GOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD 4H AnalysisGold is currently in a clear downtrend after failing to hold above the mid-channel. Price is retracing into a potential short zone with confluence from the moving average bands.
Fibonacci Retracement: Price is reacting near the 38.2% level (3,318).
Downside Fibonacci Targets:
1️⃣ 3,249.36 (38.2%)
2️⃣ 3,228.11 (61.8%)
3️⃣ 3,193.73 (100%)
As long as the price stays below the red resistance zone, the bearish momentum is likely to continue toward the lower Fibonacci targets. A break above 3,339 would invalidate the short setup.
The golden direction in the volatile trend
💡Message Strategy
The market is currently in a wait-and-see phase ahead of major fundamental events. With the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and key data such as second-quarter GDP and the core PCE price index set to be released, traders are generally cautious. Gold has stabilized slightly after a series of declines, but a meaningful reversal has yet to materialize. The divergence between bulls and bears is intensifying, and the market is on the verge of a breakout. This week's gold market is driven by uncertainty surrounding macroeconomic expectations and the Fed's monetary policy.
After four consecutive trading days of gains, the US dollar index has slowed its gains, temporarily retreating to around 99. Traders are still betting on a September Fed rate cut, with the market placing a 64% probability on a September rate cut. However, this week's release of Q2 GDP and the core PCE price index data will significantly impact this outlook.
If GDP and inflation data are weak, this will reinforce market expectations of easing and potentially attract renewed buying for gold. Conversely, strong data could dampen expectations of a rate cut, supporting a stronger dollar and putting pressure on gold.
Furthermore, the Federal Reserve is about to hold its interest rate meeting. While it's almost certain that interest rates will remain unchanged, Powell's speech will be a key focus for the market. Any signals regarding internal disagreements, adjustments to the inflation path, or adjustments to the policy framework could trigger significant market volatility. From a global perspective, geopolitical risks have been relatively stable recently, providing no sudden support for gold.
📊Technical aspects
Gold is showing signs of a short-term rebound, but the technical structure still indicates a weak rebound, with no confirmed trend reversal. A break above 3350 would be considered a temporary stabilization, while a break below 3300 would reopen the downside. Current market sentiment is in a "wait for a signal" phase.
Gold currently has limited downward space, and data factors are accelerating this week. Gold is likely to undergo a long-short conversion, so our trading strategy uses a small stop loss to counter the larger space for gold's shape conversion.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3290-3305,SL:3280,Target: 3340-3360
XAUUSD Intraday Technical Analysis – Bullish Breakout SetupGold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of bullish recovery after a sharp sell-off, with current price action around 3305.86 USD hinting at a potential breakout on the 1-hour timeframe.
- Technical Overview
Price structure: After a steep decline, gold formed a base near the 3284–3299 zone and is now climbing back, with a potential inverse head-and-shoulders formation taking shape.
EMA cluster: Price is approaching the confluence of the EMA 50, EMA 100, and EMA 200, currently acting as dynamic resistance around 3309–3323. A break above these levels may confirm bullish strength.
Fibonacci retracement: The bounce appears from the 0.874 extension, indicating the end of the previous bearish leg.
Volume analysis: Increasing bullish volume supports the idea of a potential breakout.
- Key Levels to Watch
Zone Type
Price Level (USD)
Remarks
Immediate Resistance: 3,309 – 3,323 - Major test zone; overlaps with EMA 50/100
Major Resistance : 3,337 – 3,340 - Previous high; if broken confirms bullish continuation
Support Zone: 3,299 – 3,302 - Intraday support turned demand zone
Critical Support: 3,284 – 3,285 - Recent swing low; invalidates bullish view if broken
- Intraday Strategy Suggestion
Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout
Entry: Buy on breakout and retest of 3,309–3,323
SL: Below 3,299
TP1: 3,337
TP2: 3,355
- Confirmation by strong bullish candle closing above EMA cluster and above resistance zone.
Scenario 2 – Buy on Pullback
Entry: Buy limit at 3,300–3,302
SL: Below 3,284
TP1: 3,323
TP2: 3,337
- Look for RSI divergence or bullish engulfing candle at support for higher conviction.
- Final Note
The bulls are attempting to reclaim momentum after a major correction. If gold can sustain above the 3,309 resistance and hold the 3,300 base, a short-term bullish reversal could materialize.
GOLD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3309.2
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3296.9
Recommended Stop Loss - 3316.4
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD PRICE: 2 BIG OPTIONS.1. Option 1: Wave 4 of gold price ends, with this scenario, the DXY trend will not be like the chart below, but this week DXY will return to the old bottom and head towards 95-91, gold will increase to complete wave (5).
Price range for the next 3-4 months: 3350-3750.
2. Option 2:
In terms of time, wave (4) has not yet ensured balance. DXY increases and recovers as the chart.
That means we have a gold price range for the next 3-4 months of 3400-3100.
Gold Market Eyes Daily Demand Zones at 3270–3315Gold market aligns with daily candle formation, seeking to mitigate substantial demand zones between 3270 and 3315. This area may provide the necessary liquidity for a potential bullish reaction, pending confirmation. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
Gold’s Liquidity Hunt Eyes on Bullish FVG Reaction!Gold Analysis – NY Session Outlook
During the New York session, gold created equal highs near recent swing highs, indicating that upside liquidity remains uncollected. Currently, the market is pulling back, targeting liquidity resting below the trendline, along with internal liquidity levels beneath.
If gold continues to move downward and taps into the marked bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), monitor that zone for any signs of bullish confirmation. If confirmed, there is potential for a further upward move toward the equal highs and beyond, aiming for external liquidity.
Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
Wait for a pullback and then test the previous high#XAUUSD
The gold market closed positively on the daily chart, with strong support near 3345-3340 below. The market trend is still dominated by bulls,🐂 but the daily moving average support is too far from the high point. It is not ruled out that it may retreat to the moving average support near 3345-3340,📊 and then rise again.🚀
From the monthly chart, 🌙although the monthly chart closed positive, the market is generally converging at a high level. Upper resistance remains, and a breakout is unlikely without breaking through this resistance level (no further discussion will be given).📉
Judging from the weekly chart, the Bollinger Bands have shrunk, and the MACD indicator has formed a death cross with large volume, indicating weak fluctuations at the weekly level.😩
Judging from the daily chart, 📊the current technical indicators are tending to the zero axis, and the rapid upward correction of the smart indicator indicates that the price fluctuation tends to rebound. The current focus is on yesterday's high around 3385. It is expected to break through 3430. The lower support Bollinger band middle track and moving average tend to stick together around 3346-3340.🌈
Judging from the hourly chart and 4H chart, 📊the overall rhythm tends to fluctuate and fall. The short-term pressure from above is around 3375-3385, and a break above will definitely lead to an increase.📈
On the whole, pay attention to yesterday's NY starting point near 3365-3360, and the strong support below is 3346-3340. The hourly and 4H charts tend to fluctuate and fall, so for short-term trading we need to short on rallies. 📉
Intraday trading suggestions are as follows:
1. Consider going long currently around 3365-3360📈, targeting 3374-3380🎯. If it breaks through, look for 3400.
2. Go long if it retraces below 3355-3340, targeting 3375-3385. Wait for further adjustments.🐂
3. If the price first reaches the resistance level of 3375-3385 and holds, consider going short with a small position and anticipate a pullback towards 3365-3355.🐻
Gold consolidates near key support – What's next for?1. Market Overview
On the 15-minute chart, XAUUSD is trading around 3,290–3,292 USD, hovering just above a critical intraday support zone at 3,287–3,289 USD (highlighted in blue). This area has repeatedly provided a bounce in recent sessions, indicating persistent buying interest.
The current price action reflects sideways movement within a narrow range (3,287–3,296 USD), and notably, declining volatility, as shown by reduced candle range and trading volume.
2. Technical Breakdown
EMA: Price is moving around the EMA20 and EMA50, reflecting indecision and lack of directional momentum.
RSI (inferred): Likely hovering near the neutral 50–55 zone, confirming a balanced market.
Trendline: A descending series of lower highs from the 3,312 peak suggests bearish pressure, though buyers still defend key support.
Fibonacci: The 3,287 USD zone aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, reinforcing its strength as a bounce area.
3. Key Levels to Watch
3,287–3,289: Support - Repeated reactions here – key demand zone
3,296: Immediate resistance - Needs breakout to confirm bullish move
3,302: Next resistance - Breakout target – short-term top
3,275: Deeper support - Retest level if support breaks
4. Trading Strategy Scenarios
🔹 Scenario 1 – Long setup at support
Entry: 3,287–3,289 (wait for bullish reaction like pin bar or engulfing)
Stop Loss: Below 3,284
TP1: 3,296 | TP2: 3,302
🔹 Scenario 2 – Short setup on breakdown
Entry: Below 3,284 (after clear bearish candle close)
Stop Loss: 3,288
TP1: 3,275 | TP2: 3,268
5. Conclusion
Gold is in a tug-of-war at a sensitive support zone. Whether bulls defend or bears break below will set the tone for the rest of the session. Focus on price reaction around 3,287 to determine direction – avoid blind predictions.
Make sure to follow for more live strategies as the New York session unfolds – and save this post if you find it helpful!
What’s your view on this support zone? Let’s discuss below!
XAUUSD H4 | Heading into pullback resistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 3,354.73, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 3,383.55, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,311.79, which is a multi-swing low support.
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Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 4, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 4, 2025:
Gold prices rose more than 2% last Friday, hitting a one-week high, as weaker-than-expected US non-farm payrolls data boosted hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut and the announcement of new tariffs fueled safe-haven demand for gold.
Fundamental news: The non-farm payrolls report showed only 73,000 jobs added in July, well below market expectations of 110,000. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, indicating a cooling labor market.
Technical Analysis: Gold prices are rising strongly after a strong candle in the 3285 - 3300 area as previously predicted. The bullish pattern on the H1 frame has shown that the buyers are returning very strongly. Currently, the price is showing signs of sideway at the 336x area, our strategy today will be to wait for trading at the support zones of the gold price. Important price zones today: 3315 - 3320 and 3330 - 3335.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3330 - 3332
SL 3327
TP 3335 - 3345 - 3355 - 3370.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3318 - 3320
SL 3315
TP 3323 - 3333 - 3343 - 3363.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3370 - 3372
SL 3375
TP 3367 - 3357 - 3347 - 3337 (small volume).
Wishing you a safe, smooth and profitable trading week.💗💗💗💗💗
"XAU/USD Gold Heist Plan | Pullback Entry for Big Bullish Move"🔐💰“GOLD HEIST PLAN UNLOCKED: Thief Trader’s XAU/USD Breakout Blueprint”💰🔐
by The Market Robber a.k.a. Thief Trader – Stealing Pips, One Candle at a Time!
🌍 Hey Money Makers, Market Hustlers, Robbers, & Chart Crackers! 🌍
Bonjour! Hola! Marhaba! Hallo! Ola! What's poppin'?
Welcome to another exclusive robbery plan crafted in pure Thief Trading style—built off technicals, fundamentals, market psychology, and a bit of outlaw intuition. 💸⚔️
This one’s for the GOLD DIGGERS – literally. We’re targeting XAU/USD for a high-voltage bullish heist 🎯💥. Stick to the plan, follow the chart, and you might just make it out with a sack full of pips 💰🔥.
🔓 THE SETUP: GET READY TO ROB THE GOLD MARKET
We're eyeing a LONG ENTRY, with clear intent to break past the consolidation zone and avoid the trap laid by the "market police" at the ATR barricade zone 🚨. This level is where overbought drama and bear claws are strongest – we slip in, grab the profits, and bounce before they know what hit ‘em.
🧠 Use caution: This level is filled with liquidity traps, reversals, fakeouts and retail bait zones. Classic Thief style means we know where the guards are sleeping and where the cameras don't reach. 🎥🔕
💸 ENTRY PLAN:
🟢 Entry Zone: Watch for a pullback to 3320.00 or above. Don’t jump early.
💡 Tactics:
Use Buy Limit Orders (DCA / Layered Entry Style)
Drop them in on 15min/30min swing levels – catch price slipping into liquidity
Confirm with minor structure breaks / order block retests
🔔 Set those alerts – the real move happens when the breakout candle hits.
🛑 STOP LOSS STRATEGY:
🧠 Pro Rule: No stop-loss before breakout.
Once breakout confirms:
🔴 SL Zone: Recent swing low (approx. 3280.00) on the 4H chart
🎯 Adjust SL based on:
Lot size
Order count
Risk appetite
You know the game: manage your risk like a pro thief—quiet, calculated, and fast on the getaway. 💨
🎯 TARGET ZONE:
🏁 TP Zone: 3490.00
⚠️ Escape earlier if the pressure gets heavy – smart thieves never overstay the job.
🧲 SCALP MODE:
Only scalp LONG SIDE – don’t get caught chasing shorts unless you're rich enough to burn your drawdown 🔥
🔐 Use trailing SL to secure bags while climbing the ladder.
🧠 FUNDAMENTALS & MACRO EDGE:
The Gold market is currently in a BEAR structure with hints of bullish reversal potential. This heist isn’t just technical – it’s backed by:
🌍 Global Macro Flows
💼 COT Reports
📰 Sentiment & News Risk
💣 Geo-political Heat
📊 Intermarket Analysis (Dollar, Yields, Risk-On/Off correlations)
Dig deep for the full macro breakdown. Knowledge is leverage.
(Find full reports on reputable sources — you know where to look 👀)
🚨 RISK ALERT:
Before, During & After News Releases:
Avoid fresh entries 🔕
Use Trailing SLs to protect live trades
Watch spread spikes & low-liquidity traps
👉 Don't trade when the market's drunk.
💖 SHOW LOVE – BOOST THE PLAN:
💥Smash that Boost Button💥 if you want more precision heist strategies like this. Support the Thief Trading Style, and we’ll keep robbing the markets clean and teaching the crew how to get in & get out profit-heavy. 🏴☠️📈💰
🎭 I’ll be back with another chart crime scene soon. Until then, stay sneaky, stay profitable, and always move like the market’s watching (because it is). 😎
🔐 Thief Trader Out. Rob. Exit. Repeat. 🔁💸
Gold in ascending channelAfter last week's steep and violent drop from $3,439 USD post Fed, Gold has found new momentum thanks to weaker than expected non-farm payroll numbers. But the price has been capped inside an ascending channel. This doesn't look particularly convincing to me for a strong reversel and bull case in the short term unless we manage to break out of the channel soon. If we fail to break the $3,439 USD high pre- Fed meeting I expect a test of the lower bound of the channel and a potential break below that.
A break below the channel opens up the way to the low at $3,267 USD.
GOLD: Bottoming Out or Just the Calm Before the Storm? – GOLD: Bottoming Out or Just the Calm Before the Storm?
Gold has dropped nearly $50 over the last 4 sessions, showing clear bearish momentum. But is this just a liquidity grab before a reversal — or are we simply pausing before another leg down?
🔍 Market Context:
Recent US–EU defence and trade agreements may have weakened gold’s short-term appeal as a safe haven.
The US dollar and equities have both gained on strong macroeconomic data, redirecting capital flows away from metals.
Overall market sentiment has tilted risk-on, putting additional pressure on gold prices.
📊 Technical Overview (12H Chart):
Price has broken below the 3342 key support zone and rejected the retest — turning it into short-term resistance.
Current range sits between:
Sell-side liquidity zone: 3301–3292
Major demand/FVG zone: 3272–3270
Above price:
Resistance at 3342, and a broader sell zone at 3370–3388 (OB + FVG + Fib 0.5–0.618)
🔧 Trade Plan (Reaction-Based — Not Predictive):
🟢 Scenario 1 – Buy (Scalp Reaction)
Entry: 3292 – 3290
Stop Loss: 3285
Targets: 3296 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330
📍 Intraday bounce play from a high-liquidity zone
🟢 Scenario 2 – Buy (Deeper Reversal Swing)
Entry: 3272 – 3270
Stop Loss: 3265
Targets: 3276 → 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3294 → 3300 → Trail
📍 Potential mid-term bottom setup if liquidity is fully swept
🔴 Scenario 3 – Sell (Short-Term Rejection)
Entry: 3340 – 3342
Stop Loss: 3346
Targets: 3335 → 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3310
📍 Clean rejection setup if price fails to reclaim key resistance
🔴 Scenario 4 – Sell (Higher Supply Zone)
Entry: 3370 – 3372
Stop Loss: 3376
Targets: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330 → 3320
⚠️ Higher risk; only valid with strong confirmation
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Be mindful of fakeouts around London and NY opens, as liquidity sweeps are common.
Wait for price to enter your zone, then react — don’t anticipate.
Strict risk management is key in a volatile environment like this.
🧭 I’ll continue monitoring how price reacts around these zones.
If this kind of structured planning resonates with your approach,
feel free to stay connected — or share your perspective in the comments.
XAU/USD at Make-or-Break: $3,304 Holds the Key!"XAU/USD is testing a key resistance at $3,304. A breakout could trigger a rally to $3,315, while rejection may lead to a drop to $3,292."
Price Action & Key Levels
Support: 3,298 → 3,292 (critical demand zone).
Resistance: 3,304 → 3,310 (supply zone).
Breakout Level: 3,304 (confirmation needed).
Indicator-Based Evidence
RSI: "RSI at 62 (not overbought), suggesting room for upside."
MACD: "MACD histogram is rising, supporting bullish momentum."
Moving Averages: *"Price above 9 & 21 EMA, short-term trend bullish."
Fundamental Context
"Gold is supported by Fed rate cut expectations, but a strong USD could limit gains."
"Geopolitical risks (e.g., Middle East tensions) may boost safe-haven demand."
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
Entry: Buy above $3,304 (confirmed close).
Target: $3,310 → $3,315.
Stop-Loss: Below $3,298 (risk management).
Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection
Entry: Sell below $3,298.
Target: $3,292 → $3,288.
Stop-Loss: Above $3,306.
Technical Analysis - Gold Rejected at ResistanceGold is currently trading around $3,341 after facing a strong rejection from the $3,438 resistance area. This rejection coincided with the upper boundary of the trend channel and the main resistance zone, which also aligns with the Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement levels. After the rejection, price fell below the descending trendline, indicating that short-term sellers have taken control.
On the downside, the immediate support sits at $3,324, which has acted as a short-term bounce level. A break below this could push gold lower toward $3,281 and potentially $3,254, which are key Fibonacci extension support levels. On the upside, the immediate hurdle is at $3,355–$3,360 (descending trendline). A breakout above this area will be critical for any bullish recovery attempt toward $3,381–$3,394 and eventually $3,420–$3,438.
At the moment, the short-term trend remains bearish because gold is trading below the descending resistance and showing lower highs. However, as long as gold holds above the $3,254 support zone, the medium-term structure remains neutral to bullish, giving bulls a chance if momentum shifts again.
Last week candle is pin bar bearish candle which is showing bearish momentum at the moment. The candle shows rejection near $3,400–$3,450, aligning with the triangle’s upper resistance trendline. If gold cannot reclaim and hold above last week’s high, price may drift lower to retest support zones around $3,248–$3,150 before another breakout attempt.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis – 1H Chart | July 31, 20251. Fakeout & Rejection from Supply
Price faced sharp rejection near the 3,332 resistance. The strong red candle indicates aggressive selling and liquidity grab.
2. Retest of Broken Demand Zone
Gold is now retesting the **3,298–3,305** yellow zone, which previously acted as demand but may now flip to resistance (supply).
3. Bearish Market Structure
The price formed a **lower high and lower low** pattern — a clear sign of downtrend resumption. Current bounce looks corrective.
4. Projection: Potential Drop Ahead
As per the drawn path, if price fails to reclaim above 3,305, a likely drop toward 3,282, then 3,268 is expected.
5. Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 3,305 → 3,332
Support: 3,282 → 3,268 → 3,246
Bearish bias remains valid below 3,305.