Gold Outlook: From Resistance Rejection to Bullish Revival1. Recap of Yesterday's Expectations
In my previous analysis, I highlighted the 3340–3350 zone as key resistance and suggested that any rise into that area could give sellers a better entry.
✅ Indeed, price rallied into that zone and was rejected, validating the plan.
2. What Happened Next?
After rejecting the resistance, gold touched 3300 again, but again, the bulls stepped in:
🔹 A higher low formed compared to the previous day.
🔹 This suggests the market is now shifting its structure from down to potential up.
3. Why 3300 Looks Like the New Floor
Several bullish clues:
- The quick bounce back to 3330 shows buying power.
- Price structure is developing a series of higher lows.
- This suggests growing confidence from buyers.
4. Trading Plan
🔸 A break above 3340 would confirm bullish momentum and open the door toward 3400 again.
🔸 Any dives toward 3300 should now be viewed as potential buying opportunities.
5. Final Thoughts
The market is telling a story of bullish pressure building under 3340 and potential break back above.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
How to position gold in the week of the Federal Reserve’s decisiAs last week came to a close, further geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pushed market risk aversion to its highest level in nearly two months. This round of rising prices was driven by multiple factors. Among them, the weak inflation data released by the United States last week further strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed's loose monetary policy, thereby increasing the attractiveness of gold assets. In the short term, gold prices are expected to continue to be supported by risk aversion on Monday. In addition, the market this week needs to focus on the impact of the Fed's interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's speech on gold prices. Everyone should pay close attention to the price fluctuations that may be caused by the Fed's policy trends. It is particularly important to note that US President Trump plans to attend the G7 summit in Canada from June 15 to 17. His policy statements during the summit may also have an important impact on the gold market. Investors are advised to keep an eye on it.
Technically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue.
Operation strategy:
Gold recommends buying long positions near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
CPI, US inflation, gold price waiting to decrease⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) drew fresh bids in Wednesday’s Asian trading, reclaiming the $3,340 level and edging back toward this week’s high. A U.S. federal appeals court decision allowing President Donald Trump’s broad tariffs to remain in force—for now—added a fresh layer of trade uncertainty and stoked safe-haven demand. Heightened geopolitical tensions and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September further bolstered the non-yielding metal. Even so, optimism surrounding ongoing U.S.–China talks has lifted broader risk sentiment, while a mildly stronger U.S. Dollar is helping keep gold’s upside in check.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered, buying power increased gradually in Asian session, approaching resistance zone 3348
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3373- 3375 SL 3380
TP1: $3360
TP2: $3350
TP3: $3340
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3278- $3280 SL $3273
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3314
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Pulls Back Near 3345: Trend Analysis & Trading TipsWe have once again perfectly predicted the gold trend. Throughout Tuesday, we kept calling for short positions at the rebound level of 3335-45, which offered multiple entry opportunities. With bulls continuously facing overhead pressure, bears should continue to focus on the short-term support at 3295-3306, where the price has been oscillating since the beginning of this week.
From the 4-hour chart, the overhead resistance stands near 3338-45. It is recommended to continue taking short positions based on this level and expect the bearish trend to continue. The support below focuses on the key level of 3288-3290. Overall, the price is expected to continue wide-range oscillation within this interval. The uptrend cannot be confirmed before the daily closing price breaks above and holds 3345.
XAUUSD
sell@3340-3350
tp:3330-3320
Gold within my mentioned rangeTechnical analysis: Gold is Trading within my projected zones as I will constantly monitor the situation and will await for confirmation of a break-out or Trading my key reversal zones (either below the Hourly 4 chart’s Support or Daily chart Resistance). That is the plan and it is my belief that it is the most viable one to get the most of the current Price-action as I will continue Scalping (Swing orders not possible under such market setting). I still don’t have entry confirmation as Technically Gold is Trading on Ascending Channel but isolated within Rising Wedge, however both correlating assets are Trading on disappointing numbers so Bullish trend (spikes to the upside) are here to stay.
My position: So far I have Buy and Sell limits which are working greatly so far. I have Sold Gold throughout yesterday’s session from #3,348.80 and added more Selling orders on #3,337.80 break-out to the downside which delivered decent Profit.
Gold | 4h Structural LookoutPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
📅 June 18, 2025
Chart Title: “Gold's Battle at the Midpoint – Compression Before Explosion”
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish
Structure: Ranging with Bullish Channel
✳️ Technical Summary:
Gold continues to coil near the upper half of its multi-month structure, testing traders’ patience before a potentially explosive move. Current PA is forming a tight consolidation right beneath mid-channel resistance, suggesting a directional breakout is imminent — especially with the FOMC catalyst ahead.
📏 Key Chart Features:
Clear Rising Channel: Acting as medium-term trend guide
Major Consolidation: Identified around 3,330–3,380
Historical Boxes & Reaction Lows: Multiple orange circles show clear buying interest zones
Possible Long-Term Range: Defined between 3,123 and ATH zone (3,500)
EMA Support: Price currently holding both 15 & 60 EMAs
📈 Scenarios to Watch:
🔼 Bullish Breakout Path:
Trigger: Break and close above 3,400
Confirmation: Follow-through above consolidation +full body close
TP1: 3,460
TP2: ATH retest around 3,500–3,540
SL: Below 3,320 or lower trendline
Invalidation: Break below channel
🔽 Bearish Breakdown Path:
Trigger: Breakdown below 3,325 support
First Target: 3,250
Expansion Target: 3,123 – base of the macro range
Extreme Bear Target: 3,000 zone
SL: Above 3,400
Consolidation Zoom in:
#Xauusd #Gold #Trading #MJtrading #forex #Chart #chartanalysis #signal #freesignal
Go with the flow and seize the gold trading opportunityGold rose and fell yesterday due to the influence of CPI data, and fluctuated violently during the session. There were obvious signs of a wash. In the evening, it rose again driven by the news, closed positive on the daily line, continued its strong upward trend at the opening and set a new high, showing an obvious bullish pattern. The overall structure maintains the bullish idea of low-long and trend-following.
From the 4H cycle, gold rose continuously after stepping back and stabilizing the middle track. The moving average system showed a bullish arrangement, and the Bollinger band opened and expanded, further confirming the continuation of the strong pattern. However, the current price is still running within the triangle convergence range, and has not yet effectively broken. It is not advisable to blindly chase more in the short term.
In terms of operation, it is recommended to take the step back and do more. Pay attention to the short-term support below the 3360-3358 range, and focus on the 3350-3340 range. You can rely on the support to arrange long orders in batches. Pay attention to the 3389 and 3400 areas on the upper short-term pressure. If the high is weak, you can try short-selling in combination with the actual trend.
Operation suggestion: It is recommended to buy gold near 3340-3350, and the target is 3366 and 3382. If it is strong, it is recommended to buy gold at the support of 3358-3360!
All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
Have you seized the golden opportunity again and again?Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It only rushed up at the opening, and quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support, and the weekly MA5 support is long. The rebound focuses on the 3403-3408 resistance card. The rebound can be followed by the short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does.
From a technical point of view, the current macd high dead cross in 4 hours has a large volume, and the smart indicator sto is oversold, which represents the 4-hour shock trend. The current bollinger band three-track shrinkage in 4 hours also represents the range compression. At present, the upper pressure of 4 hours is located at the adhesion point of the middle rail and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, while the support corresponds to the moving average MA30 and MA10 near the 3380-3363 line. From the current 4 hours, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current macd dead cross of the gold 1-hour line is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator sto is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to fluctuate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion pressure of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term.
Accurately capture golden trading opportunitiesBased on the current trend, it is recommended to focus on low-long operations, but be wary of the market repeating the pattern of the previous few days of high-rush, wash-out and fall. From the perspective of key points, 3360 has been converted from a previous resistance level to a support level. At the same time, the hourly line forms an important support near 3358. If there is a stabilization signal at this position, it can be regarded as a good opportunity to go long. However, if the market falls below the 3356 line, it is not ruled out that the price will further fall to around 3345. This position is the key long-short watershed during the day. Once it is lost, the short-selling force may increase; in extreme cases, if there is a deep wash-out, the gold price may even pull back to 3325. For the upper resistance, pay attention to 3395-3405 first. If it can break strongly, it can further look to 3414.
Based on the above analysis, the trading strategy is as follows:
If gold falls back to the area near 3345-3355 and does not break, you can consider arranging long orders;
When the price rises to the area near 3395-3405 and does not break, you can try to arrange short orders.
When operating, be sure to strictly set stop losses and control risks.
Today's market trend is completely in line with the predicted rhythm, with a clear shock structure and flexible response around key points. With precise layout based on two-way thinking, we can achieve a double kill of long and short positions and a steady harvest. If your current gold operation is not ideal, and we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment, please feel free to communicate with us!
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Wednesday, the morning strategy suggested going long on gold at 3,375-3,365, perfectly seizing the pullback low and rebounding to the 3,400 level as expected. Today, there is also the Fed interest rate decision. Before the data release, short positions can be taken if the 3,400-3,405 level remains unbroken. If the 3,405-3,410 level is broken, we will continue to be bullish. Gold is in short-term oscillation, so try not to chase the market. Wait for a good entry opportunity. The upper level has also been repeatedly contested recently, and the Fed data is likely to break the range after its release.
For gold, continue to adopt an oscillating approach. In the 4H cycle, it is operating below the middle band. The short-term range is 3,405-3,365. If it breaks above 3,405, it can continue to target 3,420 and 3,450. Conversely, if it breaks below 3,365, it can fall to 3,350. In operation, prioritize long positions with short positions as a supplement, and adjust the strategy when a breakout occurs.
XAUUSD
buy@3370-3375
tp:3390-3400-3420
sell@3395-3400
tp:3380-3370
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
XAUUSD:06/06/2025 Update! Gold experienced a decline to 3314 following the release of unexpectedly strong NFP data. However, this decline is unlikely to lead to further price drops below 3314. This is primarily due to the ongoing turmoil within the president’s own political party, which is only just beginning to unfold and will likely intensify in the coming weeks.
Before making any trading decisions, it is advisable to conduct your own analysis. Additionally, the current price action has established an AB=CD pattern, where the price has successfully reversed from point ‘d’. This pattern suggests that waiting for the price to break out could be a prudent strategy for a safe entry.
Three targets have been reasonably set, with the potential to reach target two. However, the target three remains uncertain. The total potential profit from this idea is approximately 1300 pips.
It is also important to monitor the DXY closely. We recommend waiting for the price to complete its bullish correction before taking an entry on gold.
We sincerely hope that this analysis proves beneficial. Please consider liking, commenting, and sharing this post to encourage us to provide more such insights.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
Is 3500 gold still far away?
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices rose overall this week, with bulls showing strength. This was mainly due to the positive CPI data from the Federal Reserve, the escalation of tensions in the Middle East, the uncertainty of trade tariffs, and strong long-term support from fundamental demand, which led to the continued strong trend of gold prices.
As risk aversion rebounded, gold prices rose rapidly, hitting the upper track of the Bollinger Band, which also caused gold prices to rise by more than 3.6% this week.
📊Technical aspects
As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensify over the weekend, gold prices may continue to benefit from risk aversion next week, and gold prices are expected to target $3,500/ounce at the beginning of next week
The key support point is 3408. The current price has broken through and stabilized above 3400, and is expected to run above this level for a period of time. When the first market correction tests around 3420, you can continue to buy. Judging from the cycle operation, there is a high probability of a high-level oscillation market in the 3500/3400 range. Before the Fed's results are announced on Thursday, you can sell high and buy low in this range.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:3420-3430
Combined with the current tense situation, you can buy light positions at the opening price, and add positions to make up for the rise when the market falls back to the target point. Don't blindly chase the short position.
XAU / USD ANALYSIS [Bullish Bias]Gold continues to show strong bullish momentum, supported by key technical levels and favorable market structure. Price action remains constructive above the major support zone, indicating potential for further upside.
I'm closely monitoring the following levels for a high-probability long setup:
Demand Zone / Support Level:
Entry key level: 3375 - 3370
As long as gold holds above this support, the bias remains bullish with potential for a continuation toward higher resistance levels. A break and sustained move above the entry zone would confirm bullish strength and could trigger the next leg up.
Risk management remains key waiting for clear confirmation before entering is advised.
#GOLD, #FOREX , # VeloraFXReal
Gold Trading Strategy June 12Yesterday's D1 daily frame bounced and closed above 3347. That led to a price gap today.
3375 is a resistance zone that is showing a price reaction in the European session. If it cannot be broken by mid-European session, it is possible to set up a sell at 3355. The 3355 zone for BUY strategies is in the price gap created at the beginning of today's trading session.
Any price decrease today is considered a good opportunity for buying Gold to aim for 3432
Pay attention to the 3355-3347-3321 zone for today's BUY signals. Target is still 3432 but you need to pay attention to the 3397 zone where there may be a reaction from the Sellers.
Support: 3355-3347-3321
Resistance: 3397-3432
Gold Drops Sharply Amid Trade OptimismGold Drops Sharply Amid Trade Optimism
Gold formed a larger 5-wave pattern, with the second X wave extending further.
On Friday, gold fell 2.4%, dropping from 3375.50 to 3293.70.
This decline came after President Trump announced a positive call with President Xi about tariffs.
Top US and China officials will meet in London on Monday, June 9. Optimism is high, with talks expected to continue throughout the week. Trump himself remains positive, saying, "The meeting should go very well."
Gold may pause, but it could fall further unless new manipulation occurs.
Bearish targets: 3285, 3250, 3210, and 3170.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Gold remains top safe haven amid global uncertaintyAfter a powerful rally driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly the Israel–Iran conflict, gold is now entering a clear correction phase. This reflects a shift in market sentiment from “fear” to a “new normal,” as investor risk appetite recovers. In the short term, this transition is putting notable selling pressure on the precious metal.
However, underlying support factors should not be underestimated. Recent U.S. economic data continues to show weakness: manufacturing activity is slowing, new orders are declining, and supply constraints are tightening—clear signs of a stalling economy. This increases the likelihood that the Fed may not keep interest rates high for long, which would support gold in the medium term.
On the other hand, central bank demand—especially from China—remains a powerful force. Amid concerns over yuan depreciation and eroding confidence in the global financial system, gold is increasingly viewed as an irreplaceable safe-haven asset.
This current price decline should be seen as a technical correction, not a trend reversal. Traders should closely monitor key support zones for potential re-entry, as CPM Group still sees gold targeting $3,500/ounce in the next move.
BTCUSD GOING LONG AFTER A SHIFT IN MOMENTUM ✅ Analysis: Gold has successfully broken its last high (Break of Structure), signaling a potential shift in momentum. I’m looking for a pullback or retest of this break to enter a long position and ride the upward move.
✅ Target: Next key resistance or liquidity area above.
✅ Stop Loss: Just below the last low to minimize risk.
It Wasn’t on a Chart. It Was in My JournalYou don’t become consistent by learning more setups. You become consistent by learning more about yourself.
✍️ The Day I Started Journaling, I Stopped Guessing
I used to chase charts like they owed me something.One moment I was confident. The next, I was doubting everything, not because the market betrayed me, but because I wasn’t keeping track of who I was becoming .
Then I started journaling.
Not just logging wins and losses, but writing what I felt, what I saw, where I rushed, and why I broke my own rules. It changed everything.
What Journaling Gave Me (That Charts Alone Couldn’t)
1. Clarity Over Chaos
Every trade became a lesson. I stopped reacting and started reviewing.
2. Accountability Over Emotion
Writing “I entered out of fear of missing out” hits different when you see it five times in a row. I couldn’t lie to myself anymore.
3. Discipline Over Drama
No more revenge trades. No more “just one more” trades. Journaling made me pause, and that pause saved me more than any setup ever could
It’s Not Just a Journal. It’s a Mirror.
Most traders document price. Few document themselves. And yet that’s where the edge lives, not in more indicators, but in more self-awareness.
My Advice to Any Trader Trying to Break Through
Don’t just journal for results . Journal to understand who you are in the market. Your wins will mean more, and your losses will teach more. And if you're consistent with it, your growth won’t just be measurable. It’ll be undeniable.
The best setups won’t save you if your mindset is undisciplined.And the best mentors can’t help you if you don’t study your own patterns.
Journaling isn’t just about logging trades.It’s about documenting your evolution as a trader, from reactive to intentional, from hopeful to professional. So, if you’re serious about growth: Don’t just screenshot your wins, start writing your journey. That’s where the edge really begins.
XAUUSD Technical Outlook | Bullish Setup AheadGold has been trading in a consolidation zone between ~3,300 and ~3,400 after a strong bullish impulse. The price action has respected a parallel channel, with clear resistance forming at the 3,402 level.
🔍 Key Observations:
Price is forming higher lows, showing buying pressure building up.
Resistance at 3,402 is being tested multiple times.
Break above this level could trigger a move towards 3,440+, aligning with the upper bound of the channel.
Consolidation indicates accumulation – potential for breakout.
📊 Possible Trade Setup:
✅ Breakout confirmation above 3,402
🎯 Target: 3,440
📉 Invalidated if price falls below 3,340 with strong bearish volume
Trading Tip: Always wait for breakout confirmation with volume or candle close above key levels. Manage your risk accordingly.
What’s your outlook on Gold? Bullish or bearish from here? 💬
#XAUUSD #Gold #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #PriceAction
GOLD (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: Bull Trend Pausing or Reverse🧠 GOLD (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis
GOLD has been trading in a broad bullish trend, supported by global uncertainty and consistent interest in safe-haven assets. However, today’s intraday structure shows signs of potential exhaustion after a clean tap of a major resistance/QFL zone.
In this analysis, I break down the key zones, trader psychology, market structure, and potential playbook for upcoming moves.
📊 Technical Structure Breakdown:
🔷 1. SR Interchange Zone – The Flip Level
Marked early in the chart, the SR Interchange area served as a major resistance, which was broken and then retested — confirming a classic S/R flip. This level added confluence to the uptrend that followed.
Trader Insight: This is where buyers got confident after the retest. Smart money often leaves footprints at such interchange zones.
🔷 2. Ascending Channel – The Guiding Rail
GOLD has been respecting an upward channel for several days. Price bounced multiple times off both upper and lower channel boundaries. This gives a clear roadmap for intraday traders to watch for bounces, midline reactions, and possible breakouts.
Channel dynamics: Right now, price has rejected from the top of the channel, suggesting possible movement back toward the midline or bottom rail.
🔷 3. QFL Rejection – Trap Zone Activated
Price recently hit the QFL zone, which aligns closely with previous highs and liquidity pools. This level acted as a liquidity trap where buyers got over-leveraged or late entries piled in — only to see a strong rejection right after.
This sharp drop from the QFL area signals institutional sell pressure or heavy profit-taking. It’s not just a pullback — it’s a signal.
🧱 Key Zones to Watch:
Zone Type Relevance
$3,380 - $3,400 QFL / Resistance Rejection point, likely full of stop-losses and liquidity
$3,340 - $3,320 Reversal Area / Demand Potential buyer re-entry and bounce zone
$3,300 and below Liquidity Pool If demand fails, price could slide into this liquidity zone
📉 Bearish Case: Reversal in Motion?
If the current rejection from QFL continues without any strong bounce at the reversal zone:
Expect price to retest the lower channel and possibly breakdown.
Sell pressure could increase due to trapped long positions trying to exit.
Target: $3,320 → $3,300 → possible $3,280 extension.
✅ Entry: Look for failed retests of the QFL zone or lower highs
📍 SL: Above $3,385
🎯 TP: First target near $3,320, then trail stops.
📈 Bullish Case: Controlled Pullback Before Lift-Off
If price finds strong support in the Reversal Area:
Look for bullish engulfing, hammer, or double bottom patterns in the area.
Could be a healthy pullback before continuation to $3,400+.
Target: $3,380 → $3,420 and even higher if breakout is strong.
✅ Entry: Confirmation after bullish reaction at $3,340 zone
📍 SL: Below $3,315
🎯 TP: $3,380+, trail if breakout holds
🔄 Trader Psychology in Action:
Late buyers entered after the breakout toward $3,380.
Smart money exited near the top or flipped bias near QFL.
Retail panic selling might happen if support fails, offering re-entry for institutions at better prices.
Discipline Tip: Let price confirm your bias. Don’t chase.
📌 Final Thoughts & Trade Plan:
GOLD is at a decision point. Whether you're trading intraday or swing, your focus should be on:
Watching how price reacts to the Reversal Area
Identifying fakeouts vs true breaks at channel boundaries
Staying patient for confirmation (don’t jump in on impulse)
This setup provides an excellent opportunity for both bullish and bearish traders — just stay unbiased and reactive, not predictive.
Gold is expected to hit 3410-3420 againBecause of the news that Iran hopes to ease the hostile relationship with Israel, gold fell sharply in the short term, then rebounded after touching 3383, and quickly recovered above 3390. From this point of view, the buying support below is strong, and the market sentiment is still high, which limits the downside of gold, and the support of 3390-3380 area is still valid.
Although the bullish momentum of gold has weakened relatively due to the retracement in the short term, as long as gold remains above 3380, it still maintains a strong upward structure; and the retracement only exacerbates the short-term shock trend. Gold is still likely to maintain a shock upward structure and try to touch the 3410-3420 area again. Once gold breaks through 3420 strongly, it is expected to hit the area near 3450 again.
So for short-term trading, I still hold a long position in gold, and there is still a certain profit now. I have to say that if gold can reach the 3410-3420 area as expected, our profits will increase significantly!