GBPUSD trade ideas
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3632
1st Support: 1.3533
1st Resistance: 1.2711
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GBP/USD Cable Launch from Fibo SupportThe Fibonacci level at 1.3414 has put in some work on GBP/USD over the past year. In Q3 of 2024 it held the highs over a two week period, leading into the sell-off in Q4. And then in April of this year, it once again held the highs, but this time, the pullback was brief and buyers were able to power through a month later.
And now, over the past two weeks, this has been support for the pair, coming into play after the FOMC rate decision last week and now leading to a push up to fresh multi-year highs.
The currently weekly candle is showing as a bullish engulf and this highlights a market that's tough to chase. But, shorter-term, there's higher-low support potential at both 1.3593 and 1.3500, which could function as support on shorter-term approaches in the pair. - js
Market next move ⚠️ Disruption Analysis of the Chart
1. False Breakout Risk
The price is currently within an ascending channel, which is often seen as bullish.
However, the recent candlesticks show smaller bodies with wicks on top, indicating buyer exhaustion.
A false breakout above the upper trendline or support around 1.3632 could trap buyers before a sharp reversal.
2. Low Volume Confirmation
Volume peaked earlier but has significantly decreased in the last few candles.
Weak volume during a price rise signals a lack of conviction, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
3. Resistance Flip Not Confirmed
The level around 1.3600 is marked as resistance-turned-support, but there is no strong retest confirmation yet.
If price revisits this zone and fails to bounce, this support could break, leading to a downside reversal.
4. Divergence Watch
While not visible in this static image, if you overlay RSI or MACD, there could be signs of bearish divergence (price making higher highs while momentum indicators make lower highs).
This is often a leading indicator of trend weakening.
GBPUSD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.35000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.52
Entry 110%
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GBPUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.35900 zone, GBPUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.35900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.3622 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.3558
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.3653
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD ShortElite Live Analysis – GBPUSD
Market Structure: Price has tapped into the Daily Market Structure zone.
Price Action: Current structure and price action indicate signs of a potential reversal.
Strategy: This setup follows a Structure-to-Structure approach.
Targets:
Lower liquidity pools below price
Main target: retest of the Daily Market Structure zone
GBPUSD - Over-Bought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPUSD has been hovering within a big range marked in red and blue.
This week, GBPUSD is retesting the upper bound of the range acting as a resistance.
As long as the resistance holds, we will be looking for shorts on lower timeframes, targeting the lower bound of the range.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Technical + Fundamental Alignment: GBPUSD Short in PlayGBPUSD ( FX:GBPUSD ) is moving near the Resistance zone($1.354-$1,350) and has managed to break the Support line .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that GBPUSD has completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , we can expect the next five bearish waves .
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Fundamental Analysis
1-Weak UK Economic Data:
Recent reports including Retail Sales, Industrial Output, and PMIs have come in below expectations.
Labour market is softening, and wage growth is decelerating.
2-Dovish Expectations for BoE:
With inflation cooling down, the Bank of England is expected to hold or even cut rates soon, reducing support for the pound.
3-Stronger USD Outlook
Despite some weaker U.S. data, the Fed maintains a hawkish stance. U.S. retail sales and inflation still support the dollar overall.
4-UK Political Risk
Upcoming UK elections on July 4 are adding uncertainty and downside risk to GBP.
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I expect GBPUSD to attack at least the Support lines based on the above explanation.
Targets: 1.3
1)1.3353 USD =>Risk-To-Reward: 1.51
2)1.3315 USD =>Risk-To-Reward: 2.00
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.3549 USD
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
British Pound / U.S Dollar Analyze (GBPUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GBPUSD UPDATEGBPUSD pushed clean and fast, but skipped my entry with no real pause. Structure’s still rising, candles stayed tight, but volume started to fade mid-push.
Feels like early buyers got paid — now it’s baiting the late ones 🧠
Waiting on a pullback that makes sense. Letting it come to me.
⚡
Still tracking GBPUSD from last week’s post.
GBPUSD– Rejection at Resistance: Technical and Macro PullbackGBPUSD has climbed back into a strong multi-week resistance zone just beneath 1.3670. While the recent rally was sharp, it now confronts both structural resistance and weakening UK fundamentals. The British economy is losing steam—GDP contracted more than expected, manufacturing output is weak, and the latest CBI survey paints a grim industrial outlook. Meanwhile, Fed officials continue to push back on early rate cut expectations, lending resilience to the USD. Technically, this aligns with a potential top forming near 1.3630–1.3670, offering a compelling risk-reward for sellers.
🔻 Bias: Bearish
• Favoring short setups from resistance, backed by weak UK data and a sticky Fed narrative.
🔑 Key Fundamentals
🇬🇧 UK:
May GDP: –0.3% m/m (worse than forecast)
CBI Industrial Trends: Output volumes and orders well below long-run average
Inflation slowing, but BoE hesitant amid stagnant growth – classic stagflation
🇺🇸 US:
Fed officials (Barkin, Collins, Cook) emphasize caution
Core services inflation still elevated
Fed rate cuts now expected in September, not July
⚠️ Risks to the Bearish View
Hawkish surprise from the BoE (if they hike or signal tightening)
U.S. Core PCE comes in soft, pressuring the USD
Sustained global risk-on rally pulling GBP higher via equities
📅 Important Events to Watch
June 25–26: Fed Chair Powell testimony to Congress
June 28: U.S. Core PCE inflation report
UK CPI revisions, retail sales, and BoE commentary
U.S. jobs and consumer confidence (early July)
📉 Technical Setup – Short from Key Supply Zone
Chart Structure:
Major confluence resistance at 1.3625–1.3665 (blue zone)
Multiple rejection wicks + ascending wedge structure
Bearish divergence building on momentum (not shown)
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone:
🔹 Sell between 1.3625 and 1.3665, ideally after a bearish engulfing/pin bar or 4H rejection
Take Profits:
TP1: 1.3535 – local support
TP2: 1.3465 – fib and horizontal confluence
TP3: 1.3390 – wedge breakdown target
Stop Loss / Invalidation:
🔸 SL above 1.3685**
A 4H/1D candle close above invalidates the setup and opens the door to new highs.
Risk-Reward:
RR to TP1: ~1.8
RR to TP3: 3.5+
🧭 Summary:
GBPUSD is technically stretched and facing key resistance. With UK macro data deteriorating and Fed members holding the line, this rally looks increasingly vulnerable. As long as 1.3685 holds, sellers may dominate with clear downside targets over the next 1–2 weeks.
GBP/USD ShortStrong momentum to the downside left FVG on 4h timeframe yesterday.
I will be looking for price to retrace up to 1.353 zone before entering shorts.
And if price loooks to struggle on upside.
Price may go up and take out stoplosses above latest high aswell.
For TP look for support at 1.325
Keep in mind FOMC which will move the price
later today on 18th of June.
SL above 1.3650
Entry 1.3533
TP 1.32500
GBPUSD Sell - June, 24📍Context:
Reaction from Weekly & Daily OBs
Price tapped into a 4H OB
Asia low to fill
15m & 5m POIs showing clear rejection
Presence of wicks signaling slowdown + bearish engulfing confirming seller control
📍Entry:
Based on 15m imbalance left behind
SL placed above recent highs – structure still valid
🎯 TP:
Minimum 1:3 RR
Final target: Asia lows
British Pound Slips to One-Month LowGBP/USD briefly climbed to 1.3560 in early European trading, supported by dollar softness and anticipation of upcoming speeches from BoE Governor Bailey and Fed Chair Powell. However, the pair remains under pressure, as market doubts linger around the ceasefire’s durability, especially after new missile activity by Israel’s IDF.
Fed rate cut expectations continue to build: odds for July are now at 23%, and 78% for September, fueled by dovish remarks from Governor Bowman.
Resistance is seen at 1.3600, while support holds at 1.3500.
GBPUSD Breakdown The Ascending Channel selling strong 📉 GBPUSD Breakdown Alert
– 4H Timeframe
Cable has broken down from the ascending channel with a strong bearish candle, confirming seller strength. We're now eyeing short setups from 1.34400.
🎯 Technical Targets
🔻 1st Target: 1.33500 – Demand Zone
🔻 2nd Target: 1.32700 – Demand Zone
🔻 3rd Target: 1.31800 – Major Support
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.36000 – Bearish Order Block (OB)
🔥 Bias: Bearish
🕓 Timeframe: 4H
💡 Strategy: Sell the pullback, ride the momentum.
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GBPUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.360.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.333.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for June 24, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is strengthening to 1.3560 in the early European session on Tuesday, helped by a weaker US Dollar (USD).
Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday that she would favor an interest rate cut at the next meeting in July if inflationary pressures remain muted. Bowman's comments echoed those of Fed chief Christopher Waller, who said on Friday that he believes the U.S. central bank may consider a rate cut in July.
Traders now put the probability of a rate change at the July meeting at nearly 23%, and the probability that the Fed will cut rates in September at about 78%.
On the other hand, uncertainty surrounding the ceasefire between Israel and Iran and renewed tensions in the Middle East could increase safe-haven flows, supporting the Pound Sterling (GBP). The Israel Defense Forces said early Tuesday it had detected rockets launched from Iran towards southern Israel, despite US President Donald Trump saying a “full and final” ceasefire between Israel and Iran would take effect.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3545, SL 1.3645, TP 1.3345