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USDX Dollar Basket Index DXU5 Exp 03/09/2025 23:59USDX Dollar Basket Index DXU5 Exp 03/09/2025 23:59USDX Dollar Basket Index DXU5 Exp 03/09/2025 23:59

USDX Dollar Basket Index DXU5 Exp 03/09/2025 23:59

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Falling expected of $$ Index.📉 DXY Analysis – June 22, 2025 The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of rejection from the Daily Time Frame Swing Supply Zone around 99.000. A confirmed Head & Shoulders pattern on the H1 chart suggests a short-term bearish reversal. Price action remains under the 100 EMA on the 4H, and the market continues to respect the descending trendline. Technical Outlook: 🔻 Target 1: 98.000 🔻 Target 2: 94.650 (Major support zone) 📈 RSI divergence confirms downside pressure. 🧭 Fundamental View: Fed Pivot on the Horizon: Softer inflation and weakening U.S. macro data (e.g. unemployment ticking up, sluggish GDP) increase the probability of a rate cut by Q3 2025. Risk-On Sentiment Returning: Global risk appetite is improving, pulling capital away from safe-haven USD assets. Geopolitical Tensions (US–Iran–Israel): Ongoing Middle East conflict is driving temporary spikes in DXY due to safe-haven demand, but if escalation slows or a ceasefire is reached, this could accelerate downside moves in the dollar. Oil Impact: Rising oil prices due to conflict could hurt the U.S. economy further, worsening the Fed’s policy dilemma and adding pressure on the dollar. Bias: Bearish ❌ Invalidation above 99.200 🔎 Events to Watch: Fed speeches, PCE inflation, geopolitical developments in the Middle East #DXY #Forex #USD #Geopolitics #USIranIsrael #HeadAndShoulders #Fed #MacroAnalysis #Tradewithnajamahmed #TechnicalAnalysis #DollarIndex
TVC:DXYShort
by najamahmed6
DXY Market Outlook: Eyes on 99.392Hello Traders, DXY found buyers at the 97.921 level we tracked last week and managed to close daily candles above this level. We can now refer to this area as a rejection block (D + RB). This week, the block was retested and encountered rejection from buyers. With this buyer reaction, our target is the peak level of the consolidation that brought the price here (99.392). There's a minor level to watch along the way: 98.586. However, considering the key level where the price reacted and the weekly chart showing no major obstacles ahead, we believe that targeting the peak of the consolidation that initiated the last decline (99.392) is the more suitable approach. Taking news data into account—and more importantly, geopolitical factors and unexpected developments—we still acknowledge the possibility of the price sweeping the low again. However, we don’t expect this to invalidate the overall scenario. With news catalysts, we anticipate the price reaching the target within the week. Until the next update, wish you many pips!
TVC:DXYLong
by FundedTraderMarkets
4
Make Dollar Great AgainDXY Big Picture While looking at other DXY charts to use a clean chart for HTF, I saw that it touched historical trend support. It didn't touch only on the TVC chart, so I am adding it with the other charts and accepting that it touched the trend. According to the fractal I added in August last year, the price is moving very well. I expect a correction from these areas. I think we have reached the reversal areas due to both the momentum in the declines and the oversold. The decline fatigue I mentioned is more evident in LTF charts. The price cannot reach the EQ zone of the decline channel that has been going on since February on the daily chart. Although it is a very inclined channel on the 4h chart, it can no longer reach the channel bottom. For this reason, I think this region is where reversal should be sought. After the first 0.38 of this decline, I think a pullback to 0.5 is possible.
TICKMILL:DXYLong
by mooniron
US dollar, a potential bullish divergence to watchThe US Federal Reserve (FED) recently updated its economic projections against a backdrop of growing uncertainty. It is now openly concerned about a scenario of stagflation, a combination of weak growth, persistent inflation and rising unemployment. This concern stems in particular from the as yet unquantified impact of the new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, as well as rising geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East. Gloomy forecasts, but monetary policy still flexible At its last meeting, the FED kept its key rate in the 4.25% - 4.5% range, while publishing gloomy forecasts for the US economy. By the end of 2025, it anticipates PCE inflation at around 3%, unemployment at 4.5% and moderate growth. Despite this worrying picture, the central bank is still planning two rate cuts this year, demonstrating its determination to support economic activity. Nevertheless, this monetary stance is the subject of debate within the committee: ten members support the cuts, while seven believe that rates should remain unchanged. Jerome Powell, Chairman of the FED, advocates caution, insisting on the need to observe the evolution of economic data before acting, particularly in view of the delayed effects of tariffs. The FED is faced with a dilemma: it must curb inflation without destroying growth. Its diagnosis of stagflation is harsh, but perhaps too pessimistic if inflation figures remain under control. A rate cut in September is still conceivable, but will largely depend on the evolution of geopolitical tensions and international trade in the weeks ahead. Below, you can see the table with the latest update of the FED's macroeconomic projections US dollar (DXY), a potential bullish technical divergence to be monitored The FED's confirmed intransigence is having an impact on the foreign exchange market. While the US dollar has been the weakest Forex currency since the beginning of the year, it has been stabilizing for several weeks now. If the FED maintains its current wait-and-see stance on a resumption of Fed funds rate cuts, the US dollar could be close to a low point on the Forex market. At present, there are no resistance breaches to suggest this, but a potential bullish technical divergence has appeared on the weekly timeframe. In the past, this signal was a precursor to a future rebound in the US dollar against a basket of major Forex currencies. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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TVC:DXY
by Swissquote
DXY bullish here, sell XXXUSD! Do miss this trade plsAs per my previous post on dxy, I'm looking for higher prices now. I dont know the news or war or tariff or rate cut that will push it up. I'm just reporting what I'm seeing on the charts, most times, it doesn't lie. Just when everyone was bullish back in Jan, 2025. I turned bearish, now I'm telling you that we go up slowly or range. This means you have to sell EURUSD, GBPUSD etc TP1 @ 98.9 TP2 @ 99.4 Enjoy Follow me and turn on notification so you'll see my trades on time and enter them on time
TVC:DXYLong
by UGBOR
Bullish bounce?USD Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 97.81 1st Support: 97.19 1st Resistance: 98.69 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
DXY Weekly ForecastDXY Weekly Forecast - expect short term up move then dont miss the upcoming fall - again as I said in previous forecast, in any case DXY has to come down to 96.000 level, believe it or not, that’s the target the algorithm aims for. A Message To Traders: I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely. Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results. "I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
TVC:DXY
by Vincent-DA
1
Could the DXY reverse from here?The price is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance. Pivot: 97.71 1st Support: 94.66 1st Resistance: 101.87 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
DXY is turning BULLISH,I'm buying at market open, you should tooTechnically, DXY should retrace from here, range for sometimes, take out liquidity and then continue higher. My DXY post this year has a 99% accuracy. Dont take it lightly. Now, Dxy had been following a downward trendline since the beginning of this year and I'm seeing a break out soon. Conservative traders can wait for a break and retest but I'm fairly sure we will get it. Enter and add more as the move goes in your favour, stop wasting pips. Dont hold this trade and make only 1k. Add more, compound, not when in loss but when in gain. This will change the game for you. This means that you should be looking for sell on EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD et al. Ya gaziere unu TP1 @ 99.4 TP2 @ 100.5
TVC:DXYLong
by UGBOR
1
DXY – U.S. Dollar Faces Downside RiskAfter a period of strength driven by its safe-haven appeal, the DXY is showing signs of weakness as doubts emerge over the true resilience of the U.S. economy. Recent data — including retail sales, industrial production, and consumer sentiment — have all fallen short of expectations, raising the likelihood that the Fed may pivot to a more dovish stance sooner than anticipated. As a market analyst closely monitoring capital flows, I believe the dollar is gradually losing its edge. With risk appetite improving and capital rotating into the euro and other risk assets, the DXY is likely to remain under pressure in the near term. Current outlook: Bearish bias, especially if the Fed softens its tone and weak U.S. data persists. The market is waiting for confirmation — but the pressure is already building.
TVC:DXYShort
by Edward_TradingFX
DXY; MARKETS JITTERS AND UNCERTAINTIES.The DXY did not hold a successful break above 99.000 which was our bullish signal. Furthermore, we had US banks closed for yesterday's NY session which did not do us any good as there was minimal movements in our charts. Without volatility there is little room for profit chasing as much as our USDJPY signal was on point. Today's session started with a gap lower towards 98.50. I don't expect a mover lower before filling the gap so that will be our first objective before any further movement. My bias still remains the same ,a clean break and hold above 99.00 will signal a healthier dollar for the short term despite the war tensions.
TVC:DXYLong
by Muchangi
DXYThe DXY has faced severe sell off due to President Trump's policy and idea of how the dollar should be controlled/managed. Though it has fallen, a pullback will happen soon. I will be using the DXY as a good guide for all the USD/XXX or XXX/USD pairs. You as a trader can take what you can from this. These 4HR FVG'S seem like a very good place where you can do one of two things. First you may be able to manage and hold a trade throughout the whole pullback. Another option is take complete profits instead of partials and enter in at good prices with this pullback in mind for bias.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Ka1eeb
1