NAS100 Bigger Picture. Uptrend to be resumedLooking at the current structure through the lens of a trend trading approach, what we saw on NAS100 is more than a simple price bounce, it’s a trend continuation trading within a high-volatility environment. As price is approaching a key resistance level, how price is behaving around this dynamic trendline will be key.
This recent retracement and rejection happening near what we can call a demand zone cluster, was confirmed by a beautiful bounce off the support range. And right now price is respecting the upper and lower bounds nicely.
What happens next? Price is showing signs of bullish exhaustion, but the higher-timeframe structure supports a continuation.
My projected target is towards the upper resistance line, that’s my 23,100 zone as shown.
NAS100 trade ideas
Beyond the Chart – NAS100 Through Technicals & Fundamentals📊 CAPITALCOM:US100 Analysis
Today, NAS100 opened with a huge gap up following former President Trump’s announcement that the U.S. has officially reached a trade agreement with the European Union.
🕳️ After price rejected the gap zone, and volume gets low low. I’m now looking for a potential test of the 23,540 level.
💼 With Q2 earnings season kicking off, stock-moving news will be hitting fast. While retail traders might scramble to catch up, smart money is already positioning for surprise earnings beats.
Stay sharp, this week could set the tone for the next major move.
The Markets, the Rabbi and the Goat...It’s funny how sometimes markets react like people in old jokes…
They scream when things get bad, then cheer wildly when things return to how they were — as if something amazing just happened.
Let me tell you one of those jokes.
It’s about a house, a rabbi… and a goat.
A man goes to the Rabbi:
“Rabbi, my house is too small. The kids are screaming, my wife’s yelling, I’m losing my mind!”
The Rabbi calmly replies:
“Bring in the chicken.”
Two days later:
“Rabbi, it’s worse!”
Rabbi:
“Now bring in the duck.
Then the pig.
And finally… the goat."
Now the house is in complete chaos. Smell, noise, no space to move or breathe.
The man returns, ready to break down:
“Rabbi, this is hell!”
The Rabbi smiles:
“Now take them all out.”
A few days later, the man comes back glowing:
“Rabbi… it’s incredible! So much space! So quiet! So fresh!”
📉 Now, 2025 markets
In April, Trump imposed tariffs.
Markets fall sharply. Analysts scream recession. Headlines go full drama.
Recently, “brand new deals” have been announced.
Markets explode to new all-time highs.
Applause. Celebration. “Stability is back.”
But if you read the fine print…
The deal is basically the same old deal. Renegotiated. Repackaged.
Just without the goat.
NAS100 steadies at high levels, pay attention nextThe most recent move on NAS100 saw a sharp drop that briefly recovered, likely triggering stops before aggressively reversing from the lower boundary of the newly projected channel. This isn't a cause for concern, on the contrary, it's another opportunity to get involved.
That is because this drop and recovery is a common behavior in strong uptrends before resuming bullish momentum.
The market is likely in the early stages of a new impulsive leg to the upside right here.
We could either have short-term consolidation or pullback, then a continuation toward the upper channel boundary or straight upwards, and with NAS100, the latter is more plausible.
My target will be at 23,300 around the upper boundary of the projected channel resistance.
In this context, the market remains bullish clearly. The most interesting aspect is the emotional flush on the last drop, trapping sellers before fueling what could be another big leg up.
NAS100 Retesting Breakout – Eyes on 23170 for Bullish PushDaily Analysis:
Price is testing the upper boundary of the long-term ascending channel. Structure is still bullish with no major breaks of support. If momentum holds, we could extend toward the channel top.
4H Analysis:
Retesting breakout structure. Support is forming around 23000–23050. Bullish momentum remains valid unless price closes below this zone.
1H Analysis:
Micro-breakout confirmed with bullish impulse above 23120. If 23170 holds, continuation toward 23280–23320 is likely.
Confirmation & Entry:
Watch for continuation above 23170. SL below 23080. TP: 23280+
Use caution if 23000 breaks — this would weaken short-term bias.
NAS100 Gaps Up on Trump Trade Deal – Bullish Continuation The market opened with a bullish gap after Trump announced new trade deals, sparking investor optimism. Price cleanly broke above the 23,266.5 🔼 resistance level, confirming it as a fresh support zone.
Buyers are now in full control, and price is forming a strong bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows.
Support at: 23,266.5 🔽, 23,200 🔽, 23,025 🔽
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: As long as price holds above 23,266.5, the path is clear for a move toward 23,400 and possibly 23,540+. Watch for minor pullbacks into support for continuation setups.
🔽 Bearish: A break back below 23,266.5 would be the first warning of bullish exhaustion, with downside potential toward 23,200.
📰 News Insight: The bullish gap came after Donald Trump announced new trade deals, boosting risk sentiment across U.S. indices. This has become a key short-term fundamental catalyst.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
I am 100 % short spy and qqq I am BULLISH DXY the chart posted is now setup for the cycle top On several cycles and we have just popped the Shiller p/e above 3866 second highest reading ever . Cycle are into a peak that was due 7/5 to 7/14 So why are we now turning down .? wait the energy from one of the largest solar storms is the time for the transition it is also a new moon . my spirals have called for the top as it did in 12/5 and 2/17 . I see a min drop of over 8 and could see well over 11.8 within the next 90 days . best of trades WAVETIMER
Longs then short - $$$🚀 Caught the Bottom. 🔻 Sold the Top.
Same chart. Same system. Same day.
While most traders were guessing,
ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion was sniping both ends on the US Tech 100.
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At the dead low — green UP arrow fired.
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📍 Short Signal:
At the top of the rally — red DOWN printed.
Perfect spot. Price reversed hard within 1 candle.
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And now? Proven on the chart.
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NSDQ100 pushing to new ATH?Thursday was a slightly positive session for equities, with the NASDAQ 100 rising +0.18% to close at a fresh record high, driven by strong economic data. However, overall market action was subdued, with the S&P 500’s trading range the narrowest since February (0.35%).
Notably, the equal-weighted S&P 500 fell -0.33%, highlighting underlying weakness outside mega-cap tech.
A key drag on the NASDAQ came from Tesla (-8.20%), which slumped after disappointing earnings. This weighed on the Magnificent 7, which declined -0.21% despite gains in the other six members.
On the macro front, the US dollar strengthened as Donald Trump downplayed his dispute with Fed Chair Jerome Powell, though continued to pressure the Fed on interest rates. Meanwhile, the FCC approved Paramount’s merger with Skydance, signaling a green light for M&A activity in media despite political tensions.
Conclusion – NASDAQ 100 Trading View:
The NASDAQ 100 remains technically bullish, setting new highs amid resilient economic data. However, breadth is weakening, and headline risk—especially around earnings (e.g., Tesla)—could trigger short-term volatility. Traders should stay long with caution, watching for sector rotation or profit-taking near highs, and monitor Fed-related rhetoric for macro-driven moves.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23480
Resistance Level 2: 23600
Resistance Level 3: 23790
Support Level 1: 23070
Support Level 2: 22950
Support Level 3: 22750
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Do you want to keep buying NAS100?📉 Sell-Side Bias Activated
After PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 confirming the trend shift with a clean Break of Structure (BOS) and a strong rejection from the FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone, price failed to hold above 23,275.
This move validated the liquidity sweep and imbalance fill. Multiple FVGs stacked above suggest premium pricing and further downside potential.
🧠 I’m now watching for continuation setups toward discount zone. Especially below 23,100 and possibly targeting the lower FVG region.
This is a classic smart money play, manipulation, BOS, FVG retest, and selloff.
🔻Bias: Bearish
🎯 Target: Liquidity pools below 23,100
🛑 Invalidated above 23,280 (structure reclaim)
NASDAQ100 continue its strength due to the strong earning seasonFundamental:
USTEC (NASDAQ100) continues its strength, propelled by robust Alphabet (GOOG) earnings that buoyed technology companies. Cloud services recorded the largest growth at 32% YoY, primarily driven by AI. Concurrently, the company plans to allocate $85 bln to capital expenditure in 2025 for AI, an increase from $75 bln, signaling continued surging demand for AI infrastructure.
In addition, recent US economic data indicated strong consumption and optimism, with the July Services PMI expanding to 55.2 from 52.9 in the previous month. Initial Jobless Claims also fell to 217k, the lowest in 14 weeks, reinforcing optimism regarding the labor market, alongside stronger-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls from early July.
Inflation data showed a minor impact from tariffs, and tariff negotiations have progressed favorably. Trade deals have been secured with Vietnam, Indonesia, Japan, and the Philippines, and potential trade agreements with the Eurozone and India are anticipated before the deadline.
Major earnings releases are slated for next week, including MSFT, META, and QCOM on July 30. AMZN and APPL's results the following day could provide a clearer picture of USTEC's overall earnings.
Meanwhile, USTEC's forward P/E currently stands at 27x, aligning with its 5-year average despite reaching a new record high, suggesting further upside potential.
Technical:
The index is trading above its EMAs, which are extending, signaling a continuation of the rally.
If USTEC sustains its momentum, the index may reach 24000 upon breaking above the potential resistance at 23400.
Conversely, a pullback near the swing high may suggest a retest of the support at 23000.
Bullish continuation?USTEC has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistancewhihc lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 22,997.77
1st Support: 22,639.22
1st Resistance: 23,703.56
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Here’s a fresh Nasdaq100 analysis I’ve put together for you.Hey Guys,
Here’s a fresh Nasdaq100 analysis I’ve put together for you.
I’ve marked the buy zone between 23,252 and 23,240. If price dips into that range, I’m anticipating a potential move upward toward 23,294.
Your likes and support are my biggest source of motivation to keep sharing these insights.
Huge thanks to everyone backing me with a thumbs-up!
NASDAQ Bulls Pushing – Will 20,347 Hold or Break?Price is currently approaching the 20,347 🔼 resistance zone after a strong bullish rally from the 19,150 🔽 support level. The market structure remains bullish with consistent higher highs and higher lows, showing strong buyer momentum.
Support at: 19,670 🔽, 19,150 🔽, 18,500 🔽, 17,600 🔽
Resistance at: 20,347 🔼, 20,600 🔼, 21,000 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: If price breaks and holds above 20,347 🔼, we could see a continuation toward 20,600 and 21,000.
🔽 Bearish: A strong rejection from 20,347 🔼 could send price back down toward 19,670 and 19,150 for a retest.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
US 100 – All Eyes on Tariffs, Trade Deals and Tech EarningsRenewed demand for US assets has been evident throughout July so far and this has helped to lift the US 100 index to new heights with gains of over 2.5% across the month. The technology heavy index has risen from opening levels around 22650 on July 1st, then recorded several all time highs, before eventually finding some selling interest after printing the most recent record peak at 23282 yesterday afternoon.
This upside has been supported by fresh trader hopes of interest rate cuts, after Federal Reserve (Fed) policymaker Waller suggested last Thursday that he would consider a 25bps (0.25%) reduction at their next meeting on July 30th, despite Fed Chairman Powell maintaining the view that the US central bank are currently pursuing a wait and see approach, as they look for more information on inflation and growth trends to assist them to determine the on-going impact of tariffs.
Part of the reason for the Fed’s reluctance to cut rates has also been the resilience of US economic data. With US consumers still spending and employment yet to feel the negative impact of President Trump’s tariff policies, leading to a potential positive knock-on impact for growth and corporate earnings, when considered against prior downbeat market expectations.
This all leads nicely onto what could be a key sentiment driver for the direction of the US 100 this week, the start of earnings updates from the ‘Magnificent Seven’ tech companies, two of which, Alphabet and Tesla, report their earnings after the market close tomorrow. These are then followed by Microsoft and Meta on Wednesday July 30th, then Amazon and Apple on Thursday July 31st.
Traders will be keen to judge actual earnings against market expectations, alongside updates on AI spending and investment, forward guidance on the impact of tariffs and more specifically for Tesla, the time Elon Musk may dedicate to the company, rather than the distractions of politics.
The technical outlook could also be important.
Technical Update: Can The Positive Trend Extend Further?
There appears to be no clear-cut signs of a negative sentiment shift in the US 100 index yet, as fresh buying has continued to develop above support provided by the rising daily Bollinger mid-average, currently at 22785 (see chart below).
Of course, there is no guarantee this positive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows will continue, especially given the on-going trade discussion between the US and its allies, as well as the earnings announcements from Alphabet and Tesla.
However, it can be useful for traders to prepare for any future volatility by assessing potential support and resistance levels that could impact the direction of the US 100 moving forward.
Potential Support Levels:
It is possible the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 22785, represents a first support focus for traders, and as such, closing breaks below this level might lead to a more extended phase of price weakness.
Such moves could see a deeper sell-off towards 22533, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of June 23rd to July 18th 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance Levels:
With fresh price strength emerging with the US 100 index above the rising Bollinger mid-average, a positive price pattern of higher highs and higher lows, may still be evident. This reflects buyers are currently willing to pay higher prices, each time a setback materialises.
However, to maintain this uptrend pattern in price, the focus could now be on resistance provided by the July high at 23282 (July 21st). Closing breaks above this level might be required to suggest further strength, towards the next potential resistance level at 24084, which is the weekly Bollinger upper band, even 24482, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci extension.
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NASDAQ (CASH100) SHORT - double top H6Risk/reward = 4.3
Entry price = 23 282
Stop loss price = 23 398
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 22 871
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 22 663
If current H6 goes back into range, I will open short position.
All variables on checklist have been met.
I was out last night so I missed my initial entry. Hoping for a second chance.
Hopefully this short works because the last few higher time frame short setups have failed, although because of exit plan I have made very little losses.