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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBPUSD Bank of England (BoE) Bank Rate Current Rate: 4.25% ,the 10 year bond yield GB10Y =4.632% The BoE reduced its base rate from 4.50% to 4.25% in May 2025 and has maintained it at 4.25% since then (including the June 19, 2025 meeting). The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has signaled a likely gradual easing path with expectations of a 25 basis point cut possibly at the August 7, 2025 meeting, potentially bringing the rate down to around 4.00%. The BoE’s decision reflects easing inflation pressures as inflation stands at 3.4% but remains cautious due to ongoing economic uncertainties and inflation still above target. Federal Reserve (Fed) Funds Rate Current Rate: Approximately 4.50%-4.25% (mid-2025 consensus) The united state 10 year government bond yield US10Y=4.407% The Fed has held rates steady at around 4.50% -4.25%, with markets expecting a cautious approach to rate cuts amid inflation concerns and economic data. The Fed’s policy remains more restrictive compared to the BoE, though some easing is anticipated later in 2025 depending on inflation and growth. Context bond yield differential GB10Y-US10Y=4.632%-4.407%= 0.225% advantage for carry traders in favour GBP. Interest rate differential GBP IRT-USD IRT= 4.25%-4.5%=-0.25% ,The Fed rate is about 0.25 percentage points higher than the BoE rate, giving a slight interest rate advantage to the USD over GBP at the short-term policy rate level. Carry Trade Impact The carry trade involves borrowing in a currency with a lower interest rate and investing in a currency with a higher rate to earn the spread. Despite the Fed’s slightly higher policy rate, the BoE’s historically higher rates earlier in 2025 and expectations of a slower pace of Fed cuts have supported GBP carry trades. The interest rate differential is relatively narrow, so carry trade flows are moderate but still contribute to demand for GBP assets. The bond yield differential slightly favors GBP at 4.632% gb10y as against USD 4.407% , attracting fixed-income capital to uk treasury giving gbp short term advantage. #GBPUSD
Long
by Shavyfxhub
GBPUSD H4 SHORT SETUP: 14-18 JULY 2025TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Price and market both bearish, with price currently at support. This pair will have to pull back to the resistance level before bears can look to short. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS The currency pair GBPUSD has a score of -3, indicating that the base currency is weaker than the quote currency. The trend projection also shows further downside. The COT report is slightly neutral for both currency pairs, and retail sentiment is 54% bearish. Although the COT is neutral, in a trade like this, the trend is your friend until technical indicators suggest otherwise.
Short
by Pedro_07
GBP/USD Potential Shorts from 1.37000This week, my analysis for GBP/USD focuses on the continuation of the bearish order flow. I currently have a clean 16-hour supply zone that remains unmitigated, where we may see a potential bearish reaction in alignment with the prevailing downtrend. If price breaks through this zone, I will shift focus to an extreme 2-hour supply zone higher up. There are several imbalances and pools of liquidity resting below that serve as potential downside targets. Additionally, I’m noticing the formation of engineered liquidity beneath current price, which further supports the bearish outlook. Confluences for GBP/USD Sells: The U.S. Dollar has reacted from a strong demand zone, suggesting we could see continued bullish pressure on the dollar, which may weigh on GBP/USD. GBP/USD has shown a clear change of character to the downside, confirming bearish market structure—this is a pro-trend trade setup. We have both a clean 16-hour and an extreme 2-hour supply zone, offering high-probability entry points for potential shorts. Multiple liquidity targets below, including Asia session lows and unfilled imbalances, align well with the bearish narrative. P.S. My next potential long opportunity lies at the 6-hour demand zone near 1.34400. From there, I’ll be watching for price to slow down, accumulate orders, and potentially shift structure to the upside. Wishing everyone a successful and profitable trading week!
Short
by Hassan_fx
GU-Tue-08/07/25 TDA-GU stagnant ahead of tomorrow's FOMC minutesAnalysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned! Green flags, Red flags when you follow someone in trading: Red flags: -Always and only share winning trades -No track records -A lot of marketing campaign, offering paid courses and more but with no proof of real trading skills (I'm not against paid course etc... Just to keep in mind) -Just sharing buy or sell but without explaining the confluences, the setups, the reasons, the lot size, how risk manage the trade... -Simply don't even know where to put sl and tp in advance Green flags: -Do live streaming in real time -Keeping transparent about trade setups, ideas, about wins and losses -Share live track record of an account These are just some signs (could be more green and red flag signs), and should not be used as effective methods. If you have more of green flags or red flags ideas, comment down below! Premise: A simple idea plan (like Tradingview public posts) won't describe everything. No one can predict how market will move, it's always good to react to how it moves. It gives an idea of how price might move, but no one come from FUTURE. So I always encourage people to openly and actively discuss in real time. For example discussing on Tradingview public chat (and more). I don't give signals blindly, people should learn and understand the skill. Following blindly signals you won't know how to manage the trade, where precisely put sl and tp, lot size and replicate the move over time. That's why you need active real time discussions. Trading is not get rich quick scheme! Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
GBPUSD breakout still walid? Why I’d wait before buyingGBPUSD broke out of a key double top but pulled back sharply. In this video, we revisit the setup and explain why a deeper dip might offer better risk-reward. We also look at EURUSD's trend and how it could impact GBPUSD timing. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Long
by ThinkMarkets
1
GU-Mon-07/07/25 TDA-Good support zone,but possible sell continueAnalysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned! A simple idea plan (like Tradingview public posts) won't describe everything. No one can predict how market will move, it's always good to react to how it moves. It gives an idea of how price might move, but no one come from FUTURE. So I always encourage people to openly and actively discuss in real time. I don't give signals blindly, people should learn and understand the skill. Following blindly signals you won't know how to manage the trade, lot size and replicate the move over time. That's why you need active real time discussions. Trading is not get rich quick scheme! Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
Short
by Mister_Y
gbpusd sell setup🧠 Setup Summary: You're anticipating a retracement into a supply zone (marked by the grey box) which contains a Fair Value Gap (FVG) before continuing the bearish move. 🧩 Key Components: Supply Zone (Grey Box): A previously mitigated zone where price dropped aggressively. Likely institutional sell orders remain there. Fair Value Gap (Orange Zone): Price moved away fast and left an imbalance. Your expectation: Price will return here, fill it, and then drop. Entry Plan: Sell when price taps into FVG or upper supply zone around 1.36420 – 1.36616. Confirmation could be a bearish engulfing, liquidity sweep, or BOS on LTF. Stop Loss: Above the supply zone — around 1.36680. Take Profit (TP): A major low, likely 1.35631. Risk-Reward: Strong RR (likely 1:3+), in line with institutional-style trading
Short
by fortunemakori1
SHORT and SHORT in GBPUSDHello Fellow traders, I am sharing my short position in GBP/USD today. I have decided to go short on GBP/USD, following the announcement of steep U.S. tariffs. Fundamentally, this aligns with my outlook: the USD is acting as a safe haven, while the GBP remains more risk-sensitive amidst global uncertainty. From a technical standpoint—though I keep things simple—my analysis supports the bearish sentiment, and I have entered a short position accordingly. Good luck, everyone, and trade safe!
Short
by khongorzul0317
USD Strengthens Against GBP With New Tariff AnnouncementsThis is the Weekly FOREX Forecast for the week of July 14 - 18th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: GBPUSD The latest headlines tell the story. The tariffs are triggering a slow run to the USD safe haven. The previous week showed the USD Index closed pretty strong, while GBPUSD weakened. There's a good chance we'll see more of the same this coming week. Look for the strength in USD to continue to be supported by fundamental news, and outperform the other major currencies, including the GBP. Buy USD/xxx Sell xxx/USD Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
GBPUSDThe market structure on GBPUSD shows a clear liquidity sweep above recent highs, followed by a market structure shift (MSS) to the downside, signaling a potential reversal. After the liquidity grab, price failed to sustain above the swept highs and started to form lower highs. The RSI indicator also confirms a bearish divergence, strengthening the bearish bias. Currently, price is consolidating below the MSS level, which could act as a supply zone on any retest. A strong bearish continuation is expected, targeting the SSL (Sell-side Liquidity) level marked below, which aligns with a potential demand zone from late June. The bearish projection suggests a move toward the 1.3350–1.3400 area. This setup favors short opportunities on lower timeframe pullbacks, maintaining a bearish outlook as long as the price remains below the MSS.
by Trader1mran
GBP/USD Shorts from 3hr/5hr supply zoneMy analysis this week centers around the continuation of the bearish trend we've been observing. Recently, there was a break of structure, and a new supply zone has formed—indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend. I’ll be waiting for price to retrace back into these Points of Interest (POIs), where I’ll look for lower time frame confirmations to catch potential sell entries and ride the move down. I believe there’s still some bearish pressure left, and I expect price to continue falling until it reaches the 6-hour demand zone. Once we approach that area, I’ll begin looking for Wyckoff accumulation patterns as a signal for a potential reversal or rally to the upside. Confluences for GBP/USD Sells: ✅ GBP/USD has been bearish over the past few weeks, and this trend may continue. ✅ Breaks of structure have occurred, forming fresh supply zones ideal for entries. ✅ Liquidity exists below current price, which may get swept before a reversal. ✅ The lower demand zone still needs to be mitigated, suggesting more downside movement first. 📌 If price fails to react properly at the 3-hour supply, I’ll be watching for a move into the 5-hour supply zone, which sits in a more premium area and may offer a cleaner reaction. Let’s stay patient and focused — wishing everyone a profitable trading week ahead! 📉💼
Short
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD Chart Analysis & Scenarios✅ Bullish Breakout (if breaks 1.3666): Target: 1.3680–1.3700 Confirmation: Price closes above resistance with strong volume ❌ Bearish Rejection (if rejected at 1.3637–1.3666): Target: 1.3610, possibly 1.3588 Watch for: Bearish candlestick pattern at resistance + drop in volume ✅ Summary: GBP/USD is recovering strongly but faces heavy resistance at 1.3637–1.3666. Breakout above could open room toward 1.3700. Rejection likely if momentum weakens near resistance, targeting previous lows.
Short
by Harry_Megat
GBPUSD Week 29 Swing Zone/LevelsAfter 7 straight weeks of profitable gold trading, we’re shifting gears to GBPUSD. Why this pair? It’s offering a classic low-risk, high-reward setup that many traders appreciate: 🔒 Stop Loss: 10–15 pips 🎯 Take Profit: 50–100 pips We’re analyzing price action using a simple but powerful concept: Each zone is drawn based on how the high and low of one day compares with the next. For example: Monday’s high/low vs Tuesday’s range Tuesday’s vs Wednesday’s, and so on This method helps spot potential continuation zones as market structure unfolds across the week. 👉 The key? Patience, and letting the levels tell the story. As always price action determines trades
by PinchPips
GBPUSD LONG FORECAST Q3 D14 W29 Y25GBPUSD LONG FORECAST Q3 D14 W29 Y25 Welcome back to the watchlist GBPUSD ! Let's go long ! Alignment across all time frames. Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily order block ✅1H Order block ✅Intraday breaks of structure ✅4H Order block 📈 Risk Management Principles 🔑 Core Execution Rules Max 1% risk per trade Set alerts — let price come to your levels Minimum 1:2 RR Focus on process, not outcomes 🧠 Remember, the strategy works — you just need to let it play out. 🧠 FRGNT Insight of the Day "The market rewards structure and patience — not emotion or urgency." Execute like a robot. Manage risk like a pro. Let the chart do the talking. 🏁 Final Words from FRGNT 📌 GBPUSD is offering textbook alignment — structure, order flow, and confirmation all check out. Let’s approach the trade with clarity, conviction, and risk-managed execution. 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT