US30 trade ideas
Understanding Market StructureIn this video, I break down market structure in a simple and easy-to-digest way, helping you understand how to identify whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend.
Recognizing market direction is a key skill for any trader, it allows you to trade in alignment with price action and make more confident, higher-probability decisions.
✅ If you're new to trading or want to sharpen your edge, this video will give you the insights needed to read market trends more clearly.
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US30: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 42,126.0 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DowJones INTRADAY Key trading zone retestKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42,920
Resistance Level 2: 43,300
Resistance Level 3: 43,620
Support Level 1: 41,470
Support Level 2: 41,160
Support Level 3: 40,890
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES FORECAST"The guns are primed".
we expect to see heavy Bearishness from US Stock Indices today, the "dumping" price action catalyst is a heavily bullish US Dollar for reference we use Gold and US Bonds for current market conditions.
Seek Bearish profile on the 15M - 5M to trigger Bearish dealing model.
US30 Footprint Update | May 29, 2025We're witnessing a clear shift in order flow dynamics on the 1H footprint chart.
🔻 Earlier in the session, sellers were firmly in control with heavy negative delta and large sell imbalances between 42,280–42,120.
🔄 Key Change: Around 42,088–42,177, aggressive selling was absorbed, followed by a strong bullish delta of +125 and increasing buyer interest in the following candles. Volume has flipped in favor of buyers.
📈 Current Price: Holding around 42,191.50, just below the key resistance zone of 42,231. A clean break and acceptance above this level could confirm a bullish shift toward 42,280–42,300.
🧠 What I’m Watching:
Break and hold above 42,231 = long continuation
Failure to sustain = possible retest of 42,177 or lower support
🎯 Volume and delta are aligning in favor of bulls — let’s see if they can take control.
DowJones INTRADAY important resistance retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42,920
Resistance Level 2: 43,300
Resistance Level 3: 43,620
Support Level 1: 41,470
Support Level 2: 41,160
Support Level 3: 40,890
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Let the Market show its hand Looking for longs in the blue box area
If no bounce a long of the lower orange point of control.
Beware the market could be in a short down trend if lower untested POC is met so i will reduce my risk and when possible protect my profits .
I will short the position if the market turns on my longs from the blue box area
Hanzo / US30 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Bullish Reversal )🆚 US30
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 30 M TF
☄️ Bullish Reversal – 42400 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
Reasons
Bullish After Retest
42450
1hr key level
Retest - History Of 42470
21 May / 2025
19 May / 2025
16 May / 2025
12 May / 2025
Dow Eyes 42,800 Resistance – Key Breakout Ahead?The Dow is currently holding near the neckline of a double-top formation that developed between December 2024 and February 2025, possibly buoyed by ongoing tech and Nasdaq optimism. The broader rebound from the 2025 lows is also forming a diagonal structure, setting up the following scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
With weekly RSI holding above the 50 neutral zone after rebounding from oversold levels last seen in 2020, a sustained move above the 42,800-resistance level could extend the rally toward 43,800 and 44,800. A breakout above the all-time high near 45,000 would open the door toward the next major resistance at 46,800.
Bearish Scenario:
If the diagonal formation breaks to the downside—below 41,400 and 41,000—selling pressure could resume, forming a diagonal correction targeting support levels at 40,400, 39,700, and 39,000.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
US30Correlation Between US30, 10-Year Bond Yields, Bond Prices, and DXY
1. Bond Prices vs. Yields
Inverse Relationship: Bond prices and yields move inversely. When bond prices rise, yields fall, and vice versa.
Example: If the 10-year Treasury bond price drops (due to selling pressure), its yield rises to attract buyers.
Current 10-year yield: 4.54% (as of May 21, 2025).
2. 10-Year Yield vs. DXY (US Dollar Index)
Typical Positive Correlation: Higher yields attract foreign capital into USD-denominated assets, strengthening the dollar (DXY↑).
Recent Divergence:
A rising 10-year yield paired with a weakening DXY may signal market skepticism about Fed policy or risk aversion (e.g., investors favor Treasuries as safe havens despite lower yields).
Example: If yields rise due to inflation fears without economic growth, DXY may weaken as traders doubt the Fed’s ability to sustain rate hikes.
3. DXY vs. US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
Inverse Correlation: A weaker dollar (DXY↓) often supports equity indices like US30, as multinational companies benefit from cheaper exports and higher overseas earnings.
Exceptions:
In risk-off environments, a stronger dollar (DXY↑) may coincide with equity sell-offs as investors flee to safe-haven assets.
4. 10-Year Yield vs. US30
Mixed Relationship:
Negative: Rising yields can pressure equities (US30↓) as higher borrowing costs reduce corporate profits and make bonds more attractive.
Positive: Yields rising due to growth optimism may lift stocks (US30↑) if earnings expectations improve.
5. Yield Curve Dynamics (30-10 Year Spread)
Current Spread: 0.51% (30-year yield: 4.94%, 10-year yield: 4.43%).
Implications:
A widening spread (30-year > 10-year) suggests long-term growth/inflation expectations.
A flattening/inverted spread signals economic uncertainty or recession fears.
Summary Table of Relationships
Factor Relationship with DXY Relationship with US30
10-Year Yield ↑ Typically ↑ (if growth-driven) ↓ (if rate-driven) / ↑ (if growth-driven)
Bond Prices ↑ ↓ (yields fall, USD less attractive) ↑ (cheaper borrowing)
DXY ↑ — Typically ↓ (hurts exports)
30-10 Spread Widens Neutral ↑ (growth optimism)
Key Scenarios
Risk-On Environment:
DXY↓ + US30↑ + Yields↑ (growth optimism).
Example: Weaker dollar boosts equities despite rising yields.
Risk-Off Environment:
DXY↑ + US30↓ + Yields↓ (safe-haven demand for bonds and USD).
Policy Divergence:
Yields↑ + DXY↓ (markets doubt Fed’s ability to sustain hikes despite inflation).
Conclusion
The interplay between US30, bond yields, prices, and DXY is dynamic and context-dependent:
Yield-DXY Link: Normally positive but can diverge during policy uncertainty or risk aversion.
DXY-US30 Link: Typically inverse but influenced by macroeconomic drivers.
Yield Curve: A widening 30-10 spread supports growth optimism, while flattening signals caution.
Traders must monitor Fed policy, inflation data, and risk sentiment to navigate these correlations effectively.
Dow Jones Continues Its Upward Momentum Toward the 43,344 Level The Dow Jones Industrial Average is showing continued bullish momentum, with an anticipated move toward the 43,344 level following a retracement to the support zone around 42,290–42,250. A price close above last week’s closing level reinforces the bullish sentiment, providing further upward momentum for the index toward the targeted levels outlined in the accompanying chart.
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