6.16 Can gold reach a new high?6.16 Can gold reach a new high?
As the war between Israel and Iran in the Middle East continues to heat up, the international gold price has continued to break through strongly.
"Iran is seriously considering whether to block the Strait of Hormuz, said Esmail Kosari, a member of the Iranian Parliament's Security Committee." If the conflict between Iran and Israel continues to escalate in the past two days, gold will continue to hit a new high.
If you listened to my advice on Friday and opened a position below 3420, you can pay attention to the support of 3430, because there has been a high move at the opening today, but it only broke through 3450. It proves that the short pressure is very large, and the strength of today's correction will not be small. If the correction breaks through 3430, it may continue to fall to around 3415. At this time, you can continue to increase your position. If the correction does not break through 3430, you can increase your position with a light position.
Pay attention to the international situation at any time. The price of gold has been fluctuating at a high level. If it can stand firm, then the recent price of gold at 3500 is not its limit.
Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can help you.
GOLD trade ideas
Middle East Conflict Boosts Gold – But Is a Pullback Coming FirsGold is surging as the Middle East conflict intensifies, fueling a rush to safety. We’ve seen a clear breakout from the recent range, with a significant gap up at the open. While momentum could drive price to new highs, I’m eyeing a pullback to key zones for a cleaner entry—either at the trendline retest or a daily weakness setup.
GOLD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,431.19 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,422.53.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold Bull Run: Wave 5 on the Way!
Elliott Wave Setup – We're in Wave 5, riding a powerful upward channel from the recent Wave 4 low, aiming for ~$3,500–3,600
Key Resistance & Breakout – The $3,497–3,500 area is critical. A clean breakout above this could open the next leg toward ~$3,600–3,700, echoing forecasts from ANZ and Cantor .
Support Level – Immediate support lies around the $3,392 area (recent resistance turned support). A dip back to $3,420–3,440 could provide a strong buying opportunity.
Macro Drivers – Geopolitical tensions (especially in the Middle East) and a soft U.S. dollar are fueling safe-haven buying, matching broader bullish sentiment
.
📈 Outlook: Minor pullback expected, then resumption of rally. Breakout above $3,500 could trigger the next surge.
🛡️ Strategy Tip: Consider buying on dips around $3,420–3,450 with resistance-based stop-loss and targets at $3,500 then $3,600–3,700.
Spot gold is expected to test the $3,450 resistance levelSpot gold continued to rise in the Asian session on Friday (June 13), reaching a high of $3,443.18 per ounce, an increase of about 1.57%.
Reuters technical analysts pointed out that spot gold is expected to test the resistance level of $3,450 per ounce, breaking through which it may rise to the range of $3,473 to $3,488.
The c wave that opened at $3,294 briefly broke through the 86.4% forecast level of $3,429. Currently, the wave is moving towards the 100% forecast level of $3,450. The current rise is classified as a continuation of the previous upward trend that started at $3,245.
The support level is at $3,413, and a break below this level may cause gold prices to fall to the range of $3,372 to $3,391. The daily chart shows that gold prices are expected to return to the high of $3,500 on April 22.
Depending on how deep the decline is from this high, gold prices could eventually rise to $3,800.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLDQ2025 OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold market analysis and trading strategiesGold market analysis and trading strategies
Core view: Super sweeping market continues
Large cycle pattern: Gold is in a sweeping stage, lacking trend direction, similar to the long-term shock after the peak in 2011 (lasting nearly 20 months).
Current fundamentals (geopolitical conflicts, inflation data, Fed policy expectations) support this violent fluctuation.
Short-term characteristics: straight upward, frequent V-shaped reversals, rhythm control is more important than direction judgment, and we need to be vigilant against sudden news-induced surges and plunges.
Review of major influencing factors
China-US negotiations: No specific details have been announced, but the market's sensitivity to trade relations still exists.
US CPI data: slightly lower than expected, Trump called on the Fed to cut interest rates by 1%, strengthening easing expectations, which is good for gold.
Middle East situation: The United States evacuated its citizens from Bahrain and Kuwait, the Iran-Iraq crisis escalated, and the geopolitical risk premium pushed up gold prices.
Technical analysis
1. Daily level
Pattern: The big positive line broke through the key resistance level of 3360 points, confirming the short-term bullish momentum.
Support level: 3360-3345-3320
Resistance level: 3390-3395.
Potential path: If it stands above 3360, it may rise to 3400+ (target 3415, 3440); if it falls below 3350-45, the risk of a pullback will increase.
2. 4-hour level
Trend: MACD golden cross, trading volume enlarged, moving averages are bullishly arranged, support level: 3369 (MA5), 3350 (MA60).
Key points: 3360-65 is the watershed between long and short positions. If it holds, the upward trend will continue.
3. Hourly chart
Short-term signal: MACD golden cross, but STO is overbought, be wary of a high pullback. 3362 is the direct support level, and a breakout of this level may lead to a pullback to 3348-50.
Trading strategy recommendations:
Long strategy
Active long orders: enter the market in the 3360-65 area, stop loss of $5 (fall below 3360), target 3375-3388-3395-3405.
Steady long orders:
Long orders at 3345-3350, stop loss at 3339, target above 3360.
Short order strategy:
Short-term pullback: short light positions when stagflation in the 3396-3400 area, stop loss 3405, target 3380-3360.
Trend short orders: layout in batches in the 3413-3430 area, stop loss set above 3440, target 3400-3380 (need to match the top pattern).
6.12 Gold intraday operation strategyGold has been rising since the beginning of this week, and the short-term suppression of 3345-50 has been focused on at the top at the beginning of this week. All of them fell back and took profits as expected. On Tuesday, our article also gave the strategic idea of long positions without breaking the support of 3315. On Wednesday, gold fluctuated upward all the way, with no signs of falling back. Especially after the positive CPI data of the US market on Wednesday, gold also broke through the recent high to 3360. Finally, it stepped back to stabilize at 3320 and continued to accelerate upward and closed strongly at 3357. The daily K-line closed in the middle of the day. The overall low point of gold price gradually rose, announcing the establishment of a strong bullish main rising pattern.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's support below focuses on the vicinity of 3345-50. The intraday retracement relies on this position to continue the main bullish trend. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on 3320-25. Before the daily level falls below this position, any retracement is a long opportunity, and the main tone of participating in the trend remains unchanged.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long if gold falls back to 3340-45 and does not break through, stop loss at 3335, target at 3375-3380, continue to hold if it breaks through;
Accurately capture golden trading opportunitiesBased on the current trend, it is recommended to focus on low-long operations, but be wary of the market repeating the pattern of the previous few days of high-rush, wash-out and fall. From the perspective of key points, 3360 has been converted from a previous resistance level to a support level. At the same time, the hourly line forms an important support near 3358. If there is a stabilization signal at this position, it can be regarded as a good opportunity to go long. However, if the market falls below the 3356 line, it is not ruled out that the price will further fall to around 3345. This position is the key long-short watershed during the day. Once it is lost, the short-selling force may increase; in extreme cases, if there is a deep wash-out, the gold price may even pull back to 3325. For the upper resistance, pay attention to 3395-3405 first. If it can break strongly, it can further look to 3414.
Based on the above analysis, the trading strategy is as follows:
If gold falls back to the area near 3345-3355 and does not break, you can consider arranging long orders;
When the price rises to the area near 3395-3405 and does not break, you can try to arrange short orders.
When operating, be sure to strictly set stop losses and control risks.
Today's market trend is completely in line with the predicted rhythm, with a clear shock structure and flexible response around key points. With precise layout based on two-way thinking, we can achieve a double kill of long and short positions and a steady harvest. If your current gold operation is not ideal, and we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment, please feel free to communicate with us!
Gold May Rebound After Monday Dip; Watch Tariffs & GeopoliticsGold may continue to decline before rebounding on Monday📉. The first support level is currently near 3,240-3,260. When approaching this support area, considering going long is advisable👍. It is still crucial to closely monitor the latest developments regarding U.S. tariffs and the situation in war-torn countries, as significant volatility may occur at any time⚠️. If a rebound reaches 3,350-3,360, considering going short is an option📉
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3250 - 3260
🚀 TP 3290 - 3310
🚀 Sell@ 3360 - 3240
🚀 TP 3310 - 3290
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Weekly trendline touches and respectedgold has reached its initial target of the pullback towards its trendline. as of now this pullback is 1000 pips drop.
so, what's next.
I have a trendline drawn and a waiting for a clear confirmation to drop further or break the down trendline to go for long and finally seeing the ATH retest feasible
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) $3400 Incoming again??Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 1H Chart:
Chart Overview:
Overall Market Context:
Gold is currently retracing after a strong downtrend from a swing high near the supply zone. Price is reacting near a key bullish trend line and a local swing low.
Key Technical Elements:
OBV (On-Balance Volume):
The OBV has broken out of its downtrend resistance, suggesting a potential reversal in volume flow.
This shift implies bullish momentum could be building.
Trendline & Structure:
Price is respecting a bullish trend line, which has acted as dynamic support across multiple touches.
The current swing low sits right on this trend line, suggesting a possible bounce scenario.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – 4H:
Two FVGs are located above current price around the 0.28–0.5 Fibonacci zone, indicating a likely magnet area if price starts to retrace upward.
These FVGs may act as short-term targets or resistance zones.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Price is currently near the 0.618–0.65 retracement zone, a classic golden pocket reversal area.
If price holds this level, a bounce toward the FVGs and supply zone is likely.
Supply Zone:
The major resistance sits above at the supply zone formed around the previous swing highs.
A rejection here could signal a return to range or continuation lower if not broken.
Demand Zone :
Below current price, a strong demand zone is marked, which historically triggered a large upward move.
If price fails to hold the trendline/swing low, this would be the next key support area to watch.
Scenarios:
🔼 Bullish Case:
OBV breakout holds and price bounces from the trendline/swing low.
Price moves up into the FVG zones and attempts to reclaim the previous swing high.
If it breaks above the supply zone, the next logical targets would be the psychological levels (e.g., $3,400+).
🔽 Bearish Case:
Failure to hold the current trendline and swing low.
Break below could lead to a move toward the demand zone, possibly sweeping lows and filling deeper FVGs.
If volume remains weak on bounce attempts, continuation of the downtrend is likely.
Summary:
Gold is at a critical inflection point. The bullish trendline and swing low offer a potential reversal area, supported by a breakout in OBV. A recovery into the FVGs above looks likely if price can maintain this level. However, failure here would lead to a drop toward the demand zone. Traders should monitor volume, OBV continuation, and price action near FVGs for confirmation.
Price recently broke down from a descending wedge.📊 Gold (XAUUSD) – 1H Chart Analysis
Structure Overview:
Price recently broke down from a descending wedge/consolidation pattern after forming lower highs and lower lows — a classic sign of bearish pressure building up.
🔻 Bearish Breakout in Play:
The sharp move down through the wedge's lower boundary suggests strong momentum to the downside. This aligns with the previous rejection from the top of the falling channel.
🔮 Potential Scenarios:
1. Bearish Continuation (Primary Bias):
If price sustains below the wedge support and fails to reclaim the breakout zone, we could see a further decline toward lower support levels (as shown in the downward arrow).
Watch for possible reactions at 3350 → 3345 → 3340 zones.
2. Bullish Fakeout Recovery (Alternative):
If price quickly reclaims the broken trendline and forms a bullish engulfing or breakout structure, it could invalidate the breakdown, signaling a possible reversal and rally back up toward 3380+ (as indicated by the upward projection).
⚠️ Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 3350 / 3345 / 3340
Resistance: 3365 / 3380
Zone of interest: Retest of wedge breakdown area
📌 Insight:
The market has broken below the daily bullish FVG CE level, further supporting the bearish bias — but retests can trap sellers, so remain flexible.
XAU/USD – Wave 3 in Motion?We’re currently monitoring what appears to be a textbook Elliott Wave 1-2 structure, with Wave (2) bottoming near $3,293. Price has since pushed up and consolidated above the 0.5–0.382 retracement zone, holding firm at key EMAs and structure.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Wave (1): Clean impulsive structure.
Wave (2): Corrective decline finding strong support at $3,293.
Current consolidation suggests accumulation before potential Wave (3) breakout.
Confluence of Fib extensions & upper trendline project Wave (3) towards $3,484, aligning with the -0.27 extension.
🧠 What I’m Watching:
Break and retest of the $3,400–$3,415 level (0.236 Fib) to confirm bullish continuation.
Holding above $3,372–$3,390 (the golden pocket and 0.5/0.382 zone) is key to maintaining the bullish bias.
A clean break below $3,353 invalidates this immediate structure.
📈 Bias: Bullish
🎯 Next target: $3,484
⛔️ Invalidation: Break below $3,350
💬 Let me know your thoughts. Are we about to ride Wave 3, or will gold give us one more dip before lift off?
Gold (XAUUSD) potential continuation buysGold (XAUUSD) is showing a bullish setup, bouncing off a key demand zone within a rising channel, which suggests a possible move higher. But with tensions rising between Iran and Israel, there's a chance we could see sudden spikes as investors look for safe-haven assets. On top of that, the upcoming FOMC statement and interest rate decision could bring heavy volatility and sharp moves in either direction.
Gold Eyes New Highs Amid Ongoing UptrendGold continues its upward trend. On the daily, weekly, and monthly charts, the price remains within the trend structure.
On the hourly chart, a strong consolidation pattern has formed. I expect a breakout to the upside toward previous highs, with potential for a new all-time high and a move toward the $4,000/oz zone.
I'm going long at the current level.
Stop-loss is placed below yesterday's low.
Waiting for the rally!
Technical Analysis on Gold Trading TrendsGold maintained a mild intraday downward trend, with the price currently hovering around $3,381 per ounce. As tensions in the Middle East persist, gold is awaiting the Federal Reserve's resolution to gain a clear direction.
With risk sentiment stabilizing, gold prices fell in early Wednesday trading, moving away from the $3,400 per ounce threshold. Amid lingering geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran, all eyes are focused on the Federal Reserve's policy announcement, which is expected to trigger sharp volatility in gold prices. Investors need to closely monitor the Fed's policy guidance, the trend of the U.S. dollar, and the latest developments in the Middle East situation.
In the long term, the low-interest-rate environment and global economic uncertainties will continue to enhance gold's attractiveness, but short-term volatility may intensify. It is recommended that investors exercise caution when trading. In addition, the initial value of the U.S. May annualized building permits and the U.S. May annualized new housing starts will be released on this trading day, which investors should also pay attention to.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Part 3/4 Gold
1. Wars]
– Gold jumped $200 after Russia invaded Ukraine (Feb 2022)
– War in Gaza (Oct 2023): gold gapped up again
– Risk of China–Taiwan, India–Pakistan, NATO–Russia all remain
– Terrorism spikes = 10–20% gains in hours (example: 9/11)
2. Interest Rates]
– Lower rates = weaker dollar = stronger gold
– 2024: ECB cut 4x, FED 3x, BoC 5x
– 2025: more cuts expected
– Gold fell –15% in 2022 when rates rose — the inverse will now boost it
3. Central Banks Buying]
– 2023: 1,037t added
– Trend continues in 2024–25
– China diversifying away from USD
4. Inflation]
– Gold protects against loss of fiat value
– $1000 in gold (2014) = $1500 in 2024
5. China’s Role]
– #1 consumer of gold
– Jewelry demand: 2,168 tons in 2023
– Insurers now allowed to invest in bullion (potential $27.4B inflow)
Conclusion: Everything aligns. BUY Gold. Long-term target: $5000