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GOLD trade ideas

XAUUSD (1H Time frame) Read the captionXAU/USD Analysis (1H Timeframe ) This chart represents the XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) price movement on a 1-hour timeframe, showcasing a well-defined ascending channel. The analysis highlights three critical zones: 1. Resistance Level (Upper Blue Zone): This zone, located around the $3,440 - $3,450 range, marks the potential upper limit of the current bullish channel. A breakout above this level could indicate strong bullish momentum continuation. 2. Key Support Breakout Zone (Middle Purple Zone): Around the $3,390 - $3,400 range, this area previously acted as resistance and now serves as a key support level. A price retest and bounce from this zone could confirm it as a new support base, potentially triggering a move toward the resistance zone again. 3. Support Level (Lower Purple Zone): Found near the $3,320 level, this is the broader trendline and horizontal support zone that would be critical if the price breaks below the key support area. It acts as a major demand zone within the ascending channel. Observations: The price is currently in a strong uptrend within the rising channel. A retest of the key support breakout zone is anticipated before potentially pushing higher toward resistance. A breakdown below the key support could trigger a move toward the lower support level. Technical Bias: Bullish as long as the price remains above the key support level. Bearish reversal may occur on a confirmed breakdown below the ascending channel and lower support zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Pips_Hunter_Forex
3
Analysis and strategy of gold market on July 28: Core influencing factors Risk aversion cools down: Despite frequent geopolitical risk events, market panic has not significantly increased, weakening gold safe-haven buying. US dollar strengthens: US economic data supports the continuous rise of the US dollar, and funds flow back to US dollar assets, suppressing the attractiveness of gold. ETF holdings outflow: Short-term risk appetite has rebounded, and gold ETFs have seen a slight outflow of funds, reflecting the cautious attitude of the market. Key events focus: US-EU and US-China trade negotiations: If progress is optimistic, gold prices may fall to the $3,300/ounce mark. Federal Reserve resolution: Pay attention to policy independence (affected by Trump's pressure) and interest rate guidance. Non-farm data: Released on Friday, if the employment data is strong, it may strengthen the US dollar to further suppress gold. Key technical points Weekly level: Watershed $3,325: If it is held, it will maintain high-level fluctuations, and if it is lost, it will open up downward space. Support area: If the daily support is broken, the weekly support may be tested (reference 3300-3310). Daily level: Key support: The current daily support is facing the risk of breaking down, and we need to be alert to the acceleration of short positions. 4-hour level: Resistance 3388 US dollars (middle track): Before the rebound is not broken, the short-term is short. Weak signal: The price continues to run below 3363, and the rebound is weak. Hourly chart: Strong and weak boundary 3363 US dollars: Maintain weakness before breaking, and avoid bottom-fishing against the trend in the negative market. Operation strategy suggestions Short-term direction: Short-selling on rebound is the main, supplemented by light-weight buying at key support levels. Short-term selling opportunities: Ideal entry: 3370-3375 area (below the 4-hour middle track), stop loss above 3380. Target: 3320-3310, if it breaks down, look at 3300. Opportunities to buy long orders in the short term: Participate cautiously: If the support of 3320-3310 stabilizes, combine the K-line signal to hold a light long position, and stop loss below 3300. Quick in and out: You can exit the market when it rebounds to 3340-3350. Risk warning: Before the Fed’s decision: Avoid heavy positions, and be wary of unexpected hawkish policies that cause volatility. Non-agricultural data: If the data exceeds expectations, it will be bearish for gold. Summary: Gold is short-term technically bearish, but be wary of event-driven reversals. Trading requires strict stop losses and flexible response to data and policy risks.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Entry_Point
Institutional Footprint Detected Gold Hits FVG + Breaker Block.GOLD has now entered a significant confluence zone, aligning with both a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a breaker block areas commonly respected by institutional algorithms. In the process, it has also swept sell-side liquidity resting below recent lows, which often serves as fuel for a reversal. This combination of technical factors suggests a high-probability scenario for a bullish bounce from this region. Traders should closely monitor price behavior around the marked Equal Relative Liquidity (ERL) zone for additional confirmation before executing any trades. Always conduct your own analysis (DYOR) and manage risk accordingly.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TradeCraft_FX
Monday market forecast and analysis ideas#XAUUSD There will be a lot of data next week, such as the 8.1 tariff deadline that I have repeatedly emphasized, the Federal Reserve decision, NFP data, etc. It can be said that it is relatively difficult to analyze purely from a technical perspective, because there is uncertainty in many data, the data results are often non-linearly correlated with market reactions (good news does not necessarily lead to a rise, and bad news does not necessarily lead to a fall), and large fluctuations can easily form oscillating K-lines with long upper and lower shadows. Therefore, the first arrangement for next week is to participate in trading with a light position and avoid letting emotions control your thinking. The closing price on Friday was near 3337, proving that the short-term judgment on the rebound momentum of gold is correct, so there are two possible situations on Monday. 1. The first thing we need to pay attention to is 3345-3350 to determine whether it constitutes a short-term pressure level. The weekly line closed with a negative cross star. Combined with the monthly line trend, in terms of support, focus on the trend line support near this week's low of 3325. If this position is not broken, the market is expected to usher in a wave of rebound; if it falls below 3325, the bottom may look to 3310 or even 3295 for support. 2. The rebound momentum of Friday continued on Monday, breaking through 3350 first, and then it is possible to reach the previous high resistance area of 3370-3380. If it encounters resistance here, gold will continue to fall and fluctuate, and the target may even be 3310. If the price remains strong and issues such as interest rate cuts and tariffs are imminent, it means that the short-term downward trend has ended and may even set a new high. The above content is only a forecast for Monday’s market. It will be greatly affected by data and news, and may be adjusted in real time next week based on intraday trends. You can refer to this, but remember not to be swayed by emotions. We will participate with a light position, and the specific trading strategy can wait for my trading signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Halson_Winston
Gold weekly chart with both buy and sell entriesAnalysis of the Buy Entry: 2350/52 This level has been chosen as a potential long entry point due to a confluence of several technical factors. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) - Discount Zone: The chart has a "Premium - Discount" range drawn over the recent downward price leg. The equilibrium (EQ) level is marked in the middle. According to SMC principles, traders look to buy assets at a "discount" (below the 50% EQ level) and sell at a "premium" (above the EQ level). Your buy entry at 2350/52 is located deep within the discount zone, making it an attractive price from this perspective. Key Horizontal Support Level: The 2350 price is a significant psychological and technical level. Looking to the left of the chart, this area has previously acted as both support and resistance. By placing a buy order here, you are anticipating that this historical support level will hold again and cause price to bounce. Potential Mean Reversion: At the point of entry, the price is significantly extended below the moving averages (the thin red, orange, and green lines). This can sometimes indicate an "oversold" condition in the short term, increasing the probability of a corrective bounce back up towards the moving averages (the "mean"). In summary, the buy entry is a calculated risk, betting on a bounce from a confluence of a deep discount price, a strong historical support level, and an oversold condition. Analysis of the Sell Level: 2328 This level is critically important and likely serves two potential purposes: as a stop-loss for the buy trade, or as a trigger for a new short (sell) position. Breakdown of Major Support: The chart highlights a significant support zone (the thick blue/grey box) roughly between 2330 and 2334. Your sell level at 2328 is placed just below this entire support structure and also below the most recent swing low. A price break below 2328 would signify a failure of this support, confirming that sellers are still in firm control. Confirmation of Bearish Trend Continuation: In a downtrend, the price makes a series of lower highs and lower lows. A move down to 2328 would create a new lower low, reinforcing the bearish market structure and suggesting that the price is likely to continue much lower. This makes it an ideal place to exit a long position (cut losses) or to initiate a new short position to follow the dominant trend. Order Flow and Volume Clues: The note "Delta Volume?" next to this level suggests you are looking for confirmation from order flow data. A strong negative delta (more aggressive sellers than buyers) as the price breaks 2328 would provide strong confirmation for a short trade. The label "LVN 2334.86" indicates a Low-Volume Node from a volume profile analysis. Price tends to move very quickly through these areas of low liquidity. By placing the sell level below the LVN and the support zone, you are anticipating an acceleration or a "flush" downwards once these key levels are breached. In summary, the 2328 level is the invalidation point for the bullish "bounce" idea. If the price reaches this level, the reasons for buying are no longer valid, and the evidence strongly points towards a continuation of the downtrend. Overall Strategy The plan is to: Enter a counter-trend long at 2350/52, anticipating a bounce from a strong support and discount zone. Define risk by placing a stop-loss just below the key support structure at 2328. Potentially use the 2328 level as a trigger to close the long and open a new short position to trade with the dominant bearish trend if the support level fails.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
1
Gold short-term rise waiting for breakthrough 💡Message Strategy During the Asian trading session, gold prices rebounded slightly from $3,320, filling the short gap at the start of the new week. As investors chose to stay on the sidelines before the Fed's two-day monetary policy meeting, the bullish force of the US dollar temporarily weakened, providing support for gold, an interest-free asset. However, with the 15% tariff agreement between the United States and Europe and the positive progress of trade easing between the United States, Japan and the United States, market risk appetite has rebounded, weakening the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. According to market surveys, "The current optimistic atmosphere of trade has weakened the safe-haven demand for gold, while the weakening of the US dollar has provided support for gold prices. The two forces offset each other, causing gold to fluctuate." Investors are focusing on the FOMC meeting to be held on Tuesday. Although Trump continues to pressure the Fed to cut interest rates, the market generally expects that the interest rate will remain unchanged at this meeting because the US labor market remains strong. In addition to the interest rate decision, this week will also usher in the US second quarter GDP estimate, PCE price index and non-farm payrolls report, all of which may have a significant impact on gold. 📊Technical aspects From the technical trend, gold triggered a rapid correction after breaking below the lower edge of the short-term rising channel and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level last week. The current gold price stabilized in the $3,320 area and received some buying at the 61.8% Fibonacci support. However, it is worth noting that the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart is at $3,350, which constitutes an important technical resistance for a short-term rebound. On the contrary, if gold breaks through the $3,350 level, gold will continue to develop a bullish pattern. From the technical trend, gold triggered a rapid correction after falling below the lower edge of the short-term rising channel and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level last week. The current gold price stabilized in the $3,320 area and received some buying at the 61.8% Fibonacci support. However, it is worth noting that the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart is at $3,350, which constitutes an important technical resistance for a short-term rebound. On the contrary, if gold breaks through the $3,350 line, it will be expected to attack the $3,371-3,373 area in the short term, and further look to the key pressure levels of $3,400 and $3,440. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3320-3325，SL：3300，Target: 3350
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
XAU/USD) bullish the support Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential bounce from a key trendline support within a rising channel. --- Analysis Summary Pair: XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD) Timeframe: 4H Current Price: 3,338.715 Bias: Bullish rebound within ascending channel --- Key Technical Elements 1. Ascending Channel: Price has been respecting a well-defined rising channel, bouncing between support and resistance levels. 2. Key Support Zone: The yellow highlighted area marks a critical support level and lower boundary of the channel. Also intersects with the trendline, strengthening the potential for a bounce. 3. 200 EMA (Dynamic Support): The 200 EMA at 3,343.616 lies just below current price, acting as a dynamic support level. 4. RSI (14): RSI is around 34.93, nearing the oversold zone, suggesting a buying opportunity may be near. --- Target Points First Target: 3,402.099 Second Target: 3,446.661 --- Trade Idea Direction Entry Zone Stop-Loss Target Zones Buy 3,330–3,345 Below 3,320 3,402 / 3,446 Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Gold is currently testing a key support level and ascending trendline. If price holds above this area, we can expect a bullish rebound toward 3,400–3,446 levels, aligning with the upper channel resistance. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
16
GOLD (XAU/USD) SHORT TRADE PLAN July 25, 2025 Trade Overview (My setup) - Direction: Short (SELL) - Entry Price: $3,330 - Take-Profit: $3,270 - Stop-Loss: $3,370 - Lot Size: 0.18 lots (18 oz) - Risk: $720 - Reward: $1,080 - Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.5 : 1 Technical Analysis Supporting the Bearish Bias 1. Price Structure & Trend - Descending channel observed on the 4H chart - strong short-term bearish signal. - Series of lower highs and lower lows confirms bearish trend. - Price is testing $3,325-$3,300 support - breakdown opens downside to $3,270-$3,250. 2. Key Support/Resistance Zones - Key support: $3,300 being tested. - Resistance: $3,360-$3,370 zone - logical stop-loss location. 3. Indicator Confirmations RSI (4H): ~35-40, bearish territory, no bullish divergence. Moving Averages: Price below 50 EMA and 200 EMA - bearish crossover. MACD: Bearish crossover, histogram confirms selling momentum.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Sal98
2
XAUUSD REBOUNDED FROM CURRENT TRENDLINE. WHAT'S NEXT?XAUUSD REBOUNDED FROM CURRENT TRENDLINE. WHAT'S NEXT? Gold had successfully rebounded from the trendline, still showing mid-term bullish trend despite recent news on U.S. - E.U. and U.S. - Japan trade deals. Currently price is attempting to hold above the EMA20 on 1-h chart timeframe. If this occurs and the asset develops another short-term bullish impulse, we may expect the price to reach 3,360.00 resistance level with further possible impulse towards 3,400.00 level.
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by ProfessorSingapore
Gold-----sell near 3350, target 3320-3300Gold market analysis: The gold weekly candlestick pattern is a tombstone. The previous strong trend has turned into a weak trend after the high and low. Has the weekly selling come out? In fact, the historical weekly line has hit the top and fallen back three times, and there has been no big drop or deep drop. The long-term trend is still buying. The short-term adjustment has not changed the long-term buying trend. The international situation is not very clear, and it is difficult for gold to fall deeply. We are just a short-term trader. We need to follow. This week's operation idea is to follow the selling, or rebound selling. In addition, this week is a super data week, and buying and selling games will be inevitable. This week there are non-agricultural employment data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting resolution, each of which can make the market magnificent. The daily K has entered its bottom support. Selling near 3300 needs to be avoided. These positions are all buying counterattack positions. In the rebound of the Asian session, we first focus on the suppression near 3350. This position is the K-intensive area of the bears, the K-line pattern suppression, and the daily moving average suppression position. Consider selling when the multi-layer suppression is close. I estimate that it will enter the repair at the beginning of this week, and wait for the data to bring direction later. Those who like to swipe back and forth can also find a good rhythm to sell long-term and buy short-term. Support 3320, strong support 3306-3300, pressure 3350 and 3357, the watershed of strength and weakness of the market is 3350. Fundamental analysis: The latest news is that the United States and the European Union have reached a 15% tariff agreement, which overall supports the US dollar and suppresses gold. In addition, this week, pay attention to ADP employment data, non-agricultural employment data, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and speech. Operational suggestions: Gold-----sell near 3350, target 3320-3300
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
XAUUSD 4Hour TF - July 27th, 2025XAUUSD 7/27/2025 XAUUSD 4 hour Neutral Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bullish Daily - Bullish 4hour - Bearish Last week we saw a perfect setup playout and then it retraced 100% to close out the week. This is looking more bearish on the 4Hour timeframe now but we need to see how price action reacts at the 3,320 support zone first. Here are two potential scenarios we want to see for the week ahead. Bullish Reversal - If we are to see gold as bullish again we would ideally like to see some consolidation at the current level followed by strong bullish conviction. We need to see convincing price action before we can begin targeting higher. Consolidation + Bullish conviction will be our best chance at a long position. Bearish Continuation - The 4hour sure looks bearish but will it sustain? Looking ahead into the week we want to see price action push below 3,320 with bearish structure below. I would also like to see a pattern or a few hours to a day of consolidation below 3,320. If this happens we can begin to target lower toward major support levels like 3,225.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by ForexLeague
Pending Orders Are Not Set in Stone – Context Still MattersIn a previous educational article, I explained why I almost never trade breakouts on Gold. Too many fakeouts. Too many emotional traps. Instead, I stick to what works: • ✅ Buying dips • ✅ Selling rallies But even these entries — placed with pending orders — are not automatic. Because in real trading, price is not just a number — it’s a narrative. And if the story changes, so should the trade. ________________________________________ 🎯 The Setup – Buy the Dip Around 3400 Let’s take a real example from yesterday. In my analysis, I mentioned I would look to buy dips near 3400, a former resistance now acting as support. Price dropped to 3405, just a few points above my pending buy at 3402. We saw a clean initial bounce — confirming that short-term support was real. But I missed the entry by 30 pips. So far, so good. But here’s the important part — what happened next changed everything. ________________________________________ 🧠 The Rejection Shifted the Entire Story The bounce from 3405 was immediately sold into at 3420, a newly formed short-term resistance (clearly visible on the 15-minute posted chart). After that, price started falling again — heading back toward my pending order. 📌 At that point, I cancelled the order. Why? Because the context had changed: • Bulls had tried once — and failed at 3420 • Sellers were clearly active and waiting above • A second drop into my level wouldn’t be a clean dip — it would be retest under pressure. The market was no longer giving me a “buy the dip” setup. It was showing me a failed recovery. That’s a very different trade. ________________________________________ 💡 What If It Had Triggered? Let’s imagine that price had hit 3402 first, triggering my order. Then rebounded, failed at 3420, and started dropping again. Even then, I wouldn’t hold blindly. Once I saw the rejection at 3420, I would have understood: The structure had shifted. The bullish case is weakening. Exit early — breakeven or small controlled loss. ________________________________________ 🔁 Sequence > Level This is the most important principle: • ✅ First down, then up = healthy dip → shows buyers are still in control • ❌ First up, then down = failed breakout → shows selling pressure is stronger Two scenarios. Same price. Opposite meaning. That’s why you should look for: Not just where price goes — but how it gets there. ________________________________________ 🔒 Pending Orders Are Conditional Many traders treat pending orders like traps: “Just let price come to my level, and I’m in.”, but you should refine a little ✅ Pending orders should be based on a conditional expectation ❌ Not a fixed belief that the zone must hold If the market tells a different story, remove the order. No ego. No drama. Just process. ________________________________________ 📌 Final Thought Trading isn’t just about catching a price. It’s about understanding price behavior. First down, then up = strength. First up, then down = weakness. Let the market show its hand — then decide if you want to play. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
6
GOLD imminent possible buys up to 3,370 This week’s price action on GOLD is shaping up to be very interesting. After weeks of sustained bearish pressure, price has now entered a discounted 2hr demand zone sitting at a swing low, which makes it a high-probability area for a bullish reaction, especially as markets open. If we do get the expected bullish reaction from this level, I’ll be watching the 3,370 region, where there’s a clean 5hr supply zone. If price reaches that level, I’ll be looking out for distribution and a potential short setup from there. Confluences for GOLD Longs: Price has been very bearish recently, so a retracement is expected Currently sitting in a discounted 2hr demand zone The overall long-term trend is still bullish Early signs of accumulation and bullish reaction from this zone P.S. If price fails to hold this current demand zone and breaks lower, then bearish momentum may continue. In that case, I’ll look for new long opportunities around 3,290 where a deeper demand zone exists.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hassan_fx