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CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

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GOLD trade ideas

[ TimeLine ] Gold 31 July 2025📆 Today’s Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025 📌 Upcoming Signal Dates: • July 31, 2025 (Thursday) — Single-candle setup • July 31–August 1, 2025 (Thursday–Friday) — Two-candle combined range 🧠 Trading Outlook & Notes ✅ Gold has recently dropped sharply from 3439 to 3298, and current conditions suggest this bearish momentum may continue. ✅ I’ll be actively trading both the July 31 and July 31–August 1 setups as part of my ongoing strategy testing and live analysis. ✅ This method and timing structure can also be applied to other assets like BTC, the US Index, and various commodities. ⚠️ For those taking a more cautious approach, it’s absolutely okay to skip the single-candle setup on July 31 and wait for the more confirmed 2-day range setup (July 31–August 1). 📋 Execution Guidelines 🔹 Range Identification: • Let the Hi-Lo range of the chosen candle(s) form completely. • Purple lines will mark these ranges on the chart. • After the daily close, charts will be updated to include a 60-pip buffer, Fibonacci zones, and relevant indicators. 🔹 Entry Conditions: • Trades are triggered only if price breaks above/below the full range, including the buffer zone. 🔹 Risk Management – Recovery Logic: • If the Stop Loss is triggered, the trade is exited or switched, and the next valid breakout setup will use a doubled lot size to attempt recovery. 📉📈 Chart Snapshot 🔗 Paste this in TradingView: TV/x/fykxBG6w/ 📌 Stick to the plan, follow the system, and let the chart lead the way. 🛡️ Capital protection comes first — always manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
GOLD (XAUUSD) Analysis : Major Break + Bullish Setup + Target🟩 Today’s GOLD Analysis based on Volume Behavior, Smart Money Traps & Market Structure (MMC) 🔍 Chart Breakdown and MMC Concepts Explained: 1. Preceding Downtrend – Smart Money Trap Initiated The chart begins with an extended downtrend, marking significant bearish pressure. However, deeper into the move, we notice price entering a Volume Absorption (VA) Zone — a key MMC signal where institutional orders quietly absorb aggressive retail selling. This Volume Absorption Zone is highlighted on the left of the chart. Smart money quietly positions longs here while inducing panic-selling from retail traders. Wicks and indecision candles show early signs of sell exhaustion. 2. QFL Breakdown & Liquidity Sweep The breakdown from the QFL (Quick Flip Level) is another hallmark of MMC behavior. The market intentionally breaks previous lows to trigger stop-loss clusters — known as a liquidity sweep or stop-hunt. Price aggressively drops to a well-marked demand zone. Massive bullish reaction from this zone confirms that smart money has completed accumulation. The QFL move is not a true breakout, but a trap, designed to mislead retail into chasing shorts. 3. Demand Zone Reaction – Shift in Momentum Price finds support at the demand zone (highlighted in green) and starts forming higher lows. This transition from lower lows to higher lows is a structural confirmation of market reversal. Buyers have regained control. Large bullish candles and wick rejections at key levels signal institutional entry. 4. SR Interchange Zone – Key MMC Confirmation One of the most important zones on this chart is the SR Interchange area. This level was previously resistance and is now acting as support — a concept known as support-resistance flip. MMC teaches us that this is where smart money re-tests the breakout zone to trap late sellers and confirm the trend. This zone is reinforced by: Previous rejections Retest with wicks Alignment with ascending trendline support 5. Minor & Major Resistance Levels Currently, price is attempting to break above a minor resistance at ~$3,330–3,332. If it breaks, the next major target lies at the ~$3,340–3,345 level, marked on the chart. This zone is crucial for short-term targets and may act as a profit-taking zone for early bulls. Once this major resistance is cleared, the trendline projection suggests a continuation toward higher highs. 📐 Trendline Analysis An ascending trendline is supporting price action. Each bounce off this line has led to higher lows — a clear sign of bullish intent. Trendline + SR Interchange = Confluence zone Traders should watch for bullish engulfing candles or strong wick rejections at this trendline area for re-entry or add-ons. 🧠 MMC Strategy Interpretation (Mirror Market Concepts) This chart perfectly follows the MMC logic: Trap retail sellers during the downtrend. Absorb their volume at a key zone (Volume Absorp). Sweep liquidity below QFL level. Reverse structure with a shift to higher highs and higher lows. Interchange SR zone to test buyers' strength. Continue trend post-confirmation with breakout above resistance. This is the classic "trap-to-trend" sequence smart money uses repeatedly in gold and other volatile markets. ✅ Trade Setup Summary: Bias: Strongly Bullish (based on market structure shift) Entry #1: Pullback into SR Interchange (ideal if price rejects 3,326–3,328) Entry #2: Break and retest of Minor Resistance (3,332–3,334) Targets: TP1: 3,340 (Major Resistance) TP2: 3,345–3,350 (Projection based on breakout path) Invalidation: Clean break below trendline and demand zone (~3,318) 🧭 Final Words for Traders: Gold is currently positioned at a critical junction where structure, volume, and institutional behavior all align. If you're following MMC strategies, this is a textbook scenario: Trap ✅ Absorption ✅ Structure Shift ✅ Trendline Support ✅ SR Interchange ✅ Now, we wait for confirmation and execute with discipline.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Sell Analysis – 30M Smart Money Concept Sell Analysis – 30M Smart Money Concept 📊 Chart Context: Timeframe: 30M Market: Gold (XAUUSD) Bias: Bearish – Scalp Sell --- 🔍 Key Observations: Premium Zone Rejection: Price tapped into a premium supply zone formed after a clear break of structure (BoS) to the downside. This confirms seller dominance at higher pricing levels. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Fill: The price filled a previous FVG imbalance and showed rejection without closing above the origin of the impulse. This shows liquidity grab behavior typical in smart money moves. Bearish Order Block Confirmation: A bearish OB was respected and reacted to. The latest candle shows strong rejection with a long upper wick and volume tapering — an early confirmation of potential entry trigger for scalp short. --- 🧨 Entry Strategy (Scalp Sell): Entry Zone: Inside the reaction to the OB and FVG (just below the premium zone) ✅ 3325 ~3330 Stop Loss: Just above the last high or FVG origin ✅ 3340 Take Profit: TP1: Towards the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg ✅ 3300 TP2: Below the discount zone, targeting liquidity under recent lows ✅ 3280 --- ⚠️ Risk Note: This is a scalping setup, not a swing trade. Higher timeframes still show mixed signals, so risk management is key. Avoid over-leveraging. --- 🏁 Summary: > A high-probability scalp sell setup confirmed by smart money concepts: BOS → FVG Fill → OB Rejection → Liquidity Grab → Bearish Continuation.
TVC:GOLDShort
by mmozafari1357
1
XAUUSD Technical Analysis – Bullish Continuation SetupXAUUSD Technical Analysis – Bullish Continuation Setup 📊 Market Structure Overview: The chart shows a clear bullish structure shift, marked by multiple Break of Structure (BOS) events that validate strength from buyers. After forming equal lows and a liquidity sweep at the strong support zone, price has aggressively moved higher, breaking through minor resistance levels and showing clear bullish intent. 🧱 Key Technical Elements: 🔹 1. Strong Support Zone (Demand Rejection) Price respected the strong demand zone between $3,260 – $3,280, where aggressive buying was seen after forming a bullish engulfing breakout. This zone aligns with previous demand and a major BOS, confirming institutional buying interest. 🔹 2. Bullish Order Flow & Break of Structure (BOS) Multiple BOS levels across July and early August highlight a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, indicating trend continuation. The most recent BOS after July 30 shows an impulsive break, confirming bullish dominance and clean order flow. 🔹 3. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) Bullish FVG (Mid-July): Price respected and bounced from this zone, showing previous imbalance was filled and used as a base for continuation. New FVG (Above $3,420): The current upside target lies within this area, acting as a magnet for price due to unfilled orders. 🔹 4. Buy-Side Liquidity & Target Zone The market is approaching a buy-side liquidity zone around $3,385, a key short-term target where previous highs and stop orders are likely pooled. If liquidity above $3,385 is taken efficiently, price may expand into the FVG zone between $3,420 – $3,460. 🔹 5. Bullish Confirmation & Momentum The candle structure shows a clean bullish impulsive move, followed by minor consolidation—likely a bullish flag/pennant indicating potential for further continuation. Momentum is favoring buyers, and short-term consolidation above $3,340 is healthy for continuation. 🔐 Liquidity & Institutional Narrative Equal Lows (EQL) and FVG fills suggest prior liquidity was swept and used to fuel institutional long positions. The recent BOS confirmed that smart money has shifted bias toward longs, and price is now targeting remaining inefficiencies to the upside. The clear alignment of BOS, liquidity sweep, and bullish FVGs reinforces a strong institutional footprint on this move. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: Level Type Price Zone (USD) 🔺 Resistance / FVG 3,420 – 3,460 🎯 Immediate Target 3,385 📉 Short-Term Support 3,340 – 3,320 🛡️ Major Demand Zone 3,260 – 3,280 📌 Conclusion & Outlook: XAUUSD has initiated a strong bullish leg from the demand zone, confirming accumulation and structural reversal. Price is now moving toward the buy-side liquidity target of $3,385, with potential continuation toward the FVG resistance zone of $3,420–$3,460. As long as price remains above the $3,320 structure support, the bullish bias remains intact. Any pullbacks should be seen as buying opportunities, especially on lower timeframe confirmations.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
XAUUSD Gold Swing Trading Plan – 1st Week of August 2025 (H4 TF)Strategy Type: Swing Trade (Multi-Day Positioning) Timeframe: H4 (4-hour) Market Bias: Bullish Continuation Risk Profile: Medium-to-Low Frequency, High Conviction Trade Style: Buy-the-Dip, Scale-out Strategy 🧠 Macro & Technical Outlook Gold is currently maintaining a bullish higher-high, higher-low structure on the H4 chart, reflecting continued strength from macro drivers including inflation hedging, softening USD, and a shift toward safe-haven assets amid geopolitical and economic uncertainty. The market has recently completed a local impulse wave and is entering a healthy retracement phase. This sets up a textbook swing opportunity, where pullbacks to key Fibonacci levels can be capitalised for the next bullish leg up. 🔍 H4 Trading Plan Summary ✅ Phase 1: Buy on Pullback to 3360 Entry Zone: 3360 (H4 support and key retracement level) Reasoning: Confluence of dynamic support and 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone of the previous H4 swing Former resistance turned support (RBS zone) Volume tapering and RSI cooling off — signalling a healthy setup for bullish continuation Entry Trigger: Bullish engulfing or pin bar candle on H4 Optional confirmation: RSI > 40 after bounce, MACD crossover Stop Loss: Below 3340 (beneath structural support) 🎯 Target 1: 3383 Why: Local resistance zone from previous H4 rejection wick Close to psychological level and good zone for first partial profit Action: Secure 25% profits Move SL to breakeven or +10 pips for risk-free continuation Wait for next retracement ✅ Phase 2: Wait for Pullback After 3383 Retracement Zone: Estimated dip to 3370–3375 (higher low area) Entry Trigger: Confirmation of strong bounce at this level with tight consolidation and breakout on smaller timeframes (M30/H1) 🎯 Target 2: 3430 Why: Strong historical resistance from early July Mid-level of long-term range (3330–3480) Often serves as decision point between accumulation or breakout Action: Secure additional 40–50% profits Trail SL below the most recent higher low (~3390) ✅ Phase 3: Final Position Hold Toward 3475 Retracement Zone: Likely dip to 3410–3420 after 3430 is reached Final Entry (Optional): Only if momentum is strong and structure holds Target 3: 3475 Why: Multi-month resistance and projected upside target from recent breakout Round number magnet + liquidity zone for larger institutional exits Action: Close remaining 25–30% of the position Reassess for breakout or reversal at 3475 ⚠️ Risk Management Plan Max exposure: 1.5–2% of account Stop losses fixed — no averaging down Use position sizing to handle swing duration volatility Scale-in only with structure confirmation 🔁 Summary Table Phase Buy Level Target SL Action Phase 1 3360 3383 3340 Partial TP, BE SL Phase 2 3370–3375 3430 3355–3365 Add size, secure more Phase 3 3410–3420 3475 3390 Final TP, full exit 📊 Indicators to Watch (H4) RSI: Look for 40–60 zone bounce and push toward 70 MACD: Cross above signal line confirms momentum Volume: Increased buy-side volume at 3360–3375 confirms entry strength 🧭 Fundamental Considerations Watch DXY: Weakness in Dollar continues to support Gold’s uptrend FOMC or Jobs Data Ahead?: Any surprise comments from Fed could introduce volatility Global Headlines: Risk-off flows (e.g., China/US tensions, war news) are bullish for Gold
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Khairambo
Gold rebound is weak, short below 3315 Gold remains weak, with multiple intraday rebounds failing to maintain momentum. The upper moving average continues to suppress the market, and the short-term market remains dominated by bears. Today, we are following the trend and taking a bearish stance. The key upside level is around 3315. If it reaches this level before the US market opens or if it peaks in the short term, we will short sell. The non-farm payroll data will be released today, and we will consider reversing our direction based on the situation after the data. Gold prices have once again encountered resistance to their upward trend, and the volatile pattern continues. The gold price trend is trending lower highs, and today's low is expected to be lower than yesterday's. Therefore, our intraday short target could be 3268 or even lower, so it's crucial to seize the right entry point. If you're new to the market, come to me. I'll teach you how to trade while you learn. If you're already in the market and struggling, come to me. I'll help you avoid repeating the same mistakes. If you've already experienced this market and are battered, come to me. I'm confident I can help you regain confidence. If you're stuck in a position, I'll develop a strategy tailored to your entry point. Because everyone's trapped positions are different, the solutions will vary, some suitable for conservative traders and others for aggressive ones. However, I can't offer a perfect answer to every situation. I suggest you bring your order with you. Once you contact me, I'll use the most appropriate method to resolve your situation and help you exit the market. Specific Strategy Short gold at 3315, stop loss at 3325, target at 3280
TVC:GOLDShort
by jiqeu1
Gold breaks price channel, officially starts falling✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD price has officially broken the bullish wave structure and broken the bullish channel. A corrective downtrend has begun to form. If there is a pull back to the trendline today, it is considered a good opportunity for sell signals. The liquidity zone 3250 is the target of this corrective downtrend. The 3283 zone also has to wait for confirmation because when the market falls and the momentum of the decline, the number of FOMO sellers will be very strong. The opposite direction is when closing back above 3375, Gold will return to the uptrend. 📉 Key Levels SELL zone 3343-3345 Target: 3250 BUY trigger: Rejection candle 3285 Buy zone: 3251 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VHT_Trader
Gold Bulls Charging to 3305 But What’s Waiting There?Gold has recently taken support from the lower levels and has also shown a Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside. Currently, there is Imbalance and Internal Draw on Liquidity (IDM) resting around the 3305 level. The market appears to be moving upward to mitigate that imbalance. It's important to closely monitor this zone, as once the market reaches and fills this area, there is a high probability of a potential rejection or bearish move from that level
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradeCraft_FX
GOLD for short timeCaption important🛑🛑🛑 Hello to all traders. 😎😎 I hope all your deals will hit their targets. 🎉🎉 Gold has broken a key trendline on the 4H chart, and I believe the bearish move could continue today, potentially down to at least $3300. My expectation is that price will first reach the $3335–$3340 zone. From there, you can look for a good short opportunity, with a suggested stop-loss at $3355. If you’re willing to take on more risk, you could consider opening a short position from the current level around $3325, using a reasonable position size. Personally, I prefer to wait for price to reach the orange zone ($3335) and enter a solid short position from there. What Do You Think? Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? **Share your thoughts!** ⬇️ Don't forget that this is just an analysis to give you an idea and trade with your own strategy. And don't forget the stop loss🛑🛑🛑 ❤️❤️❤️The only friend you have in financial markets is your stop loss❤️❤️❤️ Please support me with your ✅' like'✅ and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me 🙏😊 Be Happy , Ali Jamali
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alijtg
Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation📉 Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation Posted earlier – trade progressing as planned. As shared in the previous chart, a Sell scalp position was executed based on the trendline break followed by a pullback retest. Three Take-Profit levels were marked and the price is moving in line with the forecast. ✅ 🟢 TP1 Hit 🟢 TP2 Reached 🔵 TP3 in progress 📌 The setup remains valid, and as long as structure holds below the retested trendline, the bearish bias continues. We will monitor price action near TP3 zone for final exit or trailing stop update. > Analysis worked perfectly so far – let’s see if TP3 gets cleared soon. 🔍💥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357
1
Gold Struggles Near Resistance – Eyes on 3313 for Further DropXAU/USD Slips as Dollar Gains on Trade Deal – Bearish Below Pivot Zone Gold is under pressure as the U.S. dollar strengthens on optimism around a trade agreement. Risk appetite has returned, weighing on safe-haven demand. Price failed to hold the pivot zone (3347–3360) and is now slipping below 3327. A 4H close below 3313 will likely trigger further downside. Until bulls reclaim the pivot, bias stays bearish. Next support sits near 3287 if 3313 breaks clean. Key Levels: Resistance: 3388 – 3390 – 3412 Pivot Zone: 3340 – 3347 Support: 3313 – 3263
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by THEOGFX
1
XAUUSD 4H CHART - Bearish pattern Analysis (read the caption)📉 XAUUSD 4H Chart – Bearish Flag Pattern Analysis This 4-hour chart of Gold (XAUUSD) shows a classic Bearish Flag pattern, which is typically a continuation signal in a downtrend. After a strong bearish move, price entered a consolidation phase inside a rising channel, forming higher highs and higher lows—this creates the flag structure. The price is currently trading within the Resistance and Support Trendlines of the flag. A break below the Support Trendline would confirm the bearish flag breakout, suggesting a continuation of the downtrend. Key support levels to watch: 🔻 First Support: 3280.063 – Initial target after breakout 🔻 Second Support: 3250.000 – Extended target if bearish momentum continues Traders should monitor for a confirmed breakdown with volume and bearish candlestick confirmation to validate short entries. This setup favors sellers if the support breaks decisively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pips_Hunter_Forex
3
Distribution Phase at the Top, Key Support in FocusFollowing a sharp breakout from the demand zone around $3,310, gold has entered a sideways consolidation range between $3,355 – $3,367. The price has repeatedly tested the support at $3,352 – $3,354 but failed to form higher highs beyond $3,367. This signals buyer exhaustion and a potential distribution pattern at the top. The inability to push higher suggests increased risk of a bearish breakdown. Key Technical Levels Immediate Resistance: $3,367.77 Short-Term Support: $3,352 – $3,354 (blue box zone) Major Support Below: $3,310 – $3,315 (previous breakout base, near 0.5 Fibonacci retracement) Suggested Trading Strategies Primary Scenario: Sell on Breakdown Trigger Condition: Price breaks below $3,352 with increasing volume Entry: $3,350 Stop Loss: $3,360 Target: $3,320 – $3,310 This is a momentum-following setup, ideal if the current support fails. Alternative Scenario: Buy from Major Support Entry Zone: $3,310 – $3,315 Stop Loss: Below $3,300 Target: $3,345 – $3,355 Suitable for counter-trend traders looking to catch a rebound off strong demand. Additional Technical Signals EMA 20 (15m): Flattening out, indicating loss of bullish momentum RSI: Hovering around 50, showing a balance between buyers and sellers Volume: Gradually decreasing, suggesting a potential breakout setup is building Gold is currently in a distribution phase after a sharp upward move. If the $3,352 support zone breaks, a retracement toward $3,310 – $3,315 is likely. However, bulls may step back in around that zone for a potential rebound. Follow for more real-time gold strategies. Save this post if you find it useful for today’s session!
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion