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GBPJPY trade ideas

GBP/JPY -H1- Channel Breakout (14.07.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 196.70 2nd Support – 195.53 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
43
Waiting for the bigger move with GBPJPYHi Traders! Right now, GJ is failing to swing higher at a major resistance at 199.200. Looking at the 4HR, yesterday July 16th, price wicked down to 198.000 retesting a previous 4HR CHOCH, then pulling back up to continue consolidation in between 198.000 and 199.200. However, on the 4HR price didn't close below 198.000 with continuation, which would make me believe that if the new 4HR CHOCH is valid, eventually price will break through 199.200. This will require patience if I want a bigger move. A more conservative approach to this trade, for me, would be entering on the break with a retest/bounces off 199.200. SL below a new HL, TP1: 201.000, Overall TP: 202.000. In addition, the only way I would sell is if price broke down past 198.500/198.200, and kept rejecting. Then, I could see a downside. But, imo price action just it's giving that confirmation right now. *DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
Long
by thattradergirl
11
GBPJPY: floating at the top – is a drop being loaded?GBPJPY is hovering around 198.91 after an impressive rally, but now it's trapped between two key zones: 199.85 – a resistance level that keeps rejecting price, and 198.20 – a fragile support below. The price action reveals a tense sideways pattern, like a spring coiling up before release. What’s concerning is that buyers have attempted to break above the high multiple times and failed – and each failure comes with weaker rebounds. With the Bank of England shifting toward a “pause” stance and the yen gaining mild support from rising risk-off sentiment, the market is starting to lean toward a correction. If price breaks below 198.20, it could mark the beginning of a deeper slide back toward the lower boundary of the channel. Don’t be fooled by the silence – sometimes, calm is the precursor to a sharp fall.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
9
GBP/JPY) Bearish Analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of GBP/JPY on the 3-hour timeframe, suggesting a potential short-term pullback within a larger ascending channel. --- Analysis Summary Pair: GBP/JPY Timeframe: 3H Current Price: 198.883 Bias: Bearish move toward channel support --- Key Technical Insights 1. Ascending Channel Formation: Price is moving within an upward-sloping channel. Current structure suggests price is heading toward the lower trendline support. 2. Support Level & Target Zone: The yellow zone around 196.355 is a major support area and target point, coinciding with both structural support and the bottom of the channel. 3. EMA (200 Close): Price is still above the 200 EMA (197.067), so overall trend remains bullish — but current move is a correction. 4. RSI (14): RSI is neutral near 51.14, allowing room for further downward movement before becoming oversold. --- Target Point Target: 196.355 (support zone and bottom of channel) --- Trade Idea Direction Entry Stop-Loss Target Sell 198.80–199.00 Above 199.70 196.35 SMC trading point --- Summary GBP/JPY is likely to retrace toward support at 196.35 before possibly bouncing within the larger bullish structure. This offers a short-term selling opportunity, with potential buy setups near the lower trendline later. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
6
GBPJPY - Trading The Range!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPJPY has been hovering within a big range. This week, GBPJPY is retesting the upper bound of the range and $200 round number. As long as the resistance holds, we will be looking for shorts on lower timeframes, targeting the lower bound of the range. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
3
GBPJPY BULLISH OR BEARIS DETAILED ANALYSISGBPJPY has successfully broken out of a long-term falling wedge on the weekly chart, and the bullish momentum is unfolding as expected. Price has rallied from 190.00 to the current 197.00 level, delivering solid profits from the breakout zone. This continuation setup is extremely strong, with the market respecting the wedge breakout structure and forming higher highs. As long as we hold above the 190.00 support, the bullish bias remains fully intact, with 205.00 as the next key upside target. Fundamentally, the British pound remains well-supported due to the Bank of England’s hawkish stance. Despite softer inflation data, the BoE has signaled a cautious approach to rate cuts compared to other central banks, maintaining underlying GBP strength. On the other side, the Japanese yen continues to weaken as the Bank of Japan sticks with its ultra-loose monetary policy. Yen weakness is further fueled by rising US and UK bond yields, widening the yield differential and attracting carry trades into GBPJPY. Technically, the breakout is unfolding with textbook precision. Price has cleared descending resistance, retested it, and is now building a new leg higher. The volume profile is supporting this bullish breakout, and market structure is confirming further upside. The 200.00 psychological level may act as a minor resistance, but once cleared, 205.00 is well within range and aligns with major Fibonacci extensions. GBPJPY is also benefiting from increased volatility in risk-on sentiment, as equity markets remain firm and bond yields rise globally. Traders are favoring high-yielding currencies like GBP while shorting low-yielders like JPY. With the fundamentals and technicals now strongly aligned, this trade is well-positioned to deliver continued profits toward 205.00 and beyond.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
GBPJPY Surges as Trade Tensions Weaken YenGBPJPY Surges as Trade Tensions Weaken Yen GBPJPY remains firmly in a bullish trend, having broken through two key resistance levels. The first breakout occurred at 196.80, followed by a decisive move above 198.75 on Monday, signaling accelerating bullish momentum. On July 7, the White House issued a strong letter to Japan’s Prime Minister, expressing concerns over the trade deficit and announcing a 25% tariff on Japanese goods, effective August 1, 2025. This development has added pressure on the yen, and the weakness could persist in the near term. However, the situation is still unfolding. Trump is expected to send additional letters today, which could inject further volatility into the markets. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Long
by KlejdiCuni
9
GBPJPY - Multi Year SHORTS Coming! (Over 10,000pips)Here we have the 2 month chart of GBPJPY. We can see that we're in a massive ending diagonal made up of 5 waves. We are currently on wave 4 and have almost completed. At the moment we are working within the parameters of a channel however we must be aware that we may exceed the channel. The channel is just there for us to use as a guideline. In 2007, we have a really nice ending diagonal (expanding) before we made that ridiculous +13k pip drop. See below for the 2D GBPJPY chart from 2007: We can see that the lower timeframe diagonal broke down beautifully. We are anticipating something similar this time round! See below for the 2D GBPJPY chart of the current diagonal: We've got an almost identical price action as 2007. We just got to wait a little and watch for the break of the red trendline and enter and hold. See below for the 2week chart of GBPJPY: Trade Idea: - Watch for a break of the ending diagonal - Alternatively, you can wait for a pullback after the ending diagonal breaks - stop loss above highs once entry trendline breaks - Swing Target: 100 (10,000pips) What do you guys think? Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
9
GBPJPY - Multi-Year Short Update! In our last setup for GBPJPY, we identified a massive diagonal pattern, with price completing wave 4 and preparing for a multi-year drop into wave 5. Since then, price has played out exactly as forecasted — we've seen a clean impulse lower for wave 1, followed by an ABC correction for wave 2, which looks to have now completed. This sets the stage for the next major leg — wave 3 of 5 — which historically carries the most power and momentum. 📉 See monthly chart here: 📊 GBP/JPY Wave‑3 Trade Idea Background: We’ve completed wave 1 down and wave 2 up (ABC correction). GBPJPY is now positioned to start a powerful wave 3 down — the most impulsive leg in an Elliott sequence. 🔍 Current Price Action: Price is rejecting major resistance (previous wave A high + shaded zone) Structure shows a completed 5-wave move up within C, suggesting exhaustion. A clean ascending trendline (red) has formed under wave v — a break here signals the first confirmation. Option 1 – Aggressive Entry: - Trigger: Break and close below the red trendline (~198.00–197.80 zone) on the daily. - Entry: On candle close below trendline - Stop Loss: Above recent high ~199.80 and then breakeven once we move lower Option 2 – Conservative Entry (preferred): - Trigger: Trendline break + correction - Entry: On bearish confirmation and then a correction to indicate further downside - Stop Loss: Above recent high ~199.80 and then breakeven once we move lower Take Profit Levels: - TP1: 192 - TP2: 180 - TP3: 175 - Final Target: Trail for extended move toward wave (3) lows (could be 10,000+ pips over long term) 🔐 Invalidation: Daily close back above 200.00 or impulsive rally beyond the pink resistance zone invalidates the short bias in the short term. ✅ Summary: This is a high-conviction, structure-backed setup with: - Wave count + Fib confluence - Bearish structure at key resistance - Confirmation-based trigger (trendline break + retest) - Excellent long-term risk-to-reward profile 📂 Previous GBPJPY Setups (Track Record): 📌 Free Setup (Big Picture Outlook) – Multi-Year Shorts Incoming (Wave 4 Completion) ✅ Swing 1 – 1,200 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Long) ✅ Swing 2 – 1,000 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short) ✅ Swing 3 – 1,100 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short) ✅ Swing 4 – 700 Pips (VIP GBPJPY Short)
by WicktatorFX