GOLDCFD trade ideas
Sell@3335Technically, the first key support range is at 3,240-3,260. If this area holds as effective support, it may trigger a short-term rebound. Close attention should be paid to updates on U.S. tariff policies and the evolution of the situation in war-torn countries, as geopolitical risks may exacerbate market volatility ⚠️
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 3360 - 3240
🚀 TP 3310 - 3290
🚀 Buy@ 3250 - 3260
🚀 TP 3290 - 3310
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD: June 17 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3450, support below 3355
4-hour chart resistance 3420, support below 3372
1-hour chart resistance 3403, support below 3375
The recent rise and fall of gold is completely controlled by market news. The next move of Israel and Iran directly affects the rise and fall of gold. It rises under the stimulation of the escalation of the situation and begins to pull back when the situation eases. The long and short positions form a short-term tug-of-war pattern, but the fundamentals have not changed. Gold is still in a bull market.
Today's rebound high is in the 3405/03 area. This position has formed a top and bottom conversion position. It is bound to have a certain suppressive effect on the rebound of gold prices. You can refer to the 3403/05 area for shorting during the day. Pay attention to the vicinity of 3370 below. If you hold this support level, you can buy short-term. The intraday volatility is not expected to be large, which is suitable for fast-in and fast-out transactions!
SELL: 3402near SL: 3407
BUY: 3370near SL: 3365
Gold falls back to bullish trendAfter gold opened at 3450 this week, it gradually fell to 3365, with a range of 100 US dollars. Although the main force of the two trading days is a decline, the bullish trend remains unchanged. In an uncertain environment, there is still a chance of a big rise in the future. From the 4-hour chart of gold, gold has continuously appeared in the form of a negative line, and the price continues to run below the short-term moving average, and the short-term moving average forms a downward resistance. The adhesion of the 5-day moving average and the 20-day moving average forms a strong pressure, and the MACD indicator also shows a dead cross pattern, suggesting that the bears may continue the downward trend. However, the lower track of the Bollinger Band provides some support, so at the 4-hour level, the bears are dominant and gold may continue to extend downward. The range performance in the 4-hour chart is obvious. On Tuesday, it fell sharply to 3365, which is just the support point of the lower Bollinger track. The performance of weak fluctuations is temporarily below the H4 Bollinger middle track. The range in the short term is 3405-3365. If it breaks 3405 upward, then the 4-hour chart becomes stronger and 3450 can be seen above. This possibility is very high because the market may have performance news at any time. However, if it falls below 3365, there is still a possibility of going to 3350 in the daily cycle. Therefore, there is actually no absolute certainty for gold in this cycle. For the intraday market, it is recommended to accumulate in the short term. In the case of no new lows, the 3370 support is an opportunity to go long. If it does not break 3405 above, it is necessary to break 3405 in the short term to get out of the trend strength.
Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to around 3395-3393, stop loss at 3403, target at 3370-3364; it is recommended to go long gold when it falls back to around 3370, stop loss at 3360, target at 3390-3400;
6.12 Gold intraday operation strategyGold has been rising since the beginning of this week, and the short-term suppression of 3345-50 has been focused on at the top at the beginning of this week. All of them fell back and took profits as expected. On Tuesday, our article also gave the strategic idea of long positions without breaking the support of 3315. On Wednesday, gold fluctuated upward all the way, with no signs of falling back. Especially after the positive CPI data of the US market on Wednesday, gold also broke through the recent high to 3360. Finally, it stepped back to stabilize at 3320 and continued to accelerate upward and closed strongly at 3357. The daily K-line closed in the middle of the day. The overall low point of gold price gradually rose, announcing the establishment of a strong bullish main rising pattern.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's support below focuses on the vicinity of 3345-50. The intraday retracement relies on this position to continue the main bullish trend. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on 3320-25. Before the daily level falls below this position, any retracement is a long opportunity, and the main tone of participating in the trend remains unchanged.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long if gold falls back to 3340-45 and does not break through, stop loss at 3335, target at 3375-3380, continue to hold if it breaks through;
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 19Gold technical analysis
Daily level upper resistance 3500 lower support 3338
4-hour upper resistance 3419 lower support 3361
1-hour upper resistance 3400 lower support 3366
Gold news analysis: This week, gold rose to 3450 with the help of regional conflicts and then fell, eventually falling below the 3400 integer mark. Combining the intraday trend and the gradually downward movement of the high point in the weekly chart, it can be seen that the short-sellers' control in the market is gradually increasing. From a technical point of view, yesterday's decline drove the gold price to run below the middle track of the Bollinger band again, and the short-term 5-day moving average also fell. Although there is still a possibility of a rebound in the short term, the overall pattern is bearish. The Bollinger band has signs of closing, which means that there may be a shock adjustment in the future, especially the rebound strength after the support is worth paying attention to.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the four-hour level 3365 and the one-hour level 3366 support, and the upper pressure focuses on the vicinity of 3419. The short-term long-short strength and weakness dividing line is near 3361. Continue to buy on dips before the four-hour level falls below this position.
Buy: 3361near SL: 3355
Buy: 3400near SL: 3995
Gold May Rebound After Monday Dip; Watch Tariffs & GeopoliticsGold may continue to decline before rebounding on Monday📉. The first support level is currently near 3,240-3,260. When approaching this support area, considering going long is advisable👍. It is still crucial to closely monitor the latest developments regarding U.S. tariffs and the situation in war-torn countries, as significant volatility may occur at any time⚠️. If a rebound reaches 3,350-3,360, considering going short is an option📉
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3250 - 3260
🚀 TP 3290 - 3310
🚀 Sell@ 3360 - 3240
🚀 TP 3310 - 3290
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Strong support at 3365/3350In recent years, following the easing of high inflation pressures in the U.S., the Federal Reserve has maintained a high-interest-rate policy, a decision that has significantly impacted gold and U.S. dollar markets: high rates have boosted the U.S. dollar while suppressing gold demand 📉.
This week, gold prices defied market expectations: fueled by geopolitical conflicts, gold surged last Friday and opened higher on Monday, only to trend lower thereafter ⬇️. The hourly chart shows a series of lower lows, with 3,400 emerging as short-term resistance, while gold currently oscillates around 3,380 🔄. With key economic data pending release, gold may still rebound (the initial jobless claims data was advanced to Wednesday) ⏰.
Technically, gold remains in a unilateral uptrend on the daily chart, with strong support at 3,365/3,350 from the 5-day and 10-day moving averages—though not yet in an extremely strong trend 📈. Key resistances lie at 3,430/3,450: a break above 3,450 could pave the way for a challenge to the previous high of 3,500 🏔️!
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3365 - 3375
🚀 TP 3395 - 3405
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD – Gold breaks trend: Is a deeper fall coming?Gold has officially broken the ascending trendline that had held since mid-May, confirming a breakdown in the bullish structure. After failing to breach the strong resistance at 3,445 USD, selling pressure intensified, driving the price down to 3,390 USD — yesterday’s closing level.
This move came right after the FOMC meeting, where the Fed held interest rates steady but maintained a hawkish tone, strengthening the USD and weighing heavily on gold.
While tensions in the Middle East continue to offer short-term support, U.S. monetary policy remains the dominant force. Without a fresh geopolitical shock, gold appears increasingly vulnerable to a deeper correction.
XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation? XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation?
Gold surprised many traders with a sharp spike during the Asian session, only to reverse aggressively hours later. While headlines screamed “war” and panic, the price behavior told a different story—one of strategic distribution and smart money rotation...
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Context
Geopolitical triggers: Rising tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran) and political assassinations triggered emotional buying across safe-haven assets like gold and oil.
Institutional rotation: Major funds appear to be offloading gold positions to rebalance into equities (in correction) and oil (strong upside potential).
Market narrative: News-induced FOMO drives retail into overbought zones, allowing larger players to exit at premium prices.
📈 Technical Overview (M30 Structure)
Price Action: Gold tapped into major resistance at 3456–3458, showing an aggressive rejection shortly after.
EMA Behavior: EMAs (13/34/89/200) are flattening across M15 and M30—early signs of a possible bearish crossover.
Volume Drop: Declining volume after the spike suggests buyer exhaustion, reinforcing the idea of a bull trap.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): A visible liquidity void remains below the 3390 area. Price often returns to fill these zones.
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
✅ Scenario A: Buy from Demand Zone (Liquidity Fill)
Entry: 3383 – 3385
Stop Loss: 3377
Targets: 3386 → 3390 → 3394 → 3398 → 3402 → 3406 → 3410+
📌 Best executed during London or NY session if price shows absorption or reversal confirmation.
❌ Scenario B: Sell from Resistance Only on Clear Rejection
Entry: 3456 – 3458
Stop Loss: 3462
Targets: 3452 → 3448 → 3444 → 3440 → 3435 → 3430
⚠️ Only enter shorts if clear bearish engulfing or pin-bar setup forms near resistance zone.
🧠 Market Psychology
Retail FOMO is being exploited by larger players to exit risk positions.
Liquidity engineering is likely in play—smart money drives price up on headlines, then exits into buyer momentum.
Equity & Oil rotation signals a shift in institutional preference short-term.
📌 Final Thoughts
This isn’t a time to chase breakouts. Gold is entering a volatile re-accumulation phase where news is being weaponized to induce emotional trading. The real edge lies in waiting for price to come to your level and only executing with confirmation.
🎯 Zone to Watch: 3383 – 3385
📉 Avoid chasing moves
📊 Respect your SL & manage risk like a pro
—
🧭 Stay patient. The next big move will reward those with discipline and timing.
GOLD On June 18, 2025, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims came in at 245,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous 250,000 and in line with forecasts around 246,000.
Interpretation of the Data:
Current Level:
Claims are stabilizing near the highest levels seen in the past eight months but remain historically low overall, indicating the labor market is slowing but still relatively resilient.
Labor Market Momentum:
The slight decline suggests a modest easing in layoffs but also reflects a gradual loss of labor market momentum, consistent with softer hiring trends seen in recent months.
Seasonal and Technical Factors:
Some elevation in claims is attributed to seasonal factors such as summer school breaks allowing non-teaching personnel to claim benefits, and technical adjustments.
Impact on Markets and Fed Policy:
The Fed views stable but slightly elevated claims as a sign that the labor market is cooling but not weakening sharply.
This supports the expectation that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% in the June 18TH meeting while monitoring future data for signs of further labor market weakening or inflation pressures.
The data reduces immediate pressure for aggressive rate cuts but keeps the door open for gradual easing later in the year if the labor market softens further.
Federal Reserve June 2025 FOMC Decision and Market Implications
1. Federal Funds Rate Decision
The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 4.25%–4.50% at its June 18, 2025 meeting, marking the fourth consecutive meeting with no change in rates.
2. FOMC Economic Projections
The Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), including the "dot plot," was released alongside the rate decision.
Key highlights:
Policymakers continue to project two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025, but the timing remains data-dependent and could shift if inflation or labor market conditions change.
The Fed’s economic outlook reflects slower growth, slightly higher unemployment, and persistent inflation risks compared to earlier in the year.
The median forecast for core PCE inflation in 2025 is 2.8%, with GDP growth expected at 1.7%.
The unemployment rate is projected to rise modestly, with the labor market showing signs of gradual cooling.
3. FOMC Statement Highlights
The FOMC statement emphasized a data-dependent approach, noting that while inflation is easing, it remains above the 2% target.
The committee acknowledged mixed economic signals: inflation is moderating, but labor market participation has declined and global uncertainties (tariffs, geopolitical tensions) persist.
The Fed reiterated its commitment to maintaining restrictive policy until there is greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward target.
4. FOMC Press Conference (7:30pm)
Chair Jerome Powell reinforced the Fed’s cautious stance, stating that the committee needs to see more evidence of sustained progress on inflation before considering rate cuts.
Powell highlighted that the timing and pace of future rate cuts will depend on incoming data, particularly regarding inflation and labor market trends.
The press conference also addressed external risks, including the impact of tariffs and geopolitical events on the economic outlook.
5. Market and Economic Implications
Bond Yields and Dollar: The decision to hold rates steady, combined with cautious forward guidance, is likely to keep the 10-year Treasury yield and the U.S. dollar relatively stable in the near term.
Rate Cut Expectations: Markets continue to price in the first rate cut for September 2025, but the Fed’s projections suggest a slower and more data-driven path to easing.
Key Risks: Upside risks to inflation (e.g., from energy prices or tariffs) and downside risks to growth (e.g., from labor market softening) remain central to the Fed’s outlook.
6. Summary Table
Federal Funds Rate 4.25%–4.50% (unchanged) No immediate change in borrowing costs
Rate Cut Projections 2 cuts in 2025 (data-dependent) First cut likely in September
Core PCE Inflation 2.8% (2025 forecast) Above target, supports cautious Fed
GDP Growth 1.7% (2025 forecast) Slower growth outlook
Unemployment Rate Gradual increase expected Labor market cooling
Conclusion
The Fed’s June 2025 decision reflects a steady, cautious approach amid persistent inflation and a gradually cooling labor market. The committee remains data-driven, with future rate cuts contingent on clear evidence of sustained progress toward its inflation and employment goals.
#GOLD # DXY
Gold price analysis June 18Yesterday's D1 candle was a Doji candle. It shows the hesitation of buyers and sellers at the price near ATH.
The h4 structure is a sustainable bullish wave structure and is heading towards higher hooks.
The 3400 zone is the immediate resistance zone that Gold is heading towards. This zone will be the breakout zone for the confirmation of the candle closing above 3400.
The profit-taking reaction zone of sellers at 3415 acts as a price reaction when the price uptrend returns and creates momentum towards 3443.
On the other hand, the breakout point of 3472, if broken, will push the price to the support zone of 3343
XAUUSD - 4H Breakout and Retest Setup🟡🟡🟡
🕒 June 17, 2025
Bias: Medium-Term Bullish
Structure: Breakout → Retest → Continuation
Context: Trendline break + confluence with EMA + prior resistance turned support
🔍 Market Structure Insight:
Major descending trendline broken with strong impulsive momentum.
Pullback held at the intersection of:
Broken trendline retest
EMA 60 dynamic support
Bullish structure of HL-HH (Higher Low / Higher High)
Strong bullish candle at support
✅ Trade Plan – Buy Stop Setup
Entry (Buy Stop): 3402
SL: 3373 (below the pullback structure + EMAs)
TP1: 3430 (local resistance area)
TP2: 3470 (measured move from previous leg height)
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #Forex #EMA #SqueezePlay #TrianglePattern #tradingview #MJTrading
Will gold continue to rise after a pullback?From the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10, and the short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold goes long when it falls back to 3410, and goes long when it falls back to 3380, with a stop loss of 3380, and the target is 3445-3450. Continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold bulls may restart at any time, buy gold!Although compared with the performance of gold during the day, gold only touched 3452 and then began to retreat, and even failed to approach the previous high of 3500, gold is not strong; but based on the current fundamentals and technical structure, gold is currently in a very strong bullish structure; so I think the gold retracement is not a sign of gold weakness, but to increase liquidity, so that gold can rise better and prepare in advance for breaking through 3500! Gold bulls are ready to restart at any time after the retracement!
So for short-term trading, I don’t think the gold retracement is a reason for weakness, nor is it a certificate for chasing short gold; on the contrary, I think the gold retracement is a good time to buy on dips; first of all, the support area we have to pay attention to is the 3410-3400 area, and the second must pay attention to the 3390-3380 area support.
So in the next transaction, we might as well use these two support areas as defense and start to go long on gold in batches!
Gold Trading Strategy June 16There is not much surprise when the price gap up appeared on Monday morning there is no barrier that can stop the price of gold from increasing towards ATH. Gold has a slight adjustment in Tokyo session after the price gap up touched the round resistance zone 3450.
The adjustment may extend to 3413 in European session. This is a BUY zone with the expectation that Gold will regain the ATH hook. If broken, there will be some Scalping buy zones but the risk is quite high so to be safe, wait for 3398.
In the long term, 3463 acts as temporary resistance for a reaction phase before Gold returns to its all-time high. Maybe before that, 3490 will have another price reaction before reaching the peak.
Resistance: 3428 (Scalping) - 3444 - 3463 - 3490
Support: 3413- 3298