GOLDCFD trade ideas
Trade negotiations and CPI data may trigger sharp volatility.Gold prices have maintained a consolidative pattern after completing retracement adjustments at the start of the week, with two key events today potentially breaking the calm:
1. China-US Trade Negotiation Outcome Pending
Chinese representative Li Chenggang disclosed that both sides have "reached a framework agreement in principle," characterizing the negotiations as "professional, rational, in-depth and candid." However, the market should be wary that this outcome may fall short of expectations—compared with previous talks, this round of consultations faces notably higher resistance. Specific clauses in the joint statement (such as the magnitude of tariff reductions and the scope of technical export restrictions relaxation) will directly influence risk sentiment. A dovish-leaning agreement may trigger short-term profit-taking in gold.
2. May CPI Data in Focus Tonight
The market expects inflation data to rebound month-on-month. If the actual figure exceeds expectations:
- Bullish scenario: Rising inflation suppresses consumption and drags on economic growth, with gold's inflation-hedging attribute likely to attract safe-haven buying;
- Bearish scenario: Elevated inflation may weaken expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts—if inflation persists above the 2% target, the Fed may pivot to contractionary policies (such as delaying rate cuts or balance sheet reduction), curbing gold's upside potential.
Trading Strategy Notes
The sustainability of the current gold rebound remains questionable, with investors advised to guard against the risk of "post-event reversal":
- Technical levels: Dense resistance at 3,330–3,350,with3,295 serving as the short-term support threshold;
- Trading advice: Avoid chasing rallies. Consider light short positions at resistance levels, or wait for data release to trade with the emerging volatility;
- Risk management: With two major events converging, volatility may surge. It is recommended to reduce position sizes and implement trailing stops.
XAU/USD
buy@3305-3315
tp:3335-3345
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XAUUSD SELL 3391On the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD stabilized and rebounded. At present, attention can be paid to the resistance near 3349. If it breaks through, it will continue to rise. If the price reaches around 3391, pay attention to the potential bearish bat pattern, which is in the previous supply area.
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
The 4-hour chart still shows a bearish configuration with MACD in a sustained death cross, displaying no signs of reversal. Gold’s decline may have further room.
During the US session, gold rebounded to near 3349 but fell again, remaining pressured by moving average resistance. The overall trend remains range-bound.
Awaiting the CPI data release, price is likely to maintain a sideways trend before the announcement.
Monitor overhead resistance at the 3350–3360 zone. Continue to short on rebounds as long as resistance holds.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3350-3340
TP:3300-3280
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Selling pressure, bears active⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) edge higher toward $3,325 during the early Asian session on Tuesday, supported by a softer US Dollar as markets turn cautious ahead of key developments in US-China trade negotiations.
Delegations from the United States and China are set to continue discussions for a second consecutive day in London. President Donald Trump expressed optimism, stating the talks “should go very well.” According to US officials, discussions may lead to Washington lifting certain tech export restrictions in exchange for Beijing easing controls on rare earth exports — materials vital to sectors ranging from energy and defense to advanced technology. The outcome of these negotiations could provide fresh direction for the precious metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The market is mainly sideways and accumulating, under selling pressure below 3300 due to the US-China trade negotiations taking place today.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3350- 3352 SL 3357
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3276- $3274 SL $3269
TP1: $3285
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3312
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD TODAYHello friends🙌
🔊Due to the weakness of buyers and the strength of sellers, the price continues to fall...
We have identified two supports for you that will not be seen if the price continues to fall, and if the selling pressure increases, we will update you.
🔥Join us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
GOLD - Price can continue to fall to bottom part of flatHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price grew inside a rising channel, where it reached $3050 level and then broke it.
After this, price reached resistance line of channel and then made a correction to support line and then made an upward impulse.
Next, price exited from channel and continued to grow to $3430 level and even rose higher, but soon turned around.
Price made a fake breakout of this level and then started ot trades inside a flat, where it fell to bottom part.
Also, it made a gap, and later Gold started to grow to a resistance area, and when it reached this area, it bounced down.
At the moment, I expect that Gold will grow to resistance area and then drop to $3135 bottom part of flat.
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GOLD Relationship Between Gold, Dollar (DXY), Bond Prices, and 10-Year Bond Yields
1. Gold and the Dollar (DXY)
Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so there is a strong inverse relationship between gold prices and the dollar index (DXY).
When the DXY strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand and pushing gold prices down.
Recently, gold prices dipped about 0.4% to around $3,294/oz as the DXY shed 0.3%, reflecting a cautious market awaiting U.S.-China trade talks and reacting to stronger U.S. jobs data that tempered expectations of Fed rate cuts.
2. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yields
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and gold generally have an inverse relationship. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, making bonds more attractive.
However, both gold and bond yields can rise simultaneously during inflationary periods or economic uncertainty, reflecting inflation expectations and safe-haven demand.
Recent data shows yields near 4.5%, with gold holding elevated levels above $3,300 and attempted 3328 before dropping due to inflation concerns and geopolitical risks, despite some downward pressure from rising yields.
3. Gold and Bond Prices
Bond prices move inversely to yields; when yields rise, bond prices fall.
Falling bond prices (rising yields) often signal inflation or risk concerns, which can boost gold as an inflation hedge.
Yet, rising yields also raise the opportunity cost of holding gold, which can cap gold’s upside. This dynamic explains why the correlation between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, sometimes showing near-zero correlation .
4. Macro and Market Drivers
Inflation and Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade talks) support gold demand despite dollar strength and rising yields.
Central Bank Buying: Central banks remain significant gold buyers, underpinning long-term price support.
Economic Data and Fed Policy: Strong U.S. jobs reports reduce expectations of Fed rate cuts, pushing yields up and dollar strength, which can pressure gold short term.
Conclusion
Gold prices in June 2025 are influenced by a complex interplay of factors: a slightly weaker dollar recently has supported gold, but rising 10-year Treasury yields and falling bond prices exert downward pressure. Inflation concerns and geopolitical risks continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge. The usual inverse relationship between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, reflecting evolving market dynamics and the balance between inflation expectations and real yields.
#gold #dollar
GOLD Relationship Between Gold, Dollar (DXY), Bond Prices, and 10-Year Bond Yields
1. Gold and the Dollar (DXY)
Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so there is a strong inverse relationship between gold prices and the dollar index (DXY).
When the DXY strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand and pushing gold prices down.
Recently, gold prices dipped about 0.4% to around $3,294/oz as the DXY shed 0.3%, reflecting a cautious market awaiting U.S.-China trade talks and reacting to stronger U.S. jobs data that tempered expectations of Fed rate cuts.
2. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yields
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and gold generally have an inverse relationship. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, making bonds more attractive.
However, both gold and bond yields can rise simultaneously during inflationary periods or economic uncertainty, reflecting inflation expectations and safe-haven demand.
Recent data shows yields near 4.5%, with gold holding elevated levels above $3,300 and attempted 3328 before dropping due to inflation concerns and geopolitical risks, despite some downward pressure from rising yields.
3. Gold and Bond Prices
Bond prices move inversely to yields; when yields rise, bond prices fall.
Falling bond prices (rising yields) often signal inflation or risk concerns, which can boost gold as an inflation hedge.
Yet, rising yields also raise the opportunity cost of holding gold, which can cap gold’s upside. This dynamic explains why the correlation between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, sometimes showing near-zero correlation .
4. Macro and Market Drivers
Inflation and Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade talks) support gold demand despite dollar strength and rising yields.
Central Bank Buying: Central banks remain significant gold buyers, underpinning long-term price support.
Economic Data and Fed Policy: Strong U.S. jobs reports reduce expectations of Fed rate cuts, pushing yields up and dollar strength, which can pressure gold short term.
Conclusion
Gold prices in June 2025 are influenced by a complex interplay of factors: a slightly weaker dollar recently has supported gold, but rising 10-year Treasury yields and falling bond prices exert downward pressure. Inflation concerns and geopolitical risks continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge. The usual inverse relationship between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, reflecting evolving market dynamics and the balance between inflation expectations and real yields.
#gold #dollar
GOLD Relationship Between Gold, Dollar (DXY), Bond Prices, and 10-Year Bond Yields
1. Gold and the Dollar (DXY)
Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so there is a strong inverse relationship between gold prices and the dollar index (DXY).
When the DXY strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand and pushing gold prices down.
Recently, gold prices dipped about 0.4% to around $3,294/oz as the DXY shed 0.3%, reflecting a cautious market awaiting U.S.-China trade talks and reacting to stronger U.S. jobs data that tempered expectations of Fed rate cuts.
2. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yields
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and gold generally have an inverse relationship. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, making bonds more attractive.
However, both gold and bond yields can rise simultaneously during inflationary periods or economic uncertainty, reflecting inflation expectations and safe-haven demand.
Recent data shows yields near 4.5%, with gold holding elevated levels above $3,300 and attempted 3328 before dropping due to inflation concerns and geopolitical risks, despite some downward pressure from rising yields.
3. Gold and Bond Prices
Bond prices move inversely to yields; when yields rise, bond prices fall.
Falling bond prices (rising yields) often signal inflation or risk concerns, which can boost gold as an inflation hedge.
Yet, rising yields also raise the opportunity cost of holding gold, which can cap gold’s upside. This dynamic explains why the correlation between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, sometimes showing near-zero correlation .
4. Macro and Market Drivers
Inflation and Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade talks) support gold demand despite dollar strength and rising yields.
Central Bank Buying: Central banks remain significant gold buyers, underpinning long-term price support.
Economic Data and Fed Policy: Strong U.S. jobs reports reduce expectations of Fed rate cuts, pushing yields up and dollar strength, which can pressure gold short term.
Conclusion
Gold prices in June 2025 are influenced by a complex interplay of factors: a slightly weaker dollar recently has supported gold, but rising 10-year Treasury yields and falling bond prices exert downward pressure. Inflation concerns and geopolitical risks continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge. The usual inverse relationship between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, reflecting evolving market dynamics and the balance between inflation expectations and real yields.
#gold #dollar
Why I Think Gold Will Continue Buying...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends,
Happy Monday! I think Gold will continue to buy today and maybe this week. This is only my technical analysis so make sure to check the news and cross-reference any indicators you have on your charts.
- The candles have crossed and closed above the previous high on H1 and H4 showing bullish momentum.
- After the break of the previous high, H1 was resistance has been retested as support confirming bullish momentum.
- The stochastic is facing up, the fast line (blue) is above the orange line (slow) and 1 or both lines have crossed above the 80% line. These are bullish confirmations for me.
Additional information:
- Wait for the current candle to close for more bullish confirmation.
- I would set buy stops/TPS to 3400. I will be using previous highs as TPs and previous lows as SL.
Only enter this trade if it make sense to you.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
Bullish reversal?XAU/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,326.41
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,295.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 3,364.06
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold is vulnerable under 3340-3350 zone1. What happened last week?
As expected, Gold broke below the key 3340–3350 support zone and even slipped under 3300 during the Asian session this Monday, briefly reaching new short-term lows. The bearish pressure continues to dominate.
2. Key question now:
Is the drop over?
3. Why I expect the correction to end soon:
- The recent decline totaled nearly 1100 pips – a strong impulse move.
- Price is now undergoing a typical retracement after a steep sell-off.
- The previous support zone at 3340–3350 is now acting as resistance – a textbook role reversal.
- I expect this zone to attract sellers again.
4. My trading plan:
I remain bearish and plan to sell rallies, especially if the price shows rejection signs in the 3340–3350 area. This correction could offer an ideal re-entry for shorts at better risk/reward levels.
5. Final thoughts 🚀
The trend is still bearish. I’m waiting for the market to confirm resistance around 3340–3350 before executing my next move.
XAUUSD rising while Inflation dropping. Historically BULLISH!Gold (XAUUSD) has been practically on a non-stop aggressive rise since the late 2022 Low. What's more interesting is that during this 2.5-year Bull run, the U.S. Inflation Rate (red trend-line) has been on a sharp decline, which is something you wouldn't traditionally expect out of a save haven asset like Gold.
On the contrary, Gold has been historically used as a hedge against high inflation, so when Inflation drops, you would have technically expected for Gold to drop too (and vice versa).
Since 1970, there have only been another 4 (relatively long) time periods when Inflation declined while Gold increased. On all occasions, Gold extended the rise by at least 1 year even when Inflation reversed.
In our opinion, the current divergence looks more like 1970 - 1972 and 2008 - 2009. This suggests that Gold is still within a Bull Cycle and has some more room to rise before a new Bear Cycle starts. Long-term we remain bullish on Gold.
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XAUUSD - Trader's psychology - Hesitation⭐The Setup Was Perfect, and You...
You did everything right.
Marked the zone. Waited for price. Saw the reaction.
But you didn’t take the trade — or you hesitated, entered late, and missed the real move.
Sound familiar?
This article isn’t about strategy. It’s about what happens between your plan and your execution — and why even the most perfect setups won’t save you if you’re not mentally ready to pull the trigger.
🚨 Why Hesitation Happens
Most traders don’t miss trades because the setup wasn’t unclear.
They miss because of inner conflict.
❗ They doubt their read
❗ They chase confirmation
❗ They fear being wrong
❗ They overanalyze instead of executing
The irony? The more they learn, the worse it gets — because more information means more pressure to be right.
🔁 Here’s how it usually looks:
You watch price approach your zone.
It taps in — but instead of entering, you stare, waiting for a candlestick pattern or a feeling of “certainty.”
By the time you move, the market already made the move.
Now you’re chasing, or watching in frustration.
It’s not your setup that failed.
It’s your ability to act in the moment.
🧩 The Identity Problem
You don’t trade what you see.
YOU TRADE WHAT YOU BELIEVE ABOUT YOURSELF. (Read this again and again!)
A trader who doesn’t truly believe they deserve to win will sabotage themselves in the most subtle ways:
They’ll wait too long
Or enter too early
Or close too fast
Or move the SL to feel “safe”
Not because the chart said so — but because their inner narrative said:
“You’re probably wrong. You mess it up too much. Play it safe.”
If you act like a spectator, you’ll always miss like one.
The market doesn’t reward analysts. It rewards conviction.
🔁 The Real Pattern: Overthinking > Hesitating > Missing > Frustration > Revenge
It’s a loop. And it starts with not trusting your process.
Once you hesitate, everything spirals:
You miss the clean entry
You enter late and take a worse R:R
You get stopped out or close early
You enter another trade out of revenge
You lose again — and blame the setup
But the setup wasn’t the problem.
You weren’t ready.
🔨 Fixing the Execution Gap
How do you stop hesitating?
Not with journaling. Not with meditating. Not with fluff.
You stop by building clarity — fast.
✅ Before the session, take a few minutes.
Ask yourself:
What setup am I waiting for?
What would cancel it?
Say it out loud. That’s it.
✅ When price enters the zone, say:
“This is it. Let’s go.”
No overthinking. No pause. No doubt.
Imagine this: you’re watching Gold hit a reaction zone you’ve marked all morning.
Instead of watching five indicators, you’ve already made the decision.
Price touches → you execute. Done.
✅ After the trade, ask just one question:
Did I do what I said I’d do?
If yes, you won. Even if it lost.
🎯 Train the Moment
Want to build real confidence?
Start training the execution moment — not just the strategy.
Here’s how:
Visualize 2 types if entry before each trade.
“If price hits this zone and does X, I enter. If not, I don’t.”
🧠 Rehearse mentally.
Visualize the actual mouse click. Imagine price entering your zone and you acting decisively.
👁 Review only one thing each day:
Did I trust the zone and act — or did I hesitate again?
Execution is a skill. It gets sharper the more you drill it — before the trade is live.
💬 Final Thoughts
You already know the zones.
You already understand structure.
You just need more courage.
🎯 Learn to enter with intention.
🧠 Learn to trust the plan you built.
And start becoming the trader you keep pretending you already are.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
Gold price recovers, accumulates new week⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) hold steady near $3,310 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday, with the precious metal struggling to gain traction amid renewed strength in the US Dollar (USD). While a firmer Greenback poses headwinds for gold, lingering uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariff strategy continues to offer some support.
On Friday, upbeat labor market data bolstered the dollar, pressuring dollar-denominated assets like gold. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that Nonfarm Payrolls rose by 139,000 in May, outpacing expectations of 130,000 and surpassing the previous month's downwardly revised figure of 147,000 (from 177,000). The stronger-than-expected jobs report has dampened hopes of near-term Fed rate cuts, weighing on bullion’s appeal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price takes liquidity 3294, below 3300 GAP zone last week. Accumulate and react at lower support zones
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3348- 3350 SL 3355
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3281- $3279 SL $3274
TP1: $3292
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3315
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold will make impulse up from support line of triangle to 3430Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Some days ago, price entered to triangle, where it made an upward impulse at once to the resistance line, breaking the resistance level. But then price turned around and in a short time declined back, breaking the resistance level one more time. Next, Gold continued to fall and reached the support line of the triangle. After this, it made an impulse up again and exited from the triangle pattern with broke the 3280 level. Price rose to the resistance level and then started to trade inside another triangle pattern. In this pattern, Gold dropped from the 3430 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance line, and dropped to the support line, breaking the 3280 level. After this movement, Gold turned around and started to grow, and later reached the 3280 level and broke it again. Then the price continued to grow and reached the resistance line of the triangle pattern, where at the moment continues to trades near. In my opinion, Gold can rebound from the support line of the triangle and rise to the resistance level, exiting from triangle pattern. For this case, my TP is 3430 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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XAUUSD - $3,260 Support Level to Determine Next Directional MoveLooking at this Gold 4-hour chart, the precious metal is approaching a critical inflection point as it tests the key support zone around $3,260, which represents a confluence of previous swing lows and represents the lower boundary of the recent consolidation range. Two distinct scenarios emerge from this technical setup: first, gold could find buyers at this support level and stage a bounce back toward the $3,400 resistance area, particularly if broader market conditions favor safe-haven assets or if dollar weakness provides additional tailwinds for the metal. Alternatively, a decisive break below the $3,260 support could trigger further selling pressure and open the door for a deeper correction toward the $3,180-$3,160 zone, especially if risk appetite improves or if stronger economic data reduces demand for defensive assets. The outcome will largely depend on how price action unfolds at this crucial support level, with volume and momentum providing key clues about which scenario is more likely to play out in the near term.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Supports & Resistances for Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Vertical Support 2: Falling trend line
Horizontal Structures
Horizontal Support 1: 3231 - 3286 area
Horizontal Support 2: 3121 - 3177 area
Horizontal Resistance 1: 3372 - 3404 area
Horizontal Resistance 2: 3427 - 3423 area
Horizontal Resistance 3: 3492 - 3500 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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