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GBPAUD trade ideas

GBP/AUD - Triangle Breakout (08.09.2025)The GBP/AUD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2.0493 2nd Support – 2.0457 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
31
GBPAUD Ready for a Breakdown?1. Retail Sentiment 62% of retail traders are long on GBPAUD, while 38% are short. Historically, retail positioning tends to be contrarian: an excess of longs often signals further downside pressure. Volume: 824 long lots vs 506 short lots → net long exposure. ➡ Bias: Contrarian short 2. COT Report GBP (August 26, 2025) Non-commercials (speculators): 76k longs vs 107k shorts → net short of -31k. Commercials: net long, but mainly for hedging purposes. Trend: large speculators are slightly increasing shorts (+866) while reducing longs (-5,302). ➡ Bias: GBP weakness AUD (August 26, 2025) Non-commercials: 28k longs vs 129k shorts → heavily net short AUD. Commercials have significantly increased long positions (+10,892). Speculators remain bearish, but defensive positioning is building up. ➡ Bias: AUD still weak, but showing early signs of stabilization 3. Seasonality (September) GBP: historically negative in September (weakness). AUD: historically shows a moderately positive trend in September, especially in the last 10 years. ➡ Bias: GBPAUD historically bearish in September 4. Technical Analysis Structure: the market rejected the 2.09 supply zone and is now consolidating within the 2.03–2.09 range. Price action suggests a possible rebound towards 2.07–2.08 before a potential breakdown towards 2.03. ➡ Technical bias: Short from supply zones at 2.07–2.08 targeting 2.04–2.03 5. Summary & Trading Scenarios Macro/COT: GBP remains weak, AUD under pressure but with accumulation signs → mixed outlook, but seasonality favors AUD. Sentiment: retail traders excessively long → confirms short bias. Technical: bearish structure with key supports at 2.0430 and 2.0318. 👉 Conclusion: At the moment, GBPAUD shows a bearish bias supported by retail sentiment, seasonality, and price action. The most likely scenario is a test of the 2.04–2.03 zone in the coming weeks.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
4
GBPAUD to continue in the downward move?GBPAUD - 24h expiry Our short term bias remains negative. Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. 2.0650 has been pivotal. 50 4hour EMA is at 2.0622. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. We look to Sell at 2.0615 (stop at 2.0665) Our profit targets will be 2.0465 and 2.0435 Resistance: 2.0585 / 2.0620 / 2.0650 Support: 2.0487 / 2.0450 / 2.0400 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
1
GBPAUD | Possible Re-entry on 15Min When analyzing price movements on a 4-hour chart, it's important to note that the price is currently coming from a fresh demand zone. This return to the demand zone indicates a potential bullish intent, suggesting that buyers may be stepping in at this level. Now, if we scale down to the 15-minute chart, we can observe a subtle shift in the price action. There is a trendline liquidity that is positioned just above our identified point of interest (POI), which is complemented by a fair value gap (FVG). This trendline presents an additional confluence that supports the possibility of continued upward movement. As market participants, we should proceed with caution and closely monitor how price reacts when it approaches this zone once more. It is also beneficial to take the time to observe these patterns and phenomena in your own analysis to deepen your understanding. Happy trading!
Long
by BFUFX_MARKETS
1
Example of a Pass – GBP/AUDHere’s a pullback on GBP/AUD that checked almost every box: Volume: Strong Momentum: Hooked and aligned Signal: Clean engulfing candle But one thing was missing — Structure. The so-called support/resistance zone had only a single touch. In other words, it wasn’t really a zone at all. ⚔️ War Room Lesson: No S/R zone = no trade. Even when Volume, Momentum, and Signal look great, if the foundation isn’t there, the setup doesn’t qualify. Structure comes first — always.
by darlwright
2
GBPAUD: Time to Sell?! 🇬🇧🇦🇺 GBPAUD nicely respected a supply zone based on a falling trend line and a horizontal resistance. A formation of a bearish imbalance candle on a 4H time frame after an extended consolidation leaves a strong bearish clue. I expect a retracement at least to 2.056 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
GBP/AUD : Lets Make Crazy Money From This Sideway Movement!This is GBP/AUD chart on the daily timeframe. if u take a close look you will see that the price is moving perfectly in a sideway between absolutely 2 strong resistance and support no break for months so far. Trading the sideway if very fun for me because i know the price boundaries and the stronger these boundaries are the less risk you take in trading the sideway movement. in the GBP/AUD case i will enter a buy trade @ 2.04600 u can wait and enter directly or you can sell a limit order just like me to make sure that u enter the trade even if you are sleeping. regarding the target usually the space between the support and the resistance is your target but for me taking between 300 to 400 pips will be enough i can't wait longer that this :)
Long
by Forex_Wealth_Factory
GBPAUD oversold bounce backs capped at 2.0700The GBPAUD pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend. Key resistance is located at 2.0700, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move. A bearish rejection from 2.0700 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 2.0490, followed by 2.0430 and 2.0390 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 2.0700 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 2.0750, then 2.0800. Conclusion: The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 2.0700. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPAUD Buy Opportunity! Trend Context: Price had a sharp bearish move after forming a swing high (left side with blue zigzag). The downtrend has been consistent with lower highs and lower lows. Demand Zone The yellow zone marks a demand/support area where buyers stepped in before. Price tested this area multiple times and wicked down into the red rectangle, showing rejection. Entry Setup You entered around 2.0534 after price reacted strongly from the demand zone. Stop loss (SL): 2.0492 (below the demand rejection area). Take profit (TP): 2.0648 (at previous supply/structure level). Risk-to-Reward (RR) Approximate RR ≈ 3.5:1 → strong risk-to-reward setup. This means if the trade wins, the reward is about 3.5x the risk. Bullish Signs Demand zone held firmly. Small consolidation inside red box → accumulation before breakout. Buyers are showing strength with rejection wicks. Bearish Risks Overall market structure is still bearish (downtrend). If buyers fail to push above 2.0550–2.0560, sellers may re-enter. A break below 2.0490 would invalidate the bullish setup. This is a counter-trend long trade from demand. If bullish momentum sustains above 2.0560, TP is realistic. But since the higher trend is bearish, manage risk strictly. 👉 Safer play: trail SL once price moves above 2.0570–2.0580.
Long
by ashif030
Bullish reversal off major support?GBP/AUD is falling towards the pivot which is a multi swing low support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 2.0460 1st Support: 2.0304 1st Resistance: 2.0658 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets