XAUUSD/BTC / USDJPY forecast 11/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.
GOLD trade ideas
xauusd gold sell now entry point 3388📉 GOLD (XAUUSD) SELL SETUP ALERT 📉
🔹 Entry Point: 3388
🔹 We're initiating a SELL position on Gold
🔹 Technicals suggest downside momentum building
🎯 Target 1: 3370
🎯 Target 2: 3360
🎯 Final Target: 3350
🛑 Always respect your SL and manage your risk!
🚫 Avoid over-leveraging
💰 Capital preservation is key
🔍 Watch for price action confirmation
📊 Trade aligns with short-term bearish trend
⏱ Patience is part of the plan
🔒 Secure profits step by step
⚠️ High volatility expected – stay alert!
📉 Lower highs and pressure at resistance levels
🕒 Short-term move – intraday to 1-2 days
📈 Use proper lot sizing based on your account
💬 Trade smart – don’t chase the market
📌 Setup based on technical signals, not emotions
✅ Stick to the plan. Risk wisely.
#XAUUSD #Gold #SellSignal #ForexTrading #RiskManagement
GOLD TRADERS PAY ATTENTION! | XAUUSD 15M SUPPLY ZONE IN PLAY!Price just tapped into a key supply zone (highlighted in blue) around 3390–3395, showing early signs of potential rejection. This level has historically acted as a strong resistance, and we’re now seeing clear exhaustion on the recent bullish momentum.
🧠 What I'm Watching:
📌 Supply Zone: 3390–3395 — Price just entered this key resistance
📉 Targets Below:
3348: Mid-level liquidity grab zone
3310: Major demand zone + volume imbalance (orange zone)
⏳ Volume tapering as price approaches resistance — possible trap for late buyers?
📉 SELL IDEA (If rejection confirms):
Entry: Below 3388
SL: Above 3396
TP1: 3348
TP2: 3310
Bonus: Watch for a liquidity sweep and fakeout candle around 3395 before the real drop!
🧨 Important Clue:
The visible range POC is sitting just below 3390, aligning perfectly with the supply zone. This is a high-probability reversal confluence for intraday traders. 👀
🔥 TIP:
Watch for a break of structure below 3380 for extra confirmation before jumping in. Patience = precision!
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📊 Agree or Disagree? Drop your thoughts ⬇️
💬 Let’s discuss — is this another fakeout or real reversal? 💡 Follow for more setups like this!
#XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #Scalping #DayTrading #ReversalZone #LiquidityGrab #FrankFx
How Gold Could Be Affected by Possible Iran Conflict? Gold begins the new day on a bullish note following escalating developments in the Middle East. Yesterday, markets were focused on the US–China deal. Although an agreement was reached, tariffs but overall trade tensions remain elevated. Combined with the lower-than-expected core CPI, gold mostly moved sideways, apart from intraday noise. However, this could change in the days ahead.
US–Iran nuclear negotiations appear to be stalling. A new round of talks is scheduled for Sunday, June 15. The negative newsflow escalated with Iran’s defense minister warned that US bases in the region could be targeted if conflict breaks out. US ordered all non-essential personnel to evacuate and approved the voluntary departure of military family members from the region. Simultaneously, reports surfaced that "Israel is ready to strike Iran."
The negative newsflow continued today. The International Atomic Energy Agency passed a resolution declaring Iran non-compliant with its international obligations. In retaliation, Iran announced it would build a new uranium enrichment facility at a hidden and secure location and unveiled plans for new military drills.
The timing of this escalation raises the risk of direct conflict. Netanyahu’s government is facing collapse, with the possibility of new elections looming. At the same time, Iran is nearing nuclear weapons capability. While Trump is more openly supportive of Israel than Biden, he is reluctant to involve the US in any direct or indirect conflict. This dynamic raises the chances of an Israeli strike on Iran.
Adding to the tension is the upcoming July 9 deadline for tariffs. Trump intends to send unilateral tariff agreements to trade partners with a “take it or leave it” approach. This could sharply increase trade tensions and further support gold prices.
Today's news flow is heavily bullish for gold, and the technical outlook aligns with it. The triangle formation has broken, and gold has retested the upper boundary, gaining momentum from that level. If current risk levels remain elevated, especially if multiple strikes on Iran occur, a medium-term move above 3600 could begin.
Despite the strong bullish setup, we are in a market where sentiment can shift in minutes, with major news emerging almost daily. In this environment, it's crucial to define key levels and indicators for risk management. At the moment, the 50-day EMA appears to be holding well as a support level. This moving average could be the final line that determines the medium-term direction for gold. If it breaks, the bullish outlook may no longer be valid.
XAU / USD 30 Minutes ChartHello traders. Taking a quick look at the 30, we can see my area of interest marked on the chart. Let's see if we bounce off and move back up, move down and stay trading in the range or push back down to the area marked. I am waiting patiently and I am in no hurry to force or rusha trade. We have big new here in under an hour in the US. I am just watching for now. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
POSSIBLE SHORT AND LONG POSITION Hi traders.
🥲 no one is listening but I’m still going to post 🥺🥺
Anyway, a new session trade. This is what’s happened:
I’ve opened a short position around the short mark, if you look closer 👀 this isn’t exactly on the high of the tick or the high of the wick in the highest of the London session. This is because I entered in a bit late.
But late enough I was.
I saw a small dip then the spike which nearly caused me to hit my stop loss.
The stop loss hasn’t hit yet, and it’s now on a rally going down, hopefully it doesn’t bounce back up.
The 3 drawings that I have set out the session high and low, and future position and one more drawing marking out the bullish movement.
Short position has been entered and not is going down to TP, I have an alert on the TP and the SL and I also have alerts on new highs and lows
Have fun traders
XAU/USD: Gold's Critical Decision Point! FOR JUNE 06, 2025 📊 CURRENT SNAPSHOT
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🎯 THE SETUP: "Golden Triangle Breakout"
Gold is sitting at a CRITICAL JUNCTURE - trapped between major support and resistance levels, forming what I call the "Golden Pressure Cooker" pattern.
🔍 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
🔴 RESISTANCE ZONE (The Ceiling)
* LWH (Last Week High): \$3,403.55 - Ultimate target
* LWL (Last Week Low): \$3,297.94 - Immediate resistance
* 4H FVG: \$3,350 area - Major supply zone
🟡 CURRENT BATTLEFIELD
* Price Action: Consolidating in tight range
* PWL (Previous Week Low): \$3,245.28 - Key pivot
🔴 DANGER ZONE (The Floor)
* DIE ZONE: \$3,121.70 - Critical support
* Break below = Major bearish signal
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📈 MARKET STRUCTURE ANALYSIS
What the Chart is Telling Us:
1. 📊 Consolidation Phase: Gold has been ranging for several sessions
2. ⚡ 4H FVG Above: Acting as a magnet for price
3. 🎯 Triple Test: Price respecting the PWL level multiple times
4. 📉 Volume Decline: Typical before major moves
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🚀 TRADING SCENARIOS
SCENARIO 1: "Golden Rocket" 🚀 (BULLISH)
IF price breaks above \$3,297.94 (LWL):
* Target 1: \$3,330- +1.2% gain
* Target 2: \$3,350(FVG) - +3.9% gain
* Stop Loss: \$3,280 - Risk: -0.5%
Risk/Reward: 1:1.8 ⭐⭐⭐
SCENARIO 2: "Golden Avalanche" 📉 (BEARISH)
IF price breaks below \$3,245.28 (PWL):
* Target 1: \$3,200 (Psychological level)
* Target 2: \$3,121.70 (Die Zone)
* Stop Loss: \$3,297.94 (LWL)
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💡 SIMPLE TRADING PLAN
🎯 FOR BULLS (Buy Setup):
```
ENTRY: Break above $3,298 with volume
STOP: $3,285
TARGET 1: $3,330
TARGET 2: $3,360
🎯 FOR BEARS (Sell Setup):
```
ENTRY: Break below $3,245 with volume
STOP: $3,298 (LWL)
TARGET 1: $3,200
TARGET 2: $3,122 (Die Zone)
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⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES
1. Position Size: Risk only 1-2% of account
2. Wait for Confirmation: Don't jump early
3. Volume is Key: Breakouts need volume
4. Time Limit: Close if no movement in 2 days
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🔥 WHY THIS SETUP MATTERS
Gold is at a crossroads! The tight consolidation suggests big players are accumulating positions. When this range breaks, expect explosive movement in either direction.
Smart Money Clues:
* Multiple tests of PWL = Strong support
* 4H FVG above = Price magnet effect
* Low volume = Calm before the storm
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📊 MARKET CONTEXT
* Dollar Weakness: Could fuel gold rally
* Economic Uncertainty: Safe haven demand
* Technical Setup: Clean breakout pattern
* Timeframe: Perfect for swing trades
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🎯 MY VERDICT
Gold is COILED and ready to EXPLODE!
The setup favors the bullish scenario due to:
✅ Strong support holding at PWL
✅ 4H FVG acting as price magnet
✅ Multiple failed attempts to break lower
✅ Overall uptrend structure intact
But remember: Respect the levels and trade the breakout, not your bias!
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🚨 ACTION ITEMS
1. Set Alerts: \$3,298 (bull trigger) & \$3,245 (bear trigger)
2. Watch Volume: Breakouts need confirmation
3. Be Patient: Wait for clean breaks
4. Have Both Plans: Ready for either direction
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Trade Smart, Stay Safe! 🥇💰
The market rewards patience and punishes impatience.
Another try on the gold short tradeTo be honest, it was beyond my expectation that gold could continue to rebound above 3340. According to my original expectation, the upper limit of gold's rebound in the short term was around 3336-3338. However, gold has already touched around 3342 during the rebound, but because gold failed to close above 3345, I still advocate shorting gold in batches in the 3335-3345 area.
Recently, both the long and short sides of gold have not continued, and the overall market tends to be volatile. In the short term, as long as gold does not break through 3345, gold still has a chance to retrace, which also means that the rebound is an opportunity for us to short gold, but with the rebound of gold, we need to moderately reduce the expectation of gold retracement, so for short-term short gold, our primary retracement target is in the 3325-3320 area.
So for short-term trading, I think we can still try to short gold again!
HelenP. I Gold may break support level and continue to move downHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price reached support 2, which coincided with the support zone and tried to break it, but failed and dropped below. Then Gold turned around and made an impulse up, broke firstly 3125 level first and then reached support 1 and broke it too. After this movement, Gold continued to grow and reached the trend line, after which it started to decline inside a triangle pattern, where it first fell below support 1, making a first gap. Next, Gold tried to back up, but failed and dropped to support 2, after which it started to grow. In a short time, XAU rose to support 1, broke it, and some time traded between this level. Not long time ago, it rose to the trend line, which is the resistance line of a triangle as well, and then fell to the resistance zone. So, I expect that XAUUSD will break the support level and then continue to fall, thereby exiting from triangle too. For this case, I set my goal at 3225 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
We are waiting for the H4 liquidity backtest to place SELL GOLDYesterday there was a BUY point and a missed SELL. Currently gold is in wave 5. We are waiting for the H4 liquidity backtest to place a SELL order.
World gold prices rose after the People's Bank of China announced on June 7 that it had added gold to its reserves for the seventh consecutive month in May. China's gold reserves were valued at $241.99 billion at the end of last month, down from $243.59 billion at the end of April. Gold prices hit an all-time high (over $3,500/ounce) in April, which boosted the value of China's holdings of the precious metal.
Investors are now waiting for the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), data due on June 13, to assess the country's economic health and predict the trajectory of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts.
Let's wait for SELL
Best regards, StarrOne !!!
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD drops more than 20 USD, US-China negotiationsIn the early morning trading session on Tuesday (June 10), the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly dropped sharply from around 3,328 USD/ounce to around 3,305 USD/ounce.
Bloomberg pointed out that the price of gold fell in the early morning trading session in Asia on Tuesday as both sides in the Sino-US trade talks hinted at their willingness to make concessions.
Easing tensions between Washington and Beijing could reduce the appeal of gold
Senior officials from the United States and China launched the second round of trade talks in London, the first round since the Geneva meeting in early May.
On the afternoon of June 9, local time, the first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism was held in London, UK. On June 10, local time, the first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism will continue.
The US delegation, led by Treasury Secretary Benjamin Bessant, was also attended by Commerce Secretary Lutnick and US Trade Representative Greer. Bessant told reporters in London that they had a “good meeting,” while Lutnick called the discussions “productive.”
Bloomberg reported that the US side had hinted that it was willing to lift export controls on some technology in exchange for China easing restrictions on rare earth exports.
The easing of tensions in the US-China trade war is the main factor currently putting downward pressure on gold, which has risen more than 26% this year.
Gold traders are also looking ahead to this week’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to gauge the health of the US economy and predict the trajectory of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After recovering in yesterday's trading session thanks to support from the confluence of EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, gold has fallen back to test this area in the early trading session today. Gold may continue to face selling pressure in the short term, once the bearish momentum breaks below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, then the short term target will be around $3,250 followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement.
However, up to now, the technical position still shows the possibility of increasing prices with the support from EMA21 with Fibonacci retracement 0.382% has not been broken, the recovery target is still at 3,350 USD in the short term, then 3,371 USD, an important resistance level which is also the price point of Fibonacci retracement 0.236%.
Based on the current position, gold still has a bullish outlook with the possible downside mentioned above, and the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250 USD
Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3371
→Take Profit 1 3359
↨
→Take Profit 2 3353
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3274 - 3276⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3270
→Take Profit 1 3282
↨
→Take Profit 2 3288
XAU/USD - Potential Targets [ Correction ]Dear Friends in Trading,
How I see it:
**Huge Liquidity Pool @ Psychological 3000 area.
Key Confluence - Now Resistance @ 3346.400
Potential "SHORT" Correction Target:
1] 3010.00
In case key resistance is breached: (Upside is pressured)
Potential "LONG" Target @ 3435.00
I sincerely hope my point of view offers you a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
6/9 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsLast Friday, gold experienced a sharp drop, briefly testing the 3300 level. From a technical standpoint, the market has started to show early signs of bottom formation, which could materialize either as a double bottom / multiple bottom pattern, or through a direct upside breakout.
If the former unfolds, we expect a stronger and more sustainable rebound.
If it turns into a straight bullish leg, traders should be cautious of potential exhaustion in the rally, which may invite a renewed bearish attack.
📊 Key Macro Focus This Week:
Markets will be primarily influenced by data releases on Wednesday through Friday, including:
Monthly CPI
Initial Jobless Claims
Inflation Expectations
As a result, Monday's trading will be dominated by technical patterns, with a bias toward a corrective rebound. The strategic focus should be on buying near support, with short-term opportunities to sell near key resistance.
📌 Monday Trading Plan:
✅ Buy in the 3303–3286 zone (early base-building area)
✅ Sell in the 3343–3353 zone (overhead resistance)
🔄 Intraday pivot levels for tactical entries:
3338 / 3326 / 3317 / 3309
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 11, 2025Currently, the price is moving sideways within a channel.
🔍 Wave Structure Analysis:
Looking closely at the wave patterns inside this price channel, we can clearly see a series of 3-wave structures developing. Previously, we also observed what appears to be an abc corrective pattern (black), which leads me to suspect that we might be forming a triangle structure as the beginning of a wave 1 sequence (12345 in green).
It seems that wave 4 has already completed, and the price is currently in wave 5. Structurally, wave 5 may take the form of a 3-wave move, and the key confirmation we want to see is a break above 3349, signaling that the top of wave 5 is in place.
☄️ Typically, once a wave 1 triangle completes, the market tends to enter a sharp and deep corrective move in the form of a zigzag.
🎯 Potential Target Zones (based on Fibonacci + Volume Profile):
Target Zone 1: 3352 – 3355
Target Zone 2: 3362 – 3365
⚡️ Momentum Outlook :
D1 Momentum: Starting to turn bullish, suggesting the current correction is nearing completion and we could see a bullish week ahead.
H4 Momentum: Currently in overbought territory – I expect the price to break above 3349, followed by a momentum reversal on H4, which could provide a great SELL opportunity at the upper targets.
H1 Momentum: Is about to turn bearish, indicating a short-term pullback may occur. If this correction fails to break below 3315, the price may be completing wave 5 as a 3-wave structure. In that case, we should wait for H1 momentum to turn bullish and then bearish again to confirm wave 5 completion.
📌 Trading Plan :
🔻 SELL Zone: 3352 – 3355
⛔️ Stop Loss: 3369
🎯 TP1: 3334
🎯 TP2: 3307
Gold Pulls Back Near 3345: Trend Analysis & Trading TipsWe have once again perfectly predicted the gold trend. Throughout Tuesday, we kept calling for short positions at the rebound level of 3335-45, which offered multiple entry opportunities. With bulls continuously facing overhead pressure, bears should continue to focus on the short-term support at 3295-3306, where the price has been oscillating since the beginning of this week.
From the 4-hour chart, the overhead resistance stands near 3338-45. It is recommended to continue taking short positions based on this level and expect the bearish trend to continue. The support below focuses on the key level of 3288-3290. Overall, the price is expected to continue wide-range oscillation within this interval. The uptrend cannot be confirmed before the daily closing price breaks above and holds 3345.
XAUUSD
sell@3340-3350
tp:3330-3320
CPI is coming, which direction should gold go?
True trading masters can maintain inner peace in the hustle and bustle of the market and are not confused by short-term fluctuations. They know that the short-term trend of the market is full of randomness, like ripples on the water, seemingly complicated but difficult to predict. They are like gatekeepers of the mind, with strong determination to resist the emotional interference of the market, and no matter how big the market fluctuations are, they will not let them lose their footing. When others are scared and want to sell their stocks quickly, they can keep their composure; when others are stimulated by the daily limit and want to chase high, they can hold the bottom line.
The international gold price opened at $3,325/ounce and closed at $3,322/ounce on the last trading day. The real part of the daily K-line fell by only $3/ounce and finally closed at the cross line. Yesterday, the gold price fluctuated slightly and closed down, mainly because of the market's attention to the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations. The market generally believes that if the negotiations can ease trade tensions and boost the global economy, it will weaken the demand for safe-haven assets. At the same time, the strengthening of the US dollar also brings downward pressure on gold.
Weekly candlestick chart: running in the rising channel, long-term buy on dips
Daily candlestick chart: running in disordered oscillation structure, cautiously wait and see in the medium term
4-hour chart: running in an oscillating bullish trend, short-term buy on dips
30-minute chart: bottom structure established, short-term buy on dips above 3326
Intraday plan to continue to buy in the 3332 area, defend 3325, target 3350-60
Why I Think Gold Will Continue Buying...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends,
Happy Monday! I think Gold will continue to buy today and maybe this week. This is only my technical analysis so make sure to check the news and cross-reference any indicators you have on your charts.
- The candles have crossed and closed above the previous high on H1 and H4 showing bullish momentum.
- After the break of the previous high, H1 was resistance has been retested as support confirming bullish momentum.
- The stochastic is facing up, the fast line (blue) is above the orange line (slow) and 1 or both lines have crossed above the 80% line. These are bullish confirmations for me.
Additional information:
- Wait for the current candle to close for more bullish confirmation.
- I would set buy stops/TPS to 3400. I will be using previous highs as TPs and previous lows as SL.
Only enter this trade if it make sense to you.
Peace and Profits,
Cha