Clear bearish flows till the next liquidity Gold has been falling for some days now but still we need that liquidity wiped out near 3270 for bigger moves
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Smart Money Concepts (SMC)Positive aspects of the analysis:
1. Clear structural change (BOS and CHoCH):
A breakout of the previous bearish structure (Break of Structure) and a change in character (CHoCH) are evident, indicating an intention to change the trend.
2. Fake Out Identified:
The "fake out" toward the resistance zone is typical of liquidity traps designed to catch buyers before the actual decline. This provides institutional confluence for the short.
3. 15M block order + resistance zone:
Entry from a 15-minute OB, within a broader resistance zone. This strengthens the entry points, as there is a high probability of a bearish reaction there.
4. Mitigation of the previous 1H FVG:
The market has already mitigated the 1H Fair Value Gap, which generally indicates that the price no longer needs to rise further to balance this inefficiency.
5. Target in a logical zone (3,317):
Take profit placed just before a lower support zone. This is prudent, as many traders seek to close partial positions or exits before major support.
Gold Fails at Resistance, Elliott Wave Signals Deeper CorrectionGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise after the Richmond Manufacturing Index(Actual:-20/Forecast:-2/Previous-7) index was announced, but failed to break the upper line of the ascending channel and the Resistance zone($3,451-$3,406) .
Gold has now broken through the Support lines and is attempting to break through the next Support lines and Support zone($3,394-$3,366) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that the main wave Y has completed above the ascending channel.
I expect that given the momentum of gold's decline , gold will be able to break the Support zone($3,394-$3,366) and Support lines and fall to at least $3,356 . The next target could be the lower line of the ascending channel .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,423
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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XAUUSD – Demand Zone Reaction & Potential Markup (VSA Analysis)💡 Idea:
Gold is testing a major 4H demand zone with early signs of smart money accumulation. VSA signals show supply exhaustion and potential for a bullish reversal toward upper resistance.
📍 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: 3,265 – 3,285 (current demand zone)
Target 1: 3,380 – 3,400 (mid supply zone)
Target 2: 3,440 – 3,460 (major supply zone)
Stop Loss: Below 3,240 (to avoid false breakouts)
R:R Potential: ~3:1
📊 Technical Reasoning (VSA)
Stopping Volume Detected
On the recent drop into the demand zone, a wide spread down-bar on ultra-high volume appeared, followed by no further downside progress.
This is a classic stopping volume pattern where professional money absorbs selling pressure.
No Supply Confirmation
Subsequent candles inside the zone show narrow spreads on decreasing volume, indicating a lack of genuine selling interest.
Demand vs Supply Shift
Multiple attempts to break below 3,265 have failed, showing absorption of supply and positioning for markup.
If price rallies from here on increasing volume and wider spreads up, it would confirm demand dominance.
Structure Context
This demand zone has historically produced strong rallies.
Break above the minor resistance inside the zone could trigger a swift move toward Target 1, with momentum possibly extending to Target 2.
📌 Trading Plan:
Look for bullish confirmation bars with high volume before entry.
If price breaks below 3,240 on high volume, invalidate the long setup and watch for the next demand level around 3,140.
Partial profits can be taken at Target 1, and the remainder trailed toward Target 2.
Gold deeper consolidation supported at 3266The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3266 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3266 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3335 – initial resistance
3351 – psychological and structural level
3366 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3250 – minor support
3230 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3266. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold Faces Strong Rejection Below $3,365 – Bearish Wave Ahead?Gold is currently trading around $3,359, showing signs of exhaustion after climbing from the $3,248 low. The chart illustrates a textbook scenario of channel rejection after testing the upper boundary of the descending wedge and failing to break above the $3,365–$3,392 resistance zone. Price is now hovering just below the diagonal black trendline, indicating a potential lower high formation and setting up for another bearish wave.
📌 Key Technical Highlights
Resistance Zone: $3,365–$3,392
This area marks the confluence of the black long-term trendline, the top of the descending purple channel, and the previous high at $3,392.
Price attempted a "Possible Retest" as annotated on the chart and is now starting to pull back—showing signs of bearish rejection.
Bearish Scenario (Blue Arrows):
Multiple downward arrows show likely bearish paths if the current resistance holds.
Key short-term targets:
$3,337, $3,320, $3,303, Strong support at $3,293–$3,248
Further downside may test extension levels toward $3,220–$3,200 by early August if momentum builds.
⚠️ Bearish Confirmation Criteria
Failure to close above $3,365 (black trendline)
Breakdown below $3,337 followed by $3,320
Strong selling pressure supported by fundamentals (e.g. USD strength, Fed hawkish stance)
✅ Invalidation / Bullish Outlook
A decisive breakout and close above $3,392.73 would invalidate the bearish structure.
In that case, targets would shift toward:
$3,412, $3,434, $3,490 (long-term trendline intersection)
However, today's U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index) release adds a layer of volatility and potential trend disruption, making this a high-risk trading day.
📊 CPI News Impact – What to Watch
High CPI (Stronger than forecast):
- Increases expectations of further Fed tightening → strengthens USD → bearish for gold
- Likely scenario: sharp drop toward $3,337 → $3,320 → $3,293
Low CPI (Weaker than forecast):
- Signals disinflation → weakens USD → bullish for gold
- Possible breakout above $3,365 → retest of $3,392 → if broken, target $3,412 and $3,434
Neutral or as expected CPI:
- Likely leads to whipsaw — fakeout on both sides
- Caution advised — wait for candle close confirmations post-news
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold Bearish OpportunityStrong bearish momentum
Close below 3300 could trigger further sell off
Possibility of liquidity & volatility is high due to monthly close - Stay Cautious
GOLD (XAUUSD) Analysis : Major Break + Bullish Setup + Target🟩 Today’s GOLD Analysis based on Volume Behavior, Smart Money Traps & Market Structure (MMC)
🔍 Chart Breakdown and MMC Concepts Explained:
1. Preceding Downtrend – Smart Money Trap Initiated
The chart begins with an extended downtrend, marking significant bearish pressure. However, deeper into the move, we notice price entering a Volume Absorption (VA) Zone — a key MMC signal where institutional orders quietly absorb aggressive retail selling.
This Volume Absorption Zone is highlighted on the left of the chart.
Smart money quietly positions longs here while inducing panic-selling from retail traders.
Wicks and indecision candles show early signs of sell exhaustion.
2. QFL Breakdown & Liquidity Sweep
The breakdown from the QFL (Quick Flip Level) is another hallmark of MMC behavior. The market intentionally breaks previous lows to trigger stop-loss clusters — known as a liquidity sweep or stop-hunt.
Price aggressively drops to a well-marked demand zone.
Massive bullish reaction from this zone confirms that smart money has completed accumulation.
The QFL move is not a true breakout, but a trap, designed to mislead retail into chasing shorts.
3. Demand Zone Reaction – Shift in Momentum
Price finds support at the demand zone (highlighted in green) and starts forming higher lows. This transition from lower lows to higher lows is a structural confirmation of market reversal.
Buyers have regained control.
Large bullish candles and wick rejections at key levels signal institutional entry.
4. SR Interchange Zone – Key MMC Confirmation
One of the most important zones on this chart is the SR Interchange area.
This level was previously resistance and is now acting as support — a concept known as support-resistance flip.
MMC teaches us that this is where smart money re-tests the breakout zone to trap late sellers and confirm the trend.
This zone is reinforced by:
Previous rejections
Retest with wicks
Alignment with ascending trendline support
5. Minor & Major Resistance Levels
Currently, price is attempting to break above a minor resistance at ~$3,330–3,332.
If it breaks, the next major target lies at the ~$3,340–3,345 level, marked on the chart.
This zone is crucial for short-term targets and may act as a profit-taking zone for early bulls.
Once this major resistance is cleared, the trendline projection suggests a continuation toward higher highs.
📐 Trendline Analysis
An ascending trendline is supporting price action. Each bounce off this line has led to higher lows — a clear sign of bullish intent.
Trendline + SR Interchange = Confluence zone
Traders should watch for bullish engulfing candles or strong wick rejections at this trendline area for re-entry or add-ons.
🧠 MMC Strategy Interpretation (Mirror Market Concepts)
This chart perfectly follows the MMC logic:
Trap retail sellers during the downtrend.
Absorb their volume at a key zone (Volume Absorp).
Sweep liquidity below QFL level.
Reverse structure with a shift to higher highs and higher lows.
Interchange SR zone to test buyers' strength.
Continue trend post-confirmation with breakout above resistance.
This is the classic "trap-to-trend" sequence smart money uses repeatedly in gold and other volatile markets.
✅ Trade Setup Summary:
Bias: Strongly Bullish (based on market structure shift)
Entry #1: Pullback into SR Interchange (ideal if price rejects 3,326–3,328)
Entry #2: Break and retest of Minor Resistance (3,332–3,334)
Targets:
TP1: 3,340 (Major Resistance)
TP2: 3,345–3,350 (Projection based on breakout path)
Invalidation: Clean break below trendline and demand zone (~3,318)
🧭 Final Words for Traders:
Gold is currently positioned at a critical junction where structure, volume, and institutional behavior all align. If you're following MMC strategies, this is a textbook scenario:
Trap ✅
Absorption ✅
Structure Shift ✅
Trendline Support ✅
SR Interchange ✅
Now, we wait for confirmation and execute with discipline.
Sell Analysis – 30M Smart Money Concept Sell Analysis – 30M Smart Money Concept
📊 Chart Context:
Timeframe: 30M
Market: Gold (XAUUSD)
Bias: Bearish – Scalp Sell
---
🔍 Key Observations:
Premium Zone Rejection:
Price tapped into a premium supply zone formed after a clear break of structure (BoS) to the downside. This confirms seller dominance at higher pricing levels.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Fill:
The price filled a previous FVG imbalance and showed rejection without closing above the origin of the impulse. This shows liquidity grab behavior typical in smart money moves.
Bearish Order Block Confirmation:
A bearish OB was respected and reacted to. The latest candle shows strong rejection with a long upper wick and volume tapering — an early confirmation of potential entry trigger for scalp short.
---
🧨 Entry Strategy (Scalp Sell):
Entry Zone:
Inside the reaction to the OB and FVG (just below the premium zone)
✅ 3325 ~3330
Stop Loss:
Just above the last high or FVG origin
✅ 3340
Take Profit:
TP1: Towards the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg
✅ 3300
TP2: Below the discount zone, targeting liquidity under recent lows
✅ 3280
---
⚠️ Risk Note:
This is a scalping setup, not a swing trade. Higher timeframes still show mixed signals, so risk management is key. Avoid over-leveraging.
---
🏁 Summary:
> A high-probability scalp sell setup confirmed by smart money concepts: BOS → FVG Fill → OB Rejection → Liquidity Grab → Bearish Continuation.
Gold. wave e (green) of triangle possible reached. 29/July/25XAUUSD based on speed of chart + confluence zone 1) Channel Support 2) POC of volume profile 3) Trendline support. Gold probably completed its wave e (green) of triangle.
Gold-----sell near 3350, target 3320-3300Gold market analysis:
The gold weekly candlestick pattern is a tombstone. The previous strong trend has turned into a weak trend after the high and low. Has the weekly selling come out? In fact, the historical weekly line has hit the top and fallen back three times, and there has been no big drop or deep drop. The long-term trend is still buying. The short-term adjustment has not changed the long-term buying trend. The international situation is not very clear, and it is difficult for gold to fall deeply. We are just a short-term trader. We need to follow. This week's operation idea is to follow the selling, or rebound selling. In addition, this week is a super data week, and buying and selling games will be inevitable. This week there are non-agricultural employment data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting resolution, each of which can make the market magnificent. The daily K has entered its bottom support. Selling near 3300 needs to be avoided. These positions are all buying counterattack positions. In the rebound of the Asian session, we first focus on the suppression near 3350. This position is the K-intensive area of the bears, the K-line pattern suppression, and the daily moving average suppression position. Consider selling when the multi-layer suppression is close. I estimate that it will enter the repair at the beginning of this week, and wait for the data to bring direction later. Those who like to swipe back and forth can also find a good rhythm to sell long-term and buy short-term.
Support 3320, strong support 3306-3300, pressure 3350 and 3357, the watershed of strength and weakness of the market is 3350.
Fundamental analysis:
The latest news is that the United States and the European Union have reached a 15% tariff agreement, which overall supports the US dollar and suppresses gold. In addition, this week, pay attention to ADP employment data, non-agricultural employment data, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and speech.
Operational suggestions:
Gold-----sell near 3350, target 3320-3300
GOLDGOLD looks like it will be giving us correction or impulse up early part of this week. Reaction will be above 3360.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
GOLD CONTINUATION PATTERNHello folks, here we go again, This idea stuck in my head only today and its friday. rather shared it or none, but see the charts for stops and target. this might be your lucky day on my page.
Here is my idea, take it if you love to swing or watch it fade. Congrats were on 800 community or I got more followers because of this. and Previous idea we made a lot thats 1200 pips good for a month trade. lets see this August. my target is labeled this chart first at 3500 zone. next target will be posted on my notes or updated the idea. no charts until it breaks that labeled on chart. until it goes higher again.
You will never see this kind of idea for a month again. So follow on my page, I have some for you if you have small accounts.d m here
My goal is to target the highest TP will be above this new highs.
Gold rebound is weak, short below 3315
Gold remains weak, with multiple intraday rebounds failing to maintain momentum. The upper moving average continues to suppress the market, and the short-term market remains dominated by bears. Today, we are following the trend and taking a bearish stance. The key upside level is around 3315. If it reaches this level before the US market opens or if it peaks in the short term, we will short sell. The non-farm payroll data will be released today, and we will consider reversing our direction based on the situation after the data.
Gold prices have once again encountered resistance to their upward trend, and the volatile pattern continues. The gold price trend is trending lower highs, and today's low is expected to be lower than yesterday's. Therefore, our intraday short target could be 3268 or even lower, so it's crucial to seize the right entry point.
If you're new to the market, come to me. I'll teach you how to trade while you learn. If you're already in the market and struggling, come to me. I'll help you avoid repeating the same mistakes. If you've already experienced this market and are battered, come to me. I'm confident I can help you regain confidence. If you're stuck in a position, I'll develop a strategy tailored to your entry point. Because everyone's trapped positions are different, the solutions will vary, some suitable for conservative traders and others for aggressive ones. However, I can't offer a perfect answer to every situation. I suggest you bring your order with you. Once you contact me, I'll use the most appropriate method to resolve your situation and help you exit the market.
Specific Strategy
Short gold at 3315, stop loss at 3325, target at 3280
Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1‑hour timeframeGold (XAU/USD) on the 1‑hour timeframe
Chart Structure & Bias
* Price remains trapped in a **rising channel** (\~\$3,328–3,333), pressing against resistance near **\$3,340–3,345**.
* Short-term momentum is bearish: both EMA 7 and EMA 21 sit above current price, with declining volume signaling weakening buyer strength.
* Overall trend leans neutral‑to‑bearish until market clears key zones decisively.
Trade Scenarios
**Bearish Breakdown (Preferred)**
* **Trigger:** Break and close below channel support (\~\$3,326).
* **Targets:** Initial drop toward **\$3,320**, then **\$3,300**, and possibly lower if momentum intensifies.
* **Invalidation:** Price pushes back above **\$3,333–3,335**, negating bearish structure.
**Bullish Breakout (Conditional)**
* **Trigger:** Clean breakout and sustained close above **\$3,342–3,345**.
* **Targets:** Upward stretch toward **\$3,355–3,360**, and if strong, **\$3,367–3,375+**.
* **Invalidation:** Fails to hold structure—retesting from above back beneath **\~\$3,338**.
Macro Drivers & Market Conditions
* Caution prevails pre‑Fed decision and ADP / GDP releases—market awaits cues on interest rate direction.
* Safe‑haven demand has softened as global trade sentiment improves, while U.S. dollar strength continues to cap upside in gold.
* Analysts favor **sell‑on‑rise positioning**, bumping up potential for controlled pullbacks.
Verdict
Gold is consolidating in a tight upward channel, showing short-term bearish pressure. The **bearish breakdown scenario holds the edge** unless price convincingly clears above **\$3,345** on strong volume, which could flip bias. A confirmed break below **\$3,326** sets the stage for downward moves toward **\$3,300** or lower.
XAUUSD
XAUUSD Updated in 15M :
The gold signal is marked on the chart based on the latest price changes and the supply and demand in the market. These points include the entry point, stop loss, and take profit
GOLD SETUP – BUY THE DIP OR SELL THE LIQUIDITY?Smart Money Playbook with Macroeconomic Context
📅 Date: July 31, 2025
🧠 Analyst: Clinton Scalper
🔍 Technical Breakdown (XAU/USD – H1/H4 Confluence)
Price is currently reacting within a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone and appears to be setting up a liquidity sweep on both sides before committing to a strong directional move.
🟢 BUY PLAN
Entry: 3,284
SL: 3,275
TP Targets:
▫️ TP1: 3,290
▫️ TP2: 3,300
▫️ TP3: 3,310
▫️ TP4: 3,320
▫️ TP5: 3,330
▫️ TP6: 3,340
▫️ TP7: 3,350
Key Support Zone: 3,276–3,284
→ Bullish OB + previous demand + potential BOS if price holds
🔴 SELL PLAN
Entry: 3,324
SL: 3,334
TP Targets:
▫️ TP1: 3,320
▫️ TP2: 3,310
▫️ TP3: 3,305
▫️ TP4: 3,300
Sell Zone: Inside FVG + liquidity inducement structure
→ Sell into imbalance after price fakes above recent swing highs
🔎 Smart Money Logic
Price is navigating a deep retracement inside a key FVG, targeting both sides of liquidity before trend continuation.
The BUY PLAN aligns with a classic "liquidity sweep → OB rejection → internal structure break".
The SELL PLAN is a short-term scalping idea inside the FVG liquidity zone, where institutional orders are often triggered before real bullish continuation.
🌍 Macroeconomic Context
US GDP data recently came in slightly below forecast → weaker USD outlook.
Gold demand remains supported due to:
Geopolitical risks (Ukraine, Taiwan tensions)
Market uncertainty over next Fed move (dovish bias increasing)
Real yields declining → bullish for precious metals
However, any hawkish Fed speak or sudden bond yield spikes can trigger intraday sell-offs into OB demand.
🎯 Trading Strategy Outlook
Buy if price sweeps below 3,284 and holds the demand zone. Target extended upside as macro supports gold.
Sell scalp at 3,324–3,330 zone if price shows rejection in FVG zone, but don’t overstay shorts.
⏳ Patience is key: Let price fill liquidity zones and follow smart money trail.
📌 Summary
🔸 Primary Bias: Bullish (Buy Plan favored due to macro + structure)
🔸 Secondary Bias: Bearish scalps from premium FVG
🔸 Watch for: USD volatility, yields, and institutional reaction in OB/FVG zones.
Gold Bulls Charging to 3305 But What’s Waiting There?Gold has recently taken support from the lower levels and has also shown a Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside. Currently, there is Imbalance and Internal Draw on Liquidity (IDM) resting around the 3305 level. The market appears to be moving upward to mitigate that imbalance. It's important to closely monitor this zone, as once the market reaches and fills this area, there is a high probability of a potential rejection or bearish move from that level
[ TimeLine ] Gold 31 July 2025📆 Today’s Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025
📌 Upcoming Signal Dates:
• July 31, 2025 (Thursday) — Single-candle setup
• July 31–August 1, 2025 (Thursday–Friday) — Two-candle combined range
🧠 Trading Outlook & Notes
✅ Gold has recently dropped sharply from 3439 to 3298, and current conditions suggest this bearish momentum may continue.
✅ I’ll be actively trading both the July 31 and July 31–August 1 setups as part of my ongoing strategy testing and live analysis.
✅ This method and timing structure can also be applied to other assets like BTC, the US Index, and various commodities.
⚠️ For those taking a more cautious approach, it’s absolutely okay to skip the single-candle setup on July 31 and wait for the more confirmed 2-day range setup (July 31–August 1).
📋 Execution Guidelines
🔹 Range Identification:
• Let the Hi-Lo range of the chosen candle(s) form completely.
• Purple lines will mark these ranges on the chart.
• After the daily close, charts will be updated to include a 60-pip buffer, Fibonacci zones, and relevant indicators.
🔹 Entry Conditions:
• Trades are triggered only if price breaks above/below the full range, including the buffer zone.
🔹 Risk Management – Recovery Logic:
• If the Stop Loss is triggered, the trade is exited or switched, and the next valid breakout setup will use a doubled lot size to attempt recovery.
📉📈 Chart Snapshot
🔗 Paste this in TradingView: TV/x/fykxBG6w/
📌 Stick to the plan, follow the system, and let the chart lead the way.
🛡️ Capital protection comes first — always manage your risk.
Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation📉 Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation
Posted earlier – trade progressing as planned.
As shared in the previous chart, a Sell scalp position was executed based on the trendline break followed by a pullback retest.
Three Take-Profit levels were marked and the price is moving in line with the forecast. ✅
🟢 TP1 Hit
🟢 TP2 Reached
🔵 TP3 in progress
📌 The setup remains valid, and as long as structure holds below the retested trendline, the bearish bias continues.
We will monitor price action near TP3 zone for final exit or trailing stop update.
> Analysis worked perfectly so far – let’s see if TP3 gets cleared soon. 🔍💥
Gold VS US 10- year yield Gold pared most of its gains on a strong US dollar. It hits an intraday low of $3307 and is currently trading around $3311.
Any breach below $3305 (365- 4H EMA) confirms trend weakness and a dip to $3245/$3200 is possible. The strong US dollar and surge in US 10-year yield after strong US jobless claims and GDP data.
It is good ot sell below $3305 with an SL around $3330 for a TP of $3245/$3200.
Gold Channel on 1h chartThis is Gold channel on 1H chart it is showing support and resistance levels. If Gold cross this channel then an strong trend could be possible.
XAUUSD CAN FLY HIGHXauusd market running in side from last few days now market will touch the support zone so if you to buy gold then you have to good oppourtanity to buy from support level
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK
REGARD ALBERT
