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GOLD trade ideas

GOLD | CPI Data in Focus – Key Levels at 3347 and 3318GOLD | OVERVIEW Gold remains under pressure due to ongoing U.S.–China trade tensions, with additional focus on the upcoming U.S. CPI data, which is expected to have a strong market impact. Forecast CPI: 2.5% Previous CPI: 2.3% Current Scenario: If the CPI comes in above 2.5%, it would signal stronger inflation, reducing the likelihood of rate cuts. This would pressure gold lower, continuing the downtrend toward 3318, then 3303, and possibly 3292. Alternative Scenario: If CPI is below expectations, it would suggest easing inflation and open the door for rate cuts—supportive for gold. In that case, a break above 3347 could lead to 3366, and then 3375. Support Levels: 3318, 3303, 3292 Resistance Levels: 3347, 3366, 3375
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
live trade and break down 5k profits, 3500 targetGold price sticks to positive bias as sustained safe-haven buying offsets modest USD strength Gold price sticks to its bullish tone for the third consecutive day on Friday and trades close to its highest level since April 22 through the first half of the European session. Against the backdrop of trade-related uncertainties, a further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East tempers investors' appetite for riskier assets.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by afri-tradesource
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the resistance area📊 Technical Analysis ● Third rejection of the H1 descending-channel roof (≈3 382) printed a bearish engulfing and confirmed the prior “false-break” spike; price is now back under the purple retest line that acted as supply all month. ● An intraday rising wedge has cracked; its measured leg aligns with the grey targets at 3 344 (minor support) and the 3 289 liquidity pocket near the channel’s mid-rail. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Firmer US 2-yr yield near 4.8 % after upbeat PPI and hawkish Fed dots lifted the DXY, while CFTC data show fresh trimming of gold longs, reducing dip-buying fire-power. ✨ Summary Fade rallies 3 335-3 345; sustained trade <3 320 eyes 3 344 then 3 289. Bear view void on an H1 close above 3 350. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
2
Will gold continue its uptrend from the 3,300 USD level?Hello dear traders! Gold prices continued to decline against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, falling below the previous psychological support level, which is now resistance, at 3,350 USD. The main reason was that the US Dollar gained some positive momentum as the market leaned toward the Fed maintaining its current policy in July following the May report, causing XAUUSD to move lower into the weekend. From a technical perspective, as previously analyzed, gold broke below the psychological support level of 3,350 USD on Friday, with prices approaching the 3,300 USD support level at the time of writing. However, the RSI has dropped to the 30 level, indicating that selling pressure may be losing momentum, and global economic stress could potentially limit further losses.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LygridTrading
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Breakdown : Structure Shifting + Target📍 Overview: Gold (XAUUSD) has been displaying a classic technical development that traders need to pay close attention to. What initially looked like a smooth parabolic rally has now transitioned into a clear structure shift, as evidenced by the breakdown of a rounded support curve and rejection from a major resistance zone. The market is signaling a bearish retracement or even a deeper correction, and this setup offers potential trading opportunities both for short-term scalpers and swing traders. 📊 Chart Breakdown: 🔸 1. The Rounded Support Curve (Black Mind Curve): The curve outlines a strong upward acceleration phase starting from the June 9 low. This curve often acts like a dynamic support — similar to a parabolic trendline. As long as price stays above it, the momentum remains intact. In this case, Gold broke below the curve, which is a sign of exhaustion and potential bearish control. 🔸 2. Major Resistance Zone (~$3,417 – $3,427): This level has acted as a ceiling multiple times in the past, visible in earlier highs from June 5 and 6. Upon re-approaching this zone, price showed aggressive wicks to the upside followed by strong bearish candles — signaling institutional selling and profit-taking. This triple rejection reinforced the resistance’s significance. 🔸 3. Structure Mapping and Transition: After the breakdown, we observed a clean market structure shift: the formation of lower highs and lower lows, a key sign of bearish trend development. The current price action is flowing downward in an organized pattern, suggesting further downside unless a strong reversal or bullish engulfing setup occurs. 🔸 4. Next Reversal Zone (~$3,360): This area is identified as a high-probability support zone based on: Past price reaction. Previous accumulation zone from June 10–11. Psychological round number proximity (e.g., $3,350 – $3,360). Traders should monitor this level for potential reversal setups such as bullish engulfing candles, pin bars, or RSI divergence. 🧠 Market Psychology: This pattern reflects a classic distribution phase at resistance after an emotionally driven uptrend: Retail traders jump in late as the price approaches highs. Institutions begin distributing (selling into strength). Support breaks down as retail stops get triggered. Price drops into a demand zone where accumulation may begin again. Understanding this psychological cycle helps traders align with the smart money rather than chasing price action blindly. 🛠️ Potential Trading Plans: ✅ Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation Wait for a retest of the broken structure (~$3,390 – $3,400). Look for rejection patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star). Entry: ~$3,395–$3,400 | Target: ~$3,360 | SL: Above $3,420. ✅ Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal from Support Monitor price action around $3,360 zone. Look for bullish structure forming: higher lows, reversal candles, divergence. Entry: On confirmation (e.g., bullish pin bar on 1H or 4H). Target: Back to structure at ~$3,400–$3,410. ⚠️ Risk Considerations: Avoid entering in the middle of the range. Use proper stop-loss positioning to manage volatility. Keep an eye on macro catalysts like: US inflation reports Fed commentary or interest rate decisions Geopolitical tensions that can spike gold 🧭 Summary: The market is unfolding a textbook technical setup: Resistance rejection Rounded support breakdown Bearish structure Approaching a high-probability support zone Patience is key — let price come to your level. Watch the $3,360 zone for potential reversal, and use structure to guide entries and exits. 📌 Final Note: This analysis is part of the MMC Methodology (Market Mapping Cycle), which focuses on identifying macro structure, confirming micro structure, and mapping turning points with precision. Let the market reveal itself. Don't chase — plan and execute with clarity.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last weeks KOG Report we said we would wait for the market to open and look for a reaction on the Red box and based on that reaction we would decide where we wanted to go and how to trade it! We immediately opened with a bounce which gave us the opportunity to then get on with the move upside as you can see in last weeks chart completing the move we wanted and the red box targets apart from 3406 (we got as far as 3404). We then identified the red box region we were expecting another RIP from and to the point we got the move down to complete the short. Please look at the chart, you will see how we picked the top, the bottom, and then the range trades within the circled levels with point to point, level to level trades all the way through the week. A fantastic week in Camelot on not only Gold but all the other pairs we trade. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Looking at the economic calendar there isn’t much going on in the early part of the week so there is potential here for the move to terminate just below before giving a bounce upside into the levels of 3330-35 which is the level to watch for the break this week. A rejection at that level can cause further declines taking us into the 3350 level and possibly 3230-25 before we form a swing low. There is a flip here as stated above, and that is that 3330-35 region, if we break above there then bulls have that opportunity to drive this upside to clear the NFP move and take us back to target the 3400 level. It all depends on the reactions we get at the levels so we’ll start the week with the plan of action, and of course, in these markets we’ll adapt If we have to. KOG’s bias of the week: Bearish below 3336 with targets below 3306, 3299, 3297, 3285 and 3275 Bullish on break of 3336 with targets above 3345, 3350, 3355, 3367 and 3376 Red boxes: Break above 3310 for 3320, 3332, if held above 3335, 3347 and 3362 in extension of the move Break below 3306 for 3299, 3295, 3285, 3280 and 3264 in extension of the move Many of our followers and traders have seen the power of the red boxes, Imagine this on your own TV screen, 4H for swing trading, 1H for day trading and 15min for scalping. Any pair on any chart 23hrs a day. Add to that the Knights indicator giving you swing points, key levels and retracement levels and our custom volume indicator telling you when to long, when to short and when to stand back from your trades. LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
26
XAUUSD DAILY PLAN 11 JUNE | CPI FIRE & STRUCTURE SNIPES!Hey GoldMinds! 🔥 Welcome to the June 11 plan — perfect timing as CPI is dropping tomorrow and the market is heating up! Let’s get tactical and prep for both volatility and sniper setups. 🌎 Macro & News Context All eyes on CPI (US Inflation Data) tomorrow — expect increased volatility and liquidity sweeps! USD is showing signs of strength after a broad correction. DXY breakout could pressure gold lower, but a miss on CPI could mean instant reversal. Market is trapped in a wide structure, so we’re trading only the best confluence zones — not mid-range noise. 📊 Key Levels & Zones Type Zone Logic / Target Buy #1 3315–3310 Daily OB + H4 demand + FVG sweep, strong bounce expected if CPI spike flushes price Buy #2 3292–3280 Deep discount zone, liquidity inducement & last-stand HL Sell #1 3352–3362 H1/H4 premium OB + FVG + prior sweep, CPI pump trap Sell #2 3384–3400 Extreme premium, stop hunt and sweep zone, strong rejection expected if FOMO kicks in Mid Range 3330–3340 If NY plays range, look for quick reaction scalps here with M5 confirmation only 🧭 Bias Neutral-to-Bearish (with event risk): Market is currently consolidating below premium supply, showing signs of distribution and lower highs on H1/H4. As long as price is capped below 3350–3362, sellers remain in control — especially if USD holds its strength into CPI. However, CPI can easily flip the script! If data surprises dovish and USD drops, we could see an aggressive squeeze higher. Best play: Let price reach extreme zones (either buy discount or sell premium) and wait for clear confirmation — don’t force trades in the middle. Summary: → Bearish below 3350–3362 → Bullish only on sharp flushes into 3310 or deeper discount, with M15 reversal → Flat/mixed in the mid-range (3330–3340), scalp only with confirmation 🎯 Trade Scenarios Bullish: If CPI comes in weak or USD retraces, expect price to spike into 3315–3310 and 3292–3280 zones. Look for strong M15 reversal for buys. Targets: 3345 (first), then 3360. Bearish: Strong CPI = gold pumps into 3352–3362 or even 3384–3400, then look for M15/M5 rejection to sell. Targets: 3330 (first), then 3310. 🧠 Tactical Notes Only trade with confirmation — ignore random candles in mid-range! If price is between 3330–3340, wait for clear M5 structure flip. CPI can create fakeouts — first reaction isn’t always real direction! Protect capital, don’t chase, and always respect your plan. 👇 Drop a 🚀 if the plan helped you or you enjoy the daily insights! Comment your bias, follow for more sniper plans, and let’s boost the post if you found value! Community = power. Let’s own CPI together, GoldMinds! 🧠✨ GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
16
Gold Hits Resistance on UptickThe gold market continues to exhibit a range-bound oscillation rhythm. During the Asian session, prices quickly dipped from the 3,302 level before rebounding to around 3,335 in the short term. This "volatile seesaw" movement is a typical feature of a ranging market—characterized by discontinuous fluctuations, repeated ups and downs, and a tug-of-war between bulls and bears within a limited range. The current oscillation is not a signal of trend weakening, but rather a consolidation period for bulls following the sharp rally in March and April: the previous rapid gains required time for the market to digest profit-taking and adjust its pace, building momentum for the next upward push. From a macro perspective, the 3,500 level is by no means the endpoint of this rally. After completing this consolidation phase, gold is highly likely to witness a more definitive upward move. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: buy@3310-3315 TP:3335-3345
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Ashbur
GOLD TRADERS PAY ATTENTION! | XAUUSD 15M SUPPLY ZONE IN PLAY!Price just tapped into a key supply zone (highlighted in blue) around 3390–3395, showing early signs of potential rejection. This level has historically acted as a strong resistance, and we’re now seeing clear exhaustion on the recent bullish momentum. 🧠 What I'm Watching: 📌 Supply Zone: 3390–3395 — Price just entered this key resistance 📉 Targets Below: 3348: Mid-level liquidity grab zone 3310: Major demand zone + volume imbalance (orange zone) ⏳ Volume tapering as price approaches resistance — possible trap for late buyers? 📉 SELL IDEA (If rejection confirms): Entry: Below 3388 SL: Above 3396 TP1: 3348 TP2: 3310 Bonus: Watch for a liquidity sweep and fakeout candle around 3395 before the real drop! 🧨 Important Clue: The visible range POC is sitting just below 3390, aligning perfectly with the supply zone. This is a high-probability reversal confluence for intraday traders. 👀 🔥 TIP: Watch for a break of structure below 3380 for extra confirmation before jumping in. Patience = precision! --- 📊 Agree or Disagree? Drop your thoughts ⬇️ 💬 Let’s discuss — is this another fakeout or real reversal? 💡 Follow for more setups like this! #XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #Scalping #DayTrading #ReversalZone #LiquidityGrab #FrankFx
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
CPI NEWS TRADE (XAUUSD)📉📈 Market Update – Consolidation Before CPI Storm ⚠️ Today, the market is consolidating within a key support and resistance zone. No major moves are expected until the CPI release, which is anticipated to act as a major catalyst. 🚀 CPI data could ignite a breakout in either direction – a strong rally to the upside or a sharp decline. 📊 Our Plan: 🔹 Break above resistance → We look for buying opportunities. 🔹 Break below support → We prepare to sell or short the market. 🎯 Until then, we remain patient and disciplined, waiting for a confirmed breakout. No need to jump the gun – let the market come to you. 💡 Trading Tip of the Day: “Trade the breakout, not the forecast.” Avoid predicting the direction. Instead, react to price action with a solid risk management plan. 🧠💼
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by Jessica_Gold_Vault
Go with the flow and seize the gold trading opportunityGold rose and fell yesterday due to the influence of CPI data, and fluctuated violently during the session. There were obvious signs of a wash. In the evening, it rose again driven by the news, closed positive on the daily line, continued its strong upward trend at the opening and set a new high, showing an obvious bullish pattern. The overall structure maintains the bullish idea of low-long and trend-following. From the 4H cycle, gold rose continuously after stepping back and stabilizing the middle track. The moving average system showed a bullish arrangement, and the Bollinger band opened and expanded, further confirming the continuation of the strong pattern. However, the current price is still running within the triangle convergence range, and has not yet effectively broken. It is not advisable to blindly chase more in the short term. In terms of operation, it is recommended to take the step back and do more. Pay attention to the short-term support below the 3360-3358 range, and focus on the 3350-3340 range. You can rely on the support to arrange long orders in batches. Pay attention to the 3389 and 3400 areas on the upper short-term pressure. If the high is weak, you can try short-selling in combination with the actual trend. Operation suggestion: It is recommended to buy gold near 3340-3350, and the target is 3366 and 3382. If it is strong, it is recommended to buy gold at the support of 3358-3360! All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
XAUUSD Breakout Brewing -- Squeeze Setup in Play📆 June 12, 2025 | ⏱ 4H Chart Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) is pressing against a key trendline resistance while holding a clean, ascending trendline from early March — forming a classic triangle squeeze. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: The long-term bullish trendline has been respected three times, with each touch followed by strong buying interest (see orange circles). Current price action is compressing between this trendline and descending resistance, tightening toward a potential breakout zone. Two likely outcomes on the table: 🔺 Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above $3,385 could fuel a rally toward $3,500–$3,520, especially if momentum accelerates. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below $3,260 risks deeper correction toward the $3,000 psychological level, aligning with prior demand zones. 📊 Indicators Insight: EMA(15) & EMA(60) have flattened → signaling potential volatility expansion ahead. Volume is building slightly, adding weight to a coming move. ================================================================= ⚖️ Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice) 🟢 Buy on breakout above 3,385, Target: 3,500+ 🔴 Sell on breakdown below 3,260, Target: 3,000 📌 Wait for confirmation and avoid chasing within the squeeze range. 💬 What's your take — will gold break through or bounce back? 📌 Follow for consistent multi-timeframe setups across Gold, Silver, and FX majors — 2–3 times weekly. #XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #Forex #EMA #SqueezePlay #TrianglePattern #tradingview #MJTrading
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by MJElahifx
1