GOLD around 3,425-3,450 is sell for me, WAVE C is on making!I found a comprehensive Elliot Wave count on this entire movement.. The upward movement since the previous heavy drop on Gold is detected as B correction, which is extended to ABC-X-ABC.
And now i assumed that the B is over (or almost done) and we will head to WAVE C.
DON'T MISS IT!!
CHEEERRRSSS...!!!
GOLD trade ideas
Gold Buy- Go for buy if you got entry setup
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow
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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trade Plan for June 19, 2025🌀 Wave Structure
On the H4 timeframe, following a strong selloff, price is now consolidating within a narrow price channel — suggesting that we are currently in wave b (black) of an abc correction.
This structure implies that one more leg down is likely to complete wave c (black). However, due to the overlapping and sideways nature of the move, it's difficult to clearly identify the end points of waves a and b, making traditional Fibonacci targeting less effective.
➡️ To improve accuracy, we’re combining Volume Profile data with price action and have identified four key support zones:
3349, 3335, 3313, and 3297
Among these, we’re giving special attention to:
🎯 Target 1: 3335
🎯 Target 2: 3297
We'll wait for bullish momentum signals near these levels to increase the probability of catching the end of wave c.
🔋 Momentum Outlook
Daily (D1): Momentum is about to enter oversold territory. By the end of today or tomorrow, the daily candle is expected to confirm this — suggesting a weakening bearish trend.
H4: Also approaching oversold. If price is hovering around one of the key support levels (3349 | 3335 | 3313 | 3297) when this happens, and the D1 is already oversold, then we may be looking at a high-probability reversal zone.
H1: Nearly oversold as well — expect a short-term bounce soon. The best timing for a BUY will be when the H1 starts turning bullish while both the D1 and H4 are oversold.
✅ Trade Setup
🔹 Scenario 1
BUY ZONE: 3336 – 3333
SL: 3326
TP1 | TP2 | TP3: 3345 | 3378 | 3402
🔹 Scenario 2
BUY ZONE: 3300 – 3297
SL: 3290
TP1 | TP2 | TP3: 3313 | 3345 | 3402
⏳ Patience is key — wait for confluence between support zones and momentum reversals. That’s where the high-probability BUY setups emerge.
Gold under pressure: imminent rally or programmed pullback? \ Gold under pressure: imminent rally or programmed pullback? The 3,400\$ crossroads\
\ Good evening, fellow traders – welcome back to this scorching summer… on the charts!\
Yes, it’s been a while since my last post. But you know how it goes: when gold is silent, it’s usually loading up a big move.
Meanwhile, I hope my previous analyses have kept you company — and more importantly, brought you value.
Spoiler: \ I haven’t missed a single one.\
Before we begin: \ drop a boost and leave a comment\ . The community is our most precious gold.
📍 \ Current Context\
XAU/USD is walking a tightrope between \ 3,400\$ and 3,440$\ .
This is a pivotal level, surrounded by international tension, a weakening dollar, and volatile economic expectations.
The question is simple: \ Are we heading for new highs? Or dipping to refuel first?\
🐂 \ Bullish Scenario: eyes on 3,440$\
A clear breakout above \ 3.440$\ could trigger the next leg up.
🎯 \ Target: 3,500\$ (new all-time high)\
• Geopolitical stress between \ Iran and Israel\ remains unresolved
• The \ US dollar\ is sluggish, inflation is creeping back in
• Markets are betting on a \ Fed rate cut\
• Gold? It smells fear better than anyone
🐻 \ Bearish Scenario: 3,400\$ must hold\
If buyers can’t defend the \ 3.400$\ level, we could see a step-by-step correction toward:
📉 \ Bearish Targets:\
• 3,295\$
• 3,245\$
• 3,120\$
• 3,070\$
As long as price stays below \ 3,440$\ , every bounce remains \ a selling opportunity, not a moonshot fantasy\ .
🌍 \ Geopolitical Snapshot (16/06/2025)\
• Iran and Israel keep exchanging “gifts” — drones, missiles, and tension
• The dollar is losing safe-haven status, giving gold the spotlight
• Oil is back above \ 73$\ , triggering renewed inflation concerns
• The Fed is increasingly likely to \ cut rates\ , weakening the dollar and reinforcing gold’s strength
📊 \ Operational Summary\
| \ Direction\ | \ Trigger Level\ | \ Target\ | \ Strategy\ |
| --------------------- | ---------------------- | ----------------- | ------------------------ |
| \ LONG (Buy)\ | Break above 3,440\$ | 3,500\$ | New ATH |
| \ SHORT (Sell)\ | Below 3,400\$ | 3,295\$ → 3,070\$ | Technical pullback setup |
🎯 \ Conclusion: the plan exists – just not the one you’re expecting\
Gold is standing at a major crossroads. Either it breaks out… or catches its breath.
But remember: \ we’re traders, not prophets. We don’t predict — we react.\
I’m watching closely, ready to strike… with the right foot forward. Are you?
\ Share your thoughts in the comments.\
\ Drop a boost and support those who help you see beyond the candles every single day.\
\ PipGuard\
Gold has recently broken below its 4-hour bullish Fair Value GapGold Market Analysis (In-depth & Strategic Overview):
Gold has recently broken below its 4-hour bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is currently trading beneath its Consequent Encroachment (CE) level — a signal that short-term bullish momentum has weakened.
In the latest 4H candle, the market swept the liquidity resting below the previous day's lows, a classic move to trap early sellers and collect stop-losses. Right after this liquidity grab, the price touched the daily bullish FVG, found support there, and then managed to close back inside the 4H FVG. This action reflects a temporary defense by buyers — but the battle is far from over.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
$3401: This is a critical resistance level. If the market successfully closes above $3401, it could signal a bullish continuation, paving the way for an upward move.
$3389: This is a crucial support level. If price breaks below $3389, it would likely lead to further downside movement, opening the door for deeper corrections.
⏳ Current Strategy:
The best move right now is to wait and watch how the market reacts to these key levels. A breakout above $3401 would confirm strength and potential bullish continuation. Conversely, a breakdown below $3389 could trigger a fresh wave of selling pressure.
🚨 Until one of these levels is clearly broken, the market may remain in a state of indecision or range-bound movement.
🔍 Always DYOR – Do Your Own Research!
Stay informed, manage your risk wisely, and avoid emotional decisions.
Gold Wave Analysis – 13 June 2025- Gold recently broke resistance level 3400.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 3500.00
Gold recently broke the resistance level 3400.00 coinciding with the resistance trendline of the daily Triangle from April.
The breakup of the resistance level 3400.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (5) from the middle of May.
Gold can be expected to rise to the next major resistance level 3500.00 (former monthly high from April. which stopped the previous impulse wave (3)).
XAUUSD is over bought on weekly Timeframe As we took buy on 1st attempt at 3435 towards 3460 although our TP is missed by 10 pips at 3448 .
-Currently market Is not crossing 3445 barrier
-Although this pump is because of War Escalation .
- if we narrow down weekly Timeframe Gold is over bought.
We're still focusing on buying on dips 3390-3380 will be my main area of buying.
Keep in mind we have to get confirmation 1st before buying.
All the enteries should be taken if All the rules are applied
#XAUUSD
"Gold (XAUUSD) Possible Breakout Trap Forming-Big Reversal Move Gold has formed a potential breakout trap near key resistance levels. A false breakout could lead to a strong reversal targeting the 3200 support zone. Watching for RSI divergence and volume confirmation. Not financial advice — for educational purposes only.
Continue to be bullish after successful adjustment of low longToday, gold opened high at 3448, and fell under pressure after touching 3452. It fell after repeatedly confirming resistance at high levels. We arranged short orders in the 3445-3450 area, successfully touched the target of 3330, and realized profit-taking. Then the market fell back to around 3409 and stabilized and rebounded. We arranged long orders and stopped profit at around 3420. Then we fell back and arranged long orders of 3385 and 3395 to take profits at 3405.
Overall, gold fell slowly after opening high, and maintained sideways consolidation in the European session. The US session continued to fall due to the easing of the geopolitical situation. At present, the focus of the evening is on the support of 3390. If it does not break after the retracement, it can still go long. Pay attention to the key pressure levels of 3410 and 3422 above. The current market is still in the adjustment stage of the upward trend. After the adjustment, it is expected to continue the upward rhythm.
Operation suggestion: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3390-3392, with the target at 3410 and 3435.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
How to position gold in the week of the Federal Reserve’s decisiAs last week came to a close, further geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pushed market risk aversion to its highest level in nearly two months. This round of rising prices was driven by multiple factors. Among them, the weak inflation data released by the United States last week further strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed's loose monetary policy, thereby increasing the attractiveness of gold assets. In the short term, gold prices are expected to continue to be supported by risk aversion on Monday. In addition, the market this week needs to focus on the impact of the Fed's interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's speech on gold prices. Everyone should pay close attention to the price fluctuations that may be caused by the Fed's policy trends. It is particularly important to note that US President Trump plans to attend the G7 summit in Canada from June 15 to 17. His policy statements during the summit may also have an important impact on the gold market. Investors are advised to keep an eye on it.
Technically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue.
Operation strategy:
Gold recommends buying long positions near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
Gold | 4h Structural LookoutPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
📅 June 18, 2025
Chart Title: “Gold's Battle at the Midpoint – Compression Before Explosion”
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish
Structure: Ranging with Bullish Channel
✳️ Technical Summary:
Gold continues to coil near the upper half of its multi-month structure, testing traders’ patience before a potentially explosive move. Current PA is forming a tight consolidation right beneath mid-channel resistance, suggesting a directional breakout is imminent — especially with the FOMC catalyst ahead.
📏 Key Chart Features:
Clear Rising Channel: Acting as medium-term trend guide
Major Consolidation: Identified around 3,330–3,380
Historical Boxes & Reaction Lows: Multiple orange circles show clear buying interest zones
Possible Long-Term Range: Defined between 3,123 and ATH zone (3,500)
EMA Support: Price currently holding both 15 & 60 EMAs
📈 Scenarios to Watch:
🔼 Bullish Breakout Path:
Trigger: Break and close above 3,400
Confirmation: Follow-through above consolidation +full body close
TP1: 3,460
TP2: ATH retest around 3,500–3,540
SL: Below 3,320 or lower trendline
Invalidation: Break below channel
🔽 Bearish Breakdown Path:
Trigger: Breakdown below 3,325 support
First Target: 3,250
Expansion Target: 3,123 – base of the macro range
Extreme Bear Target: 3,000 zone
SL: Above 3,400
Consolidation Zoom in:
#Xauusd #Gold #Trading #MJtrading #forex #Chart #chartanalysis #signal #freesignal
$XAU — Endless Up-Trend on GOLD!Gold ( TVC:XAU ) continues its powerful uptrend , repeating a clear and profitable trading pattern: explosive moves (20-30% gains) , brief sideways consolidations, and renewed breakouts. Since early 2024, three such cycles have occurred, each flagged by red breakout arrows on the 1W chart.
Currently, gold is forming another tight consolidation range between roughly $3,200–3,450. Historically, these consolidations have consistently resolved upward. If the pattern repeats, the next target zones lie around $3,985 (+20%) and $4,385 (+30%) . Such bullish targets align with major banks: Goldman Sachs targets $3,700 by year-end and potentially $4,500 in high-risk scenarios, while J.P. Morgan forecasts $4,000 by mid-2026.
Several factors fuel gold’s bullish momentum:
• Central-bank buying remains robust, projected to surpass 1,000 tonnes for the fourth consecutive year.
• Geopolitical risks, tariff disputes, and a weakening USD have enhanced gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
• Central banks increasingly prioritize gold for reserve diversification and risk management, not just speculation.
So, to be short: if weekly closes stay above the $3,200 support, gold likely continues its bullish momentum toward the $4,000 handle .
Have you seized the golden opportunity again and again?Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It only rushed up at the opening, and quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support, and the weekly MA5 support is long. The rebound focuses on the 3403-3408 resistance card. The rebound can be followed by the short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does.
From a technical point of view, the current macd high dead cross in 4 hours has a large volume, and the smart indicator sto is oversold, which represents the 4-hour shock trend. The current bollinger band three-track shrinkage in 4 hours also represents the range compression. At present, the upper pressure of 4 hours is located at the adhesion point of the middle rail and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, while the support corresponds to the moving average MA30 and MA10 near the 3380-3363 line. From the current 4 hours, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current macd dead cross of the gold 1-hour line is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator sto is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to fluctuate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion pressure of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term.
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Wednesday, the morning strategy suggested going long on gold at 3,375-3,365, perfectly seizing the pullback low and rebounding to the 3,400 level as expected. Today, there is also the Fed interest rate decision. Before the data release, short positions can be taken if the 3,400-3,405 level remains unbroken. If the 3,405-3,410 level is broken, we will continue to be bullish. Gold is in short-term oscillation, so try not to chase the market. Wait for a good entry opportunity. The upper level has also been repeatedly contested recently, and the Fed data is likely to break the range after its release.
For gold, continue to adopt an oscillating approach. In the 4H cycle, it is operating below the middle band. The short-term range is 3,405-3,365. If it breaks above 3,405, it can continue to target 3,420 and 3,450. Conversely, if it breaks below 3,365, it can fall to 3,350. In operation, prioritize long positions with short positions as a supplement, and adjust the strategy when a breakout occurs.
XAUUSD
buy@3370-3375
tp:3390-3400-3420
sell@3395-3400
tp:3380-3370
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3318 and a gap below at 3281. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3318
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3318 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3352
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3388
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3281
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3281 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3254
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3210
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3210 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3179
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD:06/06/2025 Update! Gold experienced a decline to 3314 following the release of unexpectedly strong NFP data. However, this decline is unlikely to lead to further price drops below 3314. This is primarily due to the ongoing turmoil within the president’s own political party, which is only just beginning to unfold and will likely intensify in the coming weeks.
Before making any trading decisions, it is advisable to conduct your own analysis. Additionally, the current price action has established an AB=CD pattern, where the price has successfully reversed from point ‘d’. This pattern suggests that waiting for the price to break out could be a prudent strategy for a safe entry.
Three targets have been reasonably set, with the potential to reach target two. However, the target three remains uncertain. The total potential profit from this idea is approximately 1300 pips.
It is also important to monitor the DXY closely. We recommend waiting for the price to complete its bullish correction before taking an entry on gold.
We sincerely hope that this analysis proves beneficial. Please consider liking, commenting, and sharing this post to encourage us to provide more such insights.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Following up on our previous analysis, price action has continued to respect our Goldturn channel beautifully. After the strong move to 3272, we saw another push toward the channel top near 3433. However, just before completing the move, price was met with another sharp rejection, highlighting the strength of the range and the precision of our channel levels.
The key takeaway here is that 3272 is still providing solid support, and the price remains well contained within our defined range between 3272 and 3433. This reaffirms our strategy of buying dips near the lower end of the range rather than chasing strength near the top.
We remain focused on trading within this range, using our weighted Goldturns to guide entries on the lower timeframes (1H and 4H). As long as the structure holds, we’ll continue to target quick 30–40 pip intraday moves while positioning ourselves for a potential breakout scenario when the time is right.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Keep an eye on how price behaves around 3272 and 3433. A clean break and close above the channel top would be significant but until then, range play remains our primary game plan.
Let’s stay patient and disciplined.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX