GBP/USD - H1-Triangle Breakout (17.06.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3485
2nd Support – 1.3444
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GBPUSD trade ideas
Massive GBP/USD Reversal Ahead? Head & Shoulders FormationGBP/USD is at a critical technical juncture following a sharp bullish impulse that pushed the pair above the 1.34 handle, printing a strong weekly bullish engulfing candle and breaking out of a multi-week consolidation zone. This move unfolded in a macro context where the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of weakness, with Non-Commercial net long positions dropping drastically—from around 20,000 to less than 5,000 contracts. This shift points to a fading speculative appetite for the dollar, historically a leading indicator of upcoming corrective phases or broader declines in the DXY.
On the flip side, the Commitments of Traders (COT) report on the British Pound reveals that Non-Commercials (typically hedge funds and asset managers) remain net long on GBP, with a slight increase week-over-week. However, Commercials (generally institutions and hedgers) have aggressively built up a significant net short position—levels that in the past preceded major reversals on the pair. This divergence between speculators and institutional hedgers suggests short-term bullish potential, but with rising risk of exhaustion near current resistance levels.
Adding fuel to this outlook is the retail sentiment: approximately 63% of retail traders are currently short GBP/USD, with an average entry price around 1.3021. This kind of retail crowd positioning, typically inefficient from a historical perspective, adds contrarian support for further upside, as long as price holds above the 1.3340 structure.
From a seasonality perspective, June tends to be a mildly bullish-to-sideways month for GBP/USD, especially when looking at the 10- and 15-year seasonal averages. While the seasonal bias is not particularly strong, there’s also no statistical downward pressure this time of year, leaving room for technically-driven moves influenced by liquidity and sentiment rather than macro patterns alone.
On the technical front, the daily chart shows a steep rally capped by a large green candle on Monday, breaking cleanly through the 1.34 resistance zone. The price is now hovering inside a key supply area between 1.3499 and 1.3550—a historically reactive zone that has triggered major rejections in previous months. How price reacts here will likely shape the next major swing. A confirmed breakout and consolidation above 1.3550 would open the door for an extension toward 1.37–1.3750. Conversely, a sharp rejection followed by a break below 1.3412—and especially under 1.3340—would set the stage for a deeper correction toward 1.3170.
The RSI is currently showing early signs of momentum loss, although no strong bearish divergence has emerged yet. This implies that the pair could still fuel another push higher before running out of steam—possibly forming the right shoulder of a head & shoulders pattern if the rejection scenario plays out.
GBPUSD H1 compression BUY/HOLD TP1 +100 TP2 +200 pips low risk🏆 GBPUSD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
Short-term: BULLS active; resistance forming mid‑1.3600s, consolidation below 1.3600s
Mid-term: Neutral to slight bullish bias; bulls seek 1.3600–1.3700/1.3730 zone
Status: Narrow trading range (tight band) ahead of key UK CPI, Fed & BoE meetings
🔥 Latest Forex Updates
GBP/USD is consolidating in a narrow range around the mid‑1.3500s ahead of this week’s UK CPI and central bank meetings.
The pair holds defensive below 1.3600, with dovish BoE bets capping gains while the Fed is expected to stand pat.
GBP/USD sits near a 40‑month high (~1.3600), boosted by geopolitical risk tone, but lacking momentum to break much higher.
GBP/USD hit ~1.3600 after rebounding from 1.3515 amid renewed Middle East tensions and a weaker US dollar.
Live charts show a mild bullish tilt, awaiting central bank outcomes.
💡 Trade Recommendation
Buy GBPUSD at 1.3530 (recommended entry near 1.3530)
Take Profit at 1.3730 → +200 pips profit target
Stop Loss: 50 pips (around 1.3480)
This trade aligns with the current structure: shallow dip followed by rebound, positioning ahead of central bank catalysts. Momentum above resistance could propel GBP/USD toward 1.3730.
📌 Market Overview
Metric Details
Current Price ~1.3565–1.3600
24H Range 1.3515–1.3600
Central Event Risks UK CPI (Wed), US Retail Sales & Fed (Wed), BoE (Thu)
Geopolitical Middle East tension supports USD weakness, aiding GBP
📈 Forecast Highlights
Support Levels: ~1.3530 (100‑period SMA), ~1.3460, ~1.3425
Resistance Levels: 1.3600, 1.3630 static ceiling, followed by ~1.3700–1.3730 for bulls
🧭 Final Take
GBP/USD sits in a tight range, awaiting central bank clarity. The recommended long trade at 1.3530 aims to capitalize on upside momentum toward 1.3730, supported by technical confluence and a softer USD. Manage risk with a 50‑pip stop loss.
GBPUSD stuck in a tight range - Waiting for the final moveGBPUSD stuck in a tight range - Waiting for the final move
On Thursday, GBPUSD tested 1.3590 again and briefly reached 1.3615, but the bullish attempt failed. The price dropped back below the resistance zone.
For almost two weeks, GBPUSD has been moving up and down in this area. No major economic events are expected this week.
However, US and China officials will meet in London on Monday, June 9. Optimism for a deal is high, and this could push GBPUSD lower from this zone.
Bearish targets: 1.3425, 1.3350, 1.3250, 1.3170.
⚠️ Watch out! This pair is heavily influenced by news.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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GBPUSD| Bullish Structure HoldingGBPUSD continues to map out a bullish structure. While higher timeframe liquidity remains untouched, I’m anticipating a potential continuation on the lower timeframes.
Refined the 30-minute structure and confirmed bullish intent is intact. Now focused on price taking short-term liquidity and mitigating into the marked order block before considering any execution.
The setup is developing — staying patient and letting price come to me.
— Inducement King 👑
Bless Trading!
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the GBP/USDThe test of the 1.3614level occurred when the RSI indicator had already risen significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the GBP/USD.
There has been progress in the trade negotiations between China and the United States: yesterday, both sides stated that consensus had been reached on the main issues. This breakthrough, the result of several months of intense discussions, gives hope for the stabilization of global financial markets. Though not disclosed in detail, the agreements likely included key issues such as the export of rare earth materials from China to the U.S. to China. Nevertheless, despite the optimistic statements, analysts advise against excessive enthusiasm. Previous negotiation rounds also ended with promises that were later unfulfilled. The key to success will be boss sides' ability to honor their commitments and show willingness for further concessions. The impact of this progress on the global economy is hard to overestimate. Reducing trade tensions could stimulate the growth of international trade, ease inflationary pressures, and bolster consumer confidence. However, risks remain, and the agreement's long-term outcome will depend on both countries' subsequent actions.
Today, we should pay attention to the speech by Philip Lane, a British Central Bank representative, as there are no macroeconomic releases from the the eurozone. Markets will closely monitor his rhetoric for hints regarding the central bank's plans on interest rates. Investors hope to hear more clarity from Lane about how the ECB intends to proceed with rates and whether the regulator plans further cuts this summer. Overall, Philip Lane's speech will be the key event of the day for financial markets. His comments may influence currency movements in the first half of the day. Investors are advised to watch his remarks closely and consider them in decision-making
GBPUSD looks ready for its next up-legGBPUSD broke above key levels, triggering a double top pattern with targets near 1.4778. In this video, we discuss risk-reward adjustments, why reducing your stop makes sense, and how to deal with sideways markets and small triangle setups. Learn why taking smaller profits can sometimes lead to better long-term results. Leave your thoughts in the comments.
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GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials added significant longs and closed shorts at the same time. So for that reason I see the highs as a liquidity for their longs profits taking.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
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GBPUSD may form a false break of supportGBPUSD has wasted the entire daily move (ATR) and is forming a false break of the mirror level support and trading range support. The price fell on the background of the dollar growth (which is trading on the background of the global downtrend)
Now, while the price is consolidating below the mirror level, sellers (physical persons) open deals. But, based on the situation and spent ATR when the price returns inside the range there will be a liquidation stage, which can provoke the price growth
The price fixing above 1.34437 may be the beginning of a pullback (trend growth).
Scenario: if the decline does not continue, and the price is able to consolidate above 1.3448, in this case we can expect a correction to 1.35, 1.353.
USDJPY recap + adding GBPUSD In watchlist Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
GBPUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The UK-India Free Trade Agreement provides long-term bullish support for GBP.
The IMF raised the UK's 2025 growth forecast from 1.1% to 1.2%, boosting market confidence in the pound.
Global trade tensions indirectly underpin GBP.
Technical Analysis :
GBP is in a rebound uptrend. Short-term 5/10-day moving averages are converging, and Bollinger Bands show slight narrowing, indicating a neutral bias.
MACD death cross with shrinking red momentum (bearish).
RSI edges up near 65 with limited upside (neutral).
KD golden cross diverging upward from near oversold (bullish).
Trading Strategy:
Enter light longs at 1.3400 if supported.
buy@1.3400–1.3410
TP:1.3500-1.3550
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Bullish bounce off overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3543
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci re4tracement.
Stop loss: 1.3493
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3601
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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GBPUSD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
We are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern on the GBP USD chart. These waves from 1 to 5 are quite clear (of course, you can count them so that they become an ABC zigzag, isn't it interesting!) and you can even count their subwaves. Now wave 5 is completing and we are witnessing multiple divergences in wave 5. With the breakdown of the trend line drawn below and a pullback to it, we can expect the price to fall to the specified support. The first support is 1.305 and then 1.2800.
Good luck and be profitable.
GBPUSD Bullish After Long Falls Pattern FormedGBPUSD Technical Outlook:
After a prolonged bearish trend, GBPUSD may now be preparing for a potential bullish reversal, driven by weakening momentum in the U.S. Dollar. The pair is currently trading around the 1.34350 level.
If bullish pressure builds from this level, we could see the start of a short-to-medium term uptrend. The next key target levels to watch are:
Key Resistance
1st 1.35100
2nd 1.35500
3rd 1.36000
after the Long bearish Pattern we could see Bullish Zone and remember all thing in your mind if the price will does no up from current level the hit the support Levels 1.33900 then we could see price will grow again lets see and share out idea what did you know about GBPUSD Price?