EUR/USD Rally Continues – 1.18000 in SightHi Everyone,
As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483.
Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022.
A successful bounce from above 1.16680 or slightly lower at 1.15998 would offer near-term support for a potential retest of the 1.17400 zone. A confirmed break above this resistance could pave the way for a move toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EURUSD trade ideas
Market next move
🔁 Disruption of the Current Analysis
1. False Breakout Scenario
The chart assumes a bullish move breaking resistance before a bearish reversal.
Disruption: This could be a false breakout, where the price appears to break above resistance but lacks strong volume and momentum. Traders get trapped long, and the price quickly reverses below resistance, invalidating the bullish leg entirely.
2. Stronger Uptrend Continuation
Despite calling for a bearish target, the overall trend appears strong with higher highs and higher lows.
Disruption: Instead of a retracement, EUR/USD could break through the resistance zone convincingly, possibly reaching 1.1750–1.1800, supported by:
Increasing volume
Bullish candles closing above resistance
No signs of bearish divergence on RSI/MACD (if added)
3. Fundamental Factors
The chart ignores macro data.
Disruption: If upcoming EU economic data is stronger than expected, or if US data disappoints, the euro could strengthen further.
Upcoming events with the euro and US flags suggest possible volatility.
4. Volume Contradiction
Recent bullish candles are supported by strong volume, suggesting accumulation.
Disruption: If smart money is accumulating positions, this would support further bullish continuation, not reversal.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅4H Order block
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURUSD Lots of Bearish Clues Popping UpThis is an update to my last post, I'm still waiting for that 4hr candle to close below the last. However, now I'm starting to spot more bearish indications on the 1hr timeframe.
First thing I'm noticing is the RSI divergence show that the bullish strength is weakening. RSI on the 4hr + the 1hr are heading lower. Now I'm still waiting for that 4 hour to close below the last but I also want to see this ascending trendline break and hold below as well.
In the event we break below this trendline, I'll be looking to go short with my target plotted on the chart.
EURUSD Gearing Up for Next Leg Up – DXY Weakens After PPI MissToday, key U.S. economic indexes were released, providing fresh insights into inflationary pressures and the state of the labor market:
Core PPI m/m:
Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.4%
Lower than expected – suggests weaker underlying producer inflation.
PPI m/m:
Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.5%
Slight miss – overall inflation at the producer level remains soft.
Unemployment Claims:
Actual: 248K | Forecast: 242K | Previous: 247K
Slightly higher than forecast – signaling some cooling in the labor market.
Market Outlook :
These data releases point toward cooling inflation and softness in job growth, which may strengthen the dovish narrative around the Fed’s next move.
DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) is under pressure, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is showing signs of bullish momentum .
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Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame .
EURUSD is trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) and Monthly Resistance(2) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD appears to be completing microwave 4 . Microwave 4 could be completed at one of the Fibonacci levels .
I expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) at least once more after completing microwave 4 and could even rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1446 , we can expect more dump.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) or Imbalance Zones (grey boxes):Key Zones & Markings:
SSL (Sell Side Liquidity) - "True return to support" (bottom horizontal line around 1.13700):
Indicates that price has swept the sell-side liquidity, grabbing stop-losses below previous lows.
This often precedes a reversal if it aligns with a key support zone.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) or Imbalance Zones (grey boxes):
Price is expected to retrace back into these imbalanced zones.
These zones act as magnet areas where price might rebalance before further continuation.
Target Zone (Top Horizontal Line at ~1.16200):
Marked as the bullish target, likely aligning with buy-side liquidity (BSL) or unfilled imbalances.
Potential take profit area for long entries from the support zone.
📈 Market Structure:
Price made a lower low, swept liquidity (SSL), and is now showing potential bullish intent.
Anticipated move:
Reversal from support
A clean bullish move toward FVGs
Final target near 1.16200
🎯 Strategy Idea:
Long Entry Zone: Near 1.137–1.140 (liquidity sweep + support).
Target: 1.15500 (intermediate) and 1.16200 (final).
SL (Stop Loss): Could be below the most recent low (if re-entry needed).
🧠 Concept Used:
Liquidity sweep (SSL)
Return to support
Fair Value Gap (FVG) fill
Smart Money long setup
EUR/USD 15 MINUTE CHART PATTERN Thanks for sharing your EUR/USD trade setup. Here's a quick breakdown and risk-reward assessment for your 15-minute BUY entry strategy:
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🟢 Trade Setup (Long)
Pair: EUR/USD
Entry: 1.16025
Stop Loss: 1.15780
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 1.16361
🎯 Target 2: 1.16700
🎯 Target 3: 1.17090
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🔍 Risk/Reward Ratios
Let’s calculate approximate Risk-to-Reward (R:R) for each target:
🔻 Risk: 1.16025 - 1.15780 = 24.5 pips
Reward to Target 1:
1.16361 - 1.16025 = 33.6 pips
✅ R:R ≈ 1.37
Reward to Target 2:
1.16700 - 1.16025 = 67.5 pips
✅ R:R ≈ 2.75
Reward to Target 3:
1.17090 - 1.16025 = 106.5 pips
✅ R:R ≈ 4.35
---
⚠ Key Notes:
Your stop loss is tight (24.5 pips), which is good for managing risk, but watch for minor price noise or wicks around support.
Best suited if price has broken out of consolidation or is in a strong uptrend on M15/M30.
Monitor news events (e.g., USD data, ECB statements) that can spike volatility.
Consider scaling out at each target to lock in profits and reduce exposure.
EURUSD Sell- Go for sell
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you know how
- keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up
A Message To Traders:
I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely.
Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results.
"I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
EUR/USD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
EUR/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.161
Target Level: 1.141
Stop Loss: 1.174
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 10h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD SHORT TIME O LOSS TIMEI opened a long position on the EURUSD pair at 1.17195 with 10 lots.
Target: 1.174 – If the target is reached, I will take profit and open a short position.
At the same time, expecting USD weakness, I also opened a short position at 1.17200 with 20 lots.
1.168 to 1.166 is a strong support zone.
If price reaches 1.174 and I have an active short, I will close the 1.17200 short and keep the other one.
Targets and support levels are marked on the chart – I plan to close the positions gradually.
I will close 75% of the position at the 1.149 support level.
This is a demo account – I’m practicing in order to qualify for a funded trading account.
Depending on my success rate, I plan to start trading live on Forex.
EURUSD POSSIBLE FINAL STAGE FOR BULL AND BEAR TAKING OVERIn this 15m chart we have MAJOR WEEKLY/DAILY RESISTANCE SUPPORT area around 1.1653
I wait to see if we close below that and get out of this UP-WARD CHANEL
If all this mate i will take sell below 1.1642 and Main target will be 1.113 but as usual will close some along the way
I will update once im in
Thanks
Could the Fiber reverse from here?The price is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the 1st 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 1.1631
1st Support: 1.1552
1st Resistance: 1.1677
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD: Can it reach 1.1900?EURUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.234, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 20.419) and is going for a 3 week high. This is technically a long term bullish wave (since the January 13th 2025 low) on the 3 year Channel Up. We anticipate that this wave will go for the pattern's high by the end of the year, and being limited by the 7 year LH trendline, we expect to aim for at least 1.1900. The 1W RSI has started to post a sequence that resembles the last 3 major ones.
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EUR/USD Slips Toward Trend SupportEuro plunged nearly 1.6% from the highs with price rebounding this week at former resistance at the 1.618% extension of the May advance. While the risk remains for a deeper correction towards the April uptrend, we’re looking for signs of support / that a low is in.
EUR/USD is trading within the confines of a proposed descending channel with price rebounding off confluent support at the lower parallel yesterday. The immediate focus is on this recovery with initial resistance eyed at the 61.8% retracement of the recent decline / the high-day close (HDC) at 1.1560/85. Ultimately, a breach / close above the 2016 high would be needed to mark uptrend resumption towards the upper parallel (currently near 1.1680s) and the August 2015 high / 78.6% retracement of the 2021 decline at 1.1714/47- both regions of interest for possible top-side exhaustion / price inflection IF reached.
Initial support rests at 1.1455 and is backed by the 38.2% retracement of the May advance at 1.1415. Note that the April trendline converges on this threshold mid-week and a break / close below this slope would be needed to suggest a more significant high weas registered las week / a larger trend correction is underway. Subsequent support rests with the objective monthly open at 1.1347 and the 2023 high / 61.8% retracement at 1.1276/82- look for a larger reaction there IF reached.
Bottom line: The Euro rally remains vulnerable to a test of uptrend support while below 1.1585. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to the April trendline IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above 1.1616 needed to mark uptrend resumption.
-MB
EUR/USD 4H CHART PATTERN.EUR/USD 4H chart, the chart analysis shows a bearish outlook after a potential rising channel breakdown. Here are the key bearish targets as shown:
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📉 Bearish Targets:
1. First Target Zone (FVG Area)
Price Range: Around 1.1400 – 1.1350
This is marked as the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and could act as the first reaction/support zone.
2. Second Target Zone
Price Range: Around 1.1250 – 1.1200
Clearly labeled as “TARGET” in the middle of the chart.
3. Final Target Zone (Major Support)
Price Range: Around 1.1100 – 1.1050
Also labeled “TARGET” at the bottom. This aligns with a past support level and previous consolidation area.
---
🧭 Summary:
A breakdown from the rising channel is expected.
Price may drop first into the FVG zone (1.1350 area).
Then continue down to 1.1200.
Final support target sits near 1.1050.
Would you like me to help identify bullish invalidation or risk levels as well?
DeGRAM | EURUSD growth in the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● The chart for EURUSD, as indicated in the upper right corner, displays a classic descending wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal signal. Price action has respected the wedge’s lower boundary multiple times, forming a series of higher lows while sellers failed to push the pair below the 1.0670 support zone. The most recent candles show a decisive breakout above the wedge’s upper trendline, accompanied by increased volume, suggesting that buyers are regaining control. This breakout is further validated by the RSI indicator, which has moved out of oversold territory and is now trending upward, confirming the shift in momentum.
● The technical setup is reinforced by the presence of a horizontal resistance level at 1.0750, which has acted as a magnet for price in previous attempts. The chart also highlights a bullish engulfing pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling strong demand and a potential continuation toward the next resistance at 1.0820. The moving averages are beginning to converge, with the shorter-term MA crossing above the longer-term MA, a classic bullish crossover that often precedes sustained upward movement. These factors collectively point to a high-probability scenario for further gains in the EURUSD pair.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Recent fundamental developments support the bullish technical outlook. Over the past two days, the Federal Reserve has maintained its policy rate, but forward guidance has hinted at a possible rate cut later this year, which has weighed on the US dollar. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank has adopted a more cautious stance, with the probability of a near-term rate cut decreasing as inflation data remains sticky in the eurozone. Additionally, easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and stable US retail sales have reduced safe-haven demand for the dollar, further supporting the euro’s advance.
✨ Summary
● A confirmed breakout above the descending wedge and bullish momentum indicators suggest a long entry on EURUSD above 1.0750, targeting 1.0820. The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the 1.0670 support. A close below this level would invalidate the setup and call for a reassessment of the trend.
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Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles.Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles. Here’s a full breakdown of the chart and its annotations:
📊
Chart Details:
Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4-hour (H4)
Current Price: Around 1.16093 USD
🔍
Key Annotations & Zones:
🟫
Pink Zone (Supply/Resistance Area):
This area includes:
Accumulation
FVG (Fair Value Gap)
Price has recently entered and reacted from this zone.
🔼
Buy Side Liquidity:
Highlighted at the top of the range.
Price swept above recent highs to trigger buy stops (liquidity grab), possibly setting up for a reversal.
🔽
Sell Side Liquidity:
Marked below the previous consolidation range.
Price had previously dipped to collect sell-side liquidity before moving upward.
📈
Accumulation:
This phase occurred before the bullish breakout.
Suggests institutional buying or smart money positioning.
📉
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
Imbalance between buying and selling, typically gets filled.
Marked in the pink zone where price may return before continuing its move.
📌
Price Structure Analysis:
The chart shows a classic liquidity sweep setup:
Price grabs buy-side liquidity.
Enters a supply zone.
May return to fill the FVG.
Potential reversal or bearish reaction from this zone.
✅
Trading Implications:
Bearish Scenario:
Price may reject from the pink supply zone after the buy-side liquidity sweep, filling the FVG and possibly heading toward previous lows.
Bullish Scenario (less likely immediately):
If price holds above the pink zone, it could continue trending upward.
EURUSD Extends Its Bullish Run Amid Fed CautionEURUSD continues to surge as technical and fundamental forces align. The pair has broken out of consolidation and is now trading within a clear ascending channel. Price is currently retracing into a well-defined demand zone around 1.1590 – 1.1600, where a potential bullish continuation is anticipated.
Supporting the move, dovish signals from Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggest the central bank may hold off on further rate hikes, weakening the USD. Meanwhile, euro demand is recovering as geopolitical tensions ease and European funds reduce dollar-based hedging. Technically, the 34 and 89 EMA offer dynamic support, reinforcing this area as a key re-entry point for buyers.
Targets for this bullish leg are set near 1.1687 (TP1) and 1.1748 (TP2), provided price holds above the short-term support.
Will EURUSD maintain this momentum or face resistance ahead? Let the chart guide your next move.
Euro Prices Falling TodayThe EURUSD has broken to a new high for the month and the year.
The price extended above highs from June between 1.1614 to 1.16297. The high price extended to 1.1641 so far. That represents the highest levels going back to October 2021. With the break, the next key target area comes between 1.1663 and 1.16916. That area corresponds with swing lows and swing highs going back to April 2021 through November 2021 before the pair started a trend-like move to the lows reached in September 2022.