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Range-bound Trading amid Geopolitical and Policy GamesGold Market Brief: Range Bound Trading Amid Geopolitical and Policy Games I. Core Drivers - Geopolitical Hedge Cooling: Iran's signal to restart nuclear talks has weakened risk aversion, triggering intraday gold pullbacks, though Middle East tensions remain a wild card. - Fed Policy Expectations: The Fed kept rates unchanged this week, with Powell's "data-dependent" stance fueling 60% odds of a September rate cut. Dovish signals may push gold above $3,400, while hawkish cues could drag it to $3,350. II. Key Technical Levels Supports: - $3,380: 4-hour MA30 + June 17 low ($3,375.5), bolstered by the ascending channel lower 轨 (lower trendline). - $3,350: Daily MA10 + June 12 congestion zone, a psychological pivot for policy betting. Resistances: - $3,400: Intraday high + 4-hour MA10 + descending trendline forming "triple resistance". - $3,450: June 13 high converging with weekly Fibonacci 61.8% retracement ($3,448). III. Short-term Outlook & Focus Points - Range-bound Trend: Gold likely to oscillate between $3,350-$3,450, with breakthroughs hinging on escalated geopolitics or stronger rate cut bets. - Catalyst Events: Monitor June 19 Fed meeting, June 21 CPI data, and Middle East developments as potential range breakers. XAU/USD Trading Strategy for Today buy@3370-3380 tp:3395-3405 sell@3395-3405 tp:3385-3375 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
Gold: Key Levels Amidst Bull-Bear ClashDaily Technical Analysis Daily Chart Gold trended sideways-up last week, repeatedly testing upper resistance without a decisive breakout, though bullish momentum remains robust 🚀💪. The Bollinger Bands are expanding upward with price near the upper band, moving averages in bullish alignment, and MACD forming a golden cross above the zero axis with an expanding red histogram—signaling a dominant long-term uptrend 🔥📈! 4-Hour Chart After reaching an intraday high of 3451, price corrected lower, forming small bearish candles that indicate short-term bearish momentum 📉🔻. However, moving averages still maintain a bullish order, with initial support at the psychological level of 3400. If price stabilizes here, further upside may resume 📈🚀. MACD has formed a bearish cross at high levels with a nascent green histogram, suggesting near-term correction is needed ⚠️🔄! 1-Hour Chart Price is in a correction channel after retreating from highs, suppressed by short-term moving averages 📉🔽. Note that 3382 acts as a key prior support—if price pulls back to this zone, it may trigger bullish rebounds 💪🔥! RSI hovers around 50, indicating balanced long-short forces with an unclear near-term direction 🤷♂️🔀. Gold Trading Strategies sell@ 3430-3450 tp:3410-3400 buy@3400-3403 tp:3420-3430 (3450 if 3430 breaks)🚀 Professional trading strategies are pushed daily 📊 Lock in precise signals amid market fluctuations 🚀 Confused about market trends? Stuck in strategy bottlenecks? Real-time strategies serve as your "trading compass" 🌐 From trend analysis to entry/exit points, dissect market logic comprehensively Refer now 📲 Help you move steadily forward in investments ✨ 👇👇👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LenBessemer
Gold, continued to rise after a pullback 📌 Driving events Israel and Iran launched a new round of attacks on each other on Sunday (June 15), exacerbating market concerns that the escalation of the war could trigger a wider regional conflict, and gold continued to receive support from safe-haven buying. (The author believes that according to media reports, Iranian leaders have shown a tougher attitude, and Iran cannot be ruled out to give Israel a strong counterattack, so the geopolitical situation in the Middle East may escalate in the next few days, and gold as a safe-haven asset will shine even brighter. Kremlin: (On Putin's possible mediation of the Israeli-Iranian conflict) Russia is ready to intervene at any time if necessary. (The author hopes that the two countries will be reconciled as soon as possible) 📊Comment Analysis 1-hour chart: The rising channel breaks down, and short-term shorting is at 3442. 💰Strategy Package Today's US market plans to sell high and buy low in the 3408-3452 range. If the range breaks, follow the trend, strictly lighten the position and set a good stop loss. ⭐️ Note: I hope traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds I hope everyone will set rules, control emotions, and take a long-term view, and slowly get rid of the control of desire, be at ease in the trading market, find their own way to make money, and truly enjoy the fun and rewards brought by trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
Short gold ，it is expected to retreatToday, we accurately seized the trading opportunity of long gold at 3350 according to the trading plan, and hit TP: 3380 in the process of rebounding. We firmly grasped the profit of 300pips in the short-term long trading. At present, gold maintains the trend of continued rise! Now I definitely do not advocate chasing gold in short-term trading. On the contrary, I will actively look for good opportunities for short-term short trading to earn profits from short-term retracement. In the short term, the suppression area I focus on is the 3390-3395 area, because the gold trend is relatively strong during the European session, and the US session should continue. If gold cannot break through this area in the short term, gold will likely usher in a wave of retracement. I think it should not be difficult to test the 3370-3360 area downward; secondly, we must pay attention to the same suppression area as the short-term high of 3402: 3405-3415; if gold touches this area and stagflation occurs, then it may form a secondary high in the short term, thereby hitting the firmness of the bulls' confidence and ushering in a retracement. So next, I will test the gold short trade around the two areas of 3390-3395 and 3405-3415. Relatively speaking, the profit and loss ratio is still very favorable to us! But in the process of trading, we must strictly set up protection, after all, it is a counter-trend trade in the short term!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
6/12 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning, everyone! Gold rebounded after dipping to around $3320 yesterday, following a pullback from our previously defined sell zone (3358–3373). Early today, price broke above 3360, reaching a high of 3373, exactly within the resistance zone we expected. The initial rejection from this level aligns well with our plan. 📈 Technical Analysis: Watch closely whether 3373 can be broken with strong volume. If so, the next key resistance lies around 3385. However, if price reaches this level without first testing the 3352–3346 support, a rejection is likely. In such case, 3385 may serve as a temporary top and a potential short entry point. 🧭 Trend Structure: On the 4H timeframe, the bullish momentum remains intact. The last two candles suggest strong buying pressure. If today's fundamentals are supportive, a test of 3400 or higher is possible. On the 1D chart, the market is still in a technical correction phase. The bounce near 3300 was supported by the long-term trendline. However, if price drops back below 3340 and stays there, a trend reversal becomes more likely. Focus on the 3314–3296 support zone. If that breaks, a deeper drop is likely, possibly $100 or more, pushing price toward 3200–3190. The decline may unfold as a slow grind or sharp breakdown. 📊 Fundamental Watch: Today’s Initial Jobless Claims data could have greater-than-usual impact due to the recent CPI release. The Federal Reserve's Quarterly Financial Accounts Report is also due today and may affect broader market sentiment. 📌 Today’s Trading Recommendations: ✅ Sell Zone: 3385–3403 ✅ Buy Zone: 3331–3321 🔄 Intraday Scalping Levels: 3376 / 3358 / 3346 / 3334
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
Gold falls back to bullish trendAnalysis of gold trend: This week, after gold opened at 3450, it gradually fell to 3365, with a range of 100 US dollars. Although the main force of the two trading days was a decline, the bullish trend remained unchanged. In an uncertain environment, there is still a chance of a big rise in the future. From the 4-hour gold chart, gold has continuously appeared in the form of a negative line, and the price continues to run below the short-term moving average, and the short-term moving average forms a downward resistance. It suggests that the bears may continue the downward trend. However, the lower track of the Bollinger band provides some support, so at the 4-hour level, the bears are dominant and gold may continue to extend downward. The range performance in the 4-hour chart is obvious. On Tuesday, it fell sharply to 3365, which is just the support point of the lower Bollinger track. The performance of weak fluctuations is temporarily below the H4 Bollinger middle track. The range in the short term is 3405-3365. If it breaks 3405 upward, then the 4-hour chart becomes stronger and 3450 can be seen above. This possibility is very high because the market will have performance news at any time. However, if it falls below 3365, there is still a possibility of going to 3350 in the daily cycle. Therefore, there is actually no absolute certainty for gold in this cycle. For the intraday market, it is recommended to accumulate in the short term. In the case of no new lows, the 3370 support is an opportunity to go long. If it does not break 3405 above, it is necessary to break 3405 in the short term to get out of the trend strength. Gold operation strategy: 1. Short gold rebounds near 3395-3393, stop loss 3403, target 3370-3364; 2. It is recommended to buy gold when it falls back to around 3370, with a stop loss of 3360 and a target of 3390-3400;
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Josephine67
3400 3380 are the two points that determine the trend of gold📰 Impact of news: 1. Geopolitical risks 2. Expected Fed policy 📈 Market analysis: This week, the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, retail sales data, initial jobless claims and geopolitical situation will be the core factors affecting global markets. In the short term, gold rebounded after hitting the 3383 line. This round of decline was relatively rapid. At the same time, there is a certain resistance at the 3405-3410 line above in the short term, which is also the main reason for our long orders to leave the market. In the short term, it is recommended to first look at the support situation at the 3380 line below, and then enter the long order after obtaining effective support above this position. On the contrary, if it falls below this short-term support, the gold price is expected to fall to the 3350 mark! For the evening layout, it is recommended to focus on the 3400 long-short watershed, pay attention to the 3410 line of resistance, and pay attention to the 3380 line of support below. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3390-3380 TP 3400-3410-3420 SELL 3400-3390 TP 3380-3360-3350 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
Gold May Pull Back Short-Term📊 Market Overview: After several strong bullish sessions, gold prices are under short-term pressure as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East temporarily ease and the US Dollar shows slight recovery. While expectations for a steady Fed policy remain, traders are locking in profits after gold tested the $3,445 resistance zone. 📉 Technical Analysis: Key Resistance: $3,445 – $3,460 Nearest Support: $3,394 – $3,380 EMA 09: Price has dropped below the 09 EMA, signaling a potential short-term bearish shift. RSI/Candles/Momentum: RSI is pulling back from overbought levels. A red candlestick pattern has emerged after a strong rally, suggesting a technical pullback may be forming. Trading volume is starting to decrease. 📌 Outlook: Gold may correct lower in the short term toward the $3,390–$3,380 support zone if it fails to reclaim the 09 EMA. However, the medium-to-long-term trend remains supported by safe-haven demand and dovish Fed expectations. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: SELL XAU/USD at: $3,440 – $3,445 🎯 TP: $3,420 ❌ SL: $3,455 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,390 – $3,395 🎯 TP: $3,410 ❌ SL: $3,380
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
XAU/USD: Escalating Middle East Tensions Keep Bulls in ChargeThe chart shows that the gold price has successfully broken through the key resistance level of $3,400 and is currently fluctuating between $3,420 and $3,450, indicating that bullish forces are dominant in the short term. The $3,450 level has become a new resistance. If broken, it will attract more trend - chasing funds and drive the price higher; the $3,400 level has turned into strong support, and a breakdown could trigger panic selling. The K - line chart shows strong bullish momentum recently, but the lengthening upper shadows suggest that bearish forces are also stepping in at high levels, intensifying the tug - of - war between bulls and bears. The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross formed, but the significant deviation of the price from the moving averages indicates a need for a correction to repair technical indicators. In the short term, geopolitical conflicts may continue to support the upward movement of gold prices. However, the situation in the Middle East, U.S. economic data, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy are all key variables. If the conflicts ease or the Fed turns hawkish, the gold price will face correction pressures. XAUUSD buy@3410-3420 tp:3440-3450 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
The chart you've shared is a 15-minute gold (XAU/USD) CFD tradinThe chart you've shared is a 15-minute gold (XAU/USD) CFD trading chart, and it illustrates a bullish trade setup based on price action and possible harmonic or pattern-based analysis. Here's the breakdown of the idea: --- 📊 Trade Idea Overview: Asset: Gold (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 15-minute Bias: Bullish (Buy/Long Setup) --- 🔍 Technical Details: Pattern Observed: Possible double bottom or bullish corrective wave structure (Elliott Wave or ABC correction completion). Entry Point: Around $3,430.40 (market price at time of setup). Take Profit (TP): ~$3,450.31 Stop Loss (SL): ~$3,420.03 --- 📐 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Ratio: Approximately 2:1, indicating a favorable reward relative to the risk. --- 📈 Rationale for Bullish Bias: Price has completed a series of lower highs and lower lows (a corrective phase). Price has bounced from a key support zone (~$3,429), suggesting buyers are stepping in. The blue projection arrow indicates an expectation of upward continuation. Volume is relatively steady with no significant bearish spike, supporting a potential reversal. --- ✅ Confirmation Indicators (Optional Additions): You may want to look for: Bullish candlestick patterns at the entry point (e.g., hammer, engulfing). RSI divergence or bounce from oversold. MACD crossover or histogram shift. Trendline break confirmation on lower timeframes. --- ⚠️ Trade Management Tip: Consider trailing your stop once price reaches halfway to TP. Watch for reaction at interim resistance levels (e.g., $3,440 area). --- Would you like me to generate a trade plan or script this into a trading journal format?
TVC:GOLD
by MrProfessor87
Gold remains volatile at high levelsGold hit a low of 3302 on Tuesday and then rebounded. Then it hit a high of 3348 in the US market and then retreated to 3315 before rising again. It is still fluctuating around 3340. It closed at a cross star pattern with a negative line yesterday. The trend of the day is more critical. Although the bulls tried to break through in the short term, they did not break through after all. The current key pressure above is maintained at 3345-50. We continue to pay attention to the gains and losses of 3345-50. From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3315-20. If we step back and rely on this position, we will continue to look at the continuation of the rebound. The resistance above is around 3345-50. The overall gold price remains unchanged in the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so please pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: 1. Buy when gold falls back to 3315-20, and add more when it falls back to 3295-3003, stop loss at 3285, target at 3345-3350, and continue to hold if it breaks;
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by WillChurchill
Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10. The short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. The short position against the trend needs to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high. Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add to long position. Stop loss at 3384. Target at 3445-3450. Continue to hold if it breaks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RodneyBridges
Today's gold price is bound to usher in a big trend.Today's gold price is bound to usher in a big trend. The latest report shows: In the next 12 months, global central banks will continue to increase their gold reserves. Nearly 43% of central banks plan to increase their gold reserves next year. This is a good reflection of the current global financial and geopolitical environment. In today's world full of uncertainty and chaos, gold remains a strategic asset. Central banks around the world are paying close attention to issues such as interest rates, inflation and instability, which has prompted them to choose to increase gold reserves to avoid risks. Fundamentals: (1): It is expected that the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting will maintain interest rates unchanged (4.25%-4.50%), but attention should be paid to Powell's statement on the expectation of interest rate cuts. If a dovish signal is released (for example, hinting at a rate cut this year), the gold price may break through 3450; If stubborn inflation is emphasized, the gold price may fall back to 3350. (2): Trump pushes for interest rate cuts: political interference may increase market concerns about policy uncertainty, which may be good for gold. (3): Geopolitical risk (Middle East situation): The market is currently slow to react to the Iran-Israel conflict, but if the situation suddenly escalates (such as military action), gold prices will rise rapidly. Technical analysis As shown in Figure 4h: The trend has not yet broken, but be wary of the risk of a pullback. Key positions: Support level: 3365, 3350 Resistance level: 3405, 3430-3450 Today's operation strategy: Gold price falls below $3,400, short selling strategy: Entry level: 3393-3395 Stop loss level: 3405 Target level: 3370→3365 (falling below 3350). Long opportunities: Conservative strategy: Entry level: 3360-3365 Stop loss level: 3350 Target level: 3385→3400. Aggressive strategy: Entry point: 3370-3380 Stop loss: 3360 Target: 3390-3400 or above Focus: US market (cautious layout before the Fed's decision) If the gold price stabilizes at 3405: ​​light position to chase long, target 3430-3450, stop loss 3395. If it falls below 3360: rebound to 3370 to short, target 3350, stop loss 3378. Key risk warning Increased volatility of the Fed's decision: It is recommended to clear positions 1 hour before the announcement of the interest rate decision to avoid the market situation of "buying expectations and selling facts". If Powell mentions "controllable inflation" or "economic slowdown", the gold price may rise sharply; if he emphasizes "maintaining high interest rates", the gold price may fall sharply. Geopolitical emergencies: If the situation in the Middle East deteriorates, the gold price may rise by $20-30, and the strategy needs to be adjusted in real time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Isla_Suri
XAUUSD Trade Setup – June 17, 2025🔍 30-Min Timeframe | Volume Profile | Risk-Reward Analysis 🔹 Short Position Idea 🔻 Entry: $3,393.83 🔻 Stop Loss: $3,402.14 (above recent value area high) 🔻 Take Profit: $3,359.88 (prior HVN support area) 📉 R:R ≈ 3:1 🔸 Context: Price rejected the upper volume node and failed to break the prior high. Strong selling pressure followed by a pullback to a low-volume node. VWAP and POC levels show imbalance favoring bearish continuation. 🔸 Confirmation: Break and close below $3,389 with volume could confirm downside momentum. 📌 Watching for price to respect the value area and migrate toward the lower demand zone.
FX:XAUUSD
by Tommykamo