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USTEC trade ideas

NAS100 Forecast 24HAs of Tuesday, July 15, 2025, 2:03:11 AM UTC+4 the forecast for US100 (Nasdaq 100) in the next 24 hours presents a mixed outlook, with underlying bullish sentiment but caution due to ongoing market dynamics and potential for short-term pullbacks. Factors Contributing to a Bullish Bias: Underlying Strength and Breakout Behavior: Despite some short-term bearish technical signals, the Nasdaq is described as being in "breakout mode," decisively overriding key levels. This suggests underlying bullish momentum. AI as a Growth Driver: Artificial intelligence (AI) remains a primary growth driver for the US economy and the technology sector, which heavily influences the Nasdaq 100. Confidence in secular tailwinds like cloud computing and semiconductor demand also persists . Temporary US Dollar Weakness: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a retracement phase, pulling back after strength. A weaker dollar can provide a relief rally for risk assets like the Nasdaq, making US tech stocks more attractive to international investors. Potential for Federal Reserve Rate Cuts: While no rate cuts are expected over the summer, a rate cut is considered likely in September. Historically, phases of moderate interest rate cuts in the absence of a recession have been positive for the US stock market. "Buy on Dip" Mentality: Some analyses suggest that any short-term declines could be viewed as buying opportunities, indicating an underlying positive sentiment among investors. Strong Earnings Expectations (for some tech): Despite general market concerns, some technology companies associated with AI innovation are expected to perform well, contributing positively to the index. Factors Suggesting Caution and Potential for Bearish Movement/Volatility: Escalating Trade Tensions (Trump's Tariffs): President Trump's continued aggressive protectionist stance and new tariff threats (e.g., against Canada) are a significant risk. These can create uncertainty, weigh on corporate profits, and lead to market volatility. This is frequently cited as the main risk for US indices. Short-Term Technical Bearishness: Some technical analyses indicate a high chance of bearish candle closures across various timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily, Weekly, Monthly) , and some traders are eyeing selling opportunities from specific resistance zones (e.g., around 22,800-22,869). Overvalued Growth Stocks: Following a recent rally, US stocks, particularly growth stocks, are trading at a premium to fair value. This can limit upside potential and make the market more susceptible to corrections if tariff negotiations falter or earnings guidance disappoints. Market Seasonality: As we move into the latter half of July, market seasonality can shift from bullish to a more bearish stance. Earnings Season and "Sell on the News" : While major financial institutions are kicking off Q2 earnings season, there's a potential for a "sell on the news" response, even if earnings aren't particularly bad, given the strong rally stocks have already staged. Mixed Global Signals: European markets showing mixed performance and pressure from US futures suggest cautious global risk sentiment, which could cap upside for the Nasdaq. Unfilled Stock Imbalances: Some technical analysis points to an unfilled stock imbalance around 22,300, which could act as a reaction point if the price pulls back. Key Levels to Watch (Approximate): Support: 22,600, 22,300 (unfilled imbalance), 21,611 (resistance-turned-support), 20,673 (Fibonacci extension and prior high). Resistance: 22,800, 22,869, 23,000-23,100 (potential re-entry targets for rally continuation), 25,000-25,100 (approximate imbalance level to be filled). In conclusion, for the next 24 hours, the US100 is likely to face a battle between underlying bullish momentum driven by AI and potential Fed policy, and the immediate headwinds of escalating trade tensions and some short-term technical bearishness. Traders should be prepared for volatility and quick shifts in sentiment based on news flow, particularly regarding trade and upcoming earnings reports. For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya Trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by shoonya0000
NAS100 - Stock market awaits inflation!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel and confirming it after breaking the downtrend line will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets (23000), but in case of no increase and channel failure, one can look for selling positions up to the target of 22500. Last week, the U.S.dollar demonstrated strong performance against major global currencies, despite having experienced some weakness since April 2, when President Donald Trump announced retaliatory tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. However, these tariffs were ultimately postponed, and only a baseline 10% tariff was maintained. The 90-day deadline for implementing these tariffs, originally set to expire on Wednesday, has now been extended to August 1. Nevertheless, Trump surprised the markets this week by announcing a 25% tariff on imports from Japan and South Korea, threatening a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods, and implementing lower tariffs for other partners. These developments triggered a shift of capital toward the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset, boosting its strength. This marks a notable shift in how the dollar is reacting to tariff tensions. In April, fears of an economic slowdown weighed on the greenback, but now it is gaining traction as a refuge in times of uncertainty, particularly as inflation risks mount—contributing to choppy moves in U.S. equity markets. As is customary, the earnings season will kick off with reports from major banks and financial institutions. On Tuesday, JPMorgan is set to release its financial results, opening the floodgates for a wave of earnings reports. The image referenced lists several other companies, many of which are market heavyweights. Following a relatively quiet week due to Independence Day holidays and a lack of major economic data, markets are now gearing up for a steady stream of reports in the coming days. Tuesday will bring the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June along with the Empire State manufacturing survey. On Wednesday, the spotlight will shift to the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the same month. Then, on Thursday, traders will focus on June’s retail sales report, the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing survey, and the weekly jobless claims figures. The week will conclude with two additional reports on Friday: the June housing starts data and the preliminary reading of the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index. June’s CPI report is expected to reflect an uptick in inflation, potentially driven by Trump’s tariff policies. Some analysts believe the tariffs will have an “undeniable” impact on prices, though others remain uncertain. Despite concerns from both experts and consumers that businesses might pass tariff costs on to buyers, inflation has so far remained relatively moderate this year. The effects of Trump’s aggressive tariff campaign on hard economic data have not yet been clearly reflected—but that may be about to change. According to Bloomberg’s consensus forecasts, as cited by Wells Fargo Securities, the CPI is expected to show a 2.7% year-over-year increase in June—up from 2.4% the previous month. Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to have risen 3% over the same period, compared to a prior gain of 2.8%. If these numbers come in as expected, it could support the forecasts of analysts who have warned that the costs of Trump’s heavy import tariffs would eventually show up on price tags, as manufacturers, importers, and retailers pass along the burden through the supply chain. Since taking office, Trump has imposed a wide array of tariffs, including a 10% levy on most imports, a 25% duty on foreign automobiles, and tariffs exceeding 50% on Chinese products.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
NASDAQ - Long Bias explanation and Entry/SL/TP ideasTrend : NASDAQ is in a strong uptrend at the moment Retail : Majority have a BEARISH sentiment on this pair Institutions : Increase in week over week holdings Structures : No structures as we are at highs so targeting recent formed high + round number above makes sense Price action : Sitting on a support shelf at the moment Targets : Recent high + level at round number (23000) Stops : Many options to place stops below Entries : Positive bounce at current level, decent entry zone but further possible entry levels sit below too If trading on a shorter timeframe, perhaps the gap fill is a good point to take the trade off the table. Targeting higher than 23 might be dangerous as we are playing around at ATHs
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Gamblers-Fallacy
NASDAQ - BUYS📉➡️📈 USTEC 15min – Precision Long After Panic Drop 🎯 Reversal Detected | No Hesitation | Immediate Follow-Through Markets don’t always give second chances. But when they do — you want to be ready. This sharp drop on USTEC (NASDAQ 100) looked brutal to most... But the ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion indicator calmly printed a double UP signal at the exact low. 🟢 The Signal: Two “UP” Prints at the Bottom After a fast and aggressive drop, the system triggered two stacked UP signals right into the final selloff candle — giving clear guidance for a high-probability reversal. 🔹 Hypothetical Trade Setup: Entry: On confirmation of the second UP signal Stop-loss: Below the signal wick (minimal drawdown) Reward: Price surged immediately, offering a strong rally of over 100 points in minutes ⏱️ No delay. No doubt. ✅ Traders were positioned before the herd caught on. 🧠 What Makes ELFIEDT Different? This isn’t about standard indicators. This is exhaustion logic fused with a proprietary RSI-based reversion model that works across indices, FX, metals, and more. 📌 Non-repainting 📌 Context-aware 📌 Built for real entries, not just “nice charts” 🔐 This is the public build. The private builds include even more firepower: Multi-timeframe confluence Smart volatility filters Divergence overlays Breakout-retest logic Institutional grade scalping layers 📩 DM to request access — limited spots, serious traders only. #NASDAQ #USTEC #ReversalTrading #SmartSignals #ELFIEDT #RSIBounce #15MinStrategy #TradingView #Indices #Tech100
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by ElfieTrader
Nasdaq 100 Dips as Tariffs Spark CautionWhile crypto markets rally, U.S. equities have cooled. The Nasdaq 100 dropped by 0.6% following the announcement of new tariffs, particularly those aimed at Canadian goods. Tech stocks are reacting cautiously to these developments, although Nvidia’s record-breaking $4 trillion market cap continues to provide some support for the index. With major financials such as JPMorgan and Wells Fargo reporting Q2 earnings next week, investors will soon get clarity on how corporate America is coping with higher input costs and global trade tensions. Technical View (Nasdaq 100): The index is consolidating between resistance at 22,900 and support at 22,600. A break above 22,900 could reignite the tech rally, while a drop below support may see price test 22,400 and potentially 22,000 in coming sessions.
FPMARKETS:US100Short
by FDGCapital
Nasdaq leads the rally and can move for 3-5 days moreWhile crude oil is declining, tech stocks are gaining momentum: Nasdaq had reached another all-time-high recently and that might not be over: according to statistical studies, it rarely reverses quickly above the upper Bollinger Bands line and the average swing duration is between 17 and 20 days (which gives us several days of potential continuation). The earnings season fuels growth for many technological stocks, and the “sell America” narrative steps back, so we may see Nasdaq growing as shown in the chart below. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own reserch and never forget to manage your risk!
WHSELFINVEST:USTECH100CFDLong
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
NAS100 Reading Market Structure: When to Trade and When to WaitI'm currently keeping a close eye on the NASDAQ 📉. Price has remained largely range-bound over the past few sessions and continues to show signs of pressure 🔻. While we've seen a short-term rally 🚀, it lacks the conviction and momentum typically seen in stronger trending environments 📊. When comparing the current conditions to previous trend phases, the difference is clear. Structure is unclear, and there's no confirmation of sustained direction yet. As shown on the chart 📈, we previously saw strong bullish momentum followed by a sharp shift, suggesting indecision in the market 🤔. In these situations, patience is key ⏳. It's just as important to know when not to trade as it is to know when to act 🎯. For now, I’m choosing to stay on the sidelines until a clearer trend develops. Not financial advice ⚠️
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
NAS100 - Stock market is waiting for tariffs!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets, but if it does not rise and corrects towards the demand limits, you can buy the Nasdaq index with appropriate reward and risk. Three months ago, Donald Trump postponed the imposition of severe retaliatory tariffs, granting America’s major trading partners more time to reach new agreements that Washington views as “fairer.” Now, as the White House’s July 9 deadline approaches, only two official trade deals have been finalized—one with the United Kingdom and another with Vietnam. As for China, merely a fragile temporary truce has been reached, which has so far prevented any additional tariffs from being enforced. Although reports suggest promising progress in negotiations with India, Japan, and South Korea, no final agreements have been secured with these countries yet. Interestingly, talks with the European Union—which had previously stalled—have suddenly taken a positive turn, and prospects for a deal with Canada in the coming days have also improved. However, given the limited time left, it seems unlikely that trade agreements with all of America’s 18 key partners will be reached before the deadline. This situation has raised a critical question for the markets: Will Trump set a new deadline for the remaining countries, or will the suspended tariffs be reinstated? The prevailing view is that the U.S. president will once again resort to threats before granting any extensions—this time not merely by reviving the “Liberation Day” tariffs, but also by promising even heavier tariffs to extract the last concessions from the remaining trade partners. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett stated that if no agreements are reached by August 1, tariffs will revert to the levels announced in April. He also emphasized that Washington’s core strategy in these trade talks is to apply maximum pressure. According to Bassett, letters will be sent to various countries, outlining the August 1 deadline for reaching deals. This news, which broke during the market’s closing hours, sparked a wave of risk appetite in the financial markets. In a week when the U.S. economic calendar is notably devoid of major data releases, investors are focusing their attention on the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June FOMC meeting—a document that could offer fresh insights into the trajectory of interest rates for the second half of the year. June’s strong employment report, which exceeded market expectations, has effectively dashed hopes for an interest rate cut this month. Now, if the positive economic momentum persists, the likelihood of a rate cut in the September meeting may also gradually be priced out by the markets. According to data from Challenger, Gray & Christmas, U.S. employers announced 47,999 job cuts in June, marking a sharp decline from 93,816 in the previous month. Compared to June of last year, layoffs have dropped by 2%. However, total job cuts in the second quarter of 2025 reached 247,256—a 39% increase from the same period last year (177,391) and the highest second-quarter layoff figure since 2020. With no significant economic reports scheduled for the coming days, investors will be closely analyzing Wednesday night’s Fed minutes and the limited remarks from central bank officials—statements where every word has the potential to significantly move the markets.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
US100/Analysis *📊 US100 (NAS100) – 4H Analysis & Trade Signal* --- *🔎 Chart Observation:* - *Current Price:* 22,764 - *Structure:* Market rejected downside strongly with a *Bull Wick* (demand zone reaction). - *RSI (14):* 60.38 - Momentum is rising again, just under overbought. - *Bearish divergence* still visible, but price is defending structure. --- *📌 Key Levels:* - *Support:* 22,715 - *Resistance:* 22,865 → 23,000 - *Strong Bullish Zone:* 22,720–22,750 --- *📈 Trade Idea: BUY Setup* - *Entry:* 22,760–22,770 - *SL:* 22,690 (below wick) - *TP1:* 22,865 - *TP2:* 23,000 - *TP3 (optional):* 23,150 if breakout occurs --- *🧠 Smart Money View:* - Likely a *liquidity sweep* below wick zone. - Demand zone got respected → smart money possibly reloading longs. - If next candle closes bullish, more confirmation for continuation.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Talion-promosale
NAS100 High-Risk Momentum Play with Potential H&S SetupNAS100 is hovering near all-time highs. While a retest of the weekly trendline remains likely, this idea aims to ride the current bullish momentum. The plan anticipates a short-term pullback to recent lows to potentially form a head and shoulders pattern before a move lower toward the weekly trendline. This is a high-risk setup I’d typically avoid, but the strong bullish weekly close adds some weight. Two entries provided - one with a tighter TP for a quicker reaction.
BLACKBULL:NAS100Long
by TradingNutCom
Discount Zone Reversal Play Entered a long position after identifying an short formed W formation within discount territory, mapped from yesterday’s high–low range. Price action showed clear structural symmetry, with the second leg completing at a key demand zone. 📌 Buyside liquidity at 22,692.27 acted as the inducement level—price swept it and respected the zone, signaling smart money accumulation. Key Confluences: - Extended W structure with balanced legs and volume support - Price operating below EQ before trigger, favoring bullish reversal - TP placed just above EQ to anticipate reaction without overextending - Structure confirmed by neckline retest and bullish candle ignition This setup aligns with a classic liquidity sweep and reversal narrative, targeting measured premium zones while managing drawdown with tight risk control. The trade is guided by structure, liquidity, and session timing—a patient play with clean narrative flow.
FUSIONMARKETS:NAS100Long
by liambillo35
USTEC 15M Trade Setup Analysis (TCB Strategy)📊 USTEC 15M Trade Setup Analysis (TCB Strategy) Trade Type: Countertrend Breakout -> Continuation Symbol: USTEC (NASDAQ 100 Index) Timeframe: 15-Minute Entry Zone: Around 22,500 Resistance Zone: 22,587.90 Target: 22,865.84 Stop Loss: 22,458.87 Risk–Reward: 1:3 (approx) Structure: Falling wedge breakout into bullish channel Setup Confidence Score: 95% 📝 Analyst Notes Price is breaking out from a well-defined falling wedge within a rising channel. Entry around 22,500 is based on breakout momentum, with SL tucked under structure. A retest entry would offer added confluence. Resistance at 22,587.90 is critical—a break and hold above confirms bullish strength toward the 22,865 target. 🎯 Execution Plan Option 1: Aggressive entry near 22,500–22,540 (early breakout) Option 2: Wait for clean retest of wedge breakout or 22,500 zone Target: 22,865 (upper channel boundary) SL: 22,458 or below the recent structure low R:R: ~1:3 — very favorable 🟢 Verdict This is a high-quality TCB setup, especially if we get a retest confirmation. The bounce off channel support + wedge breakout = excellent confluence.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by J1000PIPSfx
NAS100 4H – Bullish Breakout Continuation BUY SetupUS100 (NAS100) is showing clear bullish strength after reclaiming 22,500.0, now trading around 22,718.0. The structure remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming cleanly. Buyers are still in control — looking for continuation to the upside. --- BUY Trade Plan: 🔵 Buy Limit: 22,650.0 – 22,680.0 🛑 Stop Loss: 22,600.0 🎯 Take Profit 1: 22,800.0 🎯 Take Profit 2: 22,950.0 --- Why Buy? ✅ Strong bullish market structure. ✅ Recent pullback held above previous support levels. ✅ Momentum favoring upside continuation after minor retracement. Smart Money likely to drive price higher after liquidity grab around 22,650 zone. --- Summary: Bias: BUY ONLY 🔥 Setup: Wait for price to pull back into 22,650 – 22,680, enter long on confirmation. Risk Management: Respect SL and TP levels — no emotions. --- 💬 Are you buying NAS100 too? Drop your thoughts below! #NAS100 #US100 #Indices #TradingView #SmartMoney #BuySetup #FrankFx14
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by FrankFx14
USNAS10 Faces Key Test at 22,615 Ahead of NFP VolatilityUSNAS100 – Key Levels Ahead of Major News Today’s economic data releases (NFP, Unemployment Rate, etc.) are expected to drive volatility in the market. Traders should watch key levels closely. Technical Outlook (USNAS10): • Price is attempting to test 22,615. • If it holds above 22,615, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. • However, if price stabilizes below 22,615 on the 1H chart, further downside toward 22,420 is expected before a potential bullish reversal begins. A breakout above 22,740 could trigger further upside toward 23,000 Key Levels: • Resistance: 23,000 / 23,100 • Support: 22,420 / 22,280
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi