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GOLD → The market is waiting for NFP. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off resistance at 3310, confirming the upper limit of the new trading range. The dollar continues to rally, but the market as a whole is stagnating ahead of upcoming news—NFP is coming up! Gold is consolidating at monthly lows around $3268, awaiting key US labor market data (NFP). Trump's new tariffs (10% globally, 35% for Canada, 39% for Switzerland) have boosted demand for the dollar, putting pressure on gold. Markets are waiting for NFP: forecast +110K jobs, unemployment 4.2%. Weak data (<100K) → gold may rise to $3400. Strong (>150K) → the dollar will strengthen, gold will continue to fall. The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is <50%. Based on yesterday's data, I would cautiously suggest that NFP will be in the range of 125K–145K, slightly above the consensus (110K). This will play into Trump's hands (I think you understand what I mean...). Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3320 Support levels: 3287, 3268, 3255 The news has a negative nuance — unpredictability. Be careful. Technically, based on the data we have at the moment, I would assume that the market may test resistance at 3300-3310 before a possible pullback to the specified support. BUT! Unpredictable data could turn the game around, and in that case, if the dollar falls, gold could start to rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
19
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Following yesterday’s move into the 3305 retracement range, we got the expected reaction without an EMA5 lock, which further confirmed the rejection from that level and led to a clean bounce into 3228 just like we analysed. From here, we anticipate price to range between 3328 and 3305. EMA5 cross and lock above 3328 or below 3305 will be key to confirming the next directional move. We’ll continue to monitor for that confirmation and adjust accordingly. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3348 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3369 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3369 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3397 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3397 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3422 BEARISH TARGETS 3328 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3305 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3289 3267 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
14
XAUUSD Update – Down Continuation to 3250?1. What Happened Yesterday After an anemic correction that formed a bearish flag, Gold finally broke below 3300 and even dipped under the 3280 support zone — which was my primary downside target. While the move during the day didn’t have enough momentum to reach my second sell limit, I was already in a low-volume short position, so I didn’t miss the move entirely. 2. The Key Question Has the drop ended, or are we looking at further downside? 3. Why I Expect More Downside • The overall structure remains bearish. • The newly formed resistance (previous support) is now the new sell zone. • If the price drops towards 3280 again, continuation to 3250 becomes very probable. 4. Trading Plan Selling rallies remains the preferred strategy, especially on spikes into resistance. As long as the price stays below 3335-3340 zone, the bearish outlook remains intact. 5. Conclusion Sell the rallies. The technical picture still favors downside continuation — no need to overcomplicate it. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
18
Gold Showing Signs of Reversal After Hitting Key ResistanceHello Guys. Gold has reached a major resistance zone around 3439–3425, which has already acted as a strong ceiling in the past. The price tapped into this area again, forming a clear divergence, and failed to break higher. Here’s what stands out: Divergence signals a weakening bullish momentum at the top. The price rejected the resistance and is now breaking structure to the downside. A minor pullback may occur before continuation, as shown in the projected moves. First target: 3259.792 Second target (if support breaks): 3136.869, a deeper zone for potential bounce or further drop. This setup hints at a bearish trend building up. Stay cautious on longs unless the price structure changes again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
26
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to area of 3370 (Wave 2).Colleagues, gold is once again disrupting our plans, and I have to revise the wave marking. It's not easy, but the most important thing is to keep doing it. Now I'm back to the previous marking — the price is in wave “2” correction. To complete this wave, the price needs to overcome the level of wave “W” of the middle order 3246.82. Then the correction will be completed and wave “3” will begin an upward movement. I see the minimum target in the area of the 3370 level. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
12
Gold in PRZ + TRZ: Is a Bullish Reversal Brewing(Short-term)?Gold , as I expected in yesterday's idea , fell to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and started to rise again . Today's Gold analysis is on the 15-minute time frame and is considered short-term , so please pay attention . Gold is currently trading in the Support zone($3,307-$3,275) and near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold can complete the microwave C of wave B at the lower line of the descending channel. I expect Gold to trend higher in the coming hours and rise to at least $3,311 . Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,267 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
31
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of FOMC Update: Thank you. RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3335 for 3338, 3340, 3345, 3347 and 3357 in extension of the move Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3306✅, 3302✅, 3297✅ and 3393✅ in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
28
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on our 1H chart route map. Gold continued its bearish momentum into today, hitting our bearish target at 3238, while leaving the 3348 bullish gap still open. After a break below 3328, price followed through and hit 3305, entering our key retracement range, which gave the bounce to manage any premature positions on the top. We’re now watching closely for a reaction at this level. A clean EMA5 cross and lock below 3305 will open the path toward the swing range. However, failure to lock below this level could trigger a bounce from here. This is a pivotal area for the next directional move. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3348 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3369 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3369 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3397 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3397 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3422 BEARISH TARGETS 3328 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3305 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3289 3267 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
19
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3370 and a gap below at 3348. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3370 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3392 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3392 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3416 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3429 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3439 BEARISH TARGETS 3348 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3328 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3313 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3313 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3296 3281 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
Gold Breakdown Hints at Continued Bearish MomentumThe XAUUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe reflects a bearish sentiment, as the price has broken below a key trendline and is now trading under the Ichimoku cloud. Multiple rejections from the same resistance area suggest strong selling pressure. The structure shows a consistent pattern of lower highs, indicating weakening bullish momentum. After breaking key support, the price made a retest of the broken zone and failed to reclaim it, confirming bearish continuation. The highlighted resistance area has proven to be a significant supply zone. As long as the price stays below this zone, the bearish outlook remains intact, and a downward move is likely in the coming sessions. Entry Sell: 3342 Target point: 3248 Stop Loss : 3362 If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to drop a like and comment . Your support keeps quality ideas flowing—let’s grow and win together! 💪📈
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Trend_logic
9
XAUUSD under pressure – Is the downtrend just beginning?Hello everyone! What do you think about XAUUSD right now? Yesterday, XAUUSD extended its decline and is currently trading around 3,315 USD. The recent drop in gold prices was mainly triggered by a stronger US dollar, following a trade agreement between the US and the European Union (EU). From a technical perspective, the short-term outlook shows the beginning of a new downtrend. Notably, we see a bearish crossover in the EMA 34 and 89, along with a break of the previous upward trendline—both reinforcing the current bearish momentum. If there’s a pullback before the next leg down, the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone (which also aligns with resistance and the EMAs) will be a key area to watch. This could be an ideal level for potential trade setups. Looking ahead, the next support target is around 3,300 USD. If that level breaks, gold might aim for the 32XX region. Do you think XAUUSD will continue to fall? Drop your thoughts in the comments! Wishing you successful and profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
26
XAUUSD – Bears in Control, but Watch for a Rebound FirstYesterday, after a small bounce from the ascending trendline, Gold broke down and printed an intraday low around $3300. Right now, the market appears bear-dominated, and further downside continuation is likely in the coming days. ________________________________________ 📉 But there’s a catch: From last week's top, Gold has dropped over 1400 pips without any meaningful correction. That opens the door for a possible short-term rebound, which could be just a setup for new short entries. ________________________________________ 📌 Key levels to watch: • First resistance: $3350 • Major resistance: $3375 – Only a daily close above this level would shift control back to the bulls 🎯 Until then, any bounce is an opportunity to sell into strength. A break below $3300 opens the path to $3280, with a likely extension toward $3250. ________________________________________ Conclusion: The trend is bearish, but don’t chase. Wait for a corrective rally, then look to sell the rip—unless bulls reclaim $3375, it’s still a bear market. Let’s see if Gold gives us the setup. 🎯 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
19
Gold Rejected at 3315 – But Bulls Might Not Be Done Yet📌 What happened yesterday? During the Asian session, Gold printed a fresh local low at 3268, continuing the downtrend that already dropped over 1700 pips in just one week. However, that move quickly reversed, and we saw a natural corrective bounce. 📈 Resistance holds firm The correction took price back up into the 3310 zone, which acted as confluence resistance. After two taps into that area, price failed to sustain above 3300, indicating sellers are still active there. ❓ Is the upside correction over? I don't think so. The recent drop has been choppy, lacking the strong momentum of previous legs. This type of price action often signals that we are still within a correction, not in a clean continuation. 📊 What am I watching? I’m actively monitoring for: • Exhaustion signs on the downside • Upside reversal signals My plan is to open long trades only when I see confirmation, aiming for a move back toward the 3330 zone, which could act as resistance. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
20
Bearish pennant pattern active. Active SELL✏️Gold price is forming a triangle accumulation pattern. That shows the hesitation of investors at the moment, they may be waiting for important economic indicators of the US this week. Just an impact that makes Price break out of the triangle border can create a strong FOMO trend. The price line is quite similar to the bearish pennant pattern and heading towards really strong support areas. 📉 Key Levels SELL Trigger: Break bottom line 3324 Target 3285, lower is the 3250 area BUY Trigger: Break and trading above 3333 BUY Trigger: Rejection and confirmation of candle at 3285 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VHT_Trader
29
DeGRAM | GOLD fixed below the triangle📊 Technical Analysis ● XAUUSD is forming a bearish descending wedge within a broader symmetrical triangle, facing rejection at 3,310 near prior support-turned-resistance. ● Repeated failure to hold above trendlines and continued lower highs favor a drop toward the 3,246.56 level, with possible overshoot if support breaks. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Rising real yields and hawkish Fed tone continue to pressure gold; ISM Manufacturing Prices and NFP loom as next volatility catalysts. ● Reduced ETF inflows and strong dollar on resilient US macro data weigh on demand for non-yielding assets. ✨ Summary Short bias below 3,310. Breakdown eyes 3,246 → 3,200 zone. Resistance holds while trendline caps recovery. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
17
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3348 and a gap below at 3328 . We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3348 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3369 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3369 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3397 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3397 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3422 BEARISH TARGETS 3328 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3305 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3289 3267 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
17
Gold's Strong Moves: Will the Bears Take Over?Hello everyone, Kevinn here! Today, gold continues to experience significant fluctuations in the new week, with XAU/USD currently hovering around 3,325 USD. Amid the strong rise of the USD, the gold market has seen a sharp adjustment. However, the medium-term trend still seems to favor the bears. The main reason for the turbulence in gold prices is the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, following strong economic news from the U.S. that points to a clear recovery. The stronger USD has made gold more expensive for international investors. Additionally, the market is awaiting further moves from the Fed regarding interest rate policies, which is limiting the flow of capital into gold. Looking at the technical chart, we can see that although gold has shown a slight uptick, bearish pressures are still lurking. Indicators and patterns suggest that gold may break its rising price channel, with a high likelihood of further declines. The next support level could be around 3,310 USD, and if broken, gold may continue to fall toward 3,300 USD or lower. Based on the signals from the chart, ENTRY 1 strategy would be to sell when the price breaks the upward channel. Additionally, if the price pulls back to the upper limit zone, ENTRY 2 could present another potential selling point. For today's strategy, I expect gold to decrease. What do you think? Share your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
18
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the $3300 level📊 Technical Analysis ● XAUUSD remains capped below a broken trendline retest near 3,355, while price forms a lower-high inside a descending channel. ● The repeated rejection of the 3,357.83 resistance level, coupled with failed bullish continuation, points to renewed downside toward 3,300 and 3,262. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● A rebound in the DXY after strong US consumer sentiment and pending home sales adds pressure to gold, reaffirming real-yield strength. ● Traders are reducing long exposure ahead of upcoming NFP data and Powell’s next statement, shifting bias away from risk hedges. ✨ Summary Short bias below 3,355. Break under 3,320 eyes 3,300 → 3,262. Key breakdown risk if lower trendline fails. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
12
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. Following on from the FOMC KOG Report which worked quite well, we’ll stick with the same chart and for today suggest caution. It’s the first day of the month and the last day of the weekly candle. The close here for gold is important and will give us further clues to the next few months. We’ve shared the red boxes and the red box targets are below. There is a key level above 3306-10 which will need to be breached to correct the move back up to the 3330-34 region for the weekly close. However, we now have an undercut low which is potential if there is more aggressive downside to come and that level is sitting around the 3240-50 region which for us may represent an opportunity for a swing low. We’re a bit low and stretched here to short and as we’ve already hit our target for the day so we’ll wait for the extreme levels and if hit and our indicators line up, we may take some scalps. Otherwise, as usual on these events, the ideal trade will come next week. RED BOXES: Break above 3290 for 3295, 3306, 3310 and 3320 in extension of the move Break below 3275 for 3267, 3260, 3255 and 3250 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
18
Mechanical vs. Anticipation Trades: The Fine LineWhen traders talk about discipline, they often refer to following rules — sticking to a plan, being methodical, and avoiding emotional decisions. But there's a subtle and powerful difference between being rule-based and being blindly mechanical. And even more, there's a moment in every trader’s process where discipline demands adaptation. Let’s look at a recent trade on Gold to understand this better. On Thursday, I published an analysis on Gold stating that the recent breakdown of support had turned that zone into resistance. A short entry from that level made sense. It was mechanical, clean, and aligned with what the chart was showing at the time. And, at first, it worked. Price rose into the resistance area and dropped. Perfect reaction. Textbook setup. Confirmation. The kind of trade you want to see when following a rule-based system. But then something changed. Price came back. Quickly.(I'm talking about initial 3315-3293 drop and the quick recover) So, the very next rally pushed straight back into the same resistance area, hmmm...too simple, is the market giving us a second chance to sell? That was the first sign that the market might not respect the previous structure anymore. It dipped again after, but the second drop was different: slower, weaker, choppier. That told me one thing: the selling pressure was fading. So I shifted. From mechanical execution to anticipatory mindset. This is where many traders struggle — not because they don’t have a system, but because they don’t know when to let go of it. Or worse: they abandon it too quickly without cause. In this case, the evidence was building. The failed follow-through. The loss of momentum. The compression in structure. All signs that a reversal was brewing. Rather than continuing to blindly short, referring to a zone that no longer held the same weight, I started looking for the opposite: an upside breakout and momentum acceleration. That transition wasn’t based on emotion. It was based on market behavior. ________________________________________ Mechanical vs. Anticipation: What’s the Real Difference? A mechanical trade is rule-based: • If X happens, and Y confirms, then enter. • No need for interpretation, no second guessing. • It can (in theory) be automated. An anticipatory trade is different: • It’s about reading intent in price action before confirmation. • Higher risk usually, but higher reward if you’re right. • Can’t be automated. It requires presence, experience, and context. And the tricky part? Often, we lie to ourselves. We say we’re "mechanical" while actually guessing. Or we think we’re being smart and intuitive, when in fact, we’re being impulsive. The key is awareness. In my Gold ideas, the initial short was mechanical. But the invalidation came quickly — and I was alert enough to switch gears. That shift is not a betrayal of discipline. It’s an upgrade of it. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts: Discipline is not doing the same thing no matter what. Discipline is doing what the market requires you to do, without emotional distortion. And that, often, means walking the fine line between the setup you planned for, and the reality that just showed up. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
14
Gold Crashing After Hot U.S. Data – More Pain Ahead?Minutes ago, important indices were released from the US , which catalyzed the continuation of gold's downward trend . Key U.S. Economic Data Just Dropped! ADP Employment: 104K GDP q/q: 3.0% Both came in stronger than expected , signaling that the U.S. economy is holding up better than many thought! Strong job growth Solid economic expansion The result? A stronger U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY ) and potential downward pressure on Gold . All eyes are now on FOMC meeting . Will the Fed still hint at future rate cuts despite the solid data? Or is the easing cycle officially on hold? What is your idea!? ---------------------- Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has already managed to break the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) , Monthly Pivot Point , 50_EMA(Daily) , Support lines , and the lower line of the ascending channel . Also, Gold trading below $3,333 plays an important role for me, which can increase the possibility of a continuation of the downtrend . I expect Gold to drop to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) before the FOMO meeting and if the Support zone($3,307-$3,272) is broken, we can expect further declines to $3,253(Second Target) . -------------------------------- Information we need to know: How should the Federal Funds Rate be announced to cause a deeper drop in Gold ? The Fed needs to take a hawkish stance — meaning: They keep rates unchanged, but make it clear they intend to keep them elevated for a prolonged period. They emphasize strong economic data like today's solid ADP and GDP numbers . They express concern that inflationary risks remain, and cutting rates isn’t on the table anytime soon. In this case, markets get disappointed, rate cut hopes fade, and gold drops as real yields( TVC:US10Y ) rise and the U.S. dollar strengthens. -------------------------------- Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,340 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
19