GBPCHF meets strong support: A reversal here is high probabilityLooking at GBPCHF and how it fits within my approach to structure-based trading, this one is really speaking my language.
Price has come down into a key higher-timeframe support zone: a zone that’s proven itself multiple times in the past. Now, price has shown some initial rejection there, making my long position towards 1.1000 a clear, rational target.
What makes this setup different could be the patience behind it. As we let the market complete its downward leg, waited for price to revisit a reliable zone, and now anticipating a bounce back. It’s a move that I’ve captured across my previous charts again and again.
Let me know in the comments what you think
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GBPCHF trade ideas
GBPCHF I Weekly CLS I Model 2 I Target full CLS rangeYo Market Warriors ⚔️
Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know:
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🧠 What’s CLS?
It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players.
📍Model 1:
HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle.
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
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GBPCHF: Very Bullish OutlookI see 2 strong bullish confirmations on 📈GBPCHF on a 4H time frame.
The price has broken above a key descending trend line and the neckline of an inverted head and shoulders pattern.
This suggests a high likelihood of further upward movement, with the next resistance level at 1.0825.
GBPCHF: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GBPCHF
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GBPCHF
Entry Point - 1.0754
Stop Loss - 1.0768
Take Profit - 1.0732
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBPCHF RETAINS BEARISH MOMENTUMInstitutional (COT) data shows a net reduction in GBP exposure, suggesting big money is pulling out of the pound. Retail sentiment also leans heavily against the trend, with traders buying the dip — another contrarian bearish signal. Seasonality does not favor the pair in August either, with historic trends leaning against GBP performance this time of year.
On the macro side, UK economic data continues to weaken. Both manufacturing and services PMI are deteriorating, indicating contraction across sectors.
Retail sales and GDP growth are negative, while inflationary pressure is easing — all of which reduces the urgency for further BOE tightening. Employment metrics are also weak, with poor job creation and falling labor market momentum.
Meanwhile, Switzerland is showing relative macro strength. The SNB is benefiting from stable inflation and its traditional safe-haven appeal, which is further boosted by rising global risk-off sentiment. Interest rate expectations are neutral for CHF but increasingly dovish for the UK, creating clear policy divergence in CHF’s favor.
GBPCHF: Another Bearish Signal?! 🇬🇧🇨🇭
Quick update for GBPCHF.
We discussed a strong bearish confirmation yesterday.
Today, we have one more.
The price formed a double top after a test of a strong intraday
falling trend line.
Its neckline was broken this morning.
I expect a retracement to 1.0735
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GBP/CHF BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CHF pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly falling on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 1.073 because the pair is oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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Technical Analysis: GBP/CHF (British Pound / Swiss Franc)Timeframe: Hourly (H1) – *Data as of Aug 01, 2025, 14:33 UTC+4*
Source: OANDA via TradingView
1. Key Price Levels
Current Price (C): 1.07357 (+0.09% from previous close).
High/Low (H/L): 1.07386 / 1.07308 (narrow range, indicating consolidation).
Resistance Levels:
R1: 1.07514 (near-term resistance).
R2: 1.08208 (stronger resistance).
Pivot Point (P): 1.07723 (intraday benchmark).
2. Price Action & Trends
Short-Term Trend: Slightly bullish (+0.09% gain), but trading near the day’s low (1.07308).
Volatility: Low (tight range between 1.07308–1.07386).
Support Zone: 1.07200–1.07335 (critical for bearish reversals).
3. Technical Indicators (Implied)
Pivot Points (PVC): Price is below the pivot (1.07723), suggesting bearish pressure unless it breaks above.
Resistance/Support:
Bulls need to push above R1 (1.07514) to target R2 (1.08208).
Bears aim for S1 (1.07335) or lower (1.07200).
4. Trading Signals
Bullish Scenario: Break above 1.07514 (R1) could signal upward momentum toward 1.07723 (Pivot).
Bearish Scenario: Drop below 1.07308 (today’s low) may extend losses to 1.07200.
Neutral Zone: Price oscillating between 1.07308–1.07386 suggests indecision.
5. Risk Management
Stop-Loss (S/L): Below 1.07200 for longs; above 1.07514 for shorts.
Take-Profit (T/P):
Longs: 1.07723 (Pivot) or 1.08000 (psychological level).
Shorts: 1.07200 or 1.07000.
6. Conclusion
Current Bias: Neutral-to-slightly bullish, but lacks strong momentum.
Watch For: Breakout from the 1.07308–1.07514 range for directional clarity.
Caution: Low volatility may lead to false breakouts; confirm with volume/RSI if available.
Recommendation: Wait for a confirmed breakout with volume before entering trades.
GBPCHF Wave Analysis – 4 August 2025
- GBPCHF reversed from key support level 1.0665
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 1.0800
GBPCHF currency pair recently reversed from the support zone between the pivotal support level 1.0665 (former strong support from April) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone will likely form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bullish Engulfing, if the pair closes today near the current levels.
Given the strength of the support level 1.0665 and the bullish divergence on the daily Stochastic, GBPCHF can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.0800 (which stopped earlier corrections (ii) and ii).
GBPCHF: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GBPCHF
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GBPCHF
Entry Point - 1.0741
Stop Loss - 1.0754
Take Profit - 1.0714
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBPCHF – Fade into Strength Near ResistanceTrade Idea
Type: Sell Limit
Entry: 1.0798
Target: 1.0697
Stop Loss: 1.0833
Duration: Intraday
Expires: 06/08/2025 06:00
Technical Overview
Bearish momentum remains intact, with no signs of reversal yet.
The pair has stalled near the previous swing low at 1.0673, suggesting the downside move may soon resume.
A corrective bounce is expected, offering an opportunity to sell into strength.
Bespoke resistance sits at 1.0798, aligning with the entry level for this setup.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance: 1.0905 / 1.1030 / 1.1120
Support: 1.0740 / 1.0610 / 1.0535
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GBPCHF SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.07500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 2.98
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
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GBPCHF: Bearish Movement Confirmed 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF looks bearish after the news today.
The price tested a solid rising trend line on a daily
and formed a confirmed bearish Change of Character
on an hourly time frame.
I think that the price will continue falling and reach 1.0702 level.
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GBPCHFGBPCHF price is near the main support zone 1.07101-1.06714. If the price cannot break through the 1.06714 level, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
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GBPCHF Will Keep Falling!
HI,Traders !
#GBPCHF keeps falling down
And the pair made a strong
Bearish breakout of the key
Horizontal key level of 1.07025
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a further
Bearish move down on Monday !
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