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XAUUSD: June 16 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3500, support below 3338 Four-hour chart resistance 3470, support below 3419 One-hour chart resistance 3450, support below 3428-19 Gold news analysis: Last Friday, the further intensification of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East promoted the rise of risk aversion sentiment. Spot gold once broke through $3446, setting a new high in two months. This wave of rise was driven by multiple factors, including the weak inflation data in the United States last week, which further strengthened the market's expectations of the Fed's interest rate cut, thereby increasing the attractiveness of gold. On Monday, gold prices are still likely to continue to benefit from risk aversion and are expected to challenge the 3500 mark in the short term. In addition, this week's market will also be affected by the Fed's resolution and Powell's speech. Investors should pay attention to the potential impact of the Fed's policy trends on gold prices. It is worth noting that US President Trump will visit Canada from June 15 to 17 to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit. The speech during the summit may also cause gold price fluctuations, which needs to be paid attention to. Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the four-hour support 3419 and the one-hour support 3428. The pressure above focuses on the suppression near the daily level 3500. The short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed 3419 is the first-line barrier. Before the four-hour level does not fall below this position, continue to maintain the rhythm of buying on dips and look to 3500. Buy: 3419near SL: 3414 Buy: 3428near SL: 3423
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold price is sure to make ATH in the new weekGold confirms a long-term uptrend. The ATH 3500 zone is likely to have a reaction before 3490. Any pullback in Gold next week is still considered a good opportunity to Buy Gold. And the bullish price gap is likely to continue on Monday. 3495 and 3345 are accumulated with many people waiting to Buy there, setting up a Buy signal with SL 10 price at the weekly support and resistance zones. The possibility of breaking ATH next week is very high Support 3393-3345 Resistance 3490
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
Gold closed strong bull weekly candleGold closed strong bull weekly candle. gold manage to close a solid weekly candle that manage to cover most of previous wick highs that showing a strong indication that it wants to reach its ATH as first destination which is accordance to fibo from the latest bearish movement of 3403 to 3295. Bias is Bullish. However, in the current daily line chart. we are at 3-point touch of resistance. which also indicate a very strong point of resistance. 1st scenario is I foresight gold will continue its climb towards 3500 or even closer to it to cfm its direction. if breaks above 3500 means gold will head towards 2.618 of fibo. 2nd scenario, if gold did not manage to break the 3500 ceiling, possibility for a trendline support retest as previous the weekly trendline was able to be broken however due to fundamental of trade war tariff its bounce back making it as a fake out. my plan for next week. 1. I will still focus to look for buys, however I will only scalp position. means if I identify a support area to buy with a clear confirmation of fresh breakout target with a 50pips 1st tp 50% and 100pips 25% and balance B.E. for every setup. 2. I will wait for a confirmation of sells setups nearer to its resistance. if a strong and clear rejections appear in smaller tf shall i take that trade with the same principals and target as it makes sense to sell high. at the current no trader is wrong to buy or sell as we are in at the most volatile area that a minute candle goes as much as 100pips. only money management that will keeps us alive. A self reminder to me as well. All the best traders. may it'll be a fruitful week ahead for all of us.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HAN_Simply_Trade
GOLD Will Move Higher! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,423.03. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,467.03. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
GOLD/USD Bullish Breakout ConfirmationGOLD/USD Bullish Breakout Confirmation 🚀📈 📊 Technical Analysis Overview: The chart illustrates a bullish breakout above a well-defined resistance zone around $3,390–$3,400. Price action has decisively closed above this resistance, suggesting strong bullish momentum. 🔍 Key Observations: 🟦 Support Zone: Marked clearly between $3,250–$3,280, this level has held firm multiple times (highlighted with green arrows and orange circles), confirming buyer interest and market structure. 🟦 Resistance Turned Support: The previous resistance zone around $3,390–$3,400 has now potentially turned into a new support. Price retesting this zone and holding would further validate the breakout. 📈 Future Projections: The chart anticipates a retest-pullback-continuation scenario: Pullback to new support 📉 Bullish continuation toward $3,460+ 🎯 if support holds. ✅ Bias: Bullish as long as price remains above the $3,390 zone. Break and hold below would invalidate the bullish setup. 📌 Strategy Tip: Look for confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) on the retest before entering long.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrStellanSight
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update For 12 June 2025Hello Traders First of all we have US CPI High Impact event due today now market is try to testing 3400 Psychological level once it will pass 3380-86 strong resistance zone and once market will break 3400 it will move towards 3423 3350 Psychological level remains in focus for a while due to retesting RBS zone overall 334050 zone remain solid Buying Zone for now Also keep an eyes on US CHINA Tariff news Middle east tensions are remains watchable for now Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by forexmoneya
Thoughts before the Golden Decision 💡Message Strategy Gold prices continued to fluctuate at high levels this week, lacking a clear direction. The Federal Reserve is about to announce its June interest rate decision. Although the market generally expects that the interest rate will remain unchanged this time, the key focus lies in the update of the dot plot and Powell's wording in the press conference. The market is currently betting that a rate cut cycle may begin in September, mainly based on a series of weak US economic data released recently. US retail sales fell 0.9% month-on-month in May, significantly lower than the market's expectation of -0.7%, while industrial output also unexpectedly shrank by 0.2%, indicating that the US economic momentum has slowed down. At the same time, the US CPI data in May cooled down across the board, with both the annual rate and the core annual rate lower than expected, which further strengthened the market's expectations for a rate cut in September. Against this background, the US dollar fell from its high on Tuesday, boosting the short-term decline in gold prices. In terms of geopolitical situation, according to Reuters, the six-day conflict between Israel and Iran showed no signs of cooling down. US President Trump publicly put pressure on Iran and released remarks that he would impose tariffs on the pharmaceutical industry. Coupled with the uncertainty of the trade outlook, the market's risk aversion sentiment has been strengthened, which will help gold maintain a high level. 📊Technical aspects From the daily chart, the gold price has been running between the middle and upper tracks of the Bollinger Bands since late May. The Bollinger Bands have gradually converged, suggesting that volatility has decreased and the market is on the eve of a change. The current gold price is hovering between the middle track of the Bollinger Bands at $3,322.96 and the upper track at $3,446.14, in a typical oscillating pattern. In terms of MACD indicators, the current bar chart is close to the zero axis, and the DIFF line and the DEA line are in a state of convergence, and no effective golden cross or dead cross is formed, reflecting that the current situation is a typical consolidation market. RSI remains near 56, indicating that the market is not obviously overbought or oversold, and the short-term momentum is neutral. Based on the above judgment and analysis, it is believed that gold is currently at a critical node. If it breaks through the 3400-line resistance band and is accompanied by a large volume, it will be expected to challenge the high of $3450. On the contrary, if it falls below the $3360 support, it may trigger a short-term adjustment, with the target pointing to the lower track of the Bollinger band at $3200. At present, the overall adjustment of gold is supported by the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut, and the bulls are relatively strong. Long positions are deployed before the decision. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position:3380-3385，SL：3370 First target: 3400, second target: 3450
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
The latest gold operation strategyTechnically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to buy gold near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RodneyBridges
XAU/USD Price Action Update – June 18, 2025📊 XAU/USD Price Action Update – June 18, 2025 🔹Current Price: 3,386.58 🔹Timeframe: 1H 📌 Key Resistance Zone: 🔴 3406 – Intraday breakout level; needs a strong candle close above for bullish continuation 📌 Key Demand Zones: 🟢 3338–3342 – First support zone to watch if price drops 🟢 3319–3324 – Major demand; deeper pullback area for long entries ⚡️Bullish Scenario: Price is consolidating in a tight range. A strong 1H close above 3406 could trigger a breakout targeting 3405.63 and beyond. ⚠️Bearish Scenario: If price fails to close above resistance and breaks below the range, a drop toward 3338 or even 3319 could follow — confirmation needed before shorting. 🔍 FXFOREVER Insight: ✅ Price is ranging; don’t trade inside the box ✅ Wait for clean break and retest from either side ✅ Monitor structure shifts on 15M–1H timeframe for confirmation #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #FXFOREVER #PriceAction #SupplyDemand #ForexSetup #ConsolidationBreakout #IntradayTrade
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
GOLD fluctuates, but remains generally stable sidewaysOANDA:XAUUSD has been volatile and volatile but has remained broadly stable as investors assess the conflict between Israel and Iran while keeping an eye on this week's Federal Reserve policy meeting. Spot gold was steady at $3.38/oz at press time, down from a high of $3,403/oz yesterday (Tuesday). Israel and Iran traded fire for a fifth day on Tuesday as US President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of the Iranian capital Tehran and cut short his trip to the G7 summit in Canada, amid reports he had asked his administration's National Security Council to prepare in the Situation Room. According to Reuters, Tehran has asked Oman, Qatar and Saudi Arabia to urge Trump to push Israel for a regional ceasefire in exchange for Iran's willingness to be flexible in nuclear talks. Trump's latest Truth Social post stated: "I have not communicated with Iran in any way, shape or form about (peace talks). This is all fake news! If they want to negotiate, they know how to communicate with me. They should make a deal at the negotiating table, it will save lives!!!" Forexlive commented that those who know Trump know that he will definitely wait for Iran to come to him. According to reports, Iran is trying to negotiate a ceasefire, but has not received any substantive news so far. Non-yielding gold is seen as a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainty and has generally performed well in low interest rate environments. So, fundamentally speaking, gold should be positive in the current market environment, although the sharp declines often make new traders lose their confidence in the trend. I myself have been the same way, there have been many times this year when I did not believe in myself, did not believe in the uptrend and ended up with bad results… The Fed's interest rate decision and Chairman Jerome Powell's speech will be released today (Wednesday). Traders are now expecting the Fed to cut interest rates twice by the end of the year. According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" on June 18: • The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 97.3% and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.7%; • The probability of a rate stay unchanged in July is 85.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 14.4% and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.3%. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has been trading back and forth between the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level and the 3,400USD whole price point, which was noted as the nearest support and resistance sent to readers in the previous issue. However, the overall technical structure remains unchanged with the uptrend still dominating the chart, with the EMA21 support as the important support and the trend as the main trend. Meanwhile, the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level is the nearest support and the price channel is the short-term trend. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50 and 50 is considered support in this case for the RSI, with the distance far from the overbought zone suggesting that there is still room for upside ahead. During the day, if gold breaks above the raw price point of $3,400, it will give a positive signal for the bullish outlook and the target is then around $3,435 in the short term. Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: $3,371 – $3,350 Resistance: $3,400 – $3,435 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3423 - 3421⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3427 →Take Profit 1 3415 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3409 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3351 - 3353⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3347 →Take Profit 1 3359 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3365
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Gold holds above key zoneAfter breaking the major resistance at 3,392 USD — a level that had been rejected multiple times in the past — XAUUSD is undergoing a slight pullback to retest the newly established support. The bullish reaction in this area suggests that buyers are still in control of the trend. In the current context, U.S. retail sales have fallen more than expected, reinforcing expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates soon. This puts pressure on the dollar and benefits gold. The primary scenario is a bounce from the current support toward the next resistance area near 3,481 USD. The 3,392 USD level has now become a key support to sustain the ongoing bullish structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
XAUUSD Elliotwaves update: Is wave 4 complete?On our previous view we were expecting a wave c to the upside that will complete wave B of higher degree. It looks like wave B is completed with an ending diagonal. Now what I am anticipating is price to drop to complete wave 4 in higher degree. However, if wave 4 is complete then the move up might be a leading diagonal for wave 1 of 5. But all in all the the current bias is to the downside and therefore to take advantage of the move to the downside one should find areas where price will find resistance for a possible sell opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Elliotwavesglobal
Gold----Buy near 3417, target 3440-3450Gold market analysis: The continuous bombing of Israel and Iran for several days has allowed gold to stand on 3400 again. The big tombstone before the weekly line was wiped out, and the weekly line closed with a big positive line again, and formed a positive-enclosing-negative pattern. This is the long-term rebound caused by geopolitical factors. There is an old saying in the market that cannonballs are always worth a lot of gold. We are not sure how long the situation between Iran and Israel will last, but what is certain is that the buying situation is obvious. The next operation is to follow the buying. I estimate that gold will continue to rise this week. In addition, under such fundamentals that control the market, we must strictly carry out each order with a loss. The market will not change the trend because you resist the order. Following the trend is the kingly way. In the Asian session, we first focus on the hourly support of 3417 and the shape support of 3419. The position of 3417 is also the watershed of strength and weakness in the short term. If it breaks, it will reach around 3407. In addition, 3451 is the top of the daily line. There was a dive at this position before. If the daily line cannot stand on it for a long time, there is also the possibility of another dive. 3407 is a hurdle in the big cycle. If it breaks, it may bring a waterfall drop. Support 3417, strong support 3407, suppression 3451, the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3417. Fundamental analysis: There are many fundamental analyses and data in the recent period. Geopolitical factors are the main reason for its violent fluctuations. In addition, there is a holiday in the United States this week, and there is also a Federal Reserve interest rate result. Operation suggestion: Gold----Buy near 3417, target 3440-3450
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,622 (UPDATE)Gold moving perfectly, according to our bullish analysis which I posted for you all last week. Gold been bullish for a technical perspective for a while, now we're seeing the elite push out the fundamental factor of the Israel attack on Iran, to help Gold keep moving up. Gold is still within a 'Bullish Accumulation' phase, hence why it's not moving up very strong. Bare in mind, we are in the FINAL WAVE 5 bullish move on a HTF, so we can experience choppy price action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BA_Investments
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Monday and welcome to a new trading week. I marked my area of interest on the 4 hour chart. I am just looking for potential scalp trades, and I can see both buy and sell set ups forming. I am watching as gold carves out it's paths over the first few days of the trading week. I think this week is going to have some big moves. Let's see how the next 4 hour candle closes and at that point we will be closer to Pre NY volume. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
XAU/USD(20250617) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3419 Support and resistance levels: 3486 3461 3445 3394 3378 3353 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3445, consider buying in, the first target price is 3461 If the price breaks through 3419, consider selling in, the first target price is 3394
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news: Weak U.S. inflation data released earlier this week reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, increasing the appeal of spot gold. It hit a two-month high. The geopolitical tension in the Middle East has caused investors to flock to safe-haven assets. Earlier, Israel's air strikes on Iran have once again raised concerns about a wider conflict in the Middle East. In terms of physical gold, demand in major Asian centers weakened this week due to a sharp rise in prices, and the Indian gold price broke through the important psychological level of 100,000 rupees. As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensified over the weekend, gold prices may continue to benefit from risk aversion next week, and London gold prices are expected to target $3,500/ounce at the beginning of next week! Next week will also be affected by the Fed's decision and Powell's speech. In addition, U.S. President Trump will visit Canada from June 15 to 17 to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit. His speech at that time may also affect the fluctuation of international gold prices, which is worth paying attention to. Technical Review: From the market point of view, the overall bottoming and rebounding trend of gold this week has undoubtedly laid a strong foundation for buying. It is understandable to follow the trend and rise. However, since the gold price fell back at the end of the week and closed near 3433, I think it is necessary to make a short-term decline judgment on the market trend at the beginning of the week. As the gold price continues to rise, various graphics have formed very obvious and strong support, among which the 3419 line and the 3400 mark shown by the upper track of the daily Bollinger Band are the most important. Once the gold price can stabilize above this area today, the daily support will definitely continue to rise, which will also lay a more favorable foundation for buying to steadily hit new highs. Combined with the risk aversion demand caused by risk events, it is not an exaggeration to expect the gold price to approach the 3500 mark next week! But if the short-term reversal is sold, the 3400 mark is taken, and the daily MACD indicator forms a dead cross green column and continues to increase in volume, then the possibility of selling down to the daily 5-day moving average will be increased. However, whether this possibility can be realized needs to be judged in combination with more factors. After all, the overall trend of gold is still rising. If the adjustment is too strong, it will not only break the trend, but also cause the gold price to fall into a weak trend below 3400 in the short or medium term. Next week's analysis: Gold rose again on Friday under the stimulation of risk aversion. Gold was directly bought at 3413 on Friday, and the circle of friends also directly prompted to buy. Gold rose and harvested as expected. Gold has been shrouded in risk aversion in the Middle East these two days. In the short term, the trend of gold is still supported by risk aversion, and it may go up a level. If risk aversion is not relieved at the weekend, it will continue to buy next week. At present, the risk aversion sentiment of gold is constantly escalating, and buying is also strong and irresistible. So before there is a significant change, it is to continue to buy to the end, and the rise is not a top, and go with the trend. Gold's 1-hour moving average is still a golden cross with upward buying divergence, and the buying power of gold is still there! After the rise of gold's safe-haven, gold adjusted sideways in the short term, but it is still oscillating strongly at a high level. Now it is still in the process of rising. If there is no bad news to make gold fall and break, then the short-term volatility of gold is an adjustment in the process of rising, and it will continue to rise at any time. After gold buying breaks through 3400, gold buying sticks to the 3400 line, so if it falls back to 3400 next week, it will continue to buy on dips. If the risk aversion of gold eases and falls below 3400, then we may readjust our thinking. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3405-3408, stop loss at 3396, target at 3450-3470; Sell short-term gold at 3457-3460, stop loss at 3469, target at 3420-3400; Key points: First support level: 3422, second support level: 3405, third support level: 3390 First resistance level: 3446, second resistance level: 3458, third resistance level: 3472
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
As conflict escalates, gold is cautiously long📰 Impact of news: 1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates 📈 Market analysis: The worsening geopolitical situation caused a surge in gold prices. The intraday short-term support points of 3420, 3402, and 3380 will all become key support for testing bulls. If the European session is strong, 3420 cannot be lost. If it falls back and loses, it will move closer to the top and bottom conversion position of 3402. If you go long later, you must pay attention to the weakening of the upward momentum. If the European session continues to break the high of 3440, then the US session can be seen around 3468-3493. If the upward momentum in the European session weakens, we need to watch out for a short-selling counterattack and a sharp decline. The geopolitical situation is unstable. Bros must strictly control SL when trading independently. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3420-3402-3380 TP 3390-3400-3420-3460-3490 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
GOLD GOLD ,the sudden rise in price from Asian session is driven by central bank purchase ,gold is heading to 3600 if 3400-3397 retest is successful . the high of today 3444 on supply roof structure from the 3500 all time high, will need correction into demand floor where we look to unlock next wave of buy at 3400-3397 with the hope that 3500 is retested. the dollar index 97.620 demand floor on retest bought and moved in the same direction with Gold by ignoring inverse correlation ,this price movement is reflecting fear, geopolitical tension ,economic instability and inflation concern in the global market. the yesterday economic data print will be watched by feds PPI (Producer Price Index) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.5%). Core PPI (ex-food/energy) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.4%). Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 247K). Headline CPI: MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior 0.2%). YoY: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast, prior 2.3%). Core CPI (ex-food/energy): MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior 0.2%). Despite softer inflation, unemployment held at 4.2% in May, and wage growth stayed elevated (3.9% YoY). This gives the Fed flexibility to prioritize inflation containment over premature easing. Policy Implications: Near-Term Hold: The Fed is almost certain to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in June, aligning with its "higher for longer" stance. The Fed will view May’s CPI as encouraging but insufficient to justify imminent rate cuts. While inflation moderation supports a dovish pivot later in 2025, policymakers will demand more evidence of sustained disinflation and clarity on tariff impacts before easing. The Fed will use the datas as reinforcing evidence for rate cuts in 2025, but policymakers will likely wait for June CPI (July 11) and Q2 GDP before committing. While PPI and jobless claims suggest easing inflation and labor momentum, the Fed’s cautious stance on tariffs and services inflation means a September cut remains the baseline scenario, contingent on sustained disinflation. #gold
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
2