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GOLD trade ideas

Gold Outlook: From Resistance Rejection to Bullish Revival1. Recap of Yesterday's Expectations In my previous analysis, I highlighted the 3340–3350 zone as key resistance and suggested that any rise into that area could give sellers a better entry. ✅ Indeed, price rallied into that zone and was rejected, validating the plan. 2. What Happened Next? After rejecting the resistance, gold touched 3300 again, but again, the bulls stepped in: 🔹 A higher low formed compared to the previous day. 🔹 This suggests the market is now shifting its structure from down to potential up. 3. Why 3300 Looks Like the New Floor Several bullish clues: - The quick bounce back to 3330 shows buying power. - Price structure is developing a series of higher lows. - This suggests growing confidence from buyers. 4. Trading Plan 🔸 A break above 3340 would confirm bullish momentum and open the door toward 3400 again. 🔸 Any dives toward 3300 should now be viewed as potential buying opportunities. 5. Final Thoughts The market is telling a story of bullish pressure building under 3340 and potential break back above. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
4
XAUUSD: Trading Strategy for Technical Correction CycleThe morning strategy has realized profits, and the gold price has entered a technical correction cycle. From a technical perspective, gold prices were resisted near $3,380, with short-term moving averages forming suppression, and the RSI indicator falling back from overbought territory, indicating weakening bullish momentum and clear correction demand. Core shorting range: $3,375 - $3,385 - When the price rebounds above $3,380 and falls back, with long upper shadows or bearish engulfing patterns appearing on K-lines; - The 4-hour MACD confirms a bearish cross, and the green momentum bars start to expand. First target: $3,360 - $3,365 - Supported by the middle (middle band) of the hourly Bollinger Bands. Second target: $3,350 - $3,355 - Supported by the 5-day moving average on the daily chart, resonating with previous lows. - Stop-loss level: $3,395 (10 USD above the previous high to control single-trade risk) - Position management: It is recommended to use a 10% position. If the price hits the resistance at $3,385, positions can be built in batches (5% + 5%) to reduce the risk of chasing gains. I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 19Gold technical analysis Daily level upper resistance 3500 lower support 3338 4-hour upper resistance 3419 lower support 3361 1-hour upper resistance 3400 lower support 3366 Gold news analysis: This week, gold rose to 3450 with the help of regional conflicts and then fell, eventually falling below the 3400 integer mark. Combining the intraday trend and the gradually downward movement of the high point in the weekly chart, it can be seen that the short-sellers' control in the market is gradually increasing. From a technical point of view, yesterday's decline drove the gold price to run below the middle track of the Bollinger band again, and the short-term 5-day moving average also fell. Although there is still a possibility of a rebound in the short term, the overall pattern is bearish. The Bollinger band has signs of closing, which means that there may be a shock adjustment in the future, especially the rebound strength after the support is worth paying attention to. Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the four-hour level 3365 and the one-hour level 3366 support, and the upper pressure focuses on the vicinity of 3419. The short-term long-short strength and weakness dividing line is near 3361. Continue to buy on dips before the four-hour level falls below this position. Buy: 3361near SL: 3355 Buy: 3400near SL: 3995
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold rebounds under pressure but can be shortedFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3343-45, and the short-term resistance above is around 3380-83. Focus on the suppression of 3408-3415. Continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Gold operation strategy: 1. Go long on gold when it falls back to 3343-45, stop loss at 3334, target 3385-3390, and continue to hold if it breaks; 2. Go short on gold when it rebounds to 3380-85, stop loss at 3395, target 3345-50;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WardBloomer
GOLD On June 18, 2025, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims came in at 245,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous 250,000 and in line with forecasts around 246,000. Interpretation of the Data: Current Level: Claims are stabilizing near the highest levels seen in the past eight months but remain historically low overall, indicating the labor market is slowing but still relatively resilient. Labor Market Momentum: The slight decline suggests a modest easing in layoffs but also reflects a gradual loss of labor market momentum, consistent with softer hiring trends seen in recent months. Seasonal and Technical Factors: Some elevation in claims is attributed to seasonal factors such as summer school breaks allowing non-teaching personnel to claim benefits, and technical adjustments. Impact on Markets and Fed Policy: The Fed views stable but slightly elevated claims as a sign that the labor market is cooling but not weakening sharply. This supports the expectation that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% in the June 18TH meeting while monitoring future data for signs of further labor market weakening or inflation pressures. The data reduces immediate pressure for aggressive rate cuts but keeps the door open for gradual easing later in the year if the labor market softens further. Federal Reserve June 2025 FOMC Decision and Market Implications 1. Federal Funds Rate Decision The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 4.25%–4.50% at its June 18, 2025 meeting, marking the fourth consecutive meeting with no change in rates. 2. FOMC Economic Projections The Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), including the "dot plot," was released alongside the rate decision. Key highlights: Policymakers continue to project two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025, but the timing remains data-dependent and could shift if inflation or labor market conditions change. The Fed’s economic outlook reflects slower growth, slightly higher unemployment, and persistent inflation risks compared to earlier in the year. The median forecast for core PCE inflation in 2025 is 2.8%, with GDP growth expected at 1.7%. The unemployment rate is projected to rise modestly, with the labor market showing signs of gradual cooling. 3. FOMC Statement Highlights The FOMC statement emphasized a data-dependent approach, noting that while inflation is easing, it remains above the 2% target. The committee acknowledged mixed economic signals: inflation is moderating, but labor market participation has declined and global uncertainties (tariffs, geopolitical tensions) persist. The Fed reiterated its commitment to maintaining restrictive policy until there is greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward target. 4. FOMC Press Conference (7:30pm) Chair Jerome Powell reinforced the Fed’s cautious stance, stating that the committee needs to see more evidence of sustained progress on inflation before considering rate cuts. Powell highlighted that the timing and pace of future rate cuts will depend on incoming data, particularly regarding inflation and labor market trends. The press conference also addressed external risks, including the impact of tariffs and geopolitical events on the economic outlook. 5. Market and Economic Implications Bond Yields and Dollar: The decision to hold rates steady, combined with cautious forward guidance, is likely to keep the 10-year Treasury yield and the U.S. dollar relatively stable in the near term. Rate Cut Expectations: Markets continue to price in the first rate cut for September 2025, but the Fed’s projections suggest a slower and more data-driven path to easing. Key Risks: Upside risks to inflation (e.g., from energy prices or tariffs) and downside risks to growth (e.g., from labor market softening) remain central to the Fed’s outlook. 6. Summary Table Federal Funds Rate 4.25%–4.50% (unchanged) No immediate change in borrowing costs Rate Cut Projections 2 cuts in 2025 (data-dependent) First cut likely in September Core PCE Inflation 2.8% (2025 forecast) Above target, supports cautious Fed GDP Growth 1.7% (2025 forecast) Slower growth outlook Unemployment Rate Gradual increase expected Labor market cooling Conclusion The Fed’s June 2025 decision reflects a steady, cautious approach amid persistent inflation and a gradually cooling labor market. The committee remains data-driven, with future rate cuts contingent on clear evidence of sustained progress toward its inflation and employment goals. #GOLD # DXY
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD - 4H Breakout and Retest Setup🟡🟡🟡 🕒 June 17, 2025 Bias: Medium-Term Bullish Structure: Breakout → Retest → Continuation Context: Trendline break + confluence with EMA + prior resistance turned support 🔍 Market Structure Insight: Major descending trendline broken with strong impulsive momentum. Pullback held at the intersection of: Broken trendline retest EMA 60 dynamic support Bullish structure of HL-HH (Higher Low / Higher High) Strong bullish candle at support ✅ Trade Plan – Buy Stop Setup Entry (Buy Stop): 3402 SL: 3373 (below the pullback structure + EMAs) TP1: 3430 (local resistance area) TP2: 3470 (measured move from previous leg height) #XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #Forex #EMA #SqueezePlay #TrianglePattern #tradingview #MJTrading
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by MJElahifx
4
GOLD - Price can continue to fall to bottom part of flatHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price grew inside a rising channel, where it reached $3050 level and then broke it. After this, price reached resistance line of channel and then made a correction to support line and then made an upward impulse. Next, price exited from channel and continued to grow to $3430 level and even rose higher, but soon turned around. Price made a fake breakout of this level and then started ot trades inside a flat, where it fell to bottom part. Also, it made a gap, and later Gold started to grow to a resistance area, and when it reached this area, it bounced down. At the moment, I expect that Gold will grow to resistance area and then drop to $3135 bottom part of flat. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
7
Strong support at 3365/3350In recent years, following the easing of high inflation pressures in the U.S., the Federal Reserve has maintained a high-interest-rate policy, a decision that has significantly impacted gold and U.S. dollar markets: high rates have boosted the U.S. dollar while suppressing gold demand 📉. This week, gold prices defied market expectations: fueled by geopolitical conflicts, gold surged last Friday and opened higher on Monday, only to trend lower thereafter ⬇️. The hourly chart shows a series of lower lows, with 3,400 emerging as short-term resistance, while gold currently oscillates around 3,380 🔄. With key economic data pending release, gold may still rebound (the initial jobless claims data was advanced to Wednesday) ⏰. Technically, gold remains in a unilateral uptrend on the daily chart, with strong support at 3,365/3,350 from the 5-day and 10-day moving averages—though not yet in an extremely strong trend 📈. Key resistances lie at 3,430/3,450: a break above 3,450 could pave the way for a challenge to the previous high of 3,500 🏔️! ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 3365 - 3375 🚀 TP 3395 - 3405 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_1
XAUUSD – Gold breaks trend: Is a deeper fall coming?Gold has officially broken the ascending trendline that had held since mid-May, confirming a breakdown in the bullish structure. After failing to breach the strong resistance at 3,445 USD, selling pressure intensified, driving the price down to 3,390 USD — yesterday’s closing level. This move came right after the FOMC meeting, where the Fed held interest rates steady but maintained a hawkish tone, strengthening the USD and weighing heavily on gold. While tensions in the Middle East continue to offer short-term support, U.S. monetary policy remains the dominant force. Without a fresh geopolitical shock, gold appears increasingly vulnerable to a deeper correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
Gold price analysis June 18Yesterday's D1 candle was a Doji candle. It shows the hesitation of buyers and sellers at the price near ATH. The h4 structure is a sustainable bullish wave structure and is heading towards higher hooks. The 3400 zone is the immediate resistance zone that Gold is heading towards. This zone will be the breakout zone for the confirmation of the candle closing above 3400. The profit-taking reaction zone of sellers at 3415 acts as a price reaction when the price uptrend returns and creates momentum towards 3443. On the other hand, the breakout point of 3472, if broken, will push the price to the support zone of 3343
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation? XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation? Gold surprised many traders with a sharp spike during the Asian session, only to reverse aggressively hours later. While headlines screamed “war” and panic, the price behavior told a different story—one of strategic distribution and smart money rotation... 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Context Geopolitical triggers: Rising tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran) and political assassinations triggered emotional buying across safe-haven assets like gold and oil. Institutional rotation: Major funds appear to be offloading gold positions to rebalance into equities (in correction) and oil (strong upside potential). Market narrative: News-induced FOMO drives retail into overbought zones, allowing larger players to exit at premium prices. 📈 Technical Overview (M30 Structure) Price Action: Gold tapped into major resistance at 3456–3458, showing an aggressive rejection shortly after. EMA Behavior: EMAs (13/34/89/200) are flattening across M15 and M30—early signs of a possible bearish crossover. Volume Drop: Declining volume after the spike suggests buyer exhaustion, reinforcing the idea of a bull trap. Fair Value Gap (FVG): A visible liquidity void remains below the 3390 area. Price often returns to fill these zones. 🎯 Trading Plan for Today ✅ Scenario A: Buy from Demand Zone (Liquidity Fill) Entry: 3383 – 3385 Stop Loss: 3377 Targets: 3386 → 3390 → 3394 → 3398 → 3402 → 3406 → 3410+ 📌 Best executed during London or NY session if price shows absorption or reversal confirmation. ❌ Scenario B: Sell from Resistance Only on Clear Rejection Entry: 3456 – 3458 Stop Loss: 3462 Targets: 3452 → 3448 → 3444 → 3440 → 3435 → 3430 ⚠️ Only enter shorts if clear bearish engulfing or pin-bar setup forms near resistance zone. 🧠 Market Psychology Retail FOMO is being exploited by larger players to exit risk positions. Liquidity engineering is likely in play—smart money drives price up on headlines, then exits into buyer momentum. Equity & Oil rotation signals a shift in institutional preference short-term. 📌 Final Thoughts This isn’t a time to chase breakouts. Gold is entering a volatile re-accumulation phase where news is being weaponized to induce emotional trading. The real edge lies in waiting for price to come to your level and only executing with confirmation. 🎯 Zone to Watch: 3383 – 3385 📉 Avoid chasing moves 📊 Respect your SL & manage risk like a pro — 🧭 Stay patient. The next big move will reward those with discipline and timing.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 Fundamental Analysis: Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East continue to escalate, with intense clashes between Israel and Iran driving gold prices higher. However, Federal Reserve officials have recently sent frequent hawkish signals, emphasizing the need to maintain interest rates to control inflation and downplaying expectations of rate cuts. Additionally, U.S. trade agreements with multiple nations are gradually being finalized, which could potentially provide bearish momentum for gold at any time. Overall, gold is trending to rise first and then fall. Technical Analysis: The 4-hour chart shows gold steadily advancing within an ascending channel, with strong bullish momentum. Resistance is near 3,450, while support currently stands at 3,400. However, it is important to note that after a short-term rapid rally, prices may need a pullback for correction. Trading Recommendations: Aggressive traders may initiate light long positions near 3,400–3,410, targeting 3,450; if this level is broken, extend the target to 3,470–3,475. If prices face resistance near 3,450 during upward attempts, consider light short positions. Trading Strategy: buy@3400-3410 TP:3450-3470 sell@3460-3450 TP:3420-3400 Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MonicaLongman
GOLD On June 18, 2025, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims came in at 245,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous 250,000 and in line with forecasts around 246,000. Interpretation of the Data: Current Level: Claims are stabilizing near the highest levels seen in the past eight months but remain historically low overall, indicating the labor market is slowing but still relatively resilient. Labor Market Momentum: The slight decline suggests a modest easing in layoffs but also reflects a gradual loss of labor market momentum, consistent with softer hiring trends seen in recent months. Seasonal and Technical Factors: Some elevation in claims is attributed to seasonal factors such as summer school breaks allowing non-teaching personnel to claim benefits, and technical adjustments. Impact on Markets and Fed Policy: The Fed views stable but slightly elevated claims as a sign that the labor market is cooling but not weakening sharply. This supports the expectation that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% in the June 18TH meeting while monitoring future data for signs of further labor market weakening or inflation pressures. The data reduces immediate pressure for aggressive rate cuts but keeps the door open for gradual easing later in the year if the labor market softens further. #GOLD
CITYINDEX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
Will gold continue to rise after a pullback?From the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10, and the short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high. Gold operation strategy: Gold goes long when it falls back to 3410, and goes long when it falls back to 3380, with a stop loss of 3380, and the target is 3445-3450. Continue to hold if it breaks;
FX:XAUUSDLong
by MonaBert
Gold bulls may restart at any time, buy gold!Although compared with the performance of gold during the day, gold only touched 3452 and then began to retreat, and even failed to approach the previous high of 3500, gold is not strong; but based on the current fundamentals and technical structure, gold is currently in a very strong bullish structure; so I think the gold retracement is not a sign of gold weakness, but to increase liquidity, so that gold can rise better and prepare in advance for breaking through 3500! Gold bulls are ready to restart at any time after the retracement! So for short-term trading, I don’t think the gold retracement is a reason for weakness, nor is it a certificate for chasing short gold; on the contrary, I think the gold retracement is a good time to buy on dips; first of all, the support area we have to pay attention to is the 3410-3400 area, and the second must pay attention to the 3390-3380 area support. So in the next transaction, we might as well use these two support areas as defense and start to go long on gold in batches!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Gold Pullback in Uptrend Amid Middle East Tensions: Buy the Dip？📊 Clearly visible on the chart: current pullback within an uptrend. 🔍 News paradox: Despite escalating Middle East tensions 🌍, gold is trending lower—a key reason to emphasize buying the dip recently (watch out for bear trap scenarios 🚫📉). 💡 Trading logic breakdown: Fed statement yesterday caused minimal volatility (market expectations priced in 💨); This week’s pattern: Asian session rallies 📈 followed by post-Asian pullbacks 📉; Entry strategy: Use Asian session highs as resistance reference for entries 🎯. Technical reinforcement: Risk alert: Geopolitical bullishness ignored → classic bear trap signal (bear trap 🚫); Timing: Asian session highs form intraday resistance 🎯—look to enter on retracement. Chart says it all—normal pullback in an uptrend 📊. Ironically, while Middle East conflicts should be gold-positive 🌍, prices are moving lower—a textbook 'buy the panic' setup 🚀. Following this week’s playbook 📅 (Asian session highs followed by dips), focus on Asian session highs as a resistance anchor for entries ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 3345 - 3355 🚀 TP 3370 - 3380 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_1
Tend to short gold, it may still retrace to 3360-3350 areaAt present, gold as a whole is still fluctuating in the 3395-3365 area. In the short term, both long and short sides are not willing to break through. They may be waiting for the guidance of the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's monetary policy press conference. However, from the current oscillation structure, because the high point of gold rebound and the low point of retracement are gradually moving downward, the center of gravity of the candlestick chart is shifting downward, and the weight of gold shorts is slightly higher. From the current structure, 3395-3405 has become a new round of pressure area. Gold has been unable to break through for a long time, and has tried to accelerate downward many times during the retracement process. Although it can stabilize above 3375-3365, it may be easier to break through below after several tests. Once the 3375-3365 area is broken, gold may even continue to move to the 3360-3350 area. Therefore, within the 3395-3365 oscillation range, we can temporarily maintain the trading rhythm of selling high and buying low in the short term, while we must pay attention to the breakthrough of gold. Once gold breaks through, the trend may be continued, and we need to follow the trend to execute transactions!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Gold Trading Strategy June 16There is not much surprise when the price gap up appeared on Monday morning there is no barrier that can stop the price of gold from increasing towards ATH. Gold has a slight adjustment in Tokyo session after the price gap up touched the round resistance zone 3450. The adjustment may extend to 3413 in European session. This is a BUY zone with the expectation that Gold will regain the ATH hook. If broken, there will be some Scalping buy zones but the risk is quite high so to be safe, wait for 3398. In the long term, 3463 acts as temporary resistance for a reaction phase before Gold returns to its all-time high. Maybe before that, 3490 will have another price reaction before reaching the peak. Resistance: 3428 (Scalping) - 3444 - 3463 - 3490 Support: 3413- 3298
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
3