British Pound / Japanese Yen forum

GBP/JPY Outlook – Very Bearish Bias (-14)
Data has flagged GBP/JPY as one of the most bearish pairs on the board this week. Let’s break down why 👇
🧠 Macro-Fundamental Breakdown
🇬🇧 GBP (British Pound)
🔻 GDP Shrinking: UK growth has stalled with below-trend GDP prints 3 quarters in a row.
📉 PMI Weakness: Manufacturing and Services PMIs both under 50 = economic contraction
🧊 Retail Sales Down: UK consumer confidence and demand are cooling
💼 Labor Trouble: Unemployment ticking higher + BoE hinting at peaking rates
🪙 BoE Dovish Pivot?: Market now pricing possible cuts into early 2025.
🇯🇵 JPY (Japanese Yen)
🟢 Inflation is ticking higher
🔄 BoJ is cautiously shifting from ultra-loose policy
🛡️ Yen often strengthens in risk-off environments (which aligns with current market volatility)
🇯🇵 Tokyo CPI surprises have reinforced JPY support

