XAUUSD - Risk Management - How much % do you risk daily?⭐It’s not about how much you know. It’s about how much you risk.⭐
The lesson you only learn after blowing up your account.
You’ve read hundreds of articles, watched countless hours of YouTube.
Joined 5 groups.Subscribed to 10 channels.
Maybe you even tried a prop firm challenge and failed it in two days.
Paid for mentorship.
Kinda know structure. See price action.
And yet… your account still shrinks faster than your patience.
Because at the end of the day:
It’s not about what you know. It’s about how much you risk.
⚠️ The trade was right. Your lot size wasn’t.
You had a good setup.
Price reached your zone. There was confluence.
Everything looked clean — until your lot size showed up to ruin everything.
Example: You entered with 0.50 lots on a $200 account, using a 40-pip stop loss.
Let’s break it down:
• $0.50 per pip × 40 pips = $200 loss
• You lost 100% of your account on a single trade
The strategy didn’t fail.
The size did.
💡 Why “risking 1%” works on paper — but not on XAUUSD
Every trading book, coach, and Twitter guru screams:
“Just risk 1-3% per trade.”
Cool. Sounds disciplined.
But in Gold, most traders use tight stop losses — 20, 30, maybe 50 pips.
To stay within 1% risk with such a small SL, your lot has to be bigger.
And that’s where accounts explode.
Gold doesn’t move like EURUSD.
It spikes, wicks, manipulates, and throws fakeouts for fun.
Experienced traders know that sometimes a 150–180 pip SL isn’t weak — it’s smart.
It’s not about “being wrong.” It’s about giving the setup room to breathe.
📌 What actually works
Instead of risking 1-3%, many experienced traders manage risk more conservatively:
• 0.25%–0.35% per trade is more sustainable
• 0.50% is rarely reserved for highly valid, high-confluence setups only
This allows for:
• More breathing room
• Emotional control
• Less panic during drawdown
• And more trades that survive manipulation
🧠 Your position size is your psychology, exposed.
Most traders don’t lose because they picked the wrong zone.
They lose because they sized their trade like they were trying to get rich overnight.
You want to measure discipline?
Forget strategy.
Look at how much someone risks per trade.
A 0.10 lot on a $500 account means control.
A 1.00 lot on the same account means desperation or showoff.
🧮 A quick example to make it real
You have a $1,000 account.
You risk 0.20% — that’s $2/pip.
Your stop loss is 50 pips.
That means you can trade 0.10 lot safely.
Now you’re giving the trade room to work — and if it fails, you’re still in the game.
That’s the difference between blowing up and showing up.
📉 Bonus risk reminder: Daily exposure ≠ per-trade risk
If you’re taking 2–3 trades per day, don’t risk 0.30% on each one. That’s not low risk — that’s stacking exposure. ✅ What you should do: Decide your daily risk limit (let’s say 0.30%), then split it across your planned entries. 2 trades? → 0.15% each 3 trades? → 0.10% each
🎯 Final thoughts
Your setup doesn’t need to be perfect.
You do.
→ Risk according to volatility, not emotion
→ Respect your stop loss, and scale your lot size to match
→ Don’t try to force profits out of every candle
The best traders aren’t always right —
they just size smart enough to be wrong and still come back.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
GOLD trade ideas
Gold Extends Gains, Eyes 3400📊 Market Overview
• Following softer-than-expected US CPI data, gold surged strongly.
• This morning, gold touched a high of 3377 before pulling back slightly to around 3372.
• A weaker USD and growing expectations of Fed rate cuts remain key bullish drivers.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: $3,380 – $3,400
• Nearest Support: $3,325 – $3,310
• EMA09: Price remains above EMA09, signaling a short-term uptrend.
• Candlestick & Momentum: Gold has broken out of a consolidation zone with strong momentum, though short-term overbought signals are emerging.
📌 Outlook
Gold may enter a mild pullback within the 3370–3380 zone before finding fresh momentum from upcoming Fed signals or macro data. Caution is advised when trading near major resistance.
💡 Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3375–3377
🎯 TP: 3355
❌ SL: 3385
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3325–3330
🎯 TP: 3350
❌ SL: 3315
XAUUSD Daily Plan — June 13, 2025 By GoldFxMinds👋 Hello traders, and welcome to your full preparation for tomorrow’s gold session.
Gold continues to respect its structural map while liquidity traps remain active on both sides of the range. We’ve seen clean sweeps and fast reactions this week, but tomorrow brings a new catalyst: key U.S. data combined with fresh geopolitical tensions that may fuel additional volatility before the weekly close.
🌐 MACRO & GEOPOLITICAL OUTLOOK:
📊 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations are scheduled tomorrow:
Consumer Sentiment ➔ 52.2
Inflation Expectations ➔ 6.6%
These data points often trigger sharp USD moves and liquidity grabs.
🌍 Geopolitical tension has increased as President Trump authorized the evacuation of U.S. personnel from several Middle East locations due to rising threats in the region, particularly concerning the Iran nuclear situation.
This development triggered sharp moves across commodities, with oil rallying strongly.
Gold remains well-supported in this environment as global risk sentiment deteriorates.
Traders should expect elevated intraday volatility and potential liquidity sweeps on both sides as markets digest these developments.
🔎 The combination of macro data and geopolitical risk creates highly reactive conditions where liquidity hunts may precede any clear directional moves.
🔎 STRUCTURE OVERVIEW:
Price remains inside premium territory after recent bullish expansions.
Liquidity has already been taken above and below earlier this week, but additional traps may unfold before Friday’s close.
Larger structure remains bullish while short-term supply zones may attract quick inducements.
Tomorrow's flow will likely begin with manipulation during or after news, before real momentum develops.
🎯 BIAS
Main bias: Controlled bullish, but highly reactive inside premium.
As long as price holds above 3340, bulls remain in control on higher timeframe.
However, premium zones above 3395 may act as liquidity traps, inviting fast selloffs after inducements.
Best opportunities likely to come from either:
Controlled retracement into buy zones for continuation higher.
Fast spikes into premium traps for short-term sell opportunities.
Patience will be critical as both news and geopolitical headlines may trigger manipulations before real trend unfolds.
🔑 KEY ZONES TO WATCH:
BUY ZONES
🔵 3368 - 3360
Intraday pullback zone.
Look for minor liquidity dips followed by bullish rejection.
Targets: 3390 → 3405.
🔵 3348 - 3340
Deeper liquidity pocket into H4 imbalance and OB.
Engage only after strong downside sweep with sharp bullish reaction.
Targets: 3380 → 3396.
🔵 3325 - 3312
Extreme HTF liquidity zone.
Valid only if aggressive liquidation occurs into deeper discount.
Targets: 3360 → 3380.
SELL ZONES
🔴 3398 - 3405
First premium inducement area.
Look for fast spikes with M15 bearish rejection candles.
Targets: 3370 → 3348.
🔴 3412 - 3420
Secondary premium trap zone.
Valid only after upside wick rejection.
Targets: 3385 → 3355.
🔴 3435 - 3445
Maximum stop-hunt exhaustion zone.
Only valid if price aggressively squeezes into final liquidity.
Targets: 3390 → 3360.
⚠ TRADING REMINDER:
Friday’s session will likely be driven by both news and geopolitical headlines. Let liquidity play out inside the zones, wait for clear rejection signals, and execute with full confirmation. No chasing — sniper discipline only. 🎯
💎 Hit that 🚀 if you found this plan helpful.
👉 Feel free to follow for daily gold plans and share your thoughts in the comments.
We remain disciplined. We trade structure.
🌙 Rest well tonight — tomorrow we execute with precision and control.
— GoldFxMinds
H1 pullback in bullish H4 marketThe market is at a point where we must sell, it's at a maximum of Elliott Waves, wave 5 is already extremely extended, so prepare for a mega drop of several weeks while everyone continues to buy at the lows, it will continue to go down. In summary, we have a bullish market on H4, now there will be a correction on H1, that is, a bearish trend on H1 for several weeks; it is not an ABC, but 5 bearish waves.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis and
important supports & resistances for GOLD XAUUSD
for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,359.42
Target Level: 3,293.59
Stop Loss: 3,403.13
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD|Bullish Momentum Builds in Gold Amid Geopolitical TensionsGold | Market Overview
The escalating conflict, particularly Israel’s attack on Iran, is significantly driving bullish momentum in the gold market. Should Iran respond, we may witness a continued rally toward new all-time highs.
As previously forecasted, gold successfully reached our target of 3431. A short-term correction toward this level is possible before the uptrend resumes. However, if the price manages to close a 1-hour candle above 3431, it will likely trigger a swift move toward 3500 and 3525.
• Pivot Level: 3431
• Resistance Levels: 3480, 3500, 3525
• Support Levels: 3404, 3376, 3366
Have you caught up with this golden opportunity?The 4-hour K-line pattern of gold shows that the upward trend remains intact, focusing on the strong support range of 3360-3365 (technical resonance with the 5-week moving average). Before the price effectively breaks below the support band, the bulls still have upward momentum, otherwise the trend may reverse. The 3365-3400 range is maintained for intraday fluctuations. The gold operation strategy recommends arranging long orders in the 3370-3375 area when the price falls back, and adding positions to long positions if the support of 3360-3365 is broken.
Operation strategy: Gold recommends going long near 3370-3375 now, and adding positions to long positions in the support area of 3360-3365 when the price breaks, with the target of 3380-3390.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
Key pressure range of gold price: 3440-3450Key pressure range of gold price: 3440-3450
At the weekend, let's analyze the macro trend of gold.
As shown in Figure 4h.
The orange channel clearly and accurately presents the macro trend of gold price in the past year.
It is a very interesting price. The current gold price is running around 3450, which is close to the top pressure range of the macro trend.
For this reason, we did not hesitate to short in the 3440-3445 range on Friday, and then took profits in the 3430-3425 range. This is the first opportunity to touch the pressure level of the annual trend channel, which is a perfect intraday strategy.
Therefore, now we extend the expectation of gold price next week through trend extension and point extension:
Expected increase: 3600
Expected decrease: 3250
Current price: 3432
It is very interesting that: (3600+3250)/2=3425
That is to say, the performance of gold price next week will fluctuate in the range of 3420-3430.
As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensify over the weekend, gold prices may continue to benefit from risk aversion next week. It is expected that gold prices will target $3,500/ounce at the beginning of next week. Factors such as the Fed's decision and Powell's speech during the week will also have an impact on gold prices. In addition, US President Trump will visit Canada from June 15 to 17 to attend the G7 summit. His speech at that time may also affect gold price fluctuations, which is worth paying attention to.
Intraday operation suggestions: mainly long on dips, supplemented by short at highs;
Support level focuses on the 3395-3400 area;
Pressure level focuses on the 3440-3450 area.
1: As long as the gold price is above $3,400, the gold price will adopt a low-price long strategy, and the stop loss is set at 3390.
2: As long as the gold price is below 3,450, the gold price will adopt a short strategy, and the stop loss is set at 3,460.
Steady operation suggestions: give up shorting and only focus on long opportunities.
Radical suggestion: intraday trading, with a profit target of 10 points, both long and short positions can be tried, strictly follow the above 12 strategies
XAU/USD Chart Analysis Following Israel-Iran StrikesXAU/USD Chart Analysis Following Israel-Iran Strikes
In 2025, the price of gold continues to form a long-term upward trend, highlighted by the black line. The red line previously acted as resistance, resulting in the formation of a contracting triangle on the XAU/USD chart – a typical sign of market equilibrium.
However, this red line was breached (as indicated by the arrow) amid news of the exchange of strikes between Israel and Iran. In response, gold price movements have more clearly outlined the rising blue channel, which began to take shape in the second half of May.
Over the weekend, the strikes continued, and on Monday morning, trading opened with a modest bullish gap. This indicates that geopolitical risk concerns are helping to keep gold prices anchored above the red line.
What could happen to the price of gold next?
Much will depend on how the situation in the Middle East develops. Should the exchange of strikes between Iran and Israel subside and official statements offer hope for de-escalation, a pullback from the upper boundary of the blue channel is likely.
If such a scenario plays out, technical analysts may focus on the support zone around $3,390–3,400 on the XAU/USD chart, formed by:
→ the psychological level of $3,400;
→ the red line, which previously acted as resistance;
→ the median of the blue channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Hits PRZ with RD-! Time for Bears to Take Over?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance zone ($3,445-$3,406) once again, forming an Ending Diagonal at the top of the structure.
Although price reached the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , the presence of Regular Divergence (RD-) between the last two peaks could indicate the weakening of bullish momentum .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , we can clearly count a completed 5-wave structure , with an Ending Diagonal pattern . This supports the idea of a major correction starting soon .
I expect Gold to attack the lower lines of Ending Diagonal , and if it breaks, it could drop to at least $3,333 . The Second Target could be the Support zone ($3,451-$3,120) .
Do you think Gold will make a new All-Time High(ATH) again in this rally?!
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,463
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GOLD , Making New H.H , 2 Scalping Long Entries, Don`t Miss It Here is my 2 scalping long entries on Gold , if the price close above the highest res , we can wait the price to go back to retest it and then we can enter a new buy scalping trade to create the new H.H . Very Easy And Simple Analysis . Make It Easy Always To Can Continue .
Watch for price action near the upper resistance and trendline.XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) 1H chart analysis:
📊 XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart shows a clear ascending channel pattern, indicating a short-term bullish trend. Price action is currently respecting the channel boundaries well.
🔹 Key Highlights:
Support Zone: The green horizontal zone around 3,310 – 3,330 represents a strong demand area where price previously reversed.
Resistance Zone: The upper green box near 3,460 – 3,470 marks a significant supply area where potential selling pressure could emerge.
Current Position: Price is trading near the mid-to-upper range of the ascending channel, showing bullish momentum.
🔀 Projection:
Two potential scenarios are outlined:
Bullish Continuation: Price may continue to respect the channel and push towards the resistance zone before reacting.
Bearish Reversal: If price fails to break higher and shows weakness, a breakdown below the channel could lead to a sharp move toward the lower demand zone (3,310 area).
📌 Outlook: Watch for price action near the upper resistance and trendline. A break above may lead to further gains, while rejection or bearish candlestick patterns could confirm a potential reversal setup.
XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD) H1 Chart AnalysisBullish Trade Setup – XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar)
🟢 Entry Point:
Buy at: $3,327
🎯 Targets:
1. 1st Target: $3,360
2. Final Target: $3,390
🔐 Stop-Loss:
Place below recent swing low or lower channel line, e.g., around $3,315 (adjust based on volatility or tighter risk tolerance)
Xauusd Buy SetupsThis trading setup focuses on price behavior influenced by ongoing geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran, which have been driving volatility and sharp market reactions around key technical levels.
Setup 1: Rejection and Reversal at 3375
• Watch for a clear rejection of the 3375 level.
• Enter a long position only if a bullish candle closes above the high of the rejected candle.
• Target: 3440, a notable resistance level likely to be tested if bullish sentiment follows through.
Setup 2: Breakout Confirmation Above 3450
• If the price closes above 3450, this confirms a strong bullish breakout.
• Buy targeting 3500, aligning with a continuation of momentum driven by market reaction to geopolitical developments.
Technical Confirmation:
This strategy is supported by powerful custom indicators:
• Doji, Hammer, Star Scanner – effective for spotting early signs of trend reversals or exhaustion.
• Candle Reversal Zones – mark key levels where trend shifts or continuation moves are most likely to occur.
Together, these tools help confirm high-probability entries in volatile environments influenced by the Israel-Iran conflict.
GOLD Made Inverted H&S Pattern , Long Scalping Ready !Here is my 15 mins chart on gold and we have a reversal pattern , ( inverted head & shoulders ) and we have a clear closure above our neckline so we can buy it to get the target and then wait for the news tonight and then decide the new direction after news effect .
GOLD Fair Value Gap (FVG) in Trading refers to a price range on a chart where an imbalance exists between buyers and sellers, typically created by a sudden and strong price movement that leaves a gap with little or no trading activity.
What is an FVG?
It is a zone formed when price moves impulsively in one direction, causing a gap between the wicks or bodies of candles, indicating a market inefficiency or imbalance between supply and demand.
Usually identified as a three-candle pattern where the middle candle is large relative to the candles before and after it, and there is no overlap between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle.
This gap signals that the market has not fully "filled" or traded through this price range, suggesting that price may return to this zone to "fill" the gap before continuing in the original direction.
Why is FVG Important in Trading?
FVGs help traders identify areas where price is likely to retrace or pause, offering potential entry or exit points.
They represent zones of imbalance where smart money (institutional traders) may have left orders unfilled, which price often revisits to achieve fair value.
Traders use FVGs to anticipate trend continuation or reversals by waiting for price to return to these gaps and react accordingly.
How to Identify an FVG?
Look for a large impulsive candle flanked by smaller candles that do not overlap the large candle’s wick extremes.
Draw a box between the high of the candle before the large candle and the low of the candle after it (for bullish FVG), or vice versa for bearish FVG.
The price zone inside this box is the Fair Value Gap.
Types of FVG:
Bullish FVG: Created by a strong upward move, signaling a potential support zone where price may retrace before moving higher.
Bearish FVG: Created by a strong downward move, signaling a potential resistance zone where price may retrace before moving lower.
In essence, FVGs highlight market inefficiencies where price is expected to return to "fill" the gap, offering traders strategic zones for potential trades.
WATCH GOLD REACTION AT 3350 .on geopolitical instability between Iran and Israel gold could touch 3500 and hit 3525-3530 and sell correction based on structure.
#gold #dxy
GOLD GOLD ,LONDON SESSION reporting on gold price movement shows cool off from Friday rally while keeping bias bullish.
the Asians open on sell from 3500 ALTH (BREAK OF STRUCTURE AT 3451-3450) ,when buyers returns today we have used that level as supply roof for 16th june 2025) and that level have held buyers and took out over 400pips and could do more from that bearish fall.
but 3393-3400 will be watched by London gold traders who will weigh the risk on that demand floor ,if they accept it, we win on that level, if they reject it, we still win because we sell on break of demand floor to target 3375-3370 floor
3375-3370 will be London last hope before we head into newyork time where we will experience extreme volatility in trading.
XAUUSD Video Analysis Brief – Weekly Forecast Summary (2025)This video summarizes the key scenarios and technical outlook for Gold (XAUUSD) on the weekly timeframe, integrating both Fibonacci-based projections and macro fundamentals.
Core Setup
Gold is currently positioned near the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (~$3,276).
A breakout toward $3,500 is possible before a potential corrective move.
Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation
Gold breaks above $3,435 → rallies to $4300 → continues toward major Fibonacci targets:
TP: $4,320, which is the Fibonacci level 261.8%
Scenario 2: Correction First
Gold fails to hold above $3,435 → triggers a healthy correction to:
TP1: $2,920
TP2: $2,650
If support 161.8% level holds in the correction zone, a renewed bullish phase is expected.
Macro Alignment
Central bank gold buying (notably BRICS) supports the long-term bid.
Fed policy leaning dovish → tailwinds for gold.
Inverse correlation with DXY:
DXY below 98.95 → bullish for gold
DXY above 100 → signals correction
Effect on Altcoins
If correction is risk-on driven, capital may rotate into altcoins.
If triggered by macro stress or USD strength, alts may fall alongside gold.
This analysis offers a multi-scenario framework to navigate the next major moves in gold, with key levels to watch for traders, investors, and macro analysts alike.
Oil prices soar after Israel attacks IranIsrael launched an airstrike on Iran in the early hours of Friday (June 13), targeting its nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and senior military commanders, once again escalating tensions in the region. The head of Iran's Revolutionary Guard was reportedly killed, and the military leader was not the only target. Six Iranian nuclear scientists were also killed in the attack.
Iran has responded by launching more than 100 drones, some of which may have been intercepted by Israel's "Iron Dome" air defense system.
The attack came as the United States and Iran were negotiating a new deal that could have allowed Iran to maintain a limited nuclear program in exchange for reduced sanctions on its oil exports. The next round of talks, originally scheduled for Sunday, has been canceled by Iran, although the United States claims that it was not involved in the night attack.
Crude oil futures give up some early gains
Oil prices soared after news of the attack broke. WTI and Brent crude futures initially jumped more than 10% before retreating, narrowing gains to nearly 6% during European trading hours.
While there are no signs that Israel attacked any Iranian oil facilities, this major escalation has the potential to turn into something more nasty, such as a wider and more prolonged regional conflict. At the very least, the recent nuclear deal has been put on hold, which provides a floor for oil prices even if tensions ease in the coming days.
Dollar rebounds from three-year low
Safe haven assets, including the battered dollar, also rose, while stocks fell sharply. The dollar regained some of its appeal today and rebounded as geopolitical risks intensified. The dollar outperformed other safe haven currencies, including the yen and Swiss franc, despite rising expectations of a Fed rate cut after weak U.S. CPI and PPI data this week.
However, the dollar may still face pressure in the long run: the trade war is not going to end in the short term, while Trump has again raised the possibility of intervening in Fed policy.
On Thursday, Trump expressed his dissatisfaction with the government's annual $600 billion debt interest payments due to high interest rates, saying "I may have to take some coercive measures."
His cryptic comments heightened market anxiety, coming a day after he said on Wednesday that countries would unilaterally set tariffs if no trade deal was reached by the July 9 deadline.
Later today, the focus will turn to the University of Michigan's preliminary consumer confidence survey. Ahead of the data, the dollar rose about 0.3% against a basket of currencies, recovering from a more than three-year low hit yesterday.
Yen edged higher ahead of Bank of Japan decision
The yen was also positive today (except against the dollar), further boosted by a Bloomberg report that Bank of Japan officials expect inflation to be slightly higher than expected this year, even though markets expect no rate hike at next week's meeting.
The June decision is likely to focus on the Bank of Japan's bond-buying program as markets worry that long-term yields have risen too quickly. But any slowdown in the reduction of bond purchases is likely to be accompanied by a more hawkish outlook on short-term rates.
Gold shines as stocks avoid a sharp sell-off
Meanwhile, gold prices broke through the $3,400 mark, heading towards April's all-time high of $3,500. If military tensions between Israel and Iran escalate further, the precious metal could well hit new records. In addition, heightened doubts about whether the U.S. can sign new trade deals with major trading partners in time for the next deadline also provide significant support for gold prices in the short term.
The only surprise is that despite all the uncertainty, stock markets have been relatively resilient: Asian stocks fell less than 1% on Friday, while European stocks and U.S. futures are currently down 1%-1.5%. FX:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD VELOCITY:GOLD VANTAGE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD