EUR/GBP BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on EUR/GBP, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 0.846.
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GBPEUR trade ideas
The Day AheadKey Market Drivers:
1. Australia Jobs Data (May)
• Jobs unexpectedly fell → AUD weakened
• AUDUSD dipped toward support; bearish bias unless RBA signals hawkish stance
• Best plays: Short AUD vs NZD, USD
2. Swiss & Norwegian Rate Cuts
• SNB cut to 0.0%, Norges Bank cut to 4.25%
• Both were dovish surprises → CHF and NOK sold off
• Best plays: Long USDCHF, EURCHF, and EURNOK
3. Bank of England (BoE)
• Held rates at 4.25%, but 2 members voted to cut
• Slightly dovish tilt → GBP under mild pressure
4. ECB Speakers
• Lagarde gave no policy signals
• Watch Villeroy/Nagel for hawkish comments → may support EUR
5. Juneteenth Holiday in US
• US markets closed → low liquidity, possible volatility in FX during London/Asia sessions
Trade Focus Summary:
• Sell CHF & NOK on dovish central bank moves
• Fade AUD rallies after weak jobs data
• Watch GBP for downside on BoE dovish lean
• EUR in play if ECB officials remain hawkish
• Expect thin trading due to US holiday
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURGBP- Bullish Call story : Market is making series of HH and HL. However the market has formed minor divergence which made the market to take corrective move uptil 0.382 level of FIb. further market is overall in bull trend with the formation of Bullish continuation pattern.
anticipate: Bulls will take control of market and we anticipate that it will rise further after breaking HH or the neckline of bullish flag pattern.
Plan: we have taken entry on HL / instant entry and kept our SL below previous HL and we plan our TPs till the projection of Flag pattern with R:R of 1:1 and 1:2
Bulls Weight : 02
Flag Pattern
HH and HLs.
Beas Weight : 01
Divergence
EURGBP INTRADAY trend reversal breakout?Trend Overview:
EURGBP remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 0.8490 (primary pivot), followed by 0.8470 and 0.8450
Resistance: 0.8550 (initial), then 0.8570 and 0.8590
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 0.8490 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 0.8550, 0.8570, and ultimately 0.8590.
Conversely, a daily close below 0.8490 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 0.8470 and 0.8450 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
WTI Crude Oil maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 0.8490 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 08550 area. A breakdown below 0.8490, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURGBP making bullish flag patternas price has broken drawn resistance level and after that it moved upwards nicely and now the price action is making bullish flag pattern as currently there is no divergence which indicate the trend will likely continue and will hit next resistance level which is also price projection of flag pattern
EURGBP INTRADAY corrective pullback The EUR/GBP currency pair is showing a bullish bias, supported by a sustained rising trend and a recent bullish breakout above a prior consolidation zone. Price action has breached the upper boundary of the consolidation range, indicating renewed upside momentum.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
0.8450 – Former resistance, now acting as immediate support.
0.8425 – Secondary support in case of a deeper pullback.
0.8400 – Major support and psychological round number.
Resistance:
0.8540 – Initial upside target.
0.8560 – Intermediate resistance.
0.8575 – Long-term resistance level.
A corrective pullback toward the 0.8450 support followed by a bullish rebound could reinforce the current trend and open the path toward 0.8540 and higher. However, a daily close below 0.8450 would invalidate the bullish scenario and signal further downside toward 0.8425 and potentially 0.8400.
Conclusion:
The near-term outlook for EUR/GBP remains bullish as long as the pair holds above 0.8450. A successful retest of this level would confirm breakout strength and support continuation toward 0.8540–0.8575. Conversely, a break below 0.8450 would shift the bias to neutral to bearish, suggesting further downside correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
The Day Ahead United States – University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (June)
High impact on USD, bonds, and equities
Traders watch this for consumer confidence and inflation expectations.
Higher inflation expectations could support USD and push yields up.
Japan – April Capacity Utilisation & Tertiary Industry Index
Moderate impact on JPY and Japanese stocks
Weak data may suggest ongoing BoJ stimulus, which could weaken the yen.
Germany – May Wholesale Price Index (WPI)
Moderate impact on EUR
A key inflation signal — lower prices could reinforce expectations for ECB rate cuts.
Italy – April Trade Balance
Low to moderate impact on EUR
Surplus or deficit gives clues about external demand but usually doesn’t move markets much alone.
Eurozone – April Trade Balance & Industrial Production
High impact on EUR
IP shows economic strength or weakness. Soft numbers could pressure the euro further.
Canada – April Manufacturing Sales & Q1 Capacity Utilisation
Moderate to high impact on CAD
Strong data supports the Canadian dollar and may delay Bank of Canada rate cuts.
Key Market Watch Points:
USD: Watch for inflation expectations in the Michigan data.
EUR: Sensitive to signs of slowing growth or inflation.
JPY: Likely weak if Japan data disappoints.
CAD: Positive surprises could support CAD strength.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained
Eurgbp Buy price is currently bullish on 4hr timeframe. its trading around the 4hr demand zone and there are also lower timeframe demands zones within the 4hr demand zone add stregnth to it. there are multiple pois above current pirce action which may fuel the buy bias. im wating for price to break a 5min supply zone thats near a 4hr poi in order to enter the trade.
EURGBP - Future Projections & Bearish Trend Hello Guyz, Based on my research, I am projecting price to rise high, making new HH, after that, there would be bearish divergence followed by any reversal pattern like a rising wedge, H&S or a double top (most likely).
After that, it will break the HL and we can instant Buy (sell stop pending order) with a projected TP and Stoploss placed slightly above the HH.
Projected TP would be R:R 1:1
EURGBP: Overbought Market & Pullback🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP nicely respected a key daily horizontal resistance.
After a liquidity grab above that, the price formed
a strong bearish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame.
I think that the pair will retrace to 0.85
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURGBP INTRADAY trend reversal breakout The EUR/GBP currency pair is showing a bullish bias, supported by a sustained rising trend and a recent bullish breakout above a prior consolidation zone. Price action has breached the upper boundary of the consolidation range, indicating renewed upside momentum.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
0.8450 – Former resistance, now acting as immediate support.
0.8425 – Secondary support in case of a deeper pullback.
0.8400 – Major support and psychological round number.
Resistance:
0.8540 – Initial upside target.
0.8560 – Intermediate resistance.
0.8575 – Long-term resistance level.
A corrective pullback toward the 0.8450 support followed by a bullish rebound could reinforce the current trend and open the path toward 0.8540 and higher. However, a daily close below 0.8450 would invalidate the bullish scenario and signal further downside toward 0.8425 and potentially 0.8400.
Conclusion:
The near-term outlook for EUR/GBP remains bullish as long as the pair holds above 0.8450. A successful retest of this level would confirm breakout strength and support continuation toward 0.8540–0.8575. Conversely, a break below 0.8450 would shift the bias to neutral to bearish, suggesting further downside correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURGBPHigher Highs (HH) & Higher Lows (HL): The pattern of higher highs and higher lows is an indication of an uptrend, showing that the buying momentum is strong.
Entry: Place a buy stop order just above the recent higher high (HH). This allows you to enter the trade if the price continues moving upward, confirming the bullish momentum.
Inverse H&S Breakout! EURGBP Eyes Resistance Zone Amid Eurozone EURGBP ( OANDA:EURGBP ) is moving between two Support zone(0.83870 GBP-0.83500 GBP) and Resistance zone(0.8511 GBP-0.8470 GBP) .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , EURGBP has managed to break the Neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern .
I expect EURGBP to rise to at least 0.84911 GBP and attack the Resistance zone(0.8511 GBP- 0.8470 GBP) .
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EURGBP Fundamental Analysis:
1. Eurozone (EUR) Overview :
The Eurozone economy has shown moderate recovery signs after pandemic disruptions.
Inflation remains a concern, but the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain or even tighten monetary policy gradually to combat inflation.
Economic data such as GDP growth and industrial production are mixed but generally indicate slow growth.
Political stability in the Eurozone is relatively steady compared to the UK.
The ECB’s forward guidance leans towards cautious optimism, supporting EUR strength over time.
2. United Kingdom (GBP) Overview :
The UK economy faces several challenges, including slower growth prospects compared to the Eurozone.
Inflation has been high but the Bank of England (BoE) has been raising interest rates aggressively to control it.
Political uncertainties related to Brexit aftermath, trade deals, and fiscal policies have created some volatility.
Consumer confidence and retail sales have shown signs of weakness in recent months.
Overall, the BoE’s hawkish stance is strong, but economic fundamentals are less robust compared to the Eurozone.
3. Comparative Factors Favoring EUR Long :
The Eurozone's relatively better economic stability and growth prospects support EUR strength.
UK economic challenges and political uncertainties weaken GBP.
ECB’s more gradual tightening approach may prevent shocks, making EUR attractive.
Brexit-related trade issues continue to pose risks for GBP.
4. Risks to Consider :
Unexpected ECB dovish moves could weaken EUR.
Positive UK economic surprises or faster-than-expected BoE tightening might strengthen GBP.
External shocks like geopolitical tensions can affect risk sentiment, impacting both currencies.
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Note: Stop Loss(SL)= 0.84221 GBP
Euro/British Pound Analyze (EURGBP), 4-hour time frame.
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Bullish rise?EUR/GBP has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8451
1st Support: 0.8402
1st Resistance: 0.8539
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