Long Setup 🟢 Looking to buy around 22,900–915 if price dips there and holds. That’s where buyers stepped in strong earlier, and bots already did their sweep. If I see confirmation on 5–15min, I’m in. Targeting 22,975 first, maybe 23,050+ if momentum sticks. Stop under 22,860 – safe but tight.
Short Setup 🔴 Only shorting if price spikes above 23,045–60 and fails. That’s classic EQH trap zone — if NY pumps and fades, I’ll fade with it. Looking for weakness after the breakout. Target back to 22,975 > 22,920 Stop above 23,085.
No guessing — just reacting. Let the bots play first, I’ll follow the footprints 🧠
NAS100USDtradingview.com/x/R4nQNoe0/ so as a scalper I am focusing on the movements within the 1H structure, with a look at possible ATH, which is covered by the 1.272 extension.
NAS100USDtradingview.com/x/8ZnIIUn8/ [no advice] I ran a couple of MS / OB indicators, looked at wicks and always came up with the same answer: 22611.8. it seems to underpin the daily and hourly structures as bullish.From 1H down is 22690. 22406 is the pin for 2D. Since 22406, they have thrown away the 1H HL a few times (by signalling LH, and Low, and LL), but not the 2H HL. [not saying they will continue to keep this up] Obviously if there is a new ATH these values may change. I scalp Nasdaq and rarely hold overnight.
🌀 Soft Data, Stalled Reactions — Will Retail Crack the Freeze? NDXSPX 📆 Thursday, July 17, 2025 | ⏰ 08:00 BST / 03:00 EDT 📦 CPI and PPI softened. SPX held. But risk appetite is still waiting for Retail Sales and Jobless Claims to confirm a path.
📉 Macro Briefing
Markets got a soft inflation signal again — PPI came in flat. Core PPI YoY cooled to 2.6%. But equities didn’t rally. SPX held 6,240 but failed to break 6,280 again. BTC is fading slightly, still holding 117.5K. DXY is slipping, but slowly. This is not a breakout environment — it’s a stress test of conviction.
Also watching: Fed Balance Sheet at 16:30 ET, NAHB Housing Index at 10:00 ET.
🧠 Tactical Insight
“Soft data without upside price reaction isn’t a green light — it’s a warning.”
Markets want to believe. But belief needs confirmation. If Retail Sales or Jobless Claims crack, we likely see another SPX failure and a DXY bounce. If not — Silver and BTC are best-positioned for follow-through.
🎯 Trade Lens Into NY Open
• SPX between 6,240–6,280 = compression trap. • BTC above 117.5K still valid — but needs 119K+ to confirm strength. • DXY below 99.00 = vulnerable — but still sticky. • Silver holds strongest flow/sentiment alignment. • Crude ignored a bullish EIA draw — remains capped.
Best Wishes and Success to All 🛡️ Take Profits, Not Chances. 💰 Manage Risk to Accumulate. 🎯 React with Clarity, Not Hope. 🌊 Flow with Intelligence, Not Noise.
⚙️ Summary posts only. Full context via DM 📉 Macro Pulse positioning reflects data as of July 17, 2025 📦 Tag: 01.MACRO.170725-MINDS.txt
NAS100USD I genuinely find this entertaining. First, it sweeps the lows based on news entries and clears the path, then closes with strong bullish momentum — only to reverse and hunt early sellers, shaking out any deadweight just before the London open, when the real action begins.
There’s a high probability of reversal here. Why? Because it’s left a significant gap between its current price and the true composite value based on the underlying stocks — a gap that typically gets corrected before or with the premarket open at 9:00. A textbook liquidity trap targeting overly eager buyers.
From experience, when these kinds of moves happen while everyone’s asleep and the stock market is closed, they rarely end well. Erratic, euphoric price behaviour is often a red flag. Yes, we did close yesterday with strong bullish momentum, which explains the follow-through — but you need to read the intent behind the move. Did institutions buy or sell around CPI/PPI? Don’t just read the candles — read the context. Otherwise, you’re trading like the 99% - have a different strategy than everyone else and you will have different results. Remember, they target the mass liquidity so stand out of the crowd.
This is exactly why I’m stepping back from intraday trades until next week and sticking to safer, lower-margin swing positions instead. 😅
NAS100 Here’s my plan on NAS100 today 👇
