EURAUD trade ideas
EURAUD - Short Term Buy IdeaM15 - Strong bullish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
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EUR/AUD Bearish ReversalEUR/AUD is showing signs of topping out beneath the strong resistance at 1.77, with a clean lower high formation and momentum indicators weakening. A break below 1.74590 would confirm bearish continuation toward the next major support zone near 1.70709.
📉 Entry (below): 1.74590
🎯 Target: 1.70709
🛑 Stop-Loss: 1.77155
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.51
🔍 Confluence Factors:
Lower High Structure: Failed bullish rally near 1.77 has formed a textbook lower high.
Bearish Trendline Pressure: Price is testing a rising trendline — a break confirms bearish shift.
MACD Contraction: MACD histogram is weakening, signaling a loss of bullish momentum.
RSI Below 55: RSI failed to regain bullish territory above 60 and is flattening near the 50 level.
EUR-AUD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Around 1.7480 and we are
Already seeing a bullish rebound
So a further move up
Is to be expected
Buy!
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EURAUD: Expecting Bullish Continuation! Here is Why
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURAUD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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EURAUD: Bullish Continuation
The analysis of the EURAUD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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Bearish drop?EUR/AUD has reacted off the pivot, which is a pullback resistance and could drop to he 1st support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.77100
1st Support: 1.73968
1st Resistance: 1.78859
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EURAUD1. 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differentials
Eurozone 10-Year Yield: ~3.2% (stable amid ECB’s cautious rate policy).
Australia 10-Year Yield: ~4.1% (higher due to RBA’s inflation focus).
Yield Spread:
4.1% (AUD)−3.2% (EUR)=+0.9%
Australia’s yield advantage supports AUD through carry trades.
Policy Rate Differential:
ECB Rate: 3.75% (cut by 25bps in June 2025).
RBA Rate: 4.35% (unchanged since late 2024).
Spread: +0.6% favoring AUD.
2. Carry Trade and Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP)
Carry Trade Bias: Investors borrow EUR (lower rate) to invest in AUD (higher rate), supporting AUD demand.
UIP Implications: According to UIP, AUD should depreciate to offset its yield advantage. However, persistent AUD strength (e.g., EUR/AUD near 1.75–1.77) suggests deviations due to risk appetite and commodity-driven AUD demand.
3. Upcoming Economic Data (June 1–5)
Date Event Currency Impact
June 2 Eurozone CPI (May) Higher inflation (>2.5%) could delay ECB cuts, boosting EUR.
June 3 AU Retail Sales (Apr) Strong sales (>0.5% MoM) may lift AUD.
June 4 Eurozone Unemployment Rate Rise above 6.5% pressures EUR.
June 5 AU Trade Balance (Apr) Surplus (>A$10B) supports AUD via export optimism.
Bearish Catalysts:
Wider AU-EU yield spreads and RBA’s hawkish stance.
Strong AU data (retail sales, trade balance).
Bullish Catalysts:
ECB inflation surprises or delayed rate cuts.
Risk-off sentiment weakening AUD (commodity-linked).
Summary Table
Factor Eurozone (EUR) Australia (AUD)
10-Year Yield 3.2% 4.1%
Policy Rate 3.75% 4.35%
Yield Spread +0.9% (AUD over EUR) —
Key Data CPI, Unemployment Retail Sales, Trade Balance
Carry Trade Bias Neutral-to-Bearish for EUR Bullish for AUD
#EURAUD
EURUSD - Short Opportunity Ahead EURUSD is currently approaching a key resistance level after a strong upward move. Price action is showing signs of exhaustion, and bearish signals are beginning to emerge. If the pair fails to break above the resistance and confirms a rejection, we may see a short-term pullback or a potential trend reversal.
A clean break below the recent support zone could provide a short opportunity, with possible downside targets near previous lows. As always, proper risk management is essential, especially in high-volatility conditions.
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Key Technical Points:
Price nearing a strong resistance zone
Bearish candlestick formation / divergence (if applicable)
Wait for confirmation before entering a short position
🔒 This is a trade idea for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
EURAUD INTRADAY Bearish rising wedge capped at 1.7645Trend: Bearish
Current Move: Oversold bounce toward resistance
Key Resistance: 1.7645 – Prior consolidation zone
Key Supports:
1.7400 – Immediate support
1.7273 – Secondary support
1.7120 – Longer-term target
Scenario 1 – Bearish Continuation:
If price fails to break above 1.7645 and shows rejection (e.g. bearish candlestick pattern), expect a move lower toward 1.7400, and potentially 1.7273 and 1.7120 over time.
Scenario 2 – Bullish Reversal:
If price breaks and closes above 1.7645 on the daily chart, it would invalidate the bearish view and open up upside targets at 1.7770, 1.7885, and 1.8010.
Conclusion:
EURAUD remains bearish below 1.7645. A rejection at that level favors downside continuation. A daily close above 1.7645 would shift sentiment toward a bullish reversal. Monitor price action closely at this key level.
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EURAUD: Bullish Continuation After BreakoutEURAUD appears to be bullish following a retest of a recently breached daily horizontal resistance.
On the 4-hour chart, I observe a descending channel formed after this test a breakout above its resistance line.
The likelihood of the price continuing to rise and reaching at least 1.7721 is quite high.
EURAUDWaiting for rejection off the liquidity zone.
Then I will look to sell from that zone.
Selling only after the break below the HMA and the retest of the liquidity zone
**This is just my trading thought process and does not constitute as financial advice.
**Please trade with proper risk management*
EURAUD (BOS + IMB + OTE)Hello traders!
Description: We have STB(Sell to Buy Action) - you can see it on 1H TF, which grab some liquidity and then made BOS. In this moment we can expect that price comeback to 0.5 and then i will look reversal on LFT, after closing IMB.
Entry: Confirmation on LTF in POI. Alarm on 0.5 Fib Level.
Target: HH
P.S: check also previous idea. We still have valid Demand on LTF.
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EURAUD buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade