EURJPY - Potential Topping ActionTaking a look at the daily timeframe, price action is now trading below the 10 SMA. This pair has not traded below the 10 SMA since May 26. Now I'm just waiting for a few more confirmation before I'm fully confident. For now, adding a few small sells won't hurt.
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EURJPY trade ideas
Bullish bounce?EUR/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 171.05
1st Support: 169.69
1st Resistance: 173.27
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EUR/JPY: Bullish Thesis on Policy DivergenceOur primary thesis is built on a powerful confluence of compelling fundamental drivers and a clear technical structure. We are taking a long position in EUR/JPY with high conviction, anticipating significant upside fueled by a stark monetary policy divergence confirmed by a constructive chart formation.
📰 Fundamental Analysis: The core of this trade is the widening policy gap between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). While the BoJ is only just beginning to exit its ultra-loose monetary policy, the global environment points toward continued JPY weakness. The upcoming high-impact US news will act as a major catalyst. A "risk-on" reaction to the data would significantly weaken the JPY, providing a strong tailwind for this trade.
📊 Technical Analysis: The chart structure for EUR/JPY is decidedly bullish. The pair has established a clear uptrend, and recent price action indicates a period of healthy consolidation above key support levels. This presents a strategic entry point, as the market appears to be gathering momentum for the next leg higher. The current setup suggests a low-risk entry into a well-defined upward trend.
🧠 The Trade Plan: Based on this synthesis, we are executing a precise trade with a favorable risk profile.
👉 Entry: 172.422
⛔️ Stop Loss: 171.292
🎯 Take Profit: 174.684
⚖️ Risk/Reward: 1:2
EUR/JPY: The Yen Begins to Gain GroundOver the past three trading sessions, the EUR/JPY pair has declined by up to 0.8%, as the yen has steadily gained strength, preventing the euro from maintaining its momentum in the short term. Selling pressure has held firm, especially after news that Japan finalized a new trade agreement with the United States, which lowered the initially proposed 25% tariff to 15%. This development has been perceived as a positive outcome for Japan and has supported strong demand for the yen in the latest trading session.
Uptrend Remains Intact
Despite the yen’s recent strength, it is important to note that the EUR/JPY pair remains in a well-defined uptrend, with sustained bullish momentum continuing to dominate the long-term outlook. Although some short-term selling corrections have emerged, they remain insufficient to break the current bullish structure. For now, the uptrend remains the most relevant technical formation in the chart and should continue to be monitored unless selling pressure becomes significantly stronger.
RSI
The RSI indicator has started to show lower highs, while price action continues to register higher highs. This event suggests the potential formation of a bearish divergence, which may indicate that the current selling correction could gain more traction in the coming sessions.
MACD
The MACD histogram remains close to the neutral zero line, indicating that no clear direction has formed in short-term moving average momentum. If this neutral setting continues, the chart could enter a more defined consolidation phase in the near term.
Key Levels to Watch:
172.896 – Resistance Level: This level corresponds to the recent high, and any buying momentum strong enough to break it could confirm a bullish continuation, supporting the long-standing uptrend currently in place.
170.231 – Nearby Support: This level aligns with a short-term neutral zone and may act as a temporary barrier, limiting any bearish corrections that may arise in the sessions ahead.
166.930 – Key Support: This is a critical level not seen since June of this year. If bearish pressure intensifies and the price falls to this point, it could seriously jeopardize the bullish structure that has been holding so far.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
EURJPY: Bullish Move After Liquidity Grab📈EURJPY created a bearish high-range candle beneath a crucial support level in a horizontal trading range on the 4-hour chart.
However, a subsequent recovery and a bullish opening in the Asian session indicate a strong likelihood of an upward movement today, targeting 173.00.
EUR/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 169.859 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the EUR/JPY pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EURJPY
📍 Strategy: BoS + Retest Sniper Entry
🔍 Market Context:
Break of Structure (BoS) confirmed
Price returned to retest broken structure zone
RSI showing overbought divergence (above 70)
Perfect rejection from AREA OF INTEREST near 172.90–173.00
🔻 TRADE DETAILS
🟣 Sell Entry: 172.349
🔺 Stop Loss: 172.948 (Above structure high)
🎯 Take Profit: 169.146
🧮 Risk/Reward: ~1:5.6
🧠 Confidence: 75% setup based on structure + RSI + fakeout wick
EURJPY: MSS on H4 Signals Bearish Shift Toward Weekly FVGGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of EURJPY, we observe that a Market Structure Shift (MSS) has recently occurred on the H4 timeframe, indicating a potential change in directional bias. This suggests that price may begin to draw toward the Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), presenting a favorable opportunity to align with bearish order flow.
Higher Timeframe Context:
The weekly timeframe currently shows an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) to the downside, acting as the primary draw on liquidity. This macro bearish draw adds weight to the idea of shorting the pair from premium levels. On the H4—our intermediate timeframe—we now have structural confirmation via a bearish MSS, aligning the two timeframes toward downside targets.
Key Observations on H4:
Bearish Order Block in Premium: Price has recently retraced into an H4 bearish order block situated within premium pricing. This zone acts as institutional resistance and is currently showing signs of rejection.
Confirmation Zone: This H4 bearish order block is being monitored for M15 confirmation entries, as we look for price to break lower from this key institutional level.
Engineered Support & Resting Liquidity: Just above the weekly FVG lies an engineered support zone—characterized by equal lows—suggesting that liquidity has been pooled there. This area serves as a high-probability draw for institutional price delivery.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Seek lower timeframe (M15) confirmation around the H4 bearish order block before initiating short positions.
Targets: The first target lies at the H4 internal liquidity pool within discounted pricing. The longer-term objective is the weekly FVG, where liquidity is likely to be delivered next.
For a detailed analysis, please watch this weeks Forex Outlook:https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/
Maintain patience, follow your confirmation rules, and always adhere to sound risk management principles.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect 🏛️📉
EURJPY buysHello everyone,
I am looking for eurjpy buys only because on the 15 min chart, price decided to take out EQL's to go long thus creating a big bullish move which has been marked in yellow and annotated.
Price than made this wedge liquidity zone where both EQL's and EQH's are present so we believe outside of this range is where the liquidity actually is.
4hr and 15 min demand zone is still untouched so we're looking for the buy around the 171.185 area to be precise.
I will be putting up screenshots as well so that it makes sense.