Gold (XAU/USD) – Technical UpdateDate: July 30, 2025
✅ Market Reaction Confirms the Forecast
In our previous analysis, we highlighted the $3,308–$3,315 region as a high-probability demand zone, reinforced by a deep retracement into the 89% Fibonacci level. We also pointed to a liquidity grab beneath $3,308 and projected a potential bullish reversal toward $3,345 and $3,398.
Today, price action has validated this view with precision.
✅ Price swept liquidity below $3,308 as expected, triggering a sharp rejection from our zone.
✅ A clear bounce followed, pushing price upward and confirming that large buyers stepped in—exactly where we anticipated.
✅ The structure is now shifting bullish, with price currently trading above $3,331, heading confidently toward our first target at $3,345.
📊 Why This Matters
This reaction was not random—it followed the logic laid out in the prior analysis:
-The demand zone was respected.
-The discounted pricing at 89% retracement offered maximum risk-reward.
-The internal imbalance between $3,345–$3,398 continues to act as a magnet, just as we outlined.
This is a textbook move where price hunted stops, tapped into demand, and began its upward drive—exactly as described in advance.
🎯 Targets Remain Valid
Target 1: $3,345 → Currently in progress. Price is gravitating toward this level, which also aligns with the 50% Fib retracement and minor supply.
Target 2: $3,398 → The final destination of this bullish move, completing the fill of the inefficiency left behind by the last drop.
🧠 Final Word
This is a strong confirmation of the original idea. The technical story has unfolded step by step as predicted, proving the reliability of the analysis. For traders following along, this not only reinforces confidence in the setup—but also showcases the power of disciplined, structure-based trading.
🔥 The move is unfolding exactly as projected. Patience, precision, and planning are now paying off.
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GOLDCFD trade ideas
Please check how to trade later.Since the release of the trading strategy, I have been able to accurately predict market trends. I am also grateful to so many brothers for following me. My premium privileges are about to expire. I will put the subsequent trading content in the group. If any brothers are interested, they can find me through 🌐. As for how to deal with the future market, I have stated the extraordinary situation and will patiently wait for the rebound of gold. At the same time, I will pay attention to the impact of the Sino-US trade talks.
European session under pressure 3321 continue to shortI reminded everyone last night that if gold holds the 3300 mark, it will consolidate in the 3300-3345 range in the short term. The current gold price basically fluctuates narrowly between 3320-3310. Judging from the daily chart, the short-term upper pressure is at 3330. Only if the daily line stands firmly above 3330, there is a possibility of a rebound upward in the short term. Judging from the hourly chart, gold is still in a downward trend, and the hourly line is blocked near 3321. In the short term, if it cannot break through 3320-3330, gold will continue to fall. You can consider shorting, with the target at 3310-3300. If the European session is still volatile, maintain high shorts and low longs to participate in the cycle.
My premium privileges are about to expire, and subsequent trading strategies and analysis will be published in the group.
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 29✅ Fundamental Analysis
🔹 U.S. Dollar Index Surges Strongly: On Monday, the U.S. Dollar Index jumped over 1%, closing at 98.6, marking a new short-term high. This rally was primarily driven by the U.S.-EU trade agreement, which reduced tariffs to 15%, easing concerns of a trade war escalation. As a result, risk assets gained appeal, while gold's safe-haven demand was suppressed.
🔹 U.S.-China Talks Resume with Limited Expectations: The U.S. and China resumed trade negotiations in Stockholm, aiming to extend the 90-day tariff truce. However, the U.S. side made it clear that "no major breakthroughs are expected," leaving room for uncertainty, which provides some support for gold.
🔹 Geopolitical Risks Remain Elevated: President Trump has set a 10–12 day deadline regarding the Russia-Ukraine issue, warning of stronger measures if no progress is made. Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East continue. Any escalation in conflicts could trigger renewed safe-haven buying in gold.
✅ Technical Analysis
🔸 Gold closed lower again on Monday, marking the fourth consecutive daily loss. The price rebounded to the 3345 level during the day but encountered strong resistance. During the European session, gold broke down swiftly, reaching a low of around 3301, showing a typical one-sided sell-off with strong bearish momentum.
🔸 On the 4-hour chart, gold broke below the key support level at 3320 and continued trading below the MA system. If the price fails to reclaim the 3330–3340 zone, the outlook remains bearish. However, if the European or U.S. session can push the price firmly above 3330, a potential bottom formation could be underway.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3330 / 3345–3350
🟢 Support Levels: 3300 / 3285–3280
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔻 Short Position Strategy:
🔰Consider entering short positions in batches if gold rebounds to the 3340-3345 area. Target: 3320-3310;If support breaks, the move may extend to 3300.
🔺 Long Position Strategy:
🔰Consider entering long positions in batches if gold pulls back to the 3300-3305 area. Target: 3325-3335;If resistance breaks, the move may extend to 3345.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
Gold----Sell near 3326, target 3300-3280Gold market analysis:
The recent gold daily line is still weak. It rebounded yesterday and fell again. It has touched the strong support of the weekly line. Today's idea is still bearish. Consider continuing to sell it if it rebounds. It is estimated that it will be repaired if there is support at 3300. The daily line was a cross star yesterday, and the upper shadow line was very long. The daily moving average suppression position was also around 3345, and the suppression position of the pattern was also around 3350. Today, the price is below 3345. We insist on being bearish. This week is a data week. The subsequent trend depends on the release of data. If the data is not strong and the weekly selling signal is added, it is very likely that gold will enter the 3200 era. After the weekly line breaks 3280, it basically opens up the weekly line's downward space, and will start a deep decline in the later period. In the Asian session of gold, we pay attention to the suppression of 3326. This position is the indicator suppression and the small suppression of the pattern. Consider selling it near this position. If it stands above 3326, don't sell it. The repair range will be 3345. Consider selling it at 3345. If the US market cannot break 3300, we should consider whether it will rebound. On the contrary, if it breaks 3300 directly in the Asian market, we should consider selling it directly.
Support 3300 and 3280, suppress 3326 and 3345, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3326.
Fundamental analysis:
This Monday and Tuesday are relatively quiet, and the big data will be released one by one starting from Wednesday.
Operation suggestion:
Gold----Sell near 3326, target 3300-3280
XAUUSD – Technical rebound, but downside risks remainOn the H4 chart, gold is bouncing slightly from the 3,323 support zone after a sharp drop. However, price remains within a large descending channel and is approaching a dense cluster of bearish FVGs around 3,360–3,374.
News context:
– US GDP and ADP data beat expectations, boosting the USD and adding pressure on gold.
– JOLTS dipped but remains above 7 million → limited support for gold.
– Thailand–Cambodia conflict provides only short-term impact.
Strategy: Favor SELL if price retests 3,360–3,374 and gets rejected. Downside targets: 3,323 or lower.
Main trend remains bearish, unless gold breaks above the descending channel.
Monday market forecast and analysis ideas#XAUUSD
There will be a lot of data next week, such as the 8.1 tariff deadline that I have repeatedly emphasized, the Federal Reserve decision, NFP data, etc. It can be said that it is relatively difficult to analyze purely from a technical perspective, because there is uncertainty in many data, the data results are often non-linearly correlated with market reactions (good news does not necessarily lead to a rise, and bad news does not necessarily lead to a fall), and large fluctuations can easily form oscillating K-lines with long upper and lower shadows. Therefore, the first arrangement for next week is to participate in trading with a light position and avoid letting emotions control your thinking.
The closing price on Friday was near 3337, proving that the short-term judgment on the rebound momentum of gold is correct, so there are two possible situations on Monday.
1. The first thing we need to pay attention to is 3345-3350 to determine whether it constitutes a short-term pressure level. The weekly line closed with a negative cross star. Combined with the monthly line trend, in terms of support, focus on the trend line support near this week's low of 3325. If this position is not broken, the market is expected to usher in a wave of rebound; if it falls below 3325, the bottom may look to 3310 or even 3295 for support.
2. The rebound momentum of Friday continued on Monday, breaking through 3350 first, and then it is possible to reach the previous high resistance area of 3370-3380. If it encounters resistance here, gold will continue to fall and fluctuate, and the target may even be 3310. If the price remains strong and issues such as interest rate cuts and tariffs are imminent, it means that the short-term downward trend has ended and may even set a new high.
The above content is only a forecast for Monday’s market. It will be greatly affected by data and news, and may be adjusted in real time next week based on intraday trends. You can refer to this, but remember not to be swayed by emotions. We will participate with a light position, and the specific trading strategy can wait for my trading signal.
Pay attention to 3350 gains and lossesGood morning, bros. This morning gold again tested last week's low near 3325. From the chart, gold may continue to rise this week, with tariffs approaching, the Fed's interest rate cut, and NFP data imminent. The current strength and weakness are at 3350-3355. If it can effectively break through and stand above, it is expected to continue to test the previous high point, which is also the long-short dividing point of 3370-3380.
From the daily chart, there is not much change in the operational range of gold in the short term, and the change in the 4H chart is more obvious. After the decline in the early trading, it is now rebounding. There is a possibility of closing positive at the low. If it is directly positive on Monday, then it will bottom out directly at the beginning of the week. If it refreshes the low on Monday, the low point of 3285 will be seen below. Therefore, today's market focuses on the continuity of long and short. Of course, according to the current changes, the biggest possibility is to continue to rebound at the low point, pay attention to the support of 3310-3300 below, and pay attention to the gains and losses of the high point of 3355 above.
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 28
✅ Fundamental Analysis:
🔹 The United States and the European Union have reached a significant trade agreement, setting a unified tariff rate at 15% (previously threatened at 30%). The EU has also pledged to invest an additional $600 billion in the U.S. and to purchase $750 billion worth of American energy and military equipment.
🔹 This agreement has significantly eased trade tensions between the U.S. and EU, boosting market risk appetite and sending U.S. stock markets to new record highs. As a result, capital has shifted away from safe-haven assets like gold, causing gold prices to drop to the $3320 level during the Asian session.
✅ Technical Analysis:
🔸 4-Hour Chart:
Since retreating from the 3438.77 high, gold has formed a clear descending channel. While the current candlestick shows some signs of stabilization near the lower Bollinger Band, the rebound has been weak and has yet to touch the middle band, suggesting the downtrend remains intact.
Moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with the MA5 crossing below the MA10, and price continues to trade below both—indicating ongoing bearish control.
If the price fails to reclaim the MA10 level around 3347, the structure will likely remain bearish, with further downside potential targeting the 3316 and 3309 support levels.
On the upside, the 3365–3380 zone represents key resistance. For the bulls to gain meaningful control, the price must break and hold above this area.
🔸 1-Hour Chart:
The overall trend remains bearish within a weak consolidation phase, with price hovering near the lower Bollinger Band.
Despite several attempts to rebound, gold has repeatedly failed to break above the 3350 level, which now acts as a key resistance line.
The Bollinger Bands have begun to flatten slightly, and if the price cannot hold above the 3345–3350 area, the risk of a renewed drop remains. Focus on the 3320–3317 support zone in the near term.
Overall, recent rebounds appear to be corrective in nature, and the 1-hour bearish structure remains unchanged.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3345–3350 / 3365–3370
🟢 Support Levels: 3330–3325 / 3316–3309
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔻 Short Position Strategy:
🔰Consider entering short positions in batches if gold rebounds to the 3350-3355 area. Target: 3330-3310;If support breaks, the move may extend to 3280.
🔺 Long Position Strategy:
🔰Consider entering long positions in batches if gold pulls back to the 3333-3338 area. Target: 3345-3355;If resistance breaks, the move may extend to 3365.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
After continuous decline, oversold rebound opportunity.Last week, gold showed a trend of rising and falling. The weekly line closed with an inverted hammer and a long upper shadow, continuing the cross-line pattern of the previous week. The short-term rise was obviously blocked. Although the trend line connecting the daily lows of 3247-3282-3309 has been substantially broken, it may continue to fall after testing and sorting. In the short term, we need to focus on the 3348 suppression level and the 3324 support level. If they fall below, they may fall to the 3300/3285 support area. From the current trend, the overall bearish and lack of rebound momentum, the weak pattern may continue, and only when the price falls to a specific position to complete the bottoming will it attract entry.
Therefore, it is recommended to maintain a bearish mindset. The hourly line shows that the long and short conversions are relatively frequent. The upward trend channel was maintained in the first three days, but all gains were given up in the next two days and the downward channel was rebuilt. Given that both the 4-hour and daily lines have fallen below the key support level, 3348 has become the key point for today's bearishness, and it is necessary to change the mindset in time and go short.
XAUUSDXAU/USD Trade Analysis – buy Setup
📍 Trade Idea: buy Gold (XAU/USD)
Entry Zone: 3338/3336
Stop Loss: 3326..00/Above key resistance zone)
Take Profit Levels:
🎯 TP1: 3345
🎯 TP2: 3350
🎯 TP3: 3360
Targets are set conservatively and progressively at 3345, 3350, and 3360, capturing potential resistance zones and allowing partial exits to secure profits while maintaining upward exposure. This tiered approach to take-profit targets allows the trader to manage risk effectively and maximize gains from momentum continuation.
Gold remains fundamentally strong amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions and expectations of dovish monetary policy from central banks. These macroeconomic drivers often lead investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold, further supporting a bullish bias.
July 28, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Price action remains weak after last week's bearish close, with 3440 acting as a clear resistance level. While bulls have lost momentum, bears have not yet taken full control — 3310 and 3283 are key support zones to watch.
Price is currently reacting near 3339,
• Above 3345, the plan is to buy on pullbacks.
• Below 3332, switch to selling rallies.
Expect a potential bounce after the recent sharp decline from 3420 to 3385, but stay cautious near resistance zones like 3385–3400, as consolidation or rejection may occur.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3384 – Resistance
• 3375 – Key resistance
• 3365 – Resistance
• 3345 – Intraday key resistance
• 3325 – Intraday key support
• 3310 – Support
• 3300 – Psychological level
• 3283 – Critical support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3332 → target 3325, then 3320, 3310, 3300
• BUY if price holds above 3345 → target 3350, then 3365, 3375, 3384
👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
XAUUSD Update - Continuation to Break the Bermuda triangle ?on the last week, we could see that triangle pattern has been breakout.
This week, it will continuation to break more higher ?
Let the chart answer it...if 3380's level could be touch, it's a first symptom of reversal to upside movement.
At the bottom side of triangle, we could see that it still respect to the bottom trend line.
Have a blessing week a head !
What to trade if you can't trust jobs data? U.S. President Donald Trump has dismissed the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), reportedly in response to jobs figures he disagreed with.
This raises concerns about the integrity of government-reported economic data, especially ahead of the next key Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) release on September 5.
This upcoming report also includes the BLS’s annual revision, adjusting past job growth figures from April 2024 through March 2025. Goldman Sachs “estimate a downward revision on the order of 550,000 to 950,000 jobs—or a reduction of 45,000 to 80,000 jobs per month over the April 2024 to March 2025 period.”
Given macro uncertainty and signs of distrust in U.S. economic data, the bid for gold may persist.
Gold has rebounded sharply in recent sessions, breaking a short-term downtrend and climbing back above the 3,360 level. Price has now retraced more than 50.0% of the July 24–31 selloff. The pair may be Short-term bullish, if price holds above 3,310.
GOLD | Bullish Mitigation + Inducement Lining Up For Execution(Refined & Structured):
• Pair: XAUUSD (Gold)
• Bias: Bullish
• 4H Overview: Gold broke last week’s previous high, then pulled back and mitigated this week’s order block within the same range. A significant internal high (turnover HH) has now been broken, and price retraced to sweep liquidity and tap into the OB zone.
• 30M Structure: Now watching for a clean pullback into a refined OB after taking out sell-side liquidity/inducement. Structure is aligning perfectly for the next leg up.
• Entry Zone: Once price enters the OB zone, I’ll be watching the 5M for church-level confirmation. Execution follows once LTF speaks clearly.
• Targets: 5M to 30M structural highs depending on delivery.
• Mindset Note: I’m not rushing. Just following structure and reading price. Analysis mode right now—execution comes once price gives the sermon.
XAU/USD Buy Setup 1H Analysis Trendline breakout.Instrument: Gold Spot / USD
Timeframe: 1H (1 Hour)
Chart Tools Used:
Ichimoku Cloud
Trendline breakout
Target projection (highlighted in blue arrow and price levels)
Volume not shown directly but momentum is clear from breakout
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💹 Buy Setup Analysis
✳ Current Price: $3,362.895
🔼 Entry (Buy): Around $3,363.590 (as marked on the chart)
🎯 Targets:
Target Number Price Level Approx Gain % Move
1st Target $3,393.481 ~$30 ~0.89%
2nd Target $3,433.864 ~$70 ~2.06%
🔻 Stop-Loss (Suggested): Below Ichimoku Cloud, ideally near $3,315.860 or $3,322.672
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🧠 Strategy Logic
The chart shows a clean bullish breakout of the trendline and Ichimoku cloud.
Strong upward momentum candle confirms the breakout.
Targets are based on measured move and previous resistance zones.
Volume and sentiment look bullish, aligning with the breakout.
A pullback to the breakout zone (~$3,340–$3,350) would be healthy for re-entry.
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📝 Summary of Buy Setup
Parameter Value
Entry $3,363.590
Target 1 $3,393.481
Target 2 $3,433.864
Stop-Loss $3,322.672–$3,315.860 (zone below cloud)
Risk-Reward ~2:1 to 3:1 based on SL/TP choice
Analysis For The Next WeekHello Traders,
I hope you had joyful weekend, the market is going to open tonight so we are back with new idea for next week.
As you know gold was dropping for last two weeks and suddenly pumped almost 650 pips after the impact of NFP News. We saw the high pressure in the market on Friday due to news impact.
Gold has broken the buy trend line D1,H4. According to D1,H4 gold still wants to drop till 3251.
If price respects area 3372-3393, then gold will drop. If price breaks the area 3400 then it will pump and it can make another All Time High. As you know 3501 is the All Time High (ATH). Price can break if there will be a breakout for bullish moment.
Keep in touch and drop positive comments here, Thanks.