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Fed Rate Decision May Trigger a Decline in Gold PricesDespite heightened tensions in the Middle East providing safe-haven support, gold failed to break through the 3450–3455 resistance zone today and instead pulled back to the 3400–3386 support area. This decline was mainly driven by two factors: Iran expressed willingness to resume nuclear talks, easing geopolitical tensions and weakening safe-haven demand. Growing expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged this week strengthened the DXY, reducing gold's appeal. That said, inflation concerns persist, offering medium-term support to gold. On the technical front, the 3378–3340 consolidation zone may serve as secondary support, while stronger trend support lies in the 3310–3289 range—a level that may only be tested under extreme bearish conditions. For now, the primary support to watch is 3386–3373, with short-term rebound resistance around 3400–3420. Trading Suggestion: Ahead of the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow, consider buying on dips, as today’s decline may lead to a technical rebound. Then reassess the market’s response to key support and resistance levels to determine further action.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Arthur3017
Gold rebound continues to be short! (Exclusive trend analysis)Although gold has fallen below 3400, and the short-term direction has changed, the general direction remains unchanged and it is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize before we can buy the bottom. When there is an opportunity to go long later, Charlie will tell you that in today's market, we can only follow the trend. We will do whatever the market does. We will go short first in the rebound in the next two days! FOREXCOM:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD PYTH:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Charlie_Analyst
GOLD (XAUUSD) SELL SETUP – Triple Top Rejection Confirmed? Gold is currently testing a strong supply zone near the $3,450 resistance area for the third time. Each test has been followed by sharp rejections, forming a potential triple top pattern, which is a classic bearish reversal signal. 🔵 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,450 – Strong supply zone (highlighted blue zone) Mid Support: $3,032 – Previous structure support & demand Major Demand: $2,647 – Long-term demand zone (orange) 🔻 Bearish Signals: Price failed to break above the $3,450 supply zone Strong bearish wick and rejection candle Lower highs on RSI/MACD (not shown but worth noting) 📌 Potential Trade Idea: Entry: Near $3,400–$3,450 zone Target 1: $3,032 (mid-term support) Target 2: $2,647 (long-term demand) SL: Above $3,470 (clear invalidation) 🗓️ As we move toward July, a break below $3,300 could trigger momentum selling down to $3,000 and even $2,647. 💬 What’s your bias on gold this week? Are we heading for a major correction or another bounce? #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #TripleTop #BearishSetup #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingView #LuxAlgo #SwingTrade #Commodities
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
Gold Reclaims Bullish Zone—Perfect Time for a Swing EntryGold has once again reclaimed bullish momentum after breaking through the key support zone around $3,412, previously a stubborn ceiling that had acted as resistance multiple times throughout late May and early June. The break above this level—validated by a decisive green Supertrend flip—indicates a short-term trend reversal in favor of buyers. After a brief consolidation phase, XAUUSD formed a solid breakout candle, confirming upward momentum. The current price action sits comfortably above the Supertrend line, which is now acting as dynamic support, while volume has picked up notably during the move up—an important confirmation of institutional interest and breakout strength. Trade Setup Breakdown • Entry: Above the $3,412 breakout area (now acting as support) • Stop Loss: Below the key support zone, ideally near $3,373–$3,375 to allow for wick re-tests and avoid premature exits • Target/TP: Resistance zone marked near $3,484–$3,500, which aligns with a prior consolidation ceiling from late April and early May. This target offers a risk-reward ratio of approx. 2.3:1, which is favorable for a swing position. • Re-entry Opportunity: If gold retraces back to the $3,373–$3,383 zone (support cluster), it would provide a high-probability re-entry while keeping the same TP of $3,500. Why the Bias Is Bullish 1. Structure Break & Supertrend Flip The key breakout above previous resistance was clean and confirmed by the Supertrend flip to green, a historically reliable short-term bullish signal. 2. Volume Confirmation Volume spikes on the breakout candles confirm real buying pressure—not just a false breakout or low-liquidity movement. 3. Support Retest Potential The $3,412–$3,383 zone now forms a strong demand area where buyers are likely to defend their positions if price pulls back. This zone also aligns with historical congestion from earlier price action. 4. Macro Context (Not in chart but relevant) Ongoing economic uncertainty, rising global tensions, and interest rate speculation continue to boost gold's safe-haven appeal. Traders are increasingly rotating into gold during periods of macro volatility. Outlook Gold is likely to continue climbing toward the $3,500 mark unless it closes below $3,373 on high volume. Bulls appear to be in control, and even a minor pullback could serve as a buying opportunity. As long as the price remains above the flipped Supertrend and $3,373 support, the bullish case remains intact.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SupertradeOfficial
XAU/USD 16 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following previous bullish iBOS and subsequent printing of bearish CHoCH, price did not pullback to either M15 supply zone, or discount of internal 50% EQ, therefore, I will not mark current iBOS but will mark it in red. The reason I am not classifying this as an iBOS is, due to relative price action, the internal range would be too narrow. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 16-20 June 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025. In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. Analysis and Bias remains the same as Analysis dated 11 May 2025. Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH. This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments. Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGold (XAUUSD) continues to maintain strong bullish momentum, with current price action sitting around 3,430. We have been holding a bullish outlook since the key accumulation zone between 3,150 and 3,200. Price has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, and recent consolidation has broken out with conviction. Based on technical structure, my immediate upside target is 3,500, where I expect price to react before potentially extending even higher depending on upcoming macro drivers. Fundamentally, gold is being fueled by a combination of sticky inflation data and a cautious Fed stance. Even though the FOMC held rates steady in June, market expectations are shifting towards policy easing later in the year due to softening labor data and a cooling economic outlook. Additionally, geopolitical uncertainties and continued central bank gold buying remain strong tailwinds for the metal. The U.S. dollar index has shown minor weakness post-CPI, offering further support to gold bulls. Technically, the daily chart shows a clean bullish flag breakout that aligns with the trendline support and impulsive wave structure. Price broke above 3,400 with strong volume and minimal resistance, indicating clear bullish dominance. As long as price holds above the 3,380–3,400 zone, continuation toward 3,500 remains highly probable. There is also confluence from previous structure highs and minor Fibonacci extension levels around that mark. Overall, I remain confidently long on XAUUSD. I’ve been tracking this bullish cycle since the 3,150–3,200 region and continue to favor upside moves backed by macroeconomic and technical alignment. I’ll be watching key reaction zones near 3,500 for potential profit-taking, while holding swing positions with dynamic risk management in place.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Gold Surges Amid Middle East TensionsGold surged more than 1% to exceed $3,440, approaching record levels amid a sharp rise in safe-haven demand. The gains came after Israel's strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, fueling concerns over a wider regional conflict. Uncertainty surrounding potential US tariffs added to market jitters. Additionally, softer US inflation data increased expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, enhancing gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset. Resistance is seen at $3,430, while support holds at $3,350.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
XAU/USD 12 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765. Alternative scenario: Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Market Analysis: Short-Term Weakness, Long-Term OptimismAfter a significant drop on Friday, gold prices hit a low of **$3316** in the US market, indicating that the current market correction is likely to continue into next week. ### Current Market Dynamics The short-term outlook for gold appears weaker, with the 4-hour cycle showing a decline and the daily cycle facing upward pressure. Despite this, the overall market remains within a broad trading range, mirroring the patterns observed in May. The recent fall below the **$3330** support level is a key indicator. This point acted as a pivot between bullish and bearish sentiment, and its breach suggests that the short-term market has entered a period of weakness and volatility. However, the market hasn't fully shifted into a bearish trend. We can expect a continued downward fluctuation, but the extent of this drop should be limited, making a sharp decline unlikely. ### Trading Strategy for the Coming Week Given these dynamics, a "short-term selling and long-term buying" strategy is recommended. * **Short-term operations** may involve selling, but this should be approached cautiously. * From a broader perspective, **buying remains the primary strategy**. Looking ahead to next week, we anticipate the market will fluctuate and find a bottom around **$3300**. Once this support level stabilizes, a new upward trend is expected to begin. **Key price levels to watch:** * **Short-term resistance:** $3340 * **Lower support:** $3300 Flexibility in your trading arrangements will be crucial to capitalize on upcoming market opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DalitsoTembo
4
June 18, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: Gold is currently ranging between 3370–3406. Today’s focus is on trading the range until a breakout occurs. Watch for confirmation near edges of the zone. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3420 – Resistance • 3406 – Range top • 3400 – Psychological level • 3392 – Resistance • 3380 – Support • 3370 – Range bottom • 3365 – Intraday key support 📉 Macro Strategy: SELL if price breaks below 3380 → watch 3375, then 3370, 3365, 3358 BUY if price holds above 3386 → watch 3392, then 3395, 3400, 3406 👉 If you found this useful and want to learn how I manage entries and stop-losses, drop a like — I’ll prepare a post on this soon. Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always manage risk responsibly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, A great finish to the week with our 1H chart idea finishing off with the rejection from 3389 with no further cross and lock above that level confirming the rejection. We continued to see a drop into the lower Goldturns with each level giving 20 to 40 pip bounces., We are now seeing 3334 Goldturn being tested. Lets see if we get the 20 to 40 pip reactional bounce before close of play. We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! MR GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAY Gold has shown a strong bullish push, breaking above recent consolidation and approaching a key resistance zone around $3,376. ⚔️ This area will be decisive — if price holds above it and confirms support, we could see a further rally toward $3,404. 📈✨ However, failure to sustain above this level could trigger a bearish rejection, pulling the market back toward the $3,330–$3,340 range. 📉🔄 Traders should wait for clear price action confirmation before entering. React, don’t predict! 🎯🧠
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
DeGRAM | GOLD broke the wedge📊 Technical Analysis ● Price still respects the former channel roof (now support) at 3 315-3 320; every dip to this line (green arrows) printed a higher low, preserving the rising-wedge structure. ● A break of the local wedge cap at 3 350 would reopen the April supply/median target at 3 435; failure to pierce keeps the pull-back window open toward the lower grey band at 3 245, where the broader demand begins. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● US ISM-services prices and NFP cooled, lifting September Fed-cut odds >70 % and capping real yields, while continued PBoC purchases offset ETF outflows, under-pinning bullion. ✨ Summary Buy 3 305-3 320; confirmation above 3 350 targets 3 435, extension 3 500. Long bias void on an H4 close below 3 245. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
6
Will gold surge and then fall after CPI?Judging from the 4-hour gold chart, gold maintains an overall volatile upward trend, so I think the data may be an opportunity to arrange short orders at highs. Although the price of gold has risen rapidly after the data was released, it should be noted that it has shown obvious signs of pressure in the volatile trading concentration area of ​​3380-3390. Since the current bullish momentum is not enough to effectively break through this key resistance level, the decline of gold prices after rising is in line with technical logic. Specific operation suggestions are to follow the trend of low-long and high-short trading strategies. From the current situation, I suggest that gold rebounds to around 3380-3385 ​​to arrange short orders. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to short gold near the rebound of 3380-3385, with a stop loss at 3393 and a target of 3360-3340;
FX:XAUUSDShort
by MonaBert
CPI NEWS TRADE (XAUUSD)📉📈 Market Update – Consolidation Before CPI Storm ⚠️ Today, the market is consolidating within a key support and resistance zone. No major moves are expected until the CPI release, which is anticipated to act as a major catalyst. 🚀 CPI data could ignite a breakout in either direction – a strong rally to the upside or a sharp decline. 📊 Our Plan: 🔹 Break above resistance → We look for buying opportunities. 🔹 Break below support → We prepare to sell or short the market. 🎯 Until then, we remain patient and disciplined, waiting for a confirmed breakout. No need to jump the gun – let the market come to you. 💡 Trading Tip of the Day: “Trade the breakout, not the forecast.” Avoid predicting the direction. Instead, react to price action with a solid risk management plan. 🧠💼
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by Jessica_Gold_Vault
Gold within my mentioned rangeTechnical analysis: Gold is Trading within my projected zones as I will constantly monitor the situation and will await for confirmation of a break-out or Trading my key reversal zones (either below the Hourly 4 chart’s Support or Daily chart Resistance). That is the plan and it is my belief that it is the most viable one to get the most of the current Price-action as I will continue Scalping (Swing orders not possible under such market setting). I still don’t have entry confirmation as Technically Gold is Trading on Ascending Channel but isolated within Rising Wedge, however both correlating assets are Trading on disappointing numbers so Bullish trend (spikes to the upside) are here to stay. My position: So far I have Buy and Sell limits which are working greatly so far. I have Sold Gold throughout yesterday’s session from #3,348.80 and added more Selling orders on #3,337.80 break-out to the downside which delivered decent Profit.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
GOLD PAY ATTENTION TO BULISHXAUUSD (Gold) Technical Signal ⚠️ | Price action is forming a classic bull flag pattern, showing consolidation after a strong upward move. The flag is starting to 'blush' — early signs of momentum building for a potential breakout. If price breaks above the upper trendline with volume confirmation, we could see a continuation toward higher resistance levels. Traders, keep a close eye – gold may be preparing for its next leg up. #XAUUSD #GoldSignal #BullFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #GoldBreakout #PriceAction"
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore