GBPJPY - Bullish BiasHTF Overview (4H): Price broke bullish structure with clean directional intent. Order flow remains aligned to the upside with no immediate signs of weakness.
MTF Refinement (30M): Zoomed into 30M for deeper structure clarity. Observing price actively reaching for sell-side liquidity (SSL) below a key low — a classic inducement setup forming.
Execution Plan: Waiting for a liquidity sweep below the SSL. Once swept, I’ll monitor the nearby 30M OB for mitigation. LTF confirmations (1M/5M CHoCH or BOS) will be needed before committing to a long entry.
Mindset: Patience over prediction — let liquidity do its job, then ride with smart money.
Bless Trading!
GBPJPY trade ideas
GBP/JPY -H1- Channel Breakout (14.07.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 196.70
2nd Support – 195.53
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GBPJPY is still in retracementWe can see from the graph GBPJPY is oscillating between the two S&R levels. For today we expect GJ to touch the demand zone and then go higher. Therefore we can expect GBPJPY in go further down and hit the demand zone because it is still retracing. The possibilities for the GJ are shown.
Why election risk means yen volatility could rise this weekThe Japanese yen remains vulnerable ahead of Japan’s Upper House election on July 20.
Polls suggest the ruling LDP-Komeito coalition may lose its Upper House majority. Such an outcome would further weaken Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s position, with his government already operating as a minority in the Lower House.
Adding to the pressure, the U.S. is set to impose 25% tariffs on Japanese goods from August 1—part of a broader protectionist push.
GBP/JPY) Bearish Analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of GBP/JPY on the 3-hour timeframe, suggesting a potential short-term pullback within a larger ascending channel.
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Analysis Summary
Pair: GBP/JPY
Timeframe: 3H
Current Price: 198.883
Bias: Bearish move toward channel support
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Key Technical Insights
1. Ascending Channel Formation:
Price is moving within an upward-sloping channel.
Current structure suggests price is heading toward the lower trendline support.
2. Support Level & Target Zone:
The yellow zone around 196.355 is a major support area and target point, coinciding with both structural support and the bottom of the channel.
3. EMA (200 Close):
Price is still above the 200 EMA (197.067), so overall trend remains bullish — but current move is a correction.
4. RSI (14):
RSI is neutral near 51.14, allowing room for further downward movement before becoming oversold.
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Target Point
Target: 196.355 (support zone and bottom of channel)
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Trade Idea
Direction Entry Stop-Loss Target
Sell 198.80–199.00 Above 199.70 196.35
SMC trading point
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Summary
GBP/JPY is likely to retrace toward support at 196.35 before possibly bouncing within the larger bullish structure. This offers a short-term selling opportunity, with potential buy setups near the lower trendline later.
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Swing Thieves: Hide SL below 2H swing low of candle wick @ (~197.000).
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GBPJPY: floating at the top – is a drop being loaded?GBPJPY is hovering around 198.91 after an impressive rally, but now it's trapped between two key zones: 199.85 – a resistance level that keeps rejecting price, and 198.20 – a fragile support below. The price action reveals a tense sideways pattern, like a spring coiling up before release.
What’s concerning is that buyers have attempted to break above the high multiple times and failed – and each failure comes with weaker rebounds. With the Bank of England shifting toward a “pause” stance and the yen gaining mild support from rising risk-off sentiment, the market is starting to lean toward a correction.
If price breaks below 198.20, it could mark the beginning of a deeper slide back toward the lower boundary of the channel. Don’t be fooled by the silence – sometimes, calm is the precursor to a sharp fall.
GBP/JPY - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
PIVOT @ 195.650
Psychological Resistance @ 200.000
1) Daily bull trend intact at this time
2) Resistance has the potential to force a correction
3) As long as price remains above PIVOT, bullish potential
remains high.
Keynote:
Monitor price action at your daily trend closely in case of a correction.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
GBPJPY: Bullish Structure Still IntactGJ created a new HH then turned sideways. More consolidation or a deeper pull back could be seen before the next rally.
Last BOS: Break above 199.70 → confirmed bullish strength
H4 Demand Zone (Pullback): 198.30–198.60
Liquidity Above: Clean pools at 200.30 – 200.70
H1 Key Zone: 198.60–198.90 (H1 OB + unfilled FVG) → currently being tested.
Momentum Trigger: BOS above 199.30 to confirm buyers stepping back in.
M15 Micro-Structure: Slightly bearish (short-term), sweeping liquidity under 198.80.
What to Watch: M15 bullish BOS above 199.10–199.30 for intraday buy confirmation.
🟢Entry Zone 198.30 – 198.60
SL 197.90
TP1 199.70
TP2 200.30
TP3 201.00
❌ Bullish Invalidation
H1 close below 197.90 → bullish bias neutralized, expect deeper retrace into 197.20 – 197.50.
GBPJPY SELL IDEA- Weekly chart - Price reached an ATH on the weekly and closed below the major resistance with upward wick rejections - Signal for a downtrend for the new week
- Daily chart - The Last two daily closes (Thurs & Fri) were an inverse bearish pin bar and a weak bullish candle with upward wick rejections
- H4 Chart - Consolidating at the major resistance, but last highs were LHs and LLs
- H1 Chart - Consolidating at the major resistance, but last highs were LHs and LLs
Entry for sells would be break out of the consolidation on H4 and retest on lower Tfs - H1, M30 and M15
GBPJPY: Still BullishPrice has pulled back and is currently reacting to H1 OB at 197.00–197.20
* FVG Support: Between 196.80–197.10
* Watch for: Bullish BOS above 197.50 to confirm buyers stepping back in
* Confirmation Needed: M15 bullish BOS above 197.50–197.60 for buy entry
🟢Entry: 196.80 – 197.10
Stop Loss: 196.4
TP1: 198
TP2: 198.6
TP3: 200
Breakout Option: If price pushes above 198.30 (M15 BOS + retest), you can enter.
❌ Bullish Bias Invalidation
H1 close below 196.40 → signals potential deeper retracement
GBP/JPY – Channel Break and Bearish Rejection
🔹 3H Chart by PULSETRADESFX
After a strong bullish trend within a rising channel, GBP/JPY has now broken structure to the downside. Price rejected the resistance zone around 198.599 – 199.413, followed by a sharp bearish candle close beneath the ascending trendline support.
This signals a shift in market sentiment, with sellers taking control and aiming for the next demand level at 197.481.
📌 Trade Breakdown:
Entry: 198.536
Stop Loss: 199.413 (Above supply)
Target: 197.481 (Major demand zone)
A classic break-retest-drop setup is in play here. Unless price reclaims 199.00+ with volume, this short bias remains valid.
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✅ Key Confluences:
Rising channel break
Supply zone rejection
Bearish momentum confirmation
Risk-to-reward > 1:2 setup
📅 July 11, 2025
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