ETHUSDT.P trade ideas
$ETH: The 1-week chart is an absolute disaster!Once again, I want to make it clear: I’m naturally a bull. But I live in Thailand, far from the noise of influencers shouting "buy, buy, buy!" I’ve learned my lesson—when they scream buy, you get rekt. That’s why I rely solely on the charts.
Charts are just mathematics—they don’t lie. So here’s my honest interpretation of what I’m seeing for Ethereum:
🕐 Daily Outlook
Yes, we might see a few nice bounces in the short term. But if your plan is to hold ETH, you should be paying attention to higher timeframes, especially the weekly.
📉 Weekly Chart — It's Ugly
We’re clearly in a descending wedge, and overall, ETH is bearish. Don’t be fooled by the hype or the people trying to take your money.
- RSI is bearish, with a strong bearish divergence still unfolding.
- MACD is on the verge of a bearish crossover, and what’s worse, it’s doing that without even touching the neutral zone—a major red flag.
The last time we saw this setup? November 2021. The price crashed below $1,000.
🔍 Where’s the Support?
This cycle, the support zone looks closer to $1,500, mainly due to institutional interest and the ETF narrative. A full retracement seems unlikely, but technically speaking—it’s still a possibility.
🤔 Why Is This Happening Despite Institutional FOMO?
Here’s the key: ETH has staking, and every month, new CRYPTOCAP:ETH is minted to pay stakers. This creates constant inflation. On top of that, many stakers compound their rewards, accelerating the inflation. And guess what? These same stakers are selling as soon as ETH pumps.
So fundamentally, Ethereum is under pressure because of its own staking mechanics—a system flaw that creates long-term selling pressure.
Do your own research (DYOR). I could be wrong—but at least I’m not trying to sell you a course.
Bitcoin Or Gold? Real Safe Haven In Middle East tension When the world shakes, where does money go— Bitcoin or gold ?
You may think crypto is the ultimate safe haven… but data tells a different story.
This breakdown compares digital dreams vs. physical trust —with charts, tools, and the psychology behind every move.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
Contrary to common expectations, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience amid recent geopolitical tensions, refraining from a sharp sell-off.
This price behavior signals a potential shift in market psychology—something I’ll explore further in an upcoming educational post.
Based on my previous analyses, I continue to anticipate an upward breakout above the $110K resistance zone in the current structure.
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
📌 Gold: The Legacy of Trust
For thousands of years, gold has been the go-to safe asset. In wars, inflation, sanctions, and crashes—it remains the mental anchor of value. Tangible, historic, and out of government control.
🪙 Bitcoin: Revolutionary but Unstable
Bitcoin promises freedom, decentralization, and anti-inflation. But during actual crises, trust wavers. High volatility, regulatory risk, and lack of a long history make investors hesitate when fear hits hard.
🛠️ TradingView Tools That Reveal Where Smart Money Flows
One reason TradingView stands out is its wide set of tools that help you track market psychology—not just price action. When it comes to analyzing the Bitcoin-vs-Gold battle during global crises (like the Iran-Israel war), these tools are essential:
Correlation Coefficient: This shows how closely BTC and gold move together. In panic moments, it helps reveal where the real trust is flowing.
On-Balance Volume (OBV): Key for spotting where big money is headed. If OBV on gold rises while BTC’s falls, smart money isn’t betting on crypto just yet.
Fear & Greed Index Logic (DIY): While not a native TradingView tool, you can mimic it by combining volatility and volume indicators to reflect market emotion.
Overlay XAUUSD and BTCUSD: Place both on a single chart with “percentage scale” enabled. You’ll see exactly which one holds up better during chaos.
Marking Geo-Political Events: Tag key events (like missile strikes or sanctions) on your charts. Track how Bitcoin and gold react immediately after.
📊 How Investors React in Crisis
During events like an Iran-Israel war, data shows money often flows into gold—not BTC. When panic peaks, people run toward the “known,” not the “new.”
🧠 The Illusion of Crypto as Safe Haven
We want to believe BTC is the new gold. But the human mind—under threat—defaults to ancient instincts. Fear doesn’t innovate. It runs to what it knows: shiny, physical, historical gold.
💡 When Will Bitcoin Truly Compete?
When the next generation fully embraces digital assets. When institutions store BTC alongside gold. When BTC no longer crashes on scary headlines—that’s when the shift becomes real.
⚠️ Lessons from War
Wars reveal that markets don’t behave rationally in fear. Even if Bitcoin makes sense on paper, emotion drives flows. Right now, that flow still favors gold.
🔍 What to Watch Next
If, during a future conflict, Bitcoin drops less—or even rises while gold does—you may be witnessing a turning point. Until then, keep tracking both with your TradingView setups.
🧭 Final Takeaway
Gold still owns the trust game in a crisis. Bitcoin is on its way but hasn’t crossed that psychological line. If you’re a smart trader, know how to read both—and move before the herd does.
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📜Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
Ethereum: Is a Major Bullish Wave Coming?Ethereum: Is a Major Bullish Wave Coming?
Following our previous analysis, ETH dropped from $2,770 to $2,440, aligning with one of the anticipated price scenarios.
The support zone near $2,440 once again demonstrated its strength, pushing the price back up to $2,660. Given the strong accumulation pattern, the likelihood of a larger bullish wave is increasing.
A quick target for the current move stands near $2,800, and a breakout above the pattern could signal the start of the expected bullish trend, with the following key targets:
🎯 $3,300 🎯 $3,800 🎯 $4,500
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
ETH - Do you Notice a Pattern here? I DO...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈I find ETH 4h chart as it looks like history repeating itself.
Previously in 1 to 5 June, it formed a slight lower low before starting the next big bullish impulse leading towards the upper bound of the channel.
📚 Today, ETH just formed the slight lower low we are looking for.
Is it time for the next bullish impulse to start? well it will be confirmed after breaking above the last major high at $2,600.
What do you think?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ETH NEW UPDATE (8H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
After the pump and hitting the red zone, it got rejected.
It's better not to open a short position on Ethereum, as its dominance appears bullish | which means it might be resilient against a potential drop.
The closing of a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
#ETHUSDT: Currently On The Way Towards Filling The FVG?ETCUSDT is currently experiencing a significant correction as the price approaches a pivotal juncture where a substantial bullish price reversal is anticipated, potentially propelling it to new all-time highs or even surpassing them. It is imperative to exercise meticulous risk management and conduct your own thorough analysis before engaging in any cryptocurrency trading or investment activities.
Should the price indeed undergo a major correction, it is likely to decline to our second designated area, where it is anticipated to fill the liquidity gap and subsequently reverse course, continuing its trajectory towards our established targets.
Please consider this analysis as a secondary influence only, or even solely for educational purposes. It is crucial to conduct your own independent analysis and risk management prior to engaging in any cryptocurrency trading or investment endeavours, as they inherently carry substantial financial risks.
We extend our best wishes and encourage you to trade safely and responsibly.
Should you wish to demonstrate your support, you are welcome to express your appreciation through likes, comments, or sharing this information.
Thank you for your consideration.
Have a pleasant weekend.
Team Setupsfx_
Ethereum, Bullish Breakout Expected Any Moment Now!Look at this, the first peak for Ethereum happened 13-May after the start of the recovery and the end of the downtrend. The lowest point happened five days later on 18-May and there has been no new lows since. Ethereum has been in a bullish consolidation pattern, a classic bullish flag.
This kind of dynamic clearly reveals a bullish bias and certainly, Ethereum is already trading pretty low compared to its last high.
A new and most interesting signal comes from the stock COIN, for Coinbase. This stock went ahead and produced a very strong bullish breakout yesterday with a green candle reaching +16%. COIN's chart and ETH are almost identical, exactly the same. Since these two move together, we can expect Ethereum to follow suit and do the same. We can expect a bullish breakout to happen any day now. Consolidation has been going long enough. It is time for the market to grow.
Some of the smaller altcoins continue to move forward, this is a signal that should not be ignored.
Namaste.
Ethereum (ETH): Buyers Taking Back Control!Ethereum had a nasty fall both on Sunday and Saturday where price dipped from $2500 to $2100.
Despite that movement took place during the weekends it was harsh one and we are expecting osme kidn of re-test to happen towards the local broken area (near 200EMA).
Swallow Academy
ETH | BULLISH Pattern | $3K NEXT ??Ethereum has established a clear bullish pattern in the daily as we're seeing an inverse H&S:
The war issues across the globe must also be considered. So far, it's been bullish for crypto but this can also change overnight since it's a very volatile situation - and crypto being a very volatile asset.
For the near term, I believe ETH is due for another increase - at least beyond the current shoulder. This is IF we hold the current support zone:
It seems to be a bit of a slow burn with ETH for this season's ATH. In the ideal world, we'd either:
📢 consolidate under resistance (bullish)
📢make a flag (bullish)
📢OR smash right through the resistance.
But there's likely going to be heavy selling pressure around that zone.
__________________________
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
ETH Short – Smart Money Setup | 17.06 🔍 Context:
After a strong dump on ETH, clearly visible on the 1H chart (left side of image), I waited for a retrace into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone — typical Smart Money behavior. That’s where I started looking for a short setup.
🎯 Entry Logic:
Now here's the part I’d love to discuss with you.
The classic and maybe "cleanest" approach would be to wait for a market structure break on a lower timeframe and then enter on the continuation, targeting rejection zones visible again on the 1H.
But…
Lately, I’ve been taking entries directly from FVG, even before the break, if another FVG forms on the lower timeframe inside the higher timeframe zone. That’s what happened here — I saw a second FVG form in the key area, and took the short from that.
Sometimes I even treat two FVGs in the same direction (on the same or different timeframes) as a valid entry point on their own.
🤔 Question to the community:
How do you usually approach this?
Do you wait for confirmation/structure break on the lower TF before entering, or do you also go straight from the FVG if the zone is respected well enough?
Would love to hear how others manage similar setups.
ETH: 6th consolidation week, AMD!?Ethereum is super slow these days, ranging tightly between $2430 and $2800 for weeks after a recovery. Current price action shows signs of preparation for the next BIG move, but in what side!?!!
Let’s break this down using the AMD model:
🔸 Accumulation
We saw ETH bottoming out in April after a deep correction. Since then, price reclaimed the 200 EMA and consolidated just above the 0.5 Fib level at $2437. This horizontal zone has been the accumulation range base.
🔸 Manipulation
Currently, ETH is testing the lower part of this range. Based on the chart structure, a possible liquidity squeeze breaking $2437 (mid-level) so we expect bearish trap for late sellers and non-believers before a viiolent reversal. This would be the classic “spring” move often seen in Wyckoff chart structures.
🔸 Distribution (later stage)**
If (or when) ETH breaks above $2800 and gets new attention with strong volume, this can lead to a mind blown fuses expansion — targeting the psychological $3000 and after recovery to previous ATH zone. Previous ATH at $4875 is the main target. Reasonably, this would be the final stage of distribution before a probable pump and altseason madness starts. But we are far for that right now, expect it not earlier than mid-autumn.
🧠 Key Technicals:
Okay, my Heikin Ashi candles show weakening — which means that we are close to the start of the Manipulation phase.
RSI pulling back, resetting momentum for the next move.
Fibonacci zones:
0.5 = $2437
0.618 = $1862
0.65 = $1706
🔮 Trade Idea (not financial advice):
A fake move below $2437 followed by fast and immediate recovery would be an ideal long entry.
Cancel trade if daily close below $1860, we can get lower this time.
TP? Well, depends on your belief. If btc made almost 2x from previous high, $3000 / $3500 / $4000 / $4500 / $5000 could be good? ETH could see even 8-8.5k this cycle, but its super positive outlook on current market structure.
📊 Summary:
ETH is showing classic AMD structure:
Accumulation (in progress for 6 weeks, 6 fn weeks!) ⏳
Manipulation (going down) 📉
Distribution (recovery + growth) 🚀
Some while ago, ETH was already playing simillar games, so why it should be different this time?
Breakout will come only after weak hands are shaken out, only after retail traders will sh*t their pants we will see growth.
Hopefully we will see immediate growth from current levels, but I'm more realist this time.
Ciao!
ETHEREUM for $750?In this chart, I am showing you the worst possible scenario. If we compare this cycle to the past, we see some very similar things on the weekly chart:
- Weekly RSI divergence
- Testing the 50-level RSI and the trend line from the bottom to the top
- Correction to the 0.5 fibbonacci level.
- Last time we had a war between Ukraine and Russia and now we have a war between Israel and Iran
- Last time everyone on X(twitter) was talking and cheering about Alt-Seoson and ToTheMoon and now we have the same situation, DYOR, check X
$750-800 for Ethereum are the lows of the two global channels. So it's a logical bottom. And after the price reaches the bottom, we can reach the top of the channel.
Hence after this mega-dump we will see #ETH at $18000-20000.
What do you think about this scenario?
Ethereum Long Setup- BlackRock added ~$500M of ETH, while whales accumulated $221M post-dip
- On close analysis we can see that ETH chart is mimicking 2017 pattern
- The 2440 support has been tested multiple times now so we wait for the upper boundary of 2550 to be breached with volume spike and then we can enter for Long.
ETH ~Expansion done.Based on 3marketphase.
(contraction-expansion-trend, I learned this concept from dayya trading post)
ETH is at the box range.
(triangle-2024 August to October)
Plus, there is throwing-over with double-top (1week candle scale).
This means ethereum is at the end of contraction phase and it has high potential to trend phase. But I bet there is one more break-out from low before trend phase.
Keep an eye on all of break-out movements.
ETHEREUM Analysis (3D)First of all, pay close attention to the timeframe | it's a higher timeframe.
From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, Ethereum appears to have entered a bullish phase | specifically, a symmetrical pattern.
It currently seems to be in wave I of this symmetrical structure, which is the final wave. Wave I itself appears to be composed of three parts (ABC). At the moment, Ethereum seems to be in wave b of wave I.
We expect wave b of I to complete within the green zone, after which the price would move into wave c of I.
The price seems inclined to complete wave b of I near the bottom of the green zone.
Targets are marked on the chart.
In the green zone, it’s no longer reasonable to look for Sell/Short positions, especially when the price is approaching the bottom of the green area.
A weekly candle close below the green zone would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETHUSDT UPDATE 1DETH slipped below channel support (~ 2.45k). Weekend volume is thin—need 2 daily closes (Mon/Tue) to confirm. Hold-below sets sights on 2.2–2.0k (Fib 61-78 %). Reclaim 2.5-2.6k invalidates.
ETH: Short 20/06/25Re-Upload as first was accidental Private
Private:
Trade Direction:
ETH Short
Risk Management:
- 0.5% account risk
Reason for Entry:
- H4 Bear FVG BTC
- H4 Bear FVG Total
- Failure to displace above weekly open on TOTAL
- 0.5 Fib retrace
- Bearish divergence on BTC
- Sentiment remains poor across majors
Additional Notes:
- High Timeframe point of interest respected
- No reclaim of critical resistance zones across majors
- Risk is half because I can see a scenario where it moves one leg higher
ETH PLAN FOR 2025🔥 CRYPTOCAP:ETH long setup (1D) 🚀
✅ Entry Zone: $2 280 – $2200 (multi-month demand)
🎯 Targets
• TP-1: $3 000 (macro range mid)
• TP-2: $3 400 (2024 breakdown line)
⛔ Stop-Loss
Daily close < $2050
📊 Thesis
• SEC-approved spot-ETH ETFs now trade on NYSE/Nasdaq 🏛️
• >35 M ETH staked (≈29 % supply) tightening float
• Dencun’s EIP-4844 slashed L2 fees ~90 % ⚡
• EigenLayer restaking TVL > $20 B 📈
• Pectra upgrade brings account abstraction & wallet UX overhaul
• ETH supply net-deflationary since EIP-1559 🔥
• Danksharding next → massive roll-up throughput
Ethereum (ETH): Lost Control Over 200EMA Ethereum has lost control over the 200EMA, where we had a strong sell-side movement due to the US news.
As this was the movement during the weekends, now we are looking for recovery to happen at least a couple of days from now on, which would mean that buyers will take back the control over the 200EMA.
This line will decide the next major trend area for the coin!
Swallow Academy
ETH Bearish Retest – Heading to $900?Description:
On the weekly chart, ETH has once again failed to break back above the long-term ascending trendline that started in 2020. After losing this trendline support earlier, price is now treating it as resistance — a textbook bearish retest.
The market reaction suggests weakness, and the lack of strong volume on the upside raises concerns about buying momentum. If this structure holds, we might be looking at a broader correction in play.
📉 Key Observations:
• Bearish rejection from the multi-year trendline.
• Structure resembles a lower high formation.
• Weak volume on bounces, showing hesitation from bulls.
🔍 I’m personally watching the $1,000 zone as a potential magnet if downside pressure builds. Some may even expect a retest of the $900 range — not a prediction, just a scenario.
💬 What do you think? Are we headed for a deeper flush or is this just a trap before a breakout? Drop your thoughts ⬇️
#Ethereum #ETH #CryptoWeekly #TechnicalAnalysis #Trendline #BearishSetup
Still in the range(box of triangle)Keep an eye on candle pattern.
Especially, week candle.
( Hint🤫, No lower shadow(wick) usually makes price action. But there is high probability to make one more dip )
ETh pump today back to $2680Opened a long position on ETH. Anticipating a pump back up to the highs of $2680, $2815 if breaks out impulsively.
Stop: $2549.08 or lower
