GBPJPY: Weekly OverviewHello Traders,
Everything is clear in the chart. the yellow line is a HTF resistance.
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
GBPJPY trade ideas
GBPJPY - Major Resistance Zone Threatens Further UpsideThe GBP/JPY 4-hour chart reveals the pair is approaching a critical resistance zone around the 196.00-196.50 level, marked by the upper boundary of the highlighted rectangular area, which represents a significant technical ceiling that has been tested multiple times over the past month. This resistance level coincides with previous swing highs and appears to be acting as a formidable barrier to further upside progress, suggesting that traders should exercise heightened caution as selling pressure is likely to intensify in this area. The pair's recent rally from the May lows around 190.50 has been impressive, but the multiple rejections from this upper resistance zone indicate that institutional sellers may be positioned to defend these levels aggressively. Given the historical significance of this resistance area and the potential for profit-taking after the substantial advance, market participants should be prepared for increased volatility and possible reversal signals as the pair approaches or tests this key technical barrier, making risk management particularly crucial at current levels.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPJPYGBP/JPY Current 10-Year Bond Yield and Interest Rate Differential (June 2025)
1. Japan 10-Year Government Bond Yield
As of early June 2025, the Japan 10-year government bond yield is approximately 1.50% to 1.52%.
The yield rose by about 18 basis points in May 2025, closing near 1.50%, influenced by global yield increases, Moody’s US credit downgrade, and reduced BoJ purchases of super-long bonds.
The Bank of Japan maintains a very accommodative monetary policy with a policy rate around 0.50%, and the yield curve control program continues to cap longer-term yields, though with some recent volatility.
2. UK 10-Year Government Bond Yield (Gilt)
While the exact current UK 10-year gilt yield is not explicitly in the search results, typical recent yields for UK 10-year bonds have been around 3.5% to 4.0% in mid-2025, reflecting tighter monetary policy by the Bank of England amid inflation concerns.
The Bank of England’s policy rate is higher than Japan’s, around 4.5% to 5.0%, consistent with the higher gilt yields.
3. Interest Rate Differential
Using approximate yields:
UK 10-year gilt yield: ~3.75% (midpoint estimate)
Japan 10-year JGB yield: ~1.50%
The 10-year bond yield differential (UK minus Japan) is roughly:
3.75%−1.50%=2.25%
This positive differential indicates UK bonds offer significantly higher yields than Japanese bonds, reflecting the divergent monetary policies and economic conditions.
Summary Table
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) Japan (JPY) Differential (GBP - JPY)
10-Year Government Bond Yield ~3.5% - 4.0% ~1.50% ~2.25%
Policy Interest Rate ~4.5% - 5.0% ~0.50% ~4.0%
Implications for GBP/JPY
The higher UK bond yields relative to Japan suggest a carry advantage for GBP over JPY, encouraging investors to hold GBP assets funded by low-yielding JPY.
According to uncovered interest rate parity (UIP), this yield gap implies the GBP should depreciate against JPY by about 2.25% annually to offset the higher returns, but in practice, GBP/JPY movements also depend on risk sentiment, growth outlook, and central bank policies.
The yen’s safe-haven status and BoJ’s yield curve control can dampen yield-driven moves, while the UK’s inflation and policy tightening support higher yields and GBP strength.
#GBPJPY
GBPJPY TRADING ROADMAP 09 - 13 JUNI 2025📈 GBPJPY TRADING ROADMAP
Trading Plan & Market Outlook
The GBPJPY pair is currently in a bullish trend and is now testing the Supply Zone between 195.796 – 197.538.
If price manages to break out and hold above this zone, there's potential for further upside towards the next Supply Zone at 198.798.
🔹 Key Zones:
Demand Zone (Support): 192.345 – 190.817
→ Acts as trend support and risk management threshold
Current Supply Zone (Resistance): 195.796 – 197.538
→ Being tested now
Next Supply Target (if breakout occurs): 198.798
🔹 Trading Outlook:
As long as price stays above 190.817, the bullish structure remains intact
A confirmed breakout above 197.538 could signal continuation to 198.798
Watch for price action confirmation before entering any trades near resistance zones
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ON
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
Always perform your own analysis and apply proper risk management strategies.
GBPJPY1. Japan 10-Year Government Bond Yield
As of early June 2025, the Japan 10-year government bond yield is approximately 1.50% to 1.52%.
The yield rose by about 18 basis points in May 2025, closing near 1.50%, influenced by global yield increases, Moody’s US credit downgrade, and reduced BoJ purchases of super-long bonds.
The Bank of Japan maintains a very accommodative monetary policy with a policy rate around 0.50%, and the yield curve control program continues to cap longer-term yields, though with some recent volatility.
The Bank of England’s policy rate is higher than Japan’s, around 4.5% to 5.0%, consistent with the higher gilt yields.
2. Interest Rate Differential
Using approximate yields:
UK 10-year gilt yield: ~3.75% (midpoint estimate)
Japan 10-year JGB yield: ~1.50%
The 10-year bond yield differential (UK minus Japan) is roughly:
3.75%−1.50%=2.25%
This positive differential indicates UK bonds offer significantly higher yields than Japanese bonds, reflecting the divergent monetary policies and economic conditions.
Summary Table
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) Japan (JPY) Differential (GBP - JPY)
10-Year Government Bond Yield ~3.5% - 4.0% ~1.50% ~2.25%
Policy Interest Rate ~4.5% - 5.0% ~0.50% ~4.0%
Implications for GBP/JPY
The higher UK bond yields relative to Japan suggest a carry advantage for GBP over JPY, encouraging investors to hold GBP assets funded by low-yielding JPY.
According to uncovered interest rate parity (UIP), this yield gap implies the GBP should depreciate against JPY by about 2.25% annually to offset the higher returns, but in practice, GBP/JPY movements also depend on risk sentiment, growth outlook, and central bank policies.
The yen’s safe-haven status and BoJ’s yield curve control can dampen yield-driven moves, while the UK’s inflation and policy tightening support higher yields and GBP strength
#gbpjpy
GBPJPY: 1050+ Pips Move! Will JPY continue dropping? In our previous analysis, we anticipated a similar move for GBPJPY, but the price dropped a bit further than expected. It’s now in a position to buy long, but please use accurate risk management as JPY pairs are likely to remain more volatile than ever. There are three targets you can keep an eye on: 197, then 200. Remember, trading involves risk, so make your own decisions.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
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#GBPJPY: +916 Pips Swing Buy Opportunity! Comment Down Your ViewThe FX:GBPJPY price has moved nicely from 187 to 191, almost +400 pips. I expect a small correction, but then the bullish move should continue towards the 200 region. You can set a target based on your analysis or set it at 200, whichever works for you. Good luck and trade safely.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
GBP/JPY - 8H Analysis - High Probability SetupGBP/JPY 8H Analysis – High Probability Trade Setup
This chart shows a classic 5-wave bullish Elliott Wave structure, with price currently breaking out of the wave (4) consolidation.
🔍 Bias: Bullish breakout continuation (Wave 5 in progress)
📌 Key Confluences:
Wave (4) respected both demand zone and trendline support.
Price has now cleared the Swing Range resistance, turning structure bullish.
Supported by the Ichimoku cloud base and a rising trendline.
Strong bullish volume picking up — confirms breakout strength.
🎯 Trade Idea:
Buy GBP/JPY at 195.50–195.90
Stop Loss: Below 192.50 (under swing low and cloud)
Take Profit: 200.00 – 202.00 (1:2+ RR to wave (5) target)
⚠️ Risk Note: Wait for a candle close above 196.00 for added confirmation if cautious. Ideal for momentum continuation traders.
This setup offers a textbook Elliott Wave 5 opportunity, backed by structure, volume, and breakout confirmation — a clean bullish trade with strong technical backing.
IS IT TIME TO SELL?
"As you can see, we are in a downward trend between two blue lines. Currently, we are at the top of this trend. It seems to be the right time to sell, as the static pink area intersects with the blue trend line. Therefore, it’s time to short. We can expect to reach the first take profit (TP) when we touch the minor uptrend indicated by the purple line."
GBP-JPY Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-JPY made a retest of
The strong horizontal resistance
Of 196.260 and the pair seems
To be locally overbought
So we will go short with
The Take Profit of 195.525
And the Stop Loss of 196.455
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP_JPY WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅GBP_JPY went up sharply
But a strong resistance level was hit at 196.400
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 195.671
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPJPY preps for the breakoutThe interesting storyline may be developing around Japanese Yen and its cross-pairs (especially against European currencies). GBPJPY, for example, is concentrating inside of a massive trading range, as volatility for this pair has dropped to a one-year low.
Yields of 30-year bonds for Japan has been peaking to a historical high, but now they start to rebound. The net position of large speculators for Japanese Yen futures on COT-reports seem to point to the overleveraged situation, which might result to quick unloading of longs and Yen sliding down quickly, which may result in a shakeout of a volatility and rapid breakouts for GBPJPY and similar pairs.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
GBPJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 195.26
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 194.44
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBP/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GBP/JPY with the target of 192.600 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPJPY Hello traders,
I'd like to share the first trade of the day with you. The setup is a Buy trade on the GBPJPY pair.
Today is the last trading day of the week and we have major economic events on the calendar, including:
🔹 Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)
🔹 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
🔹 Unemployment Rate
So it's wise to remain cautious while executing trades today.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1(me) /1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 195.054
✔️ Take Profit: 195.403
✔️ Stop Loss: 194.985
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
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GJ-Fri-6/06/25 TDA-Money flowing out of safe have assets, YEN!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
For those who don't understand safe haven assets
like YEN-Gold, it's gonna be really difficult to trade
these pairs.
These assets are heavily influenced by global events,
global tensions, trade wars, crisis.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBP JPY Entre point 195.200 Target 194600 stop loss 195.500Let's break it down:
- Entry Point: 195.200
- Target: 194.600 (60-point gain)
- Stop Loss: 195.500 (30-point risk)
You're expecting GBPJPY to decline from 195.200 to 194.600. Risk-reward ratio looks decent!
Potential reward: 60 points
Potential risk: 30 points
Let's see how it plays out! What's driving this bearish trend?