BUY Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Breakout strategy Long term.Instrument: Ethereum / USDT
Timeframe: 1-Day (D1)
Trade Type: Trend Continuation (Conditional Long)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.74
Duration: 2–6 months
📉 Trade Parameters (If Triggered)
Entry (Pending Trigger): 2,802.49
Target: 4,012.97
Stop Loss: 2,106.45
Risk: ~24.84%
Reward: ~43.19%
📌 Trade Thesis
This trade will be valid if ETH/USDT reclaims and holds above the 2,800 zone, confirming a bullish breakout continuation.
Currently, ETH is trading below the entry trigger, but the broader market structure and momentum suggest a potential move toward retesting the key breakout zone.
🧱 Structural Context
High-Volume Resistance: The 2,600–2,800 area is a historically significant resistance block, previously acting as supply during multiple failed attempts to break higher.
A clean break-and-hold above this region would confirm accumulation completion and mark a trend resumption.
📉 Momentum Signals
MACD: The MACD remains in bullish alignment, with positive histogram bars and a rising signal line. A renewed MACD surge on breakout would confirm trend continuation.
Stochastic RSI: Recently cooled from overbought and now resetting — this provides momentum room for a fresh leg upward if price breaks out.
🎯 Target Zone Rationale
4,000–4,100 is a macro swing high and psychological resistance area. It represents a natural magnet for bullish momentum once 2,800 is cleared and confirmed.
🧠 Strategy Notes
This is a conditional trade setup — do not enter unless price breaks and holds above 2,800 with supporting volume. The trade structure offers a healthy R:R of 1.74, but the wide stop reflects daily volatility and must be sized accordingly.
Keep watch for:
Bitcoin and NASDAQ correlation
Macro catalysts (e.g., inflation data, ETH ETF news)
Breakout confirmation via candle close above 2,800 on solid volume
