XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD trade ideas
Buy on dips and seize rising opportunities📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
The market opened higher in the morning and then continued to fall. From a medium-term perspective, the market is still in a medium-term bullish position. The price will only be under further pressure if it breaks below the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. Judging from the 1H chart, the short-term death cross continues to fall. At the same time, according to the 4H level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3403. This support is the key watershed of the short-term trend. As long as it does not fall below this support, the bulls still have a chance.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3413-3403
TP 3430-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold prices look set to reach a fresh ATHGold prices are up on Israel's attack on Iran, as traders and investors buy to hedge against inflation and the higher geopolitical war. Watch the video to learn what levels traders are watching.
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XAU/USD 13 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,444.495.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
xau/usdTRADE 3 AS MUCH AS I HATE GOING AGIAST THE TREND IN GOLD I always get caught slipping i do belive that gold needs to have a reversal but im always wrong i would wait for gold to come lower in price range to pull the trigger on a buy just because gold is a mother FU********* and i do see gold is still bullish
June 19, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Gold continues to trade within the 3365–3400 range without a decisive breakout.
Today’s strategy: Sell near resistance, buy near support while the range holds.
If price holds above 3386, bullish momentum may gradually strengthen.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3420 – Resistance
• 3406 – Range top
• 3400 – Psychological level
• 3396 – Resistance
• 3386 – Bull-bear divider
• 3380 – Resistance
• 3371 – Support
• 3365 – Intraday key support
• 3350 – Midpoint support
📉 Intraday Strategy:
1. SELL if price breaks below 3365 → watch 3360, then 3355, 3350, 3346
2. BUY if price holds above 3386 → watch 3391, then 3396, 3400, 3403
👉 If you found this useful, please drop a like! Your support lets me know whether there’s demand for a post on how I enter and place stops — still planning to release it soon!
Disclaimer: Personal view, not financial advice. Trade with discipline and manage your risk.
GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 1H ANALYSIS BULLISH STRUCTURE HOLDING STRONG📈 GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 1H ANALYSIS – BULLISH STRUCTURE HOLDING STRONG! 🚀✨
🔍 Overview:
Gold is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel 📊, showing clear bullish intent. Price action has respected the lower channel support, bouncing strongly from a key demand zone highlighted in blue.
🟦 Support Zone:
The price is consolidating just above the $3,385–$3,390 support zone 🛡️, which has acted as a springboard multiple times in the past. This area aligns perfectly with the lower trendline, increasing its reliability.
📍 Key Price Targets:
🎯 $3,402 – First breakout confirmation and minor resistance.
🎯 $3,422 – Mid-level target, possible resistance.
🎯 $3,452 – High-probability target if bullish momentum continues.
🎯 $3,460+ – Extended target aligning with the channel top.
📈 Technical Structure:
Price is respecting higher lows and higher highs, maintaining bullish momentum.
A breakout above $3,402 could trigger the next leg up.
Market is forming a bullish flag/pennant consolidation—potential breakout pending ⏳.
⚠️ Risk Zone:
A break below the demand zone and the channel could invalidate the bullish setup ❌. Close monitoring of lower structure is essential.
✅ Conclusion:
As long as price holds above the key support zone and within the ascending channel, bullish continuation remains the favored scenario. A breakout above interim resistance levels could send Gold toward $3,450+! 🌟📊
🔔 Watch for bullish confirmation candles or volume spikes before entry!
📅 Chart published: June 18, 2025 | XAU/USD | 1H timeframe
🧠 Strategy: Bullish breakout play 📈
💡 Sentiment: Moderately Bullish ♻️
Gold fluctuates under pressure. Can it break out?Information summary:
The conflict between Iran and Israel has entered the fifth day, Tel Aviv air raid alarms are frequent, and the fire of oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz has exacerbated the panic of energy transportation, and safe-haven buying supports gold prices;
Trump's contradictory statement of "peace talks + toughness" has exacerbated the market's differences on the direction of the conflict, and risk aversion has fluctuated repeatedly.
In the early Asian session, spot gold fluctuated narrowly at $3,375, continuing the stalemate under the geopolitical conflict and the game of the US dollar. As the "king of safe havens", gold has recently bottomed out and rebounded based on the tension in the Middle East, and the current price fluctuates around 3,395.
Market analysis:
The four-hour chart shows that the moving average is sticking to wait for a breakthrough in the direction, and the short-term moving average is sticking to $3,380. The RSI indicator fluctuates around 50, suggesting that a breakthrough will be ushered in after a narrow consolidation; the lower rail support of the rising channel moves up to $3,370, and if it fails, it may test $3,350.
At present, the price is repeatedly testing the resistance position of 3400. If the price stands above this position, it may continue to rise to around 3430. If it breaks the support of 3370 US dollars, it will look to 3360 US dollars.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3400, stop loss 3410, profit range 3370-3365.
If the price falls back to around 3370, you can try to go long, and the profit point is around 3390.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 18th June 2024)Asian + London Session
Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-Unemployment Claims
-Federal Funds Rate
-FOMC Statement
-FOMC Economic Projections
Notes:
- Uncertainty on geopolitical tension
- No exact bias, waiting for FOMC
statement for indication
- Potential BUY/SELL if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3440,3350
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Gold June 17, 2025As of today, the market continues to grapple with elevated U.S. debt issuance concerns, stubborn inflation pressures, and shifts in global demand for Treasuries. The newly surfaced economic editorial emphasizes a core macro concern: the United States' soaring public debt, now pushing toward $29 trillion in outstanding Treasuries, equivalent to roughly 95% of GDP. The issuance has notably skewed toward long-duration instruments, with the Treasury borrowing heavier through notes and bonds, particularly with $1.8 trillion in deficit projected in 2024 alone. This surge in long-term supply places upward pressure on yields — especially in the absence of strong foreign demand, which has been in steady decline.
In the backdrop, recent performance in U.S. equity sectors reveals a pivot toward value and inflation-sensitive segments. Energy (XLE) has outperformed on both a 1D (+1.63%) and YTD basis (+9.11%), signaling real-asset rotation. Communications (XLC +1.72%) and Technology (XLK +1.62%) show strength, likely reflecting a rebound from oversold levels. Financials (XLF), however, remain volatile, with capital continuing to favor sectors like Industrials (XLI +0.65%) and Materials (XLB +0.85%) as proxies for infrastructure and dollar hedging. Real Estate (XLRE +0.87%) is showing a temporary bounce, but remains a laggard over the longer term due to yield sensitivity.
Factor performance is confirming this rotation narrative. IPOs (+1.2%), spin-offs (+0.3%), and buybacks (+0.3%) are leading the qualitative factors, while style preferences are leaning toward growth and small-cap recovery, albeit from deeply underperforming levels YTD. Momentum and low-volatility factors are currently lagging. On a size-style basis, Mid-Cap Growth and Small-Cap Growth are recovering modestly, but the broader landscape suggests market participants are still defensive and selectively rotating.
The fixed income landscape remains under stress. U.S. Treasury ETF performance continues to reflect pressure at the longer end. The 20Y (TLT) and 30Y durations have lost between -0.77% to -1.03% over the latest session, signaling reluctance from institutional buyers to absorb long-end supply without higher compensation. Across the curve, U.S. yields remain elevated, with the 2Y at 3.958%, 10Y at 4.428%, and 30Y at 4.933%. Notably, international yields remain divergent — Japan's 30Y yield has reached 2.335%, while the U.K. 30Y sits at 5.276%, reflecting inflation persistence in developed Europe.
Meanwhile, the credit complex is firming in high-grade corners. ETFs like LQD (+0.36%) and BLKN (+0.34%) are gaining, while high-yield names (HYG: flat) and convertibles (-0.01%) remain flat or down. Preferred stock and floating rate paper are being held as rate-insulated yield vehicles. International credit is mixed — EMLC (Local EM Bonds) is positive (+0.11%), while USD-based emerging debt (EMB) is flat.
Commodities are providing solid macro signals. Brent crude is up +1.73%, WTI +1.67%, and natural gas +0.58%, highlighting a renewed inflation hedge dynamic. Gold (XAUUSD) is slightly down at $3,382.06 (-0.04%), but remains near breakout levels with YTD performance near +29%. Silver and copper continue to hold recent gains, while agriculture is mixed: Corn (-2.14%) and Sugar (-1.16%) are under pressure, while Soybeans, Wheat, and Live Cattle are in mild recovery.
On the global equities side, South Korea, Brazil, and India lead EM flows, buoyed by rising commodity prices and a modestly weaker USD. Brazil (EWZ) is up 1.8% YTD and climbing, South Korea (EWY) is at +1.3%, and India (EPI) continues to trend higher. Developed markets (France, Germany, U.K.) are soft, while Canada (+26.9% YTD) remains a notable outperformer, aided by energy and resource exports. In the U.S., SPY is up 0.95% on the day and +12.45% YTD.
In terms of actionable positioning: gold remains a buy on dips as long as real yields stay capped and auction demand remains cautious. U.S. long-end bonds are to be avoided or shorted on rallies given increasing supply and muted demand. Energy and materials sectors continue to offer inflation protection, while financials and REITs should be traded tactically around auction and CPI prints. Equity allocations should lean toward value/momentum hybrids with capital discipline and dividend backing, while growth/multiple expansion names should be watched closely for signs of overextension.
All in all, market behavior is currently being dictated by a blend of inflation expectations, sovereign credit concerns (especially U.S. debt overhang), and rotation into defensively pro-cyclical sectors. With the Treasury supply pipeline growing and buyers rotating away from long bonds, the next key market catalyst will likely emerge from either a weak bond auction or a sharp reacceleration in core inflation. Until then, portfolios should be tactically balanced, yield-aware, and commodity-hedged.
Is gold a short-term correction or a bull market turning point?Market news:
The London gold price has experienced a significant correction after hitting an eight-week high. Spot gold fell more than 1% on Monday, wiping out all the gains of last Friday. However, the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, especially the continued conflict between Israel and Iran, still provides support for international gold prices. The upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting has become the focus of market attention.The continued tension in the Middle East is an important driving factor for the recent fluctuations in spot gold. The conflict between Israel and Iran has escalated significantly since June 12. Israel's air strikes on the Iranian National Radio and Television Building and the Natanz uranium enrichment plant have caused serious damage to Iran's nuclear facilities. In addition to geopolitical factors, the policy trends of the Federal Reserve also have an important impact on international gold.For gold, the Federal Reserve's maintenance of high interest rates usually puts pressure on its price, because gold, as an interest-free asset, is less attractive in a high-interest rate environment. However, geopolitical risks and rising inflation expectations may offset some of the negative impacts, causing gold prices to remain volatile in the short term. Investors should pay close attention to the latest developments in the situation between Israel and Iran, the results of the G7 summit, and the Federal Reserve's economic forecasts, while being wary of the short-term impact of market sentiment and technical factors on gold prices. The monthly rate of US retail sales (commonly known as "horror data") will also be released on this trading day, and investors also need to pay close attention!
Technical review:
Technically, the daily price of gold is still running above the MA10/7-day moving average at 3364, the RSI indicator is above the value of the middle axis 50, and the price is running in the upper track of the Bollinger Band channel. The short-term four-hour chart MA10/7-day moving average high 3420 dead cross opens downward, the price pulls back to the middle track of the Bollinger Band, and the RSI indicator retreats to the middle axis. The short-term formation is a bearish shock and fall, but the gold price is still in the buying structure channel on the daily and weekly charts. The main idea of today's trading is to sell at a high price and buy at a low price! Gold began to pull back when the situation eased. The fermentation of this round of news was relatively restrained by large funds, and did not test the high point of 3500 upwards. Overall, the increase in gold prices was not large, and there was still a process of pulling. The fundamentals have not changed, and gold is still in a bull market. As we said before, if we keep above the key point of 3400, gold will continue to be bought. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices should focus on the daily cycle MA5 support and the weekly level MA5 support to buy!
Today's analysis:
Gold continues to weaken in the short term. After the rapid decline last night, the rebound strength is not strong at all. It is obvious that there is a large selling pressure above. For the market that broke the original upward trend, we also said last night that the decline is not very large. It just changed from buying to shock. Our intraday operations can be sold in the short term first!Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still buying. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize before we go to buy the bottom. I will say later that in the current market, we can only follow the trend. We will do whatever the market goes!
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3383-3385, stop loss at 3372, target at 3420-3440;
Sell short-term gold at 3420-3423, stop loss at 3432, target at 3390-3370;
Key points:
First support level: 3383, second support level: 3372, third support level: 3353
First resistance level: 3418, second resistance level: 3430, third resistance level: 3450
Middle East tensions rise, gold eyes 3500 this week
🌍 Over the weekend, tensions in the Middle East escalated sharply, with geopolitical conflicts further intensifying. Multiple forces were drawn into the fray, the scope of conflict expanded continuously, and related military actions triggered widespread international concern, significantly increasing regional uncertainty. This geopolitical instability has had a profound impact on global financial markets, causing a notable decline in investors' risk appetite. Against this backdrop, gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has once again become the top choice for investors. The market expects that as the Middle East situation continues to ferment in the coming week, risk-averse sentiment will remain high, and gold is expected to continue benefiting from this trend, with a high likelihood of breaking through the key $3,500 mark 📈.
Additionally, this week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's speech will also be key factors influencing the trend of gold prices. Recent U.S. economic data has been mixed, and fluctuations in inflation figures as well as subtle changes in the job market have left the market full of uncertainty about the Fed's monetary policy direction. If the Fed signals a dovish stance in its interest rate decision, hinting at the possibility of future rate cuts, gold prices will undoubtedly gain further upward momentum. A lower interest rate environment reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold while weakening the appeal of the U.S. dollar, thus prompting more funds to flow into the gold market. Conversely, if the Fed adopts a hawkish stance, emphasizing the maintenance of current interest rates or even hinting at possible future rate hikes, this will exert certain pressure on gold prices ⚖️.
Equally noteworthy is that U.S. President Trump will visit Canada from June 15th to 17th to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit. Trump's words and deeds in international affairs often carry significant influence and uncertainty. At this summit, his speeches and interactions with other world leaders may trigger a reassessment of the global economic and trade situation by the market, thereby causing fluctuations in gold prices 📊. For example, if Trump makes tough statements on trade policies, geopolitics, etc., it may exacerbate market concerns and push gold prices higher; if he conveys more positive signals of cooperation, market risk appetite may recover, and gold prices may face certain correction pressure. Therefore, investors need to closely monitor every move of Trump at the summit to timely grasp investment opportunities and risks in the gold market 👀
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3410 - 3415
🚀 TP 3480 - 3490
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Rises Amid Growing Economic RisksXAU/USD (Gold) Rises Amid Growing Economic Risks
Gold surged 1.5% on Friday during Asian trading as investors sought refuge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. The safe-haven demand pushed gold prices closer to a 7-week high. If the conflict intensifies further, prices could potentially reach the $3,500 mark.
Resistance zone 3450 / 3480
Support Level 3420 / 3410
Technically if the gold consolidation 3420 above continues to start the resistance Growth may continue you may see more details in the chart.
Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Gold is rising, will there be a new intraday high?Yesterday, gold closed with an engulfing positive line, and the closing line stood above the 5-day and 10-day moving averages.
From the analysis of gold in 1 hour, the current price is still in a fluctuating upward channel. Based on this technical pattern feature, if the subsequent economic data is positive and pushes the gold price to further strengthen, it may form a trading opportunity for shorting at a staged high. Although the gold price showed a rapid upward trend after the data was released, there has been obvious resistance in the historical trading concentration range of 3400-3410. The current bullish momentum has no technical conditions to break through this position, and the technical correction after the price surge is in line with the price behavior logic.
The current price has reached a high of around 3398. After today's rise, there is not much room for upward movement; since the market is rising in a volatile manner this week, it is not suitable to chase the rise directly. Although the 4-hour Bollinger Band opening continues to diverge upward and the moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, the upward momentum is slightly insufficient and may be under pressure to move downward near 3410. I suggest that all traders short at high levels.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3410, stop loss at 3420, profit range 3360-3355. If it breaks through 3355, it may hit the intraday low below 3340.