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Bullish reversal off 50% Fibonacci support?The Gold (XAU?USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 3,374.04 1st Support: 3,348.45 1st Resistance: 3,444.62 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Gold Breaks Out- Bulls Eye Record High Gold prices are poised to mark a third consecutive daily advance with XAU/USD clearing the June opening-range on news of war breaking out in the Middle East. The breakout takes price into uptrend resistance and while the broader outlook remains constructive, the immediate advance may be vulnerable while below this slope. A rally of more than 1.7% extended into uptrend resistance at the median-line before pulling back and the immediate focus is on today’s close with respect to the record high-close at 3431. Risk for near-term inflection off this zone with a close above needed to mark uptrend resumption. Subsequent resistance objectives are eyed at the record high at 3500 and the 100% extension of the May rally at 3578- look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Initial support now rests back at the 61.8% retracement of the April decline / the record high-day close (HDC) at 3355/80- losses should be limited to the median-line IF price is heading higher on this stretch. Subsequent support seen at the May / June open at 3288/89 with bullish invalidation now raised to the May LDC / late-May swing low at 3240/45- a close below this threshold would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger reversal is underway. Bottom line: The gold rally has extended into uptrend resistance at the median-line- risk for possible inflection / topside exhaustion into this slope. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 3355 IF price is heading for a breakout with a close above the median-line needed to fuel the next major leg of the advance. Keep in mind we get the release of key interest rate decisions from the Bank of Japan, the Federal Reserve, and the Bank of England next week. The ongoing conflict in Iran adds an additional layer of event risk as gold presses record highs- stay nimble next week and watch the weekly closes for guidance here.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Gold market analysis and trading strategiesGold market analysis and trading strategies Core view: Super sweeping market continues Large cycle pattern: Gold is in a sweeping stage, lacking trend direction, similar to the long-term shock after the peak in 2011 (lasting nearly 20 months). Current fundamentals (geopolitical conflicts, inflation data, Fed policy expectations) support this violent fluctuation. Short-term characteristics: straight upward, frequent V-shaped reversals, rhythm control is more important than direction judgment, and we need to be vigilant against sudden news-induced surges and plunges. Review of major influencing factors China-US negotiations: No specific details have been announced, but the market's sensitivity to trade relations still exists. US CPI data: slightly lower than expected, Trump called on the Fed to cut interest rates by 1%, strengthening easing expectations, which is good for gold. Middle East situation: The United States evacuated its citizens from Bahrain and Kuwait, the Iran-Iraq crisis escalated, and the geopolitical risk premium pushed up gold prices. Technical analysis 1. Daily level Pattern: The big positive line broke through the key resistance level of 3360 points, confirming the short-term bullish momentum. Support level: 3360-3345-3320 Resistance level: 3390-3395. Potential path: If it stands above 3360, it may rise to 3400+ (target 3415, 3440); if it falls below 3350-45, the risk of a pullback will increase. 2. 4-hour level Trend: MACD golden cross, trading volume enlarged, moving averages are bullishly arranged, support level: 3369 (MA5), 3350 (MA60). Key points: 3360-65 is the watershed between long and short positions. If it holds, the upward trend will continue. 3. Hourly chart Short-term signal: MACD golden cross, but STO is overbought, be wary of a high pullback. 3362 is the direct support level, and a breakout of this level may lead to a pullback to 3348-50. Trading strategy recommendations: Long strategy Active long orders: enter the market in the 3360-65 area, stop loss of $5 (fall below 3360), target 3375-3388-3395-3405. Steady long orders: Long orders at 3345-3350, stop loss at 3339, target above 3360. Short order strategy: Short-term pullback: short light positions when stagflation in the 3396-3400 area, stop loss 3405, target 3380-3360. Trend short orders: layout in batches in the 3413-3430 area, stop loss set above 3440, target 3400-3380 (need to match the top pattern).
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Louisa21210
Gold is rising, beware of a pullback.Since last Friday, the daily line has shown an alternating trend of yin and yang. In the three trading days this week, the lows and highs have been rising continuously, which shows that the short-term trend is strong. Today's intraday trend also illustrates this point. At present, gold has risen directly to the 3388 line, directly refreshing the intraday high again. From the hourly chart, we must be careful of the possibility of gold diving. From the previous rules, each rise is about 45 US dollars. This time it also started from 3340-3345, and the increase was close to 45 US dollars. Moreover, each time the rise is completed, the dive callback is 35 US dollars. Therefore, once it starts to fall from 3385-3390, it is very likely to reach 3350-3355. In terms of short-term resistance, pay attention to the 3400 pressure level above; the support level is around 3340. the support level pays attention to the vicinity of 3340. Operation strategy: Short at 3385, stop loss at 3395, and profit range is 3360-3350.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Gold Rallies as Rate Cut Bets Heat UpGold prices extended gains today, driven primarily by lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data, which has increased speculation that the Federal Reserve may soon cut interest rates. The weaker inflation reading sent the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields lower, giving gold a strong push to the upside. Currently, markets are pricing in a 68% chance of a Fed rate cut in September, which is generally seen as bullish for gold buyers. Another supporting factor is growing investor caution amid lingering uncertainties in U.S.–China trade relations, further boosting demand for safe-haven assets. At the time of writing, gold is trading around $3,372, up more than 170 pips on the day.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
The strategy remains unchanged: buy on dipsThe key to the short-term trend of gold lies in the rising channel of the technical aspect. The hourly chart shows that the price is running along the trajectory of gradually rising lows. In this form, the upward momentum is stronger. When the trend is upward, any pullback is a signal of bullish accumulation, which is a good time to enter the market and do more. In a strong market, the pullback range is often limited, and it is more of a short-term bullish pullback to accumulate power. The current key pressure above is in the 3355-3360 first-line range. If the price can break through and stabilize this level, the rising rhythm will most likely accelerate. At this time, the operation does not need to be complicated, just follow the trend: try to go long with a light position when stepping back, and you can cover your position according to the situation after breaking through, so that profits can grow naturally in the continuation of the trend. Remember, the power of the trend is far greater than short-term fluctuations. Instead of worrying about whether it has risen too much, it is better to follow the trend and treat every pullback as an opportunity to confirm the trend. The recommended strategy for gold remains unchanged: go long in the current price range of 3330-3325, stop loss 3320, target 3360
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BarnettWolf
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trade Plan for June 19, 2025🌀 Wave Structure On the H4 timeframe, following a strong selloff, price is now consolidating within a narrow price channel — suggesting that we are currently in wave b (black) of an abc correction. This structure implies that one more leg down is likely to complete wave c (black). However, due to the overlapping and sideways nature of the move, it's difficult to clearly identify the end points of waves a and b, making traditional Fibonacci targeting less effective. ➡️ To improve accuracy, we’re combining Volume Profile data with price action and have identified four key support zones: 3349, 3335, 3313, and 3297 Among these, we’re giving special attention to: 🎯 Target 1: 3335 🎯 Target 2: 3297 We'll wait for bullish momentum signals near these levels to increase the probability of catching the end of wave c. 🔋 Momentum Outlook Daily (D1): Momentum is about to enter oversold territory. By the end of today or tomorrow, the daily candle is expected to confirm this — suggesting a weakening bearish trend. H4: Also approaching oversold. If price is hovering around one of the key support levels (3349 | 3335 | 3313 | 3297) when this happens, and the D1 is already oversold, then we may be looking at a high-probability reversal zone. H1: Nearly oversold as well — expect a short-term bounce soon. The best timing for a BUY will be when the H1 starts turning bullish while both the D1 and H4 are oversold. ✅ Trade Setup 🔹 Scenario 1 BUY ZONE: 3336 – 3333 SL: 3326 TP1 | TP2 | TP3: 3345 | 3378 | 3402 🔹 Scenario 2 BUY ZONE: 3300 – 3297 SL: 3290 TP1 | TP2 | TP3: 3313 | 3345 | 3402 ⏳ Patience is key — wait for confluence between support zones and momentum reversals. That’s where the high-probability BUY setups emerge.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE 19 - 06 - 2025This chart presents a technical analysis of Gold CFDs (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements: Chart Structure & Patterns: Descending Channel: Price has been consolidating in a downward-sloping channel (marked in blue). Projected Move: The sketch on the chart shows a potential false breakdown below the channel support, followed by a strong bullish reversal. Support Zone: Around $3,321.534 to $3,341, highlighted in green/red — this is the expected reversal zone. Resistance/Target Zone: A sharp upward arrow suggests the price could move towards the $3,453.550 area, the previous high and a key resistance. Current Price: $3,373.133 (as per the chart), sitting near the middle of the channel. Analysis Summary: This is a bullish setup expecting: 1. A dip to retest or fake out below the channel. 2. Reversal from the demand zone (highlighted green). 3. Breakout from the descending channel leading to a strong rally. Invalidation likely occurs below $3,321. Trade Idea (based on the chart): Buy near: $3,340–$3,325 Stop loss: Below $3,321 Target: $3,440–$3,453 Would you like a written trading plan or risk management breakdown for this idea?
TVC:GOLDLong
by Mr_Zakrii
XAU/USD: Buy on DipsDriving Logic - Fed policy decision in line with expectations; escalation of Iran-Israel conflict boosts safe-haven demand; gold ETF inflows hit $230M daily, a 1-year high. Key Levels - Strong resistance at $3,400; support at $3,360-$3,370 (confluence of 50-day MA and Fibonacci retracement). Trading Strategy - Long on bullish candlestick reversal at $3,370-$3,360; stop-loss at $3,350; targets at $3,390-$3,400. Monitor PPI data and Middle East developments. XAUUSD buy@3360-3370 tp:3385-3395 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02