GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD Buy ForecastXAUUSD New Forecast👨💻👨💻
This is my personal trade and not in anyway a mandatory setup.
Note:
Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP.
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Short postionThe chart suggests a bearish setup, expecting price to drop from the current resistance.
Multiple support and resistance levels are drawn to identify reaction zones.
The price recently broke below a zone and might be retesting it (potential confirmation for a sell).
GOLD - Bearish Continuation Story : Market formed a BEARISH DIVERGENCE on 1H time frame and then divergence played well as we can see market broke the neckline (HL) and then continued series of LH and LL (Dow Theory) TRIPLE TOP kind of formation can also be seen before it continued bearish divergence
Anticipate : I anticipate that market will continue series of LH and LL as there is no bullish divergence and no sign of reversal pattern.
Plan: We take our entry on the break of LL which is 3380 level, and then we continued to target TP1 and TP2 with our 1:1 & 1:2 R:R ratio.
once pending order is triggered, out Stoploss is defined which is slightly above the defined LH 3410 level.
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GOLD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,327.72.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,385.41.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD is on bullish momentum H1 & H4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently showing a bullish trend due to the ongoing Middle East crisis.if th Escalation between Iran & isreal became more tense then focus on buying gold on every DIP.
Bullish scanario:
I’ve identified my re-entry zones and plan to buy on every dip, focusing on scalping with buy positions only.
3380-3390 is the optimal buying area.
At moment 3410 is the buying area because the relative trend line matched at this place.
My target is the potential extension towards the $3480 milestone.
Bearish Scenario:
However, if gold closes the H4 below the $3380 level, I expect it to shift into a ranging market 3380-3330 and I will reassess my outlook towards 3355 1st then 3335 on second target.
#XAUUSD
Today's key gold price range: 3400-3450Today's key gold price range: 3400-3450
Today's gold price opened high and rose, eventually reaching around 3450, but it did not stay at the high level for too long and then fell back.
Based on the current fluctuations, we draw the following conclusions:
1: The market reaction is not as intense as imagined.
2: However, the reliability of the channel pressure at the macro level is more certain:
Super pressure: 3450
3: Next, the reliability of the support around 3400-3410 will be confirmed again
4: The gold price fluctuation range is maintained at: 3400-3450 range fluctuation
At present, as the gold price successfully stands above the 3400 mark, the market focus has shifted to whether the gold price will fall back and adjust.
From the intraday trend, gold opened high in the morning, briefly broke through last week's high, and then fell back quickly.
In the short term, the 3415-3410 area has become the most important support.
This area is not only the low point before the opening of the US stock market last Friday, but also the key line of defense for the long and short battles in the short term.
Before this area is effectively broken, the possibility of gold price rebound can be given priority;
1: Once the price falls below 3410, the 3400-3405 area should be focused on. This range is the key point for bullish breakthrough. If it can be held, the bullish idea can still be maintained;
2: If it unfortunately falls below, it means that the short-selling force is strengthened and the market may turn to the short side. In the future, we can further pay attention to the 3385-3375 and 3365-3355 areas. It is expected that these two points will become new support levels to accumulate strength for subsequent rises.
3: In terms of resistance, the upper 3450-3455 area constitutes strong resistance during the day. If there is no new positive news stimulation, it will be difficult for gold prices to break through this area in the short term.
4: In the long run, if the geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran further deteriorates and gets out of control, the market risk aversion will continue to rise, and gold bulls are expected to make another effort to break through the current high and gradually look to the 3470-3475 area, and then challenge the 3492 line and launch an impact on the new high of 3500.
The current Asian session shows a trend of opening high and closing low. Whether this trend is a prelude to a negative decline or a shock correction to accumulate momentum for subsequent rise, the trend during the European session will become the key basis for judgment.
Fundamentals:
On June 16, as June 2025 deepens, the global financial market is ushering in a critical week.
The Federal Reserve will announce its latest monetary policy decision on Wednesday (June 18), which will not only affect the future direction of the US economy, but also have a profound impact on global asset prices, the trend of the US dollar and investor sentiment.
Last Friday, Israel's military strike on Iran and the retaliatory missile attacks it triggered put pressure on global markets.
This incident has added new variables to the market, which is already full of uncertainty.
This week, the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, retail sales data and geopolitical situation will become the three core factors affecting the global market.
The Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged, but its economic forecasts and future interest rate cuts will directly affect the market's judgment on the trend of the US dollar.
If the Fed sends a dovish signal, the dollar may be under pressure in the short term, but geopolitical risks and safe-haven demand may provide support for it.
On the contrary, if the Fed emphasizes inflation risks, the dollar may strengthen, but this may put pressure on US stocks and global risk assets.
Does gold break or not Looking like the pressure in trade and uncertainty will help lift gold into 2480’s and tempt a pullback and build up into 2528 and beyond.
Exciting stuff!
A pullback could mean a slippery slide to a diagonal support and some hefty by orders on more standard news.
Long here 120 units, tight stop loss at 3424oz. Will pickup in increments down to set buying zones or the long diagonal supports for the ride back up regardless. Will expect a choppy wave before readying a rip up though… have to be dramatic about something that’s going to happen regardless? It’s gold.
Gold (XAU/USD) Setup – June 16, 2025🔍 Watching for a bearish retracement
Gold is currently trading around 3432.83, but price action shows signs of weakness after a strong bullish impulse. We're now seeing consolidation near the top, and if momentum fades, I expect a retracement back to test key demand zones.
🎯 Target Zones for Retracement:
📌 3403.48 – First key level of interest (minor support)
📌 3391.97 – Stronger demand area
🟠 3386.58 to 3383.95 – Institutional order block / NDOG zone (June 13)
💭 My Bias:
Short-term bearish – I expect sellers to step in and push price down into one of these zones before bulls potentially return.
📆 Let’s see how the market reacts around these levels tomorrow. Will gold respect the zones and bounce? Or break deeper?
#Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #FX #SmartMoney #NDOG #OrderBlocks #LiquidityGrab
Sniper XAU/USD🎯 Setup Overview
Instrument: XAU/USD
Timeframes: Entry analyzed on M15, confirmation on M5–M1
Structure: Bullish — price making higher lows into the liquidity zone (equal highs)
📌 Entry Levels
Level Price (approx.) Notes
Sniper Entry 3,390.50 At the last higher low (HL) before reaching the liquidity zone (~3,445–3,450)
Stop Loss 3,384.50 Just below the HL — 6 pips (~$6), tight risk buffer
Take Profit 1 3,445 (liquidity sweep) First target at the sweep zone
Take Profit 2 3,500 (breakout extension) Additional profit zone if momentum continues
🛠 Entry Routine
M15 Chart: Observe the ascending HLs — last HL is our key area (~3,390.50).
Drop to M5: Watch for a bullish candle (e.g., bullish engulfing or rejection wick) forming near 3,390.50.
Enter Long once you see that bullish confirmation.
Set SL just below the HL at 3,384.50.
Scale Out / Take Profit:
Exit 50–75% at 3,445.
Move SL to breakeven.
Let the rest ride to 3,500 as momentum extends.
Gold price target of 3500 on Monday?Gold price target of 3500 on Monday?
Middle East is in turmoil again, tense situation
On Thursday and Friday, gold price took the opportunity to rise, forming a sharp upward trend, and is currently hovering around the previous pressure level of 3440;
1: Technical aspect: hovering around 3440 in the short term, but after the fermentation over the weekend, the probability of gold price hitting 3500 or even breaking through next week continues to increase.
2: Fundamentals: This is an important risk event over the weekend and also an important risk event in the near future; the current exchange of fire between Iran and Israel has inevitably intensified the trend of conflict and contradiction; there are too many uncertainties and interference factors in the future development direction of the situation;
1: The latest news is that Iran has sent ballistic missiles to Israel to respond; next week, the gold and crude oil markets may continue to be boosted by risk aversion, forming a strong upward trend;
2: Possible future trends:
A: The incident escalates directly; it has already occurred; proxy war; through the response to the incident, the forces such as Hezbollah in Lebanon and Houthi armed forces in Yemen are reactivated to engage in multi-line confrontations and form a multi-line pincer attack on Israel;
B: The United States intervenes militarily, and neighboring countries indirectly participate in the war, forming two strong confrontations; the forces of all parties Powers are playing games behind the scenes; China and Russia use strategic containment, diplomatic mediation and other means;
Impact on the global market:
1: Breaking the balance of the crude oil market; if the Strait of Hormuz is completely blocked, there is a high possibility that oil prices will soar directly in the future;
2: The impact on the financial market and regional economy is great, and the financial markets of Iran itself and neighboring countries will face risks; at the same time, global risk aversion is further intensifying, and gold, as a natural safe-haven currency, is bound to become a support level;
Summary: On the disk, it is still bullish next week, and the main operation is to follow the trend;
At the same time, the war in the Middle East is still the core of the entire market; the support level on the disk is 3400-3300 points, and the only pressure level above is 3500 points;
The trend line begins to break through and stabilize near 3500, so just follow the trend!
XAUUSDGOLD DTF analysis
There was a previous peak around the same level (late April / early May), which creates the potential for a double top, but:
No bearish rejection candle is visible.
No bearish divergence on RSI.
RSI is actually above 60, showing bullish momentum.
Price respected the lower channel line and is bouncing back.
Possible short-term pullback toward channel bottom for retracement if does not breaks 3447 level.
As long as the gold price is above 3400, continue to go long.As long as the gold price is above 3400, continue to go long.
As shown in Figure 4h.
I clearly show the trend of gold prices through the split chart.
1: The ABC span forms the golden ratio, indicating that if the gold price continues to rise out of control in the future, it will rise to the range of 3700-4000.
2: The blue triangle angle is a convergent triangle in the upward trend, which is a strong triangle. The probability of bullishness next week is high, and the possibility of breaking through and returning to the range of 3450-3500 is very high.
3: We need to consider the most unlikely possibility, that is, the worst expectations and results.
If the gold price breaks through 3450 and it is a false breakthrough, there may be an expectation of a sharp decline: 3365-3330-3270.
Operation strategy:
As shown in the figure:
1: Pay attention to the 1-2 path and defend the 3-4 path.
2: Wait for low prices to find long opportunities
3: As long as the gold price is above 3400 points, only participate in the long strategy.
4: Gold price fluctuation range: 3400-3450
5: Two test pressure areas for intraday short-term short selling: 3450 and 3500
6: Strong support area: 3400--3365--3330-3270, these points can be used as support points and stop loss ranges for future attempts to go long.
Buy 3424, close during Asia open on Monday.This is a fundamentally based idea. I´m expecting GOLD will gap during weekend, diue to possible Iran "retaliation" atack during weekend(this night). The most likely target is 3500-3520. You can open your position now at 3424. Very important, you HAVE TO, control your position during Asia open on Monday and do not be greedy. Expecting very sharp pullback (do not trade it). Control your size, take it as educational idea with very small size. Wishing you good luck.
I´m not a signal service. If you want to trade signals, please contact one of the signalist commenting this idea, help them finance their life from signal services. I do not do this service. My suggestion is rely on your own trading decisions, not somebody else. You will save a lot of money.
XAU/USD GOLD SELL SIGNAL Entry Point: 3431🔺 USDJPY BUY TRADE SETUP 🔺
📍 Entry: 143.700
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 144.500
2️⃣ 145.500
🏁 Final Target: 146.000
📈 Bullish trend remains intact
🕵️♂️ Price bounced from support zone
🔍 Momentum confirming upward strength
🛠️ Clean entry with structured risk setup
🛑 Stop-loss placed below key support
⚖️ Risk/Reward ratio aligns with strategy
⏳ Patience required as price develops
📊 Suitable for short to mid-term outlook
💼 Always manage your risk wisely
📆 Valid as of June 13, 2025
🔔 Watch for economic news impacting USD/JPY
📌 Review setup regularly – adapt if needed
📢 Trade what you see, not what you feel
📈 Stay disciplined, trade smart!
Stick to shorting gold and aim for the target area.Gold has not broken through 3400 after accelerating its rise, and the upper suppression effect still exists; currently gold is fluctuating in a narrow range below 3390, showing signs of stagflation to a certain extent. Therefore, the accelerated rise of gold is not for the short-term impact of 3400, but for a deep retracement, eliminating more scattered funds in the market by sweeping up and down.
So in the short term, I think it is difficult for gold to continue to break upward under the suppression of the resistance area near the short-term high of 3402, but to test the lower support area of 3375-3365 before breaking upward. So I have shorted gold as scheduled according to the short trading plan mentioned above, and aimed at the lower target area of 3375-3365.
At present, our short position has made a certain profit, but I still look forward to profiting from gold hitting TP! Let us look forward to gold falling back to the target area as expected!
XAUUSDbuying gold
sl 3363
tp 3447
1% risk
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Gold Formation as Growing trendXAUUSD (Gold) Price Analysis
Gold is currently testing trend support, undergoing a deep correction amid a complex fundamental backdrop. Several key factors are influencing market sentiment:
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East Comments from the Federal Reserve Former President Trump's expressed desire for lower interest rates These developments are contributing to market uncertainty, which typically supports gold as a safe haven.
🔍 Technical Outlook
Support Zone: 3350
Resistance Levels: 3400 and 3420
Before further upside, a retest of the 3350 support zone is possible. You can see more details in the Chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
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GOLD SHORT-TERM CORRECTION AFTER 3,360 – Consolidation likely📊 Market Summary:
Gold pulled back to around 3,363 USD, currently trading near 3,373 USD USD strength post-Fed comments and overbought conditions are prompting a short-term correction, while geopolitical tensions provide mild underlying support .
📉 Technical Points:
• Resistance: ~3,387–3,388, then 3,400 .
• Support: ~3,363, with secondary support 3,352–3,355 .
• EMA/SMA: Above EMA50, below 20 SMA (~3,347), indicating range-bound behavior
• Momentum: RSI & MACD neutral, Stochastic ~58%—suggesting sideways movement .
📌 Outlook:
Expect continued consolidation between 3,352–3,388. Breach above may lead to breakout, breach below possibly triggers pullback toward 3,320.
💡 Trading Plan:
SELL XAU/USD: 3,380–3,385
• 🎯 TP: ~3,360
• ❌ SL: ~3,395
BUY XAU/USD: 3,363–3,365
• 🎯 TP: ~3,380–3,387
• ❌ SL: ~3,350
Report June 19, 2025U.S. Policy, Federal Reserve, and Market Sentiment
The Federal Reserve's latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) and Chair Powell’s post-meeting comments reinforce a resolutely cautious tone, emphasizing economic uncertainty and inflation fragility. The FOMC maintained the federal funds rate at 4.50%, while the updated dot plot reveals increased divergence: 10 members favor two or more rate cuts, while seven now favor no cuts in 2025, up from four in March.
Powell emphasized the Fed’s uncertainty surrounding the inflation trajectory, particularly in light of tariff-driven price risks following President Trump’s April 2 “Liberation Day” trade measures. These tariffs are still working through the supply chain, with Powell stating that “someone will have to pay,” referencing the complex interplay between manufacturers, exporters, and consumers. He admitted the Fed is “trying to be humble” in forecasting outcomes, underscoring a deep uncertainty around pass-through pricing effects.
Despite this cautious stance, Powell refrained from giving any rate-cut timeline. Markets are now pricing in September as the earliest plausible cut, contingent on whether inflationary momentum fades or the labor market begins to deteriorate more visibly.
The chair also pushed back against political pressure from the White House. President Trump demanded up to ten rate cuts, blaming Powell for inflating federal debt costs. Powell defended the Fed’s independence, suggesting data not political rhetoric will guide the path forward. Analysts note that the central bank’s reluctance to preemptively cut is due in part to a “generationally bad inflation episode,” which undermined confidence in the Fed’s control mechanisms.
Escalating Iran–Israel Conflict: Strategic Implications
Geopolitical risk has intensified following reports that President Trump approved U.S. strike plans on Iran, though has yet to issue a final order. The build-up of U.S. forces in the Mediterranean and Arabian Seas, including two carrier strike groups and three destroyers, signals operational readiness.
Israeli strikes have reportedly hit Iran’s Arak heavy-water facility and a site in Natanz linked to nuclear weapons development. Iran has retaliated, with missile fire hitting Beersheba and causing civilian casualties. With over 639 deaths reported in Iran and 24 in Israel, the risk of a broader regional war is elevated. U.S. embassies are preparing evacuation flights from Israel, further confirming military escalation risks.
The market implication is clear: safe-haven flows are returning. Oil prices remain bid near $75.10 (WTI) despite small declines, and gold is holding near $3,385, reflecting hedging against a supply disruption scenario.
Global Macro Conditions: Bonds, Asia, and FX
Bond markets are showing stabilization as investors balance Fed indecision with long-term value. Capital Group noted that bonds are “again fulfilling their role as portfolio stabilizers.” The steepening curve combined with attractive yields is drawing long-term interest in IG credit and U.S. sovereigns, especially at the 5–10Y part of the curve.
Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) saw a strong bid during the latest 5Y auction, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 4.58, the highest since July 2023. The 10Y JGB yield dropped 4bps to 1.415%, and the 20Y yield to 2.36%, as Middle East risk spurred demand. Analysts noted that despite talk of BoJ tightening, demand-side dynamics remain favorable for JGBs.
Meanwhile, Asian currencies are consolidating as traders digest both the Fed's message and regional instability. The Korean won, Singapore dollar, and Australian dollar were mostly unchanged overnight, although the Thai baht weakened sharply amid political instability in Bangkok following a coalition breakdown.
Asian investors have also begun diversifying away from USD assets, according to DBS strategists. This includes buying back into Singapore and Hong Kong fixed income, compressing local interest rates and contributing to dollar softness in Asia.
Commodities & Energy Outlook
Oil prices are modestly lower in Asia’s early trading due to position adjustments, but support remains due to Middle East tensions. Brent trades at $76.34, and WTI at $75.10. ANZ Research notes the market remains “very sensitive” to additional escalation in the Iran-Israel conflict. A U.S. military strike on Iranian nuclear infrastructure would likely trigger further price spikes, possibly pushing crude above $80 in the short term.
As, gold and silver remain well supported as hedges, particularly given the uncertain rate path and geopolitical risk.
CHECK XAUUSD SIGNAL READ CAPTANxauusd buy now ✅
entry point (3355) (3353)
TAKE PROFIT 1: (3360)
TAKE PROFIT 2: (3370)
LAST TARGET (3380)
STOP LOSS (3356)
CHECK XAUUD SIGNAL READ CAPTAINxauusd buy now ✅
entry point (3383.000) (3381.000)
TAKE PROFIT 1: (3388.000)
TAKE PROFIT 2: (3395.000)
LAST TARGET (3404)
STOP LOSS (3375)
