding: Expecting a short-term bounce towards 113,750–114,200 (EMA cluster zone) — this could act as a dead cat bounce, offering an opportunity to re-enter shorts. Confluence Factors: • Rounded top structure • EMA resistance • Weak macro data (Durable Goods Orders down -9.3%) • Risk-off sentiment supportive of range contraction 🔻 Primary Bias: Bearish Continuation After the bounce: • Short Entry Zone: 113,800–114,200 • Target: 111,250 • Risk:Reward ≈ 1:2 ⚠️ Invalidation: Sustained close above 114,700 . 📌 Note: Watch price action closely near 114,000 – this is the decision point for the next leg. #CrudeOil #naturalgas #MCXCrude #PowerOfCommodity #TriangleBreakout #TradingViewIndia #EnergyMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis Comment below if you think it Will retest then fall?
MCX:SILVER1!Short
by Shalvisharma5
2
Silver - failure to break highs yesterday...This week is news packed... I was hoping to see Silver break above recently lower highs. I am out of all positions - but I would not be surprised to see further breakdown in a second corrective leg, finding support at the FVG above next fib retracement. Like I said, though, this week has alot of material news - so its all games... Will have to watch price action to make a determination of which direction I'll play. I am very bullish on Silver over next 12 months - but next 12 days??? We'll see.
COMEX_MINI:SIL1!
by JayNisbett
CUP & HANDLE + ROUNDED BOTTOM IN SILVERSilver (MCX: SILVER1!) – 1 Hour Chart Analysis 🔍 Pattern Formation: Cup and Handle + Rounded Bottom Silver has formed a classic Cup and Handle pattern on the 1H timeframe, indicating a potential bullish breakout above the neckline near 115132 (all-time high resistance). A smooth rounded bottom confirms strength in accumulation. 📈Bullish Signals Observed: Price holding above 25 & 55 EMA Strong volume near the neckline Rounded base indicates strength from bulls Potential breakout zone highlighted 🎯 Upside Targets (upon breakout): Target 1: 113820 Target 2: 114600 Target 3: 115132 (Neckline / Breakout Level) Target 4: 116750 Target 5: 118850 (Fib Extension 161.8%) Stoploss: 112117 (below handle low & EMA crossover zone) 🪙 Risk Management: Trade only on breakout confirmation with volume. Maintain defined SL as price is near a historic resistance. 📌 Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis based on historical chart behavior and is not financial advice. Please conduct your own due diligence. Trading involves risk. ❤️ If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like the post!
MCX:SILVER1!Long
by Shalvisharma5
4
Silver: Daily Reversal Possible at Supply ZoneI'm anticipating a potential daily reversal in silver prices. Retail traders are maintaining a bullish stance, while commercial traders remain heavily short. The current price action suggests a possible reaction to a key supply area. What are your thoughts on the likelihood of a reversal, and what technical indicators might support or refute this potential shift? ✅ Please share your thoughts about SI1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
COMEX:SI1!Short
by FOREXN1
9