EURPLN 8 RRR long on monthlyTrading Methodology:
1. An asymmetric bullish/bearish pennant is drawn using ascending and descending curved trend lines with a minimum of three price action touche points per line. The direction is determined by the previous trend.
2. The angle tool is applied from the earliest two trend touch points, beginning at the earliest touch point.
3. A trend-based Fibonacci retracement triangle is drawn starting from the earliest trend touch point and ending at the earliest touch point of the opposite trend line .
4. Based on the degree, of the earlier defined angle, the appropriate (and secret) levels are selected for the fibonacci retracement ; two levels for stop-loss and two levels for take-profit. The closest stop-loss level to the current price level is the top priority stop-loss. Though the secondary stop-loss level is often chosen for some markets such as FX and some equities in order to account for seldom unexpected resistance breaks. The greater target level is the top priority, and where majority of the shares are sold, though some may choose to close part of the position at the first target level or set it to be the stop-loss once price exceeds it. Entries should be laddered in around the levels closest of the yellow line.
This trading strategy can be applied to any market and time frame, and positions most often garner the greatest risk-to-reward ratio with the highest success rate. What more can you ask for? I will only be posting my unique trading strategy until EOY. I work solely with price action to identify pennants and apply unique trend-based fibonacci retracement levels for SL and TP levels. Reach out to me if you have any questions.
EURPLN trade ideas
EUR/PLN 1H Chart: Ascending trend in sightThe Euro has been appreciating gradually against the Polish Zloty since the middle of August. This movement has been bounded in an ascending channel.
As apparent on the chart, the currency pair is trying to surpass the resistance cluster formed by a combination of the 55-, 100-, 200-hour SMAs, the Fibonacci 38.20% retracement, the weekly PP and the monthly S1 in the 4.2932/4.3066 range. It is likely that the pair targets the lower channel line located circa 4.2850. If given channel holds, a reversal north occurs in the nearest future.
Otherwise, a breakout south might occur soon. A potential downside target is the psychological level at 4.2600.
EURPLN: Still inside a Rectangle. Support/ Resistance trading.EURPLN is still within a 1W Rectangle (RSI = 49.997, ADX = 15.208, CCI = -49.2070, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) trading sideways within the 4.2660 Support and 4.34100 Resistance. We continue buying near the Support and selling near the Resistance.
Buy at bullish support- Ichimoku setup has bullish bias. Froward Kumo is positive. Caution: cloud is still very thin!
- Price action: pull back to bullish support at 4,3050
- EWO is positive
- Watch Heikin-Ashi quantification tools (haDelta+ and haOscillator) for early signals of change in momentum
4,2975 - 4,3150 seems to be a good risk/reward buy zone. Initial stop at 4,2760 vs first tgt 4,40 (Appr. 3:1 RR)
EUR/PLN 1H Chart: Symmetrical triangle in sightThe EUR/PLN currency pair has been trading in symmetrical triangle since the beginning of July. Also, the pair reversed from the upper pattern line located near 4.3282.
Given that currently the rate is pressured by the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs, it is expected that the pair goes downside. A potential target is the lower triangle line located circa 4.2800. Technical indicators for the short term support bearish scenario.
If the pattern does not hold, a breakout south might follow. Important support level to look out for is a combination of the Fibonacci 50.00% retracement and the weekly S2 at 4.2738.
EUR/PLN - 200 Pips OpportunityEUR/PLN has broken over the 200 ema on the 1 hour chart. If it finds supoprt on top of it and it doesn't break it back down, we can expect it to push higher up.
The spread is about 15 pips for this pair, so make sure you calculate your lot size with your spread put into consideration.
EUR/PLN 1H: Pair tests senior patternThe EUR/PLN exchange rate is trading in two prominent channels. The most senior pattern is an ascending channel which was formed in December 2017, while the more junior one has been guiding the Euro since the beginning of June.
The pair reversed from the senior channel on August 17. It did, however, fail to accelerate, being restricted by the junior channel and the monthly PP at 4.32. As a result, it had returned near the senior channel today.
Two scenarios should be considered. First, in case the senior channel near 4.2650 remains intact, the rate should target the junior channel circa 4.31 and eventually breach it to the upside. Second, bearish sentiment could prevail in the market, thus setting the 200-day SMA and the monthly S1 at 4.2250 as the most probable downside target.
Head and Shoulders formation. Short near the top of RS.EURPLN has eventually rebounded on the same distance bar from High to Low and is in the process of forming the Right Shoulder of the 1W Head and Shoulders pattern (RSI = 57.116, CCI = 10.8781, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). 4.3273 is a valid point to enter an additional short as the top is projected to be near 4.3400. A conservative TP is 4.25796 with the extension on the 4.23609 support. The 1D Channel Down that should emerge can even target 4.22033.