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British Pound / Swiss Franc

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GBPCHF trade ideas

#017: GBP/CHF Short Investment Opportunity In recent days, GBP/CHF has exhibited typical distribution market behavior: a gradual rise, supported by bullish retail, toward a key technical resistance zone. Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, an independent trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time. Multi-timeframe analysis reveals an interesting picture for a targeted short trade, with technical, sentiment, and intermarket factors all pointing in the same direction. Technical Context On the 8-hour chart, the price is moving in the upper part of a mature bullish channel. The current area coincides with an institutional supply zone that has been tested several times in the past, with marked bearish reactions. At this point, bullish momentum loses strength, while short moving averages appear overextended relative to their period average, a condition that often precedes a return to the mean. Retail Sentiment and Contrarian Approach Data aggregated from multiple sources (MyFxBook, FXSSI, FXBlue) show a clear prevalence of long positions among retail traders. Following the contrarian logic typical of banks and hedge funds, a market with a strong retail bias becomes more vulnerable to movements in the opposite direction, especially if it is in a sensitive technical zone. Relative Strength and Intermarket Currency strength indices point to a moderately strong British pound and a Swiss franc poised to strengthen in risk-off environments. If the GBP weakens against other pairs (such as GBP/USD) or the CHF strengthens against correlated crosses (such as USD/CHF), selling in GBP/CHF may accelerate rapidly. Stop-Loss Hunting Zone The price is near the top of an area where numerous stop-loss orders from early sellers are concentrated. It's common for institutional traders to push the price slightly beyond these levels to generate the liquidity needed to trigger the real move. This behavior is often followed by a sharp reversal in the opposite direction, fueled by the forced closing of the weakest longs.
Short
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
GBPCHF oversold bounce backs capped at 1.0875The GBPCHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend. Key resistance is located at 1.0875, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move. A bearish rejection from 1.0875 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 1.0715, followed by 1.0670 and 1.0625 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 1.0875 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 1.0900, then 1.0940. Conclusion: The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 1.0875. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPCHF, end of a counter trend?In the higher timeframes (monthly), we GC is bearish. Going down to the weekly, GC has been bearish despite prices being in a retracement phase of the trend. In the daily time frame prices project a clear uptrend, but following up the higher timeframes we understand it is a retracement. Still in the daily we were able to trace a significant psychological level where based on how price is reacting we believe to be the end of the retracement and the continuation of the trend but as the saying goes, we should be reactive and not predictive when it comes to the financial markets. We are risking 15 pips in this trade aiming for a potential 1:15+. DISCLAIMER: This is not a financial advice always trade with caution in consideration of risk management.
Short
by relentlessforex
GBP/CHF Bullish Reversal Setup – Eyes on 1.11897 & 1.13607 Targe📈 GBP/CHF Bullish Reversal Setup – Eyes on 1.11897 & 1.13607 Targets 🎯 Pair: GBP/CHF Timeframe: 1D Status: Bullish Reversal Anticipation Date: August 6, 2025 📝 Analysis: GBP/CHF has been consolidating near the key support zone around 1.06830, showing signs of potential bottoming. Price action indicates a possible bullish reversal after an extended downtrend. The setup suggests a favorable risk-to-reward scenario for a long position. 💡 Trade Idea: Entry: 1.07756 (current market price) Target 01: 1.11897 Target 02: 1.13607 Stop Loss: 1.06182 (below strong support) Risk-Reward Ratio: Over 2:1 With clear structure and previous price memory at target zones, this setup is attractive for swing traders looking for medium- to long-term gains. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Major Support: 1.06830 Intermediate Resistance: 1.11897 Extended Target Resistance: 1.13607
Long
by Professional2056
Weekly Review: FOREX FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS +GBP CHF long idea It was nice to see that throughout the week starting Monday 4 August, in the main, the currencies behaved as you would expect in a 'risk on' environment. The underlying positive tone was this week helped by the narrative that a softening US Labour market is likely to speed up FED rate cuts. Meaning the 'soft landing' narrative' is very much in tact. Positive APPLE news helped the S&P and, ultimately, it appears 'tariffs' are not going to be as hard hitting as once feared. Of course, at any moment, softening US data could start to concern the market. Or another tariff spanner could be thrown into the works, but until then, I'll continue to hold a view that 'risk on' trades are viable. Either trading momentum or pullbacks creating 'nice support'. Currently, I see the JPY, CHF and USD as 'short options'. Hard hitting tariffs on SWITZERLAND bringing the CHF back into play. Any talk of BOJ hikes is currently out powered by the general risk on tone (and possibly 'the carry trade'). Arguably, 'USD short' is the most difficult to have confidence in. As, despite suggestions of swifter rate cuts, the narrative of 'tariffs causing inflation' kept the US 10 YEAR YIELD above 'long term technical support' around 4.2. and the 'tariff inflation narrative' will be something to keep an eye on, particularly as US CPI is reported during the upcoming week. At the other end of the spectrum, recent GBP woes were put to one side thanks to a 'hawkish cut', positive RETAIL SALES boosted the EUR plus the AUD and KIWI beniffited from the overall 'risk on mood'. Soft data from CANADA and the CAD'S relative proximity to the US ensures I'm inclined the leave the CAD alone for the time being . On a personal note, it was a week of two trades. One stopped out and one hit profit. Early in the week following a USD pullback (USD strength) I placed a AUD USD long, based on the theory of more USD 'post NFP selling'. But the trade stopped out. I then missed any further opportunities throughout the week. Eventually placing a GBP JPY long on Friday. Based on JPY weakness and the post BOE GBP strength. I realise two trades per week with a 50% win rate is slow progress. It's times like these when (experienced traders) might consider upping the risk percent per trade by 0.5%.
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
#018: GBP/CHF Short Investment OpportunityIn recent days, GBP/CHF has exhibited typical distribution market behavior: a gradual rise, supported by bullish retail, toward a key technical resistance zone. Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, an independent trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time. Multi-timeframe analysis reveals an interesting picture for a targeted short trade, with technical, sentiment, and intermarket factors all pointing in the same direction. Technical Context On the 8-hour chart, the price is moving in the upper part of a mature bullish channel. The current area coincides with an institutional supply zone that has been tested several times in the past, with marked bearish reactions. At this point, bullish momentum loses strength, while short moving averages appear overextended relative to their period average, a condition that often precedes a return to the mean. Retail Sentiment and Contrarian Approach Data aggregated from multiple sources (MyFxBook, FXSSI, FXBlue) show a clear prevalence of long positions among retail traders. Following the contrarian logic typical of banks and hedge funds, a market with a strong retail bias becomes more vulnerable to movements in the opposite direction, especially if it is in a sensitive technical zone. Relative Strength and Intermarket Currency strength indices point to a moderately strong British pound and a Swiss franc poised to strengthen in risk-off environments. If the GBP weakens against other pairs (such as GBP/USD) or the CHF strengthens against correlated crosses (such as USD/CHF), selling in GBP/CHF may accelerate rapidly. Stop-Loss Hunting Zone The price is near the top of an area where numerous stop-loss orders from early sellers are concentrated. It's common for institutional traders to push the price slightly beyond these levels to generate the liquidity needed to trigger the real move. This behavior is often followed by a sharp reversal in the opposite direction, fueled by the forced closing of the weakest longs.
Short
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
GBP/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT Hello, Friends! We are going short on the GBP/CHF with the target of 1.076 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
GBPCHF Will Collapse! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on GBPCHF and concluded the following: The market is trading on 1.0756 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.0731 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
GBPCHF – Fade into Strength Near ResistanceTrade Idea Type: Sell Limit Entry: 1.0798 Target: 1.0697 Stop Loss: 1.0833 Duration: Intraday Expires: 06/08/2025 06:00 Technical Overview Bearish momentum remains intact, with no signs of reversal yet. The pair has stalled near the previous swing low at 1.0673, suggesting the downside move may soon resume. A corrective bounce is expected, offering an opportunity to sell into strength. Bespoke resistance sits at 1.0798, aligning with the entry level for this setup. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 1.0905 / 1.1030 / 1.1120 Support: 1.0740 / 1.0610 / 1.0535 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by Signal_Centre1
GBPCHF RETAINS BEARISH MOMENTUMInstitutional (COT) data shows a net reduction in GBP exposure, suggesting big money is pulling out of the pound. Retail sentiment also leans heavily against the trend, with traders buying the dip — another contrarian bearish signal. Seasonality does not favor the pair in August either, with historic trends leaning against GBP performance this time of year. On the macro side, UK economic data continues to weaken. Both manufacturing and services PMI are deteriorating, indicating contraction across sectors. Retail sales and GDP growth are negative, while inflationary pressure is easing — all of which reduces the urgency for further BOE tightening. Employment metrics are also weak, with poor job creation and falling labor market momentum. Meanwhile, Switzerland is showing relative macro strength. The SNB is benefiting from stable inflation and its traditional safe-haven appeal, which is further boosted by rising global risk-off sentiment. Interest rate expectations are neutral for CHF but increasingly dovish for the UK, creating clear policy divergence in CHF’s favor.
Short
by AACA-