Nasdaq 100 Index Hits New Highs Ahead of Big Tech EarningsNasdaq 100 Index Hits New Highs Ahead of Big Tech Earnings
Earlier, we noted signs of optimism in the Nasdaq 100 index as the market anticipated earnings reports from major tech firms.
Now, companies such as Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) have already released their results (we previously covered their charts → here and here). Up next are the most highly anticipated earnings reports: this week, tech giants including Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Meta Platforms (META), and Apple (AAPL) are set to publish their results. The combined market capitalisation of these four companies exceeds $11 trillion, and their reports could have a significant impact on a stock market that is already showing strong bullish sentiment:
→ The Nasdaq 100 index has climbed to an all-time high, surpassing the 23,400 mark.
→ The signing of trade agreements between the US and Europe (and earlier, Japan) has eased concerns about the negative impact of tariff barriers.
Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100
The chart supports growing signs of optimism: earlier in July, the price remained within a rising channel (marked in blue). However, towards the end of the month, price action has begun to follow a steeper upward trajectory (marked in purple).
What could happen next? Much will depend on the earnings results and forward guidance from these tech giants.
On the one hand, continued enthusiasm around AI adoption could accelerate further growth. The stronger the optimism, the more fuel it may add to discussions around a potential bubble — with some analysts already drawing parallels to the dot-com era of the early 2000s.
On the other hand, earnings could temper market excitement and prompt a correction. For example, the index may retreat to the support level around 23,020, which is reinforced by the lower boundary of the blue trend channel.
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US100 trade ideas
Trend Exhaustion Detected – Bearish Structure AheadUS100 (NASDAQ) 30-minute chart as of July 26, 2025, with technical insights based on the visible elements.
🔍 1. Trend Analysis
Primary Trend: Uptrend (bullish structure)
The price has been respecting a rising parallel channel, marked by:
Ascending support (lower boundary)
Ascending resistance (upper boundary)
Market structure shows:
Higher Highs (HH)
Higher Lows (HL)
✅ This indicates continuation of bullish momentum until structure breaks.
📐 2. Market Structure Elements
Structure Type Label on Chart Price Zone (approx.)
Break of Structure (BOS) BOS (center-left) ~22,950
Higher Low (HL) HL (2x) ~22,700 (1st), ~23,050 (2nd)
Higher High (HH) HH (2x) ~23,150 and ~23,300
Resistance Labelled ~23,300–23,320
Demand Zones Labelled ~22,450–22,700
🔁 Break of Structure (BOS)
The BOS occurred after a prior swing low was broken, followed by a new higher high, confirming a bullish shift.
🧱 3. Support / Resistance Analysis
🔼 Resistance Zone
The price is testing strong resistance around 23,300–23,320
Multiple rejections in this area
Trendline resistance also aligns here
A rejection arrow is drawn, indicating potential bearish reaction
🔽 Support Zone (Immediate)
23,180–23,220: highlighted green box is a local support block
If broken, likely to revisit 23,000–23,050, or even down to 22,900 range
🟩 4. Demand Zones
Zone 1:
22,450–22,600: Strong bullish reaction historically — likely to act as a key demand if a deeper pullback occurs
Zone 2:
22,850–22,950: Validated with prior accumulation & BOS event
🧠 5. Key Observations
Price is at a critical inflection zone:
Testing a resistance zone
At the upper trendline of an ascending channel
A bearish reaction is projected (black arrow)
Possibly targeting the green support zone around 23,180–23,220
If that fails, demand at ~23,000 will likely be tested
Ichimoku Cloud:
Currently price is above the cloud → still bullish
Cloud is thin → potential weakness or upcoming consolidation
⚠️ 6. Trading Bias & Setup Ideas
✅ Bullish Bias (if price holds above ~23,180)
Long entries can be considered on bullish reaction from support
Target: retest of 23,300–23,350 or even breakout continuation
❌ Bearish Bias (if breakdown below support)
Short entry valid below 23,180 with:
TP1: 23,050
TP2: 22,900
A breakdown from the ascending channel would signal trend exhaustion
🔚 Conclusion
Current Price: 23,298.4
Trend: Bullish, but at resistance
Next move: Watch for reaction at resistance and support box below
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish unless the structure breaks below ~23,180
SELL USTEC 25.7.2025Reversal trade order: SELL at H1~M15 (all-time high - ATH)
Type of entry: Limit order
Reason:
- The price breakout the sub key of M15, confirming it will hit the main key M15.
- There is a key H1 support at the entry point.
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of bottom of M15 (23,343)
Set up entry:
- Entry sell at 23,264
- SL at 23,281
- TP1: 23,243
- TP2: 23,223
- TP3: 23,207
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
Bullish continuation?USTEC has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistancewhihc lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 22,997.77
1st Support: 22,639.22
1st Resistance: 23,703.56
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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NAS100 - How will the stock market react to the FOMC meeting?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. The target for this move will be the ceiling of the channel, but if it corrects towards the indicated support area, you can buy Nasdaq with better reward-risk.
As signs of easing global trade tensions begin to emerge, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet this week. Analysts widely expect the Fed to hold interest rates steady for a fifth consecutive time. This anticipated decision comes as the U.S. President continues to push for rate cuts, persistently pressuring the Fed to adopt a more accommodative monetary stance.
So far, the Federal Reserve has kept its benchmark rate within a range of 4.25% to 4.5%. While some officials project two cuts by the end of the year, markets are waiting for the Fed’s patience to run out. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, investors have priced in a 62% chance of a rate cut in the September meeting. By then, the Fed will have access to the July and August employment reports—key indicators of whether the labor market is weakening or remains resilient.
The upcoming week marks the peak of Q2 earnings season, with 37% of S&P 500 companies reporting results, including four major tech firms. In parallel, the August 1st tariff deadline for the EU and other countries is approaching, while legal challenges over existing tariffs remain ongoing.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, many large U.S. corporations have so far absorbed the bulk of tariff-related costs without passing them on to consumers. This strategy aims to maintain market share and avoid drawing criticism from President Trump. However, the question remains—how long can this continue?
Examples from the report include:
• General Motors paid over $1 billion in tariffs in Q2 alone without announcing any price hikes.
• Nike expects a $1 billion hit from tariffs this fiscal year and is planning price increases.
• Hasbro is working on a combination of price hikes and cost cuts to offset $60 million in tariff impacts.
• Walmart has made slight pricing adjustments (e.g., bananas rising from $0.50 to $0.54) and managed pressure through inventory reductions.
This week is shaping up to be one of the busiest on the economic calendar in recent months. A flood of key data on growth, inflation, and employment, alongside three major interest rate decisions, has markets on high alert.
On Tuesday, attention will turn to two significant reports: the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) and the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index for July. These metrics will offer a clearer view of labor market dynamics and household sentiment heading into critical monetary policy decisions.
The most anticipated day is Wednesday. That day brings the ADP private payrolls report, the first estimate of Q2 GDP, and pending home sales data. Additionally, both the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve will announce rate decisions—events with the potential to simultaneously steer global market trajectories.
On Thursday, the July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index will be released—a key inflation gauge closely monitored by the Fed. Weekly jobless claims data will also be published that day.
The week concludes Friday with two heavyweight economic indicators: July’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, a crucial input for Fed policy decisions, and the ISM Manufacturing PMI, which offers insights into the health of the real economy.
Some economists argue that a September rate cut may be premature, and even suggest that no rate changes might occur in 2025. Analysts expect Fed Chair Jerome Powell to reiterate a data-dependent stance, consistent with previous meetings.
Still, beyond political dynamics, the July meeting holds independent significance.The Fed’s internal policy tone is gradually leaning more dovish, and subtle signals of this shift may emerge in the final statement. Given that only one meeting remains before September, if policymakers are leaning toward a rate cut then, it’s critical that the groundwork for such communication be laid now.
US100 Index – Potential Bearish Reversal in Key Resistance Zone🧠 US100 Index – Potential Bearish Reversal in Key Resistance Zone
Timeframe: 30-Minute | Chart Published: July 24, 2025
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🔍 Overview
The US100 (NASDAQ) has been trading in a well-structured ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action suggests that the index is testing a critical supply zone near 23,400, with signs of weakening bullish momentum. This may signal a potential corrective phase or bearish reversal.
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📈 Technical Analysis Breakdown
🔵 Trend Structure:
Price is respecting a clear ascending trendline (blue), connecting multiple higher lows.
Multiple bullish flag/channel formations have been completed within the uptrend, showing healthy momentum until the current point.
🟥 Resistance Zone:
Strong supply zone marked between 23,250 – 23,450.
Price action shows stalling candles and rejection wicks within this zone, indicating buyer exhaustion.
⚠ Bearish Patterns:
The red path projection suggests a head and shoulders-like structure forming at the top of the channel.
This, along with divergence in wave strength and shrinking momentum, supports a potential reversal.
🔵 Key Support:
First support lies around 23,000 — aligning with the ascending trendline and previous consolidation.
If broken, next demand zone is around 22,835 – 22,900, where historical consolidation took place.
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🔁 Projected Scenario (as per visual path)
1. Price may attempt one last push into the 23,400–23,450 zone (possible false breakout).
2. Rejection from this level could trigger a fall toward the ascending trendline support.
3. A confirmed break of the trendline can lead to a larger correction toward the 22,800 zone.
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🧠 Unique Insight
This chart combines multi-timeframe structure recognition with a real-time reversal formation inside a long-standing bullish trend. The analysis doesn’t just rely on textbook patterns—it recognizes real-time price behavior shifts, which makes it valuable for proactive traders.
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📌 Conclusion
While the trend remains bullish overall, caution is warranted as the US100 approaches a historically significant resistance zone. The setup offers a compelling risk-reward short opportunity for aggressive traders, especially if the price confirms a break below trendline support.
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🔧 Next Steps for Viewers
> “Watch for a clean rejection candle or lower high at resistance before entering short. If trendline breaks cleanly, 22,835 could be the next target zone.”
NAS/TEC100 - LETS GET NASTY ON NAS100Team, NAS currently sitting at 23480, before the US market open
however during the market open, please be aware of the volatility that may hit your stop loss
You have 2 options to trade on this NAS- NASTY
Option 1: wait for market open, if it hits 23500-23515 - then short with stop loss at 23580
Option 2: Short at the current market with small volume - and if the market open with volatile, you can take another advantage of shorting more volume as per option 1 instructed.
OK, pick your strategy! do NOT be shy.
I am going to have small short position and will consider adding more during US market opening after 5-10 minutes, much easier to see the direction of the market - we do LIVE trading everyday. Please note: if NAS fall below 23450-40 bring stop loss to BE (Break even)
1st TARGET range: 23435-23416 - make sure take 70% volume
2nd target at 23390 to 23376
Why do I short on NAS when tomorrow rate decision, i think this quarter report, market will not be the same as last quarter, even rate cut!
Fibonacci Retrace Strategy NAS100 Trade Idea📈 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) is holding a strong bullish trend 🚀. After a weekend gap-up 🕳️➡️📈, price retraced back into the gap zone—exactly what you'd expect in a healthy trending market.
🔍 I'm applying my Fibonacci Expansion + Retrace Strategy 🔢, watching closely for a pullback into equilibrium ⚖️ within the previous price swing. That’s where I’ll be waiting for a bullish market structure break 🔓📊 to confirm my long bias.
🧠 Patience is key here—let the setup come to you.
📌 As always, this is not financial advice!
COULD THE NAS100 BREAKOUT THIS IMPORTANT FIB LEVEL?As examined similar to the SPX500, NAS100 has already reached the fib extension target of 0.618 and facing a resistance. There are indicator divergences on the weekly down to the 4H time frames suggestion a potential correction in likely soon. My thesis for this week is that NAS100 could briefly push through the resistance and clear liquidity above the fib resistance with a capitulation candle before a correction. Therefore the trade idea is caution to the upside as there are no major reversal candle yet on higher time frame but indicators are blowing warning horns so apply tight stop loss on the trade plan this week while watching for a reversal confirmation on the 4H or daily charts.
NextGenTraders81 NAS short swingI have my sell limit set at 23,500 as there is alot of sell limits set there, also at 23,550 hence the SL is above that zone.
I am pretty sure the position will be set on BE before it tries to return to these highs, how long it will take to hit TP, who knows.. a correction within the channel is due after numerous ATHs.
If you will follow, take partials on the way !
Good luck :)
We Got The Deal - Time To Sell The NewsOkay, so we have the long-awaited deal between the US and the EU. After a large up-gap was announced last night, it now seems as if a “sell the facts” scenario is unfolding.
Such a wave of selling would also fit in well with the typical seasonal weakness that we often see in the markets from August onwards.
NAS100 MAY FORM THE BEARISH HEAD AND SHOULDERS.NAS100 MAY FORM THE BEARISH HEAD AND SHOULDERS.
NAS100 has been trading sideways since the beginning of the week, forming local highs with lows staying at same price for the most part. The price seem to form the Head and Shoulders reversal pattern
What is a Head and Shoulders?
A Head and Shoulders pattern is a reversal chart pattern signaling a potential trend change. It consists of three peaks: two lower "shoulders" and a higher "head" in the middle, connected by a "neckline" (support level). A bullish (inverse) Head and Shoulders forms at a downtrend's end, signaling an uptrend; a bearish Head and Shoulders forms at an uptrend's end, signaling a downtrend.
Currently the SMA50 is pushing on NAS100 from above, while SMA200 is supporting the price. In case the SMA200 on 30-m minutes timeframe gets broken, we may see the decline towards 23,200.00 support level.
Beyond the Chart – NAS100 Through Technicals & Fundamentals📊 CAPITALCOM:US100 Analysis
Today, NAS100 opened with a huge gap up following former President Trump’s announcement that the U.S. has officially reached a trade agreement with the European Union.
🕳️ After price rejected the gap zone, and volume gets low low. I’m now looking for a potential test of the 23,540 level.
💼 With Q2 earnings season kicking off, stock-moving news will be hitting fast. While retail traders might scramble to catch up, smart money is already positioning for surprise earnings beats.
Stay sharp, this week could set the tone for the next major move.
NAS100 Bigger Picture. Uptrend to be resumedLooking at the current structure through the lens of a trend trading approach, what we saw on NAS100 is more than a simple price bounce, it’s a trend continuation trading within a high-volatility environment. As price is approaching a key resistance level, how price is behaving around this dynamic trendline will be key.
This recent retracement and rejection happening near what we can call a demand zone cluster, was confirmed by a beautiful bounce off the support range. And right now price is respecting the upper and lower bounds nicely.
What happens next? Price is showing signs of bullish exhaustion, but the higher-timeframe structure supports a continuation.
My projected target is towards the upper resistance line, that’s my 23,100 zone as shown.