USNAS100 | Breakout or Breakdown?USNAS100 | OVERVIEW
The price is currently stabilizing below the pivot level at 21790, suggesting continued bearish momentum.
📉 As long as the index remains below 21790, we expect a decline toward 21635. A confirmed 1H candle close below this level could extend the bearish trend toward 21470.
📈 A shift to bullish momentum will require a 1H candle close above 21820, which could open the way to 22090 and potentially a new all-time high at 22200.
Support Lines: 21635, 21470
Resistance Lines: 21930, 22090, 22200
NQCUSD trade ideas
USTECPrevious analysis on May 30 found that the price came down to test the support level at 20,693 but could not break through. Now the price has returned to test the resistance level at 21,737-22,139 again. If the price cannot break through the level of 22,139, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
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NASDAQ: Close to a strong bounce.Nasdaq is about to turn overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.736, MACD = 505.460, ADX = 18.046) as it is extending an uptrend since the 4H MA50 test/bounce. Such low paced price increase typically precedes strong breakouts. Since the long term pattern is a Channel Up, we are still on its 3rd bullish wave overall. The prior ones were +9.50% on avg, so we remain bullish on the short term, TP = 22,500.
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USNAS100 | CPI Data to Drive Next Move – Key Pivot at 21790USNAS100 | OVERVIEW
The index is showing sensitive price action, especially after stabilizing above the pivot level at 21790. The release of U.S. CPI data will likely dominate today's movements.
If CPI > 2.5%:
Stronger inflation could pressure the index lower. A drop toward 21790 is expected, and a break below this level may extend the bearish trend toward 21635, and possibly 21480. However, holding above 21790 may keep the bullish structure intact.
If CPI < 2.5%:
Weaker-than-expected inflation would support bullish momentum, with potential to push higher toward 22090 and test the all-time high at 22200.
Support Lines: 21790, 21635, 21480
Resistance Lines: 22090, 22200
US100 Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 keeps growing but
The index will soon hit a
Horizontal resistance
Of 22,243 so after the
Retest we will be expecting
A local pullback and a
Local move down
Sell!
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NAS - LOOKING FOR RECOVERTeam This morning we got out of beautiful SHORT on UK100
Market dumping hard due to ISRAEL'S and Iran
However we expect market to be recover during UK market opening
Please follow the price accordingly to the chart
Once it reach 1st target, take 50-70% profit reduce the volume and bring stop loss to BE
LET'S GO.
Nasdaq-100 (NDX) Weekly Chart 2025 Chart Context
This weekly timeframe analysis of the Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) forms a key pillar in our 2025 macro analysis series. Following the breakout structure seen in TOTAL, TOTAL2, BTC.D, and US10Y, this chart utilizes 2 Fibonacci tools (1 trend-based extensions and 1 retracement) to project potential corrective and expansion scenarios.
Fibonacci Tools Used:
Fibonacci Retracement : Applies to the recent smaller swing to determine micro retracement zones and cluster supports.
0=20674 and 100=10504
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: Drawn using a three-leg structure (point A= 3993 to B=16724 to C10504) to forecast upside targets beyond ATH.
All take-profit (TP) levels: TP1 (~23,400), TP2 (~26,700), and TP3 (~30,344.49)—are located at confluence zones where Fibonacci levels from different tools align, reinforcing their validity and strength.
There is a 4TP above all the Visible TPs
Key price references:
0% retracement: ~20,674.71
Next Resistance ~23,400 (confluence of extensions and psychological resistance)
Projected TPs:
1TP=~23,400,
2TP=~26,700,
3TP=~30,344.49,
4TP=44000
Support/Resistance:
Red zone: ~16,700–18,300 (historical S/R and correction target and Fib Confluences)
Resistance zone: ~23,000–23,400 ,
22000(ATH area)
Key Technical Observations:
Fibonacci Retracement from ~20674 to ~15732 marks the initial corrective range.
Trend-Based Extensions forecast:
TP1 (~23,400): First breakout resistance
TP2 (~26,700): Medium-term expansion zone
TP3 (~30,344): Long-term target if macro tailwinds persist
Scenario Pathways:
Bullish Continuation: Breaks above ATH to reach TP2/TP3
Healthy Correction: Pullback to ~20,600 or deeper ~18,300 before resumption
Deep Correction: Revisits ~16,700 zone if macro environment deteriorates
Fundamental Context:
Tech Stocks & Economic Sentiment: NDX is often the first to move during liquidity expansions. Its performance signals risk-on behavior across global equity markets.
Rate Cuts in 2025: With anticipated Fed rate cuts, tech stocks are primed for inflows. Forward earnings valuations rise, justifying extended upside in high-beta tech.
AI Boom & Earnings Growth: Nasdaq is heavily weighted toward AI, cloud, and semiconductors—sectors expected to lead earnings surprises.
NDX Influence on Gold and Crypto
When NDX rallies:
Crypto: Risk appetite improves. Capital rotation flows into altcoins and layer-1 assets.
Bitcoin: Often sees parallel inflows, especially during strong tech rallies (e.g., 2020).
TOTAL & TOTAL3: Begin breakout patterns if NDX continues to surge.
Gold: May stall or correct as investors favor risk assets. However, gold still holds due to macro hedging and real yield pressures.
When NDX corrects:
Crypto: Volatility spikes. Altcoins bleed faster.
Bitcoin: Short-term dip but may decouple if viewed as digital gold.
Gold: Benefits from flight-to-safety behavior.
US10Y: Often reacts inversely to NDX moves—used for confirmation.
Search Highlights (2024–2025):
Institutions view NDX correction as signal to rotate into commodities (incl. gold).
Cross-market correlations show NDX peaks often precede crypto mini-rallies.
De-risking from NDX often triggers gold strength, especially in geopolitical or inflationary backdrops.
Bias & Strategy Implication
Primary Bias: Bullish
Expecting upside continuation to 26,700–30,000 zone
Multiple correction opportunities are present even during rally
Strategic Actions:
Monitor for correction to yellow/red zones for accumulation
Use NDX behavior as leading macro signal for crypto rotations
Watch resistance at 23,400 closely; breakout confirms trend extension
Time Horizon
Short-Term (1–2 months): Watch for breakout or correction to ~20,600–18,300
Mid-Term (3–6 months): Probable test of ~26,700
Long-Term (6–12 months): Potential expansion to ~30,344.49
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 21850
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21690
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
NAS100 ATH or what? optimism coming back or no? Chyna CHyna CHyNAS100 ATH or what?
optimism coming back or no? Chyna CHyna CHyna? or no CHyna? let us know~~
we caught april bottom now run ATH?
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Nasdaq will reach 25'000 still no body see it?Current level: 21,876
Previous ATH: 22,222.61
Next stop? Well… if you ask the pivot levels they're whispering "23347.20, baby."
What we’re looking at is not just a strong recovery it’s a market that refuses to take a breather. With weekly candles forming higher lows and pivot zones behaving like polite suggestions rather than resistance, it’s hard not to think the index is gearing up for a proper breakout.
Sure, skeptics will say we’re overextended. Bears will point to the volume spikes and say “exhaustion.” But momentum? She's dancing in stilettos on top of R3 like it's a catwalk.
Now, here's the fun part:
If this rhythm keeps up and if inflation, rates, and the Fed behave like decent background characters then 25,000 by the end of the year isn’t just possible. It's that slightly overconfident friend at the party who's already halfway into a celebratory toast.
So… who dares to trust the trend?
Because let’s be honest: being early is painful, being late is expensive but being in the trend? That’s just good business.
📈 Trade safe, manage risk, and don’t fight the trend. Unless you're into that kind of thrill.
#tradehills #Pscarfo
This is not a bull trap, US100 target 22kIm expecting Nas to climb after healthy pullback. You can enter now at 21319 and TP next week at 22K. If you decide to trade this idea, use a proper size. You can also average at the bottom of SL zone. TP partially at the red lines. Please check my previous ideas to know if-what are you trading. Wish you good luck.