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GOLD trade ideas

Bearish drop for the Gold?The price is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support, which is a swing low support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 3,319.63 1st Support: 3,271.54 1st Resistance: 3,345.37 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ICmarkets
Gold Price Rally: Why Hedge Funds Are Making Their Biggest Bet Glimmer of Gold: Why Hedge Funds Are Making Their Biggest Bullish Bet in Months In the complex and often turbulent theater of global finance, the movements of so-called "smart money" are watched with an eagle's eye. When these sophisticated players, particularly hedge funds, move in concert, it often signals a fundamental shift in market sentiment. Recently, a powerful signal has emerged from the depths of the commodities market: hedge funds have dramatically increased their bullish bets on gold, pushing their net long positions to a 16-week high. This aggressive positioning is not a random fluctuation; it is a calculated response to a potent cocktail of persistent geopolitical instability, simmering trade tensions, and a growing conviction that the global economic landscape is tilting in favor of the ultimate safe-haven asset. The surge in bullish sentiment represents a significant vote of confidence in the yellow metal. It suggests that some of the world's most well-resourced and analytically driven investors are looking past the daily noise of equity markets and are instead positioning themselves for a future where security, stability, and tangible value take precedence. They are not merely dipping their toes in the water; they are making a decisive, leveraged bet that the forces buffeting the global economy will continue to drive capital towards gold's enduring allure. This move has sent ripples across the financial world, prompting investors of all stripes to ask a critical question: What does the smart money see that we should be paying attention to? Decoding the Data: A Sharp Turn Towards Bullishness To understand the magnitude of this shift, one must look to the weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report published by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This report provides a detailed breakdown of positions in the futures markets, separating traders into different categories, including "Managed Money." This category, which primarily consists of hedge funds and commodity trading advisors, is a key barometer for speculative sentiment. The latest data reveals a sharp and decisive increase in bullish conviction. Hedge funds significantly ramped up their gross long positions—outright bets that the price of gold will rise. Simultaneously, they have been closing out their short positions—bets that the price will fall. The combination of these two actions has a powerful magnifying effect on the "net long" position, which is the difference between the number of long and short contracts. Reaching a 16-week high is particularly noteworthy. It indicates a reversal of previous caution or bearishness and the establishment of a new, more aggressive bullish trend. For months, hedge funds may have been hesitant, weighing the prospects of higher-for-longer interest rates against emerging geopolitical risks. The current data shows that the scales have tipped decisively. This isn't a gradual accumulation; it's a forceful pivot, suggesting a high degree of conviction in the upside potential for gold. This influx of speculative capital acts as a powerful tailwind for the gold price, creating upward pressure as more funds chase the emerging momentum. The Three Pillars of the Golden Thesis The coordinated move by hedge funds is not based on a single factor but on a confluence of three powerful, interlocking macro-economic and geopolitical narratives. Each pillar reinforces the others, creating a compelling case for holding gold. 1. The Unsettled World: Geopolitical Risk as a Prime Catalyst Gold has, for millennia, served as the ultimate barometer of fear. In times of peace and prosperity, its appeal can wane in favor of assets that offer growth and yield. But in an environment of escalating geopolitical tension, its value proposition becomes unparalleled. The current global landscape is rife with such tensions. Persistent conflicts in key regions continue to create uncertainty, threatening to disrupt energy supplies, shipping lanes, and international relations. The risk of these conflicts widening or drawing in other powers keeps a floor under the demand for haven assets. Beyond active conflicts, the world is witnessing a broader realignment of global power. The rise of multi-polarity and the challenging of the post-Cold War order create a backdrop of systemic instability. Furthermore, political uncertainty within major economies adds another layer of risk. Election cycles in dominant nations can lead to unpredictable policy shifts on everything from trade and taxation to international alliances. This policy uncertainty makes investors nervous, prompting them to allocate capital to assets that are insulated from the whims of any single government or political outcome. Gold, being a stateless monetary asset with no counterparty risk, is the natural recipient of these capital flows. Hedge funds are betting that these geopolitical undercurrents will not only persist but potentially intensify, making gold an essential portfolio hedge. 2. The Friction of Trade: A Drag on Global Growth The era of seamless globalization has given way to a period of strategic competition and trade friction. The ongoing trade disputes between the world's largest economic blocs, most notably the United States and China, have moved beyond mere rhetoric and are now an entrenched feature of the global economy. Tariffs, export controls, and national security-driven industrial policies are disrupting long-established supply chains and creating a more fragmented and less efficient global marketplace. This environment is a significant headwind for global economic growth. The uncertainty surrounding trade policy makes it difficult for businesses to make long-term investment decisions, dampening corporate spending and hiring. Slower global trade directly translates to slower economic growth, which in turn puts pressure on corporate earnings and equity valuations. In this context, gold shines. As an asset that does not rely on economic growth to generate returns, it acts as a valuable diversifier in a portfolio dominated by stocks and bonds. When growth falters, gold's role as a store of value becomes more pronounced. Hedge funds are positioning for a scenario where persistent trade tensions continue to weigh on the global economy, making riskier assets less attractive and defensive assets like gold more appealing. 3. The Central Bank Pivot: Anticipating Looser Money Perhaps the most powerful financial driver for gold is the outlook for monetary policy, particularly from the U.S. Federal Reserve. The price of gold has an inverse relationship with real interest rates (interest rates minus inflation). When real rates are high, the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset like gold is also high, as investors can earn a handsome, risk-free return in government bonds. Conversely, when real rates are low or falling, the opportunity cost of holding gold diminishes, making it a more attractive investment. For the past couple of years, central banks have been in a fierce battle against inflation, raising interest rates at an aggressive pace. However, the market is now increasingly looking ahead to the next phase of the cycle: rate cuts. While the timing is still a matter of debate, the consensus is that the next major policy move from the Fed and other major central banks will be to lower rates to support a slowing economy. Hedge funds are front-running this anticipated pivot. They are accumulating gold now in expectation that falling interest rates in the future will provide a significant tailwind for its price. Even before the cuts materialize, the mere expectation of looser monetary policy is enough to fuel a rally. Furthermore, there is a persistent fear that central banks might make a policy error—either by keeping rates too high for too long and triggering a deep recession, or by cutting rates too soon and allowing inflation to become re-anchored. Either scenario is bullish for gold, which performs well during both economic downturns and periods of high inflation. This speculative demand from hedge funds is layered on top of a powerful, long-term structural trend: voracious buying from the world's central banks. For several years, central banks, particularly those in emerging markets like China, India, and Turkey, have been steadily diversifying their foreign reserves away from the U.S. dollar and into physical gold. This "de-dollarization" trend is a strategic move to reduce dependence on the U.S. financial system and to hold a neutral reserve asset in an increasingly fractured world. This consistent, price-insensitive buying from official institutions creates a strong and stable floor of demand for gold, providing hedge funds with the confidence to build their own large, speculative positions on top of it. Conclusion: A Resounding Vote for a Golden Future The sharp increase in bullish gold bets by hedge funds is more than just a statistic; it is a story about risk, fear, and the search for security in an uncertain world. It reflects a growing consensus among sophisticated investors that the confluence of geopolitical turmoil, economic friction, and an impending shift in monetary policy has created a uniquely favorable environment for the precious metal. These funds are acting as canaries in the coal mine, signaling a potential increase in market volatility and a flight to safety. Their aggressive positioning, backed by billions of dollars in capital, can become a self-fulfilling prophecy, driving prices higher and drawing in more waves of investors. As the world continues to grapple with deep-seated structural changes, the decision by the "smart money" to make its largest bullish wager on gold in months is a clear and resounding signal: in the quest for a safe harbor, all that glitters is, once again, gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Get liquidity at the beginning of the week, continue to decrease⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) continues to lose ground, slipping to around $3,335 in early Asian trading on Monday. The metal is on its fourth straight day of declines as easing geopolitical tensions and trade progress weaken safe-haven demand. Investors are now turning their focus to the upcoming FOMC policy decision on Wednesday. Market sentiment has improved following a breakthrough in US–EU trade talks, with both sides agreeing to a uniform 15% tariff on traded goods, effectively ending months of stalemate. The new tariffs will come into effect on August 1. Meanwhile, the US and China are reportedly planning to extend their tariff truce for another three months, according to the South China Morning Post. The renewed risk appetite continues to pressure gold, traditionally favored in times of uncertainty. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Short-term recovery in Asian session, gold price takes liquidity and continues to accumulate below 3369 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3369- 3371 SL 3376 TP1: $3360 TP2: $3350 TP3: $3340 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3305-$3303 SL $3298 TP1: $3314 TP2: $3330 TP3: $3342 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold’s Precision Drop: Wave 5 Ignites the Bullish Reversal --- ### 🚀 **Golden Opportunity Ahead: Wave 5 Bullish Breakout Incoming!** After perfectly completing the **bearish Gartley pattern**, gold dropped precisely to the **target zone at 3,323**, just as predicted. This move confirmed the formation of **Wave 5**, signaling the end of the corrective phase. Now, all signs point to a **strong bullish reversal**—and the next step is a powerful rally toward the predefined targets. This is a **prime buying opportunity** for traders looking to ride the wave! ### 🎯 **Buy Zone:** - **Entry:** Around **3,323 USD** ### 📈 **Profit Targets:** | Target | Fibonacci Level | Price (USD) | |--------|------------------|-------------| | TP1 | 1.0 | 13,447.875 | | TP2 | 1.27 | 13,536.025 | | TP3 | 1.618 | 13,649.640 | The link of. The previous analysis is below in the comment ---
TVC:GOLDLong
by Elrouby
1
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great finish to the week with our chart ideas playing out, as analysed. We completed all our Bullish targets on this chart with ema5 cross and lock confirmation. We were also able to step away today after the final target with no further ema5 cross and lock, confirming the rejection that we are seeing now. BULLISH TARGET 3356 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3381 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3404 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3424 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3439 - DONE We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Trading Plan - 28th July 2025🔺 Technical Analysis Gold opened the Asian session this week with a slight retracement, testing the 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement level before bouncing back strongly to last week's closing price around 3339. This move further solidifies the price action from a technical perspective. Notably, gold has broken through a minor resistance on the M15 timeframe, invalidating the bearish structure and forming a full-bodied H1 candle. This sets the stage for a potential corrective uptrend to unfold. On the Daily timeframe, the initial session's decline retested the bullish trendline and bounced back within the boundaries of the flag pattern. It's likely that this week, the price will continue towards the end of this pattern, providing a clearer confirmation of the medium-term trend. 🔺 Key Macroeconomic News This week promises to be volatile with several crucial economic announcements, particularly as it marks both the end of the month and the start of a new one. Two key events that traders should pay close attention to are: FOMC Interest Rate Decision: Always a focal point for the market, with significant impact on safe-haven assets like gold. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Report: Vital US labour market data, capable of triggering substantial movements in both the USD and gold. Therefore, be prepared for potential market shocks and exercise careful risk management. 📈 Trading Strategy & Considerations Given the technical setup and upcoming macroeconomic events, consider the following: Potential Corrective Uptrend: The invalidated bearish structure on M15 and the strong H1 candle suggest a short-term bullish bias for a corrective move. Daily Flag Pattern: Monitor price action as it approaches the end of the flag pattern on the Daily timeframe for medium-term trend confirmation. High Volatility Ahead: Exercise extreme caution around the FOMC and NFP announcements. These events can lead to significant and rapid price swings. Risk Management: Prioritise strict risk management. Consider reducing position sizes or employing wider stop-losses during high-impact news events. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
15-minute timeframe for XAU/USDKey Elements and Observations: Price Action: The price initially shows a downtrend, breaking below a previous low, indicated by "BMS" (likely "Break in Market Structure" or "Break of Market Structure"). Following the break, the price consolidates and then shows a strong upward movement, breaking above a resistance level, again marked by "BMS." This suggests a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Order Blocks (OB): 5 Min OB (Blue Box, Top Left): There's a "5 Min OB" marked at a higher price level earlier in the chart. This represents a bearish order block, where significant selling pressure was previously observed. 15 Min OB (Teal Box, Bottom Right): A "15 Min OB" is identified at a lower price level (around 3326.00 - 3330.00). This is likely a bullish order block, indicating an area where institutions or large players placed buy orders, leading to a bounce in price. Break in Market Structure (BMS): Two "BMS" labels are visible: The first BMS (red dashed line below 3330.00) indicates a break of a support level during the downtrend. The second BMS (red dashed line above 3330.00) indicates a break of a resistance level during the subsequent uptrend, confirming a potential shift in market bias to bullish. Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit (Trade Setup): Entry (Green Line): The suggested entry point for a long (buy) position is at approximately 3339.50. This entry aligns with a retest of a previous resistance level that has now turned into support, or potentially the lower boundary of a small bullish order block or fair value gap. Stop Loss (Red Line/Red Box): The stop loss is set at 3335.50. This is placed below a recent low or significant support level, specifically within a red-shaded area that likely represents a "Supply/Demand" zone or an area where the trade would be invalidated. Take Profit (Green Line/Green Box): The take profit target is 3354.00, resulting in a "Profit" of 3354.00. This target is placed at a significant resistance level or an area where price might reverse. The white shaded box above the entry, extending to the take profit, highlights the potential profit zone. Risk-Reward Ratio: While not explicitly calculated, the visual representation suggests a favorable risk-reward, with the potential profit (green box) appearing larger than the potential loss (red box). Pivot Point (P): A "P (3345.227)" is marked on the chart, likely indicating a pivot point, which can act as a dynamic support or resistance level. The current price is trading above this pivot point, further supporting a bullish bias. "BMS: 61.36%" (Bottom Right): This percentage likely refers to a "Break in Market Structure" metric or a specific trading indicator that quantifies the strength or probability of the market structure shift. 61.36% suggests a reasonably strong confirmation. Implied Trading Strategy: The chart depicts a bullish reversal strategy, likely based on "Smart Money Concepts" or "ICT" (Inner Circle Trader) principles. The strategy involves: Identifying a shift in market structure: Price breaking highs after breaking lows, signaling a change from bearish to bullish. Utilizing Order Blocks: Using the 15 Min OB as a foundational support level and potentially looking for entry confirmations around it. Waiting for a Retest/Pullback: The entry around 3339.50 suggests waiting for a pullback after the initial bullish impulse. This could be a retest of a broken resistance level, a fair value gap (FVG), or a small bullish order block within the larger 15 Min OB. Placing Stop Loss Strategically: Below a significant low or invalidation point. Targeting Previous Highs/Resistance: Setting the take profit at a logical resistance level where previous selling pressure was observed.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tdawly_Official
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: That was worth waiting for! We were expecting higher to then short this into the level we wanted, but as you can see, we had no red box break and our bias level was 3335. That resistance gave us an opportunity early session to get in and then the break of the 3320 level confirmed the move completing a majority of our targets. Now we have support here and resistance at the 3395 level and above that 3406. We have a lower level here of 3375 which we feel if targeted and rejected, could give the opportunity for a RIP into the higher levels. KOG’s Bias of the day: Bearish below 3450 with targets below 3420✅, 3410✅, 3406✅, 3397✅ and 3390✅ Bullish on break of 3450 with targets above 3455, 3458, 3464 and 3478 RED BOXES: Break above 3435 for 3440, 3446, 3449 and 3461 in extension of the move Break below 3420 for 3410✅, 3406✅, 3397✅ and 3379 in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
16
Daily XAUUSD Outlook — Riding the Fed Wave (July 28, 2025)Hey Gold Hunters! 🌟 Today feels like the calm before a storm—ADP whispers tomorrow, the Fed speaks Wednesday, and gold is inching toward its next big move. Let’s weave the macro pulse into our Smart‑Money map, highlight the five real zones, then plot our sniper‑perfect entries. No fluff—just the human beat of the market. 1️⃣ Macro Pulse & Market Mood US Dollar: Bullish tilt as markets price in another hawkish Fed pause. Tomorrow (Tue): ADP jobs print could spark an early swing. Wed PM: FOMC Statement & Powell’s press conference—biggest catalyst this week. Thu/Fri: Core PCE, Unemployment Claims, then Friday’s NFP + ISM Manufacturing. Gold is caught in suspense: a squeeze here (into supply) or a slide there (into demand) will come fast once the Fed drops its hint. 🧭 Bias: Neutral‑bearish—looking for lower highs under the 3,345–3,375 supply zone, with a preference to short rallies into that band until price convincingly breaks and holds above 3,375. Once we see a clean weekly‑style close above that level, we’ll flip to neutral‑bullish. 2️⃣ Five Breathing Zones (Top → Bottom) 🛑 Zone 1 “Sky Trap” (3,380 – 3,415) The final airspace above our daily EMAs (10/50) where stops are hunted. Fib ext’s 127%–161.8% and an unfilled Fair‑Value Gap live here. Any spike that ends in a long upper wick or bearish engulf = short‑trap. (let price fall clear of this zone before the next) ⚔️ Zone 2 “Premium Supply” (3,345 – 3,375) The two‑week high order block, hugged by EMA50 and Fib 61.8%. Friday’s rejection candle was born here. Watch for bearish PA after a retest—your core sell zone. (space down to next) 🌊 Zone 3 “First Demand Cove” (3,290 – 3,320) Where mid‑June’s buyers piled in: June consolidation OB, filled FVG, and Fib 38.2–50% confluence. SMA100 sits below for extra gravity. A clean drop and bullish reaction here = sniper‑long trigger. (gap to deep zone) 🚀 Zone 4 “Deep Pullback Bay” (3,240 – 3,270) Hidden Fair‑Value Gap, BOS origin, and weekly EMA21 converge. If Zone 3 breaks, this is your deep‑dip reload—hunt that D1 reversal wick. (last space) 🛡️ Zone 5 “Macro Reset Block” (3,000 – 3,140) The root of 2024’s CHoCH, EMA200/SMA200 cluster, and 78.6–88.6% Fib retrace. Only if gold truly panics on a USD blitz—ultimate accumulation. 3️⃣ Sniper‑Perfect Scenarios 🔴 Short Setup Where: A thrust into Zone 1 or 2 (3,345+). Cue: Long upper wick → bearish engulf on D1/M30. Edge: FVG fill + Fib confluence + RSI rollover. 🟢 Long Setup Where: A dip into Zone 3 or, if swept, Zone 4. Cue: Bullish pin‑bar or engulf + reclaim of EMA10/50. Edge: June OB base + RSI bounce from ~50. 4️⃣ Your To‑Do List Morning Watch: Does gold flirt with 3,375? Prep your shorts. Mid‑Day Pull: A drop to 3,300? Hunt your longs. Avoid: The gaps between zones—those are “no‑man’s land.” News Trades: Let the daily candle close post‑Fed before committing. 💬 What’s your plan today? Comment below—let’s refine our edge! 👍 Enjoyed this map? Smash that Like & Follow for more pulse‑driven, zero‑fluff outlooks. Disclosure: Chart powered by Trade Nation’s TradingView feed. I participate in their Influencer Program. GoldFxMinds 💛
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
6
Gold Market Analysis: Seize the Bearish Opportunity!Hello, amazing traders! 📊 Last week, gold put both buyers and sellers through a rollercoaster, peaking at $3,439 on Monday and Tuesday before a sharp decline shook the market. The chart reveals a classic triangle pattern with a sneaky false breakout, designed to trap the unwary. Now, with the upside liquidity swept away, a bearish move is on the horizon—let’s break it down! 📈 Chart Insights Take a look at the attached chart! Gold’s recent action highlights: False Breakout: The price tricked traders with a brief surge, only to reverse sharply. Target Zone: Equal Lows at $3,240 are the next key level to watch. Retracements: Expect a pullback to the $3,360-$3,365 range, where order blocks, 4H Fair Value Gaps (FVG), and Hourly Imbalance Fair Value Gaps (IFVG) form a powerful demand zone. 🎯 Trading Plan Entry Point: Prepare to short around $3,360-$3,365 as gold retraces to this strong PD Array. Stop Loss: Place above $3,385 to avoid the daily and 4H FVG zone ($3,375-$3,385), which should act as resistance. Target: Aim for $3,240, the Equal Lows, with updates on short-term targets to follow. Note: The $3,375-$3,385 range is a balanced zone—unlikely to be revisited soon. 🚨 Why Act Now? This setup offers a golden (or should I say bearish gold?) chance to capitalize on the market’s momentum. The chart’s clear levels and the false breakout signal a high-probability move. Stay tuned for real-time updates as we track this trade! 💬 Join the Conversation! Loved this analysis? Hit the Like button to show your support! ❤️ Follow me for more actionable insights, and drop a comment below—where do you see gold heading next? Let’s build a thriving TradingView community together! 🙌 Happy trading, and may your trades be as sharp as this analysis! ✨
TVC:GOLDShort
by Mr_Masab
GOLD: clean pullback - now let’s see if support holdsGold continues to trade within an ascending channel on the 4H chart. After a local high, the price pulled back and is now approaching the key zone at 3333–3335. This area lines up with the 0.79 Fib retracement, the lower channel boundary, and a major volume cluster — a classic confluence zone. If buyers show up here and we get a bullish reversal candle, this becomes a valid long setup with a tight stop just below the level. First target is 3373 (0.5 Fib), followed by a potential retest of the high near 3439. The structure remains intact, the pullback is orderly, and volume supports the move. As long as the channel holds - the bias stays bullish.
TVC:GOLD
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold: dropped on trade deals The safe-haven asset had its ups and downs during the previous week. The week started with an uptrend, where the price of gold reached its highest weekly level at $3.430, on trade tariff tensions. However, the deal made between the US and Japan, pushed the price toward lower grounds, ending the week at $3.340. In addition, Friday's drop was supported by announced tariffs negotiations between the US and EU in Scotland during the weekend. The RSI dropped below the level of 50 on Friday, ending the week at the level of 48. The MA50 slowed down its divergence from MA200, however, the potential cross is still far away. Still, weekly lows of the price of gold found support at MA50 levels. The week ahead brings several currently very important US macro data, including JOLTs, PCE, NFP and Unemployment data. In addition, the FOMC meeting will be held where the market will receive the latest Fed's view on economic developments in the country and future expectations. Also, further news on trade tariff agreements, especially regarding ongoing negotiations between the EU and the US in Scotland, might make an impact on investors sentiment for safe-haven assets. As per current charts, the price of gold might revert a bit to the upside, after a drop during the last three days of the previous week. In this sense, the resistance level at $3,4K might be tested. On the opposite side, the situation on charts is a little bit tricky. Namely, there is a line which perfectly connects all lows from February this year. Friday's closing was exactly at this line, which again adds to the probability of a short reversal. However, if, in any case, the price of gold breaks this longer term trend, then it will indicate that the longer path to the downside is in store for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
XAU/USD Breakout Playbook – Rob the Market!🚨💰 GOLD HEIST IN MOTION! | XAU/USD Thief Trading Strategy (Breakout Edition) 🏴‍☠️ 🧠 Strategic Mindset | Not Your Average Chart Talk Yo Market Bandits & Pip Hunters – welcome to the underground playbook! This isn't your grandma’s chart breakdown – it’s a Thief Trading Takedown on XAU/USD (Gold), where we’re not chasing the market… we’re outsmarting it. THE MASTER PLAN: Enter Like a Ghost, Exit Like a King 👑 📍 ENTRY POINT – The Break-In Begins! 💥 Breakout Level: Watch for 3370.00 resistance to crack – this is our green light. 🕵️‍♂️ Entry Style: • Buy Stop above MA resistance zone (fast & clean) • OR Buy Limit near swing low zones after confirmation pullback (sniper entry) 🧠 Thief Tip: Wait for the breakout to happen. No orders, no SL before it. Patience is profit. 🔄 Layer the Entry: • Deploy DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) or scaling entries with precision • Build positions like stacking cash bags — smart, silent, and calculated 🛡️ PROTECT THE LOOT – Stop Loss Logic 💣 📍 SL Guide: 3310.00 (4H swing low – update as price structure evolves) 🔥 SL ONLY comes after breakout. Set it too early? That’s how you get caught. ⛔ No pre-breakout orders. No early SL. Stay invisible till it's go time. 🎯 THE ESCAPE – Profit Like a Phantom 🚀 💸 Take Profit: 3450.00 📉 Scalpers: Trail SL as price pushes – never give back stolen pips 🌀 Swing Traders: Monitor resistance layers – don’t let the bulls turn on you 🧭 CONTEXT – Why This Setup? 🔍 Macro Snapshot: • Trend: Neutral/Bullish Lean • Influencers: COT reports, geopolitical tension, dollar flows • Sentiment Shifting – watch the herd, but don’t run with it 🗞️ News Risk: Don’t get wrecked by events! Avoid entries during high-impact news. 🚨 Trailing SL is your best weapon during volatility. ⚡ POWER UP THE CREW – Support the Movement 💬 Drop a comment, hit the 🔥 like button, and share with your trading gang More Thief Trading blueprints coming soon – bigger breakouts, cleaner setups ⚠️ STAY SHARP, THIEVES! This ain't financial advice – it’s an outlaw’s edge on the market. Trade smart. Risk well. Protect the bag. 🏴‍☠️ XAU/USD GOLD HEIST IN PROGRESS... Join the Movement. Let’s Rob the Market.
VELOCITY:GOLDLong
by The-Thief
GOLD → Countertrend correction, retest of 3345 before growthFX:XAUUSD , undergoing a deep correction after a false breakout of local resistance at 3433, has reached the support of the upward trend. Will the bulls be able to maintain the trend? Gold held below $3,400 on Friday, rebounding from $3,350, and is poised to end the week higher. Investors are watching the conflict between Thailand and Cambodia, which is boosting demand for safe-haven assets, and are also awaiting decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan next week. The markets received additional support from US trade deals with Asian countries and progress in negotiations with the EU, easing fears of a tariff war. As part of the correction, gold is testing trend support and the 3345-3337 zone of interest. A false breakdown, lack of downward momentum, and bulls holding prices above 3345 could trigger growth and a continuation of the main upward trend. Resistance levels: 3375, 3383 Support levels: 3345, 3337, 3330 Technically, the support level of 3345 plays a fairly important role in the market. If, during the correction, the bulls manage to hold their ground above this zone, the prospects for recovery will be high, especially against the backdrop of geopolitical problems. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
XAUUSD Expecting bullish Movement Gold is currently testing a strong demand zone between 3340 to 3335, which previously acted as a support area. The price action indicates potential for a bullish reversal from this zone, supported by oversold conditions and historical reaction levels. Entry Zone: 3340 to 3335 First Target: 3375 Second Target: 3390 Two potential scenarios are highlighted: A direct bullish reversal from the 3340–3335 zone A slight consolidation before continuation to the upside This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity for intraday or short-term swing traders. Monitor price action confirmation signals before entering
TVC:GOLDLong
by mcfkyz
2
Gold will rebound from support line of triangle and rise to 3430Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Following a sequence of significant upward trends and the subsequent downward corrections that defined its range, gold has entered a broad market zone of consolidation. This battleground is clearly anchored by the historically significant buyer zone around 3285 and a formidable seller zone near 3430. Currently, the asset's price action is coiling and contracting within the confines of a large symmetrical triangle, a classic pattern that signifies a period of equilibrium and energy build-up before a potential high-volatility breakout. After a recent upward rebound was decisively rejected by the upper resistance line, the price is now in a corrective descent, heading towards the crucial ascending support line of the triangle. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, which is based on the expectation that this downward move will find strong buying interest on this key trendline, respecting the pattern's integrity. A confirmed and strong bounce from this level would signal another complete upward rotation within the triangle is underway. Therefore, the tp is logically and strategically set at the 3430 resistance level, as it not only aligns with the formation's upper boundary but also represents the major seller zone, a natural magnet for price on such a rebound. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
13
Lingrid | GOLD Corrective Move: Potential Long Trade OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is pulling back sharply after facing rejection from the key resistance level at 3431, following a two-leg impulse wave. The structure shows a correction within an active uptrend, nearing confluence support from the upward trendline and horizontal level. As long as price holds above 3342, a bounce and continuation toward 3400 remain the favored scenario. Broader bullish structure and momentum buildup point to a possible resumption after the current retracement. 📉 Key Levels Buy trigger: Break above 3350 Buy zone: 3345 – 3340 Target: 3400 Invalidation: Break below 3320 💡 Risks Failure to hold the upward trendline could shift momentum Weak bounce may trap buyers before real breakout Resistance at 3400 could remain firm without stronger volume support If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
22