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XAUUSD Monthly Technical OutlookMarket Structure Overview: • The chart reveals consistent Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside, confirming a strong bullish market trend. • Price has successfully reclaimed and retested the strong resistance zone (~3390–3400), which now acts as new support. • A series of higher highs and higher lows show clear bullish intent, supported by sustained bullish momentum after each correction. ⸻ 📈 Volume & Price Action: • The Volume Profile (VRVP) on the left shows strong historical accumulation near the current breakout zone. • After the breakout from resistance, the price retested this zone—validating it as support—and is expected to continue its bullish leg toward $3,500, the next psychological and technical target. ⸻ 📍 Key Levels: • Support Zone: $3,375 – $3,390 (previous resistance turned support) • Immediate Resistance: $3,425 • Target Level: $3,500 (Monthly High Projection) ⸻ 📘 Educational Note: • This setup aligns with classic market structure theory: BOS + Retest + Continuation. • The pullback into the breakout zone is a textbook bullish continuation signal often used in institutional trading strategies. • Traders watching this pattern should combine it with confirmation entries such as bullish engulfing candles, FVGs, or order block rejections for safer entries. ⸻ 🎯 Projection: • As long as the price holds above $3,375, the bullish scenario toward $3,500 remains valid. • Expect possible consolidation or minor pullbacks before continuation. ⸻ 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before entering the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
Latest Gold Price Update TodayHello everyone, what do you think about the price of gold today? As the new week begins, gold continues the upward trend started at the end of Friday’s session. As of now, the precious metal is trading around 3356 USD, with the uptrend still being supported. From a carefully analyzed technical perspective, gold successfully broke out of the downward channel, taking advantage of the weakening USD. The price increase is convincing in the short term, especially after testing and confirming the previous breakout as a new support zone (around 3345 USD). The upward target is expected to continue, with key levels to watch being 3372 USD and the H4 resistance at 3390 USD. What do you think about the price of gold today? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments! Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
10
Falling towards pullback support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 3,365.52 1st Support: 3,322.94 1st Resistance: 3,434.64 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Report - 25 jully, 2025U.S.–EU Tariff Negotiations Stabilizing Markets Reports confirm the U.S. and EU are nearing a deal for 15% reciprocal tariffs—lower than the initially threatened 30% by President Trump. This easing of tensions led to moderate equity gains in both blocs, with the Stoxx 600 reaching a 6-week high before closing +0.2%. Pharmaceutical and auto stocks outperformed (Volkswagen +2.3%, Bayer +2.3%). Forecast: If the 15% deal is finalized by the August 1 deadline, it would remove a key overhang on equities and boost cyclical sectors reliant on transatlantic trade. A failure, however, risks escalation, triggering retaliatory tariffs by the EU on $93bn of U.S. goods, dragging risk assets sharply lower. DXY Outlook: Tariff de-escalation boosts safe-haven flows and investor optimism, supporting USD strength. S&P 500: Short-term relief rally expected if the 15% tariff framework is signed. However, margin compression risks remain from lingering supply chain disruptions. Tesla vs Trump: Policy Shock Rattles EV Sector Elon Musk warned that Trump's anti-EV stance and trade war posture will sharply erode Tesla’s regulatory credit revenue and remove the $7,500 EV tax credit. Tesla's stock has cratered 37% since December, with a sharp 8% drop yesterday. Adjusted Q2 net income was down 22%, revenue -12%. Risk Forecast: Loss of EV subsidies + political fallout between Musk and Trump could drag Tesla further and dampen broader EV sector growth. XAUUSD: Rising political uncertainty and risks to the U.S. tech sector may drive safe-haven flows into gold. Dow Jones: Tesla's underperformance and anti-EV policies could limit industrial sector gains. ECB Holds Rates Amid Trade Risk Fog The European Central Bank paused its easing cycle, holding the benchmark rate at 2%. Lagarde emphasized a "wait-and-watch" stance, signaling uncertainty due to unresolved trade talks and tariff volatility. Market Implication: Eurozone government bond yields rose (10Y Bund at 2.70%), paring rate-cut bets. The euro softened to $1.1760. EURUSD: Lack of further ECB accommodation and weaker consumer confidence amid trade frictions. Fed Independence in Jeopardy? Market Confidence Wobbles Pimco warned that White House pressure on Fed Chair Powell—including potential firing and scrutiny over $2.5bn HQ renovations—could destabilize markets. Trump continues pushing for aggressive 1% rates, diverging from current 4.25–4.5% levels. Fiscal/Political Implication: Undermining Fed autonomy risks flight from U.S. bonds, undermining monetary policy credibility and capital inflows. USDJPY: Yen may gain if markets lose faith in U.S. institutional integrity, despite rate differentials. DXY: Temporary support from yields, but structural downside if Fed credibility erodes. Deutsche Bank and BNP: Diverging Strengths in Volatile Landscape Deutsche Bank posted its strongest Q2 in 18 years, driven by litigation charge reversals and stable investment banking performance. BNP Paribas also reported solid FICC trading (+27%), though equity trading lagged due to weak derivatives demand. Equity Implication: Strong capital returns and stable European banking profitability support DAX resilience amid trade noise. DAX: Boosted by banking and auto outperformance. China–EU Trade Strains Escalate Von der Leyen directly confronted Xi Jinping over trade imbalances and support for Russia. EU exports to China are down 6% YoY while Chinese imports to the EU are up 7%. Xi defended Beijing’s stance, warning against "decoupling" rhetoric. Geostrategic Implication: EU may escalate anti-dumping and export control measures. Markets may see renewed volatility in European industrials and luxury sectors reliant on China. XAUUSD: Rebalancing of power and heightened East–West tensions favor gold. Oil Oversupply Warning from TotalEnergies Total warned of an oil glut due to OPEC+ production increases and weakening global demand. Q2 profits fell 30% YoY. Brent now likely to stay within $60–70 range barring major geopolitical flare-ups. Crude Oil: Short- to medium-term downside risk with soft demand and oversupply fears. Energy Stocks: Dividend maintenance remains but debt levels and margin pressures may weigh. AI Spending Surges – Alphabet and SK Hynix Alphabet posted a 19% Q2 profit jump as AI integration boosts search volumes. Google’s cloud revenues rose 32%. Capex raised to $85bn. SK Hynix also posted record revenues from high-bandwidth memory chip sales, extending its lead over Samsung. S&P 500: AI-driven earnings upside bolsters tech sector. Expect multiple expansion in mega-cap AI-exposed names. XAUUSD : Robust AI investment supports risk appetite but inflationary fears could lift gold marginally.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
Gold 1H - Retest of channel & support zone at 3340After breaking out of the falling channel, gold is currently retesting its upper boundary — now acting as support. The 3340 zone is particularly important as it aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level and high volume node on the visible range volume profile. The price action suggests a potential bullish rejection from this area. With both the 50 and 200 EMA below price on the 1H, the short-term trend remains bullish. The 4H trendline further supports this setup. RSI is cooling off near the neutral zone, leaving room for another leg higher toward the 3377 resistance zone. If 3340 fails, 3324 (0.786 Fibo) becomes the next line of defense. Until then, the structure remains bullish following the successful breakout and retest of the channel.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
From 3,430 USD GOLD falls below 3,400 USD on optimistic newsOANDA:XAUUSD has suffered a sharp sell-off after rising sharply earlier in the week. Media reports said the United States and the European Union were getting closer to reaching a tariff deal, and the news weighed on safe-haven demand. OANDA:XAUUSD fell below $3,400 an ounce on Wednesday, down more than 1.2%, following news that the United States and the European Union were close to signing a deal similar to the one Washington and Tokyo signed on Tuesday. It is now trading below that key base point. The European Union and the United States are moving toward a trade deal that could see more EU goods hit with a 15 percent U.S. import tariff, two diplomats said. Earlier, U.S. President Donald Trump reached a trade deal with Japan that would cut auto tariffs to 15 percent. Optimism about an imminent U.S.-EU trade deal overshadowed a decline in the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.05 percent on the day to 97.160. U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 4.396%. U.S. real yields, calculated by subtracting inflation expectations from nominal yields, rose nearly 4 basis points to 1.994%. Gold tends to gain in value during times of uncertainty and low-interest-rate environments because gold itself does not generate interest, and in low-interest-rate environments, the opportunity cost of holding gold is relatively low. U.S., EU near trade deal The Financial Times reported on Wednesday that the European Union and the United States are close to reaching a trade deal that would impose a 15% tariff on imports from Europe, similar to the one reached between US President Donald Trump and Japan this week. The Financial Times reported that Brussels is likely to agree to so-called “reciprocal tariffs” to avoid tariffs that Trump has threatened to impose on EU goods of up to 30% from August 1. “The agreement reached with Japan is clearly extortionate in terms. Most member states are swallowing their anger and are likely to accept the deal,” an EU diplomat said. The two sides will exempt some products, including aircraft, spirits and medical equipment, from tariffs. The agreement between the US and Japan has also left Brussels reluctant to accept higher reciprocal tariffs to avoid a damaging trade war, according to the Financial Times. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, after gold reached its target at $3,430, it failed to break above this important resistance level and fell slightly. The decline brought gold back to test the support confluence area, which is the location of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement with the lower edge of the price channel. And with the current position, gold still technically has enough conditions for a possible increase in price. Specifically, gold is still in/above the supports from the short-term price channel, the long-term rising price channel and the support from the EMA21, as long as gold is still trading above the EMA21, it still has a bullish outlook in the short term. On the other hand, the short-term target is still at 3,430 USD, while once the 3,430 USD level is broken, it will provide the possibility of further upside with the next target at around 3,450 USD in the short term, more than the all-time high. RSI remains above 50, far from the 80 – 100 area (overbought area). Showing that there is still a lot of room for upside ahead. During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices continues to favor upside and notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,371 – 3,350 USD Resistance: 3,400 – 3,430 – 3,450 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3421 - 3419⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3425 →Take Profit 1 3413 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3407 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3354 - 3356⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3350 →Take Profit 1 3362 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3368
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Current Gold Short tradeI'm currently trading gold short from 3430. I have taken partials and my SL are at BE. Here we have 2 scenarios at Support. Heavy volume selloff means there’s fuel for more downside. If price consolidates here and keeps making lower highs, or retests 3,376 from below and rejects, that’s a short re-entry/continuation signal. Odds: Much higher at the moment. The last impulse was violent, and buyers have not stepped up yet. If 3,372 breaks—look to short the retest (classic SR flip) for a move to 3,348 and below. If you see a slow grind sideways (chop), walk away and wait for the breakout from this zone. 3,376–3,372 Do not long unless reversal candle forms High risk to knife-catch <3,372 Look for shorts on retest Downside opens up fast 3,389+ Bullish confirmation only Only chase if true reversal
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by IPL301
XAU/USD – Likely Wave ⑤ Top In – ABC Correction in Progress!OANDA:XAUUSD ✅ We’ve most likely completed our (Circle) Wave ⑤, and are now entering the first corrective wave of an ABC pattern (marked in 🟡 yellow brackets). 🔹 The (A) wave unfolded as a clean white ABC correction – textbook structure, worked out perfectly. 🔹 From (A) to (B) we saw an impulsive move (likely a 1-2-3-4-5, though not labeled). 🔻 From (B), a strong bearish move broke right through our 🔴 ascending trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal. 👉 We’ve likely completed wave 1 of the new downtrend and are now in a corrective move upward, forming yellow wave 2: 🟡 (A) – (B) – (C), with the (B) once again forming an internal ABC structure. 🎯 We’re now watching for the completion of wave C – this will complete yellow wave 2. 📐 The target zone (TP) lies in the yellow Fibonacci retracement area, with a key level at the 78.6% retracement (marked in white). 🛑 Stop Loss should be placed above the 4-month zone, or just above wave (B). 📊 The Take Profit will be more precise once the top of wave C is confirmed – but expect it to align closely with the 🔵 Fibonacci extension zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ElliotXSolana
9
Perfect Long Opportunity on Gold? Fibonacci & Price Action AlignThis is a 15-minute chart of Gold (XAU/USD) from TradingView (via Capital.com) with Fibonacci retracement levels and a long trade setup. Chart Summary: Timeframe: 15-minute Instrument: Gold (XAU/USD) Current Price: $3,390.01 Trade Type: Long (Buy) position Technical Setup: Fibonacci Retracement Levels: 0.382 at $3,390.44 0.5 at $3,388.69 0.618 at $3,386.95 0.786 at $3,384.46 Entry Area: Around 0.5 to 0.618 levels (~$3,388–$3,386) Stop-Loss: Below 1.0 level (~$3,381.30) Target: Just below the 0 Fibonacci level (~$3,396.09) This setup suggests a potential retracement-based bounce after a significant drop. The trader is betting on a reversal from the Fibonacci support zone with a tight stop below $3,381 and aiming for a recovery up to $3,396.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by jasromana61
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Testing Resistance ZoneOANDA:XAUUSD markets are showing renewed strength as prices continue to test the highest levels reached in the first week of this month, demonstrating persistent bullish momentum despite ongoing consolidation. The precious metal is approaching a decisive technical juncture that could determine the next major directional move. The chart reveals a compelling technical setup with gold forming higher lows while maintaining the upward trend continuation. After the previous fake breakout and flag pattern completion, the market has established a solid foundation above the $3,330 support level. The current structure shows a series of higher lows, confirming the underlying bullish bias. The weekly high retest presents a crucial inflection point. A successful break above this level could trigger the next major leg higher toward the $3,400+ target zone, particularly given the ascending triangle formation and persistent institutional interest. The convergence of multiple technical indicators, including the trend continuation pattern and higher low formation, suggests accumulation at current levels. Key levels to monitor include the immediate resistance at $3,393 and the critical $3,450 level. A decisive break above these levels would likely accelerate momentum toward $3,500-$3,600, while failure to maintain the higher low structure could see a pullback toward $3,285 support. The overall technical picture remains constructively bullish within the broader uptrend. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
43
Gold Tapping Into Major Support – Eyes on Bullish ReversalPrice is currently retracing after a strong drop from recent highs. We're now approaching a key demand zone, aligning with: 📍 1H Order Block (OB) 📍 4H Trendline Support 📍 Liquidity Zone ($$$) 📉 If price taps into this area, it may offer a high-probability long setup. 📈 First target: 3380 (mid-range resistance) 🧱 If this breaks, we can look to scale in/add more positions, targeting the 4H trendline zone near 3420. ⚠️ Waiting for price reaction at support – patience is key!
TVC:GOLDLong
by Erin_Gold_Vault
1
Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H Time Frame Trade Idea📈MJTrading: Gold is currently testing support at the main ascending trend line on the 4-hour chart. Price action suggests a potential bounce, but the setup remains probabilistic—ideal for traders who operate on higher time frames and manage risk with discipline. 🔹 Trade Setup Entry: 3340 Stop Loss: 3309 Take Profit 1: 3368 Take Profit 2: 3400 🔍 Technical Context Price is respecting the long-standing trend line, hinting at bullish continuation. Risk-reward ratio is favorable, especially for swing traders. A break below the trend line invalidates the setup—hence the tight SL. ⚠️ Note: While the trend supports upside potential, failure to hold the trend line could trigger deeper retracement. Trade the probabilities, not the certainties. In case it's not shown properly on your monitor because of different resolutions: Psychology Always Maters: #MJTrading #Gold #XAUUSD #Trend #Trendline #Forex #Chart #ChartAnalysis #Buy #Long
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by MJElahifx
2
XAUUSD swing is ready Gold is currently still holding  rising channel we were on sell throughout today and achieved with 180 PIPs TP Hit now I'm going to take Buy trade at 3350-3340 zone What's possible scanarios we have? ▪️I'm gonna take buy trade from 3340-3350 area by following our rising Trend along with structural liquidity sweeps strategy, my target will be 3365 then 3378 in extension. ▪️if H4 candle closing below 3335 this Parallel moves will be invalid and don't look for buy till confirmation
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
1
Gold Trade Against the Odds: When Emotion Meets StrategyThis may not be the best decision right now — I understand that — but it's one of those " I'm exhausted and just want to buy " moments. The setup isn’t fully formed yet, but I have a strong feeling we’re going higher. I like the chart structure: low volatility, a spike to 3430 followed by a pullback to the moving averages without breaking key levels. I also like the tight stop at 1.2%. I’m buying gold at the current level, around 3355. 📝Trading Plan Entry: I’m buying gold at the current level, around 3355 Stop Loss: Stop at 3315 Target: 3425, 3500, and beyond.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kventinka
1
Summary of gold market this week and analysis of next week's mar Gold closed with an inverted hammer candlestick with a relatively long upper lead this week. Technically, the market is still bearish next week, and the pressure from above is still relatively large. After reaching the highest point of 3438.7 this week, it started a unilateral decline mode, which caught the bulls off guard perfectly. This week, I also emphasized that the 3400 line is not a high point. Gold rose strongly at the beginning of this week, and the market had high expectations for bulls. In the second half of the week, gold fell unilaterally, hitting the bulls hard. This week, it closed at 3336.7, which is another distance from 3400. Next week, we will continue to give the operation ideas of rebound shorting according to the technical analysis. Following the trend is the way to invest. If your current operations are not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. You are welcome to communicate with me! From the 4-hour analysis chart, we focus on the short-term suppression of 3370-75 on the top, and focus on the suppression of 3397-3400 on the top. After all, gold fell and broke through here this week, and then fell southward. We focus on the support of 3312-18 on the bottom. On Friday midnight, we gave a long position at 3318-25. Gold rebounded at 3324.9 at midnight. In operation, gold will still be treated as rebound short next week. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so please pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: Short gold rebounds at 3370-75, stop loss at 3387, target 3327-3330, and continue to hold if it breaks;
TVC:GOLDShort
by jiqeu1