XAU/USD: Golden Breakout to $3400?XAU/USD: Golden Opportunity Ahead XAU/USD is testing a key support at $3345, with a bullish setup forming on the 1-hour chart. Entry at $3345 offers a high-probability trade, targeting $3400 where the next resistance aligns. Set a stop loss at $3320 to manage risk below the recent support. A break above $3350 with strong volume could confirm the move. Watch for US dollar weakness as a catalyst. Trade smart!
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #ForexSignals #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis #DayTrading
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish & Bearish Reversal Entry's Detected————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish reversal : 3354.5
🩸 Bearish Reversal : 3379
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 7/27/2025My last week's weekly post is still valid at this moment.
I was expecting heavy drop for gold last week. However, the market doesn't follow my instruction. Rather we have to react to whatever it provides. Gold rose at the first few days and gave a false break. It quickly dropped back down below 3365 and closed the week with a red candle.
This false break signals a strong momentum towards downside. I am still expecting price to touch at least 3255 this month or even 3180.
Next week my main strategy is selling. Let's see what the market will give us next week.
From Breakdown to Breakout? Gold Eyes Support Based Reversal!Gold is approaching a critical support area.
Previously, the price was holding above a key support level, but that zone has now been breached and is likely to act as resistance going forward. However, just beneath the current price, there's a well-established support level still intact—reinforced further by the presence of a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG).
This setup hints at a possible reversal or a short-term surge from this zone. If market conditions align, gold may stage a pump from here. Keep this level on your radar—it could turn into a decisive point for price direction.
🛡 Always conduct your own analysis before taking any trades. DYOR.
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
This week, international gold recorded its biggest weekly decline in a month. Spot gold turned sharply lower after a sharp rise and finally closed lower. Signs of progress in US-EU trade negotiations hit the safe-haven demand for London gold prices. Geopolitical situation is also a factor in the downward trend of gold prices. On the 25th local time, Tahir Noonu, a senior Hamas official, said that Hamas was absolutely positive about the efforts of the relevant mediators, but was surprised by the US statement. Before the United States and the European Union made progress in trade negotiations, fund managers raised their bullish bets on gold to the highest level since April this year. The trade war has pushed gold prices up 27% this year. Although the easing of trade tensions will weaken safe-haven demand, gold has also been supported by strong buying from central banks.Next week, international gold prices will focus on US-EU and US-China trade negotiations. If the negotiations are optimistic, gold prices may continue to test the $3,300/ounce mark; in addition, focus on the Federal Reserve's resolution. After Trump's visit to the Federal Reserve headquarters, whether the Federal Reserve will maintain its independence will be highlighted in this resolution. Non-agricultural data will also be released on Friday, which needs attention.
Technical Review:
From the weekly gold level, gold is still in a wide range of 3500-3120. It has been fluctuating for ten weeks. The Bollinger Bands are gradually shrinking. MA5 and MA10 are running horizontally, indicating that gold fluctuations will continue. This time, gold stabilized and rose from 3247 to 3438 and then fell back. The current short-term range is 3247-3438! Next week, pay attention to the range of fluctuations and choose a new direction after the narrowing. The daily level is currently in the 4th wave adjustment. There is a high probability that there will be a 5th wave rise after the adjustment, and then a large-scale ABC adjustment will be started. At present, there are two changes in the structure of the 4th wave, one is the triangle contraction and the other is the ABC structure. No matter how it runs, the market outlook is to wait for low-level long positions to see the 5th wave rise. In the short term, gold is still oscillating and selling.
Next week's analysis:
Gold is still adjusting, but it has basically adjusted in place. The current daily price has also adjusted to the key support level of 3300. Similarly, the four-hour chart just stepped back to the upward trend line support, which is the short-term long order entry. Buy above the 3300 mark next week! Next week, gold is expected to further test the 3310-3280 support level. Gold at the 4-hour level peaked at 3438 and then fell back. It has now formed a unilateral trend. The K-line is under pressure from the 5-day moving average and continues to set new lows, and breaks the short-term upward trend line. The Bollinger band opens downward and diverges, and the MACD water cross diverges downward to underwater, indicating that the current gold trend is in an absolute weak position! Next, gold will continue to test the support near the previous low of 3300. If 3300 is not broken, gold buying will continue to have momentum. If 3300 is broken, the short-term rise will end, and the subsequent rebound will basically be just a correction. However, the current 4-hour green column shows signs of shrinking volume, so it is not easy to sell at a low level. Try to sell after the rebound correction, or buy at a low level!
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3305-3308 buy, stop loss 3297, target 3350-3370;
Short-term gold 3350-3353 sell, stop loss 3362, target 3320-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3320, second support level: 3309, third support level: 3300
First resistance level: 3346, second resistance level: 3360, third resistance level: 3375
7/25: Key Levels to Watch Closely for Next Week's TradingGood evening, everyone!
Due to health reasons, I had to take a short break from updates — thank you all for your understanding and support.
This week, gold rallied to the 3440 level, forming a double-top pattern, and has since entered a phase of consolidation with a downward bias, currently retracing back to the key 3337-332 support area.
While a short-term rebound is possible from the 30-minute chart perspective, the weekly structure is not favorable to the bulls. On the daily chart, price has once again reached the MA60 support, and is currently forming three consecutive bearish candles, which suggests that bearish momentum may continue.
Unless there is significant bullish news next week, the market may remain under pressure. Key levels to monitor:
Upside resistance zones: 3343, 3352, 3358, 3366, 3372, 3378, and 3386–3392
Downside support zones: 3337, 3332, 3323, 3312
If the weekly chart breaks down, watch for: 3300 psychological level and 3260 (weekly MA20)
Additionally, during this week's decline, a price gap has been left between 3395–3398. If the market starts to rebound on the 2-hour chart, there is a chance this gap will be filled. However, this area also serves as strong resistance, and any approach toward it could result in heavy selling pressure. Caution is advised in the event of a sharp rally.
I'm still recovering and unable to monitor the markets for extended periods. Once my health improves, I’ll resume regular updates. In the meantime, feel free to leave any questions, and I’ll do my best to respond. Thanks again for your continued support, and I wish everyone success and strong profits in the market!
Gold is weak. Will it explode next week?Gold prices failed to stabilize above $3,400 after a bullish breakout this week. The technical outlook highlights the recent indecision of gold bulls.
In the first two trading days of this week, spot gold prices rose by 2.4%, but the cumulative decline in the last three trading days of this week reached nearly 3%. The sharp fluctuations this week were due to the positive progress in Trump's trade negotiations, and the rebound in market risk appetite, which hit the safe-haven demand for gold.
Looking at next week, the economic calendar will provide several high-impact data releases. The Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision after the policy meeting on July 29-30; the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July employment report; and some important news such as the US-China trade negotiations may trigger the next major move for gold.
From a technical perspective, the current market short-term technical outlook highlights the hesitation of gold buyers. The daily chart shows that the RSI is still slightly below 50, and gold prices have difficulty staying away from the 20-day and 50-day MAs after breaking through these two levels earlier this week.
On the upside, 3450 constitutes the first resistance for gold prices. If it breaks through this resistance, gold prices will most likely hit the 3400 integer mark again.
On the downside, if gold prices remain below 3340, technical sellers may still be interested. In this case, 3310 can serve as the first support level, followed by the second support level near 3285.
A new week is about to begin, and I wish all traders good luck.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 1h on TradingView, dated July 25, 202Current Price and Trend:
The current price is shown as 3,359.330, and the last traded price is 3,359.005.
The chart indicates a downtrend in recent sessions, with the price having fallen significantly from higher levels around 3,380.000 to 3,390.000 down to the current levels.
There's a dashed red line (possibly a trendline or resistance) indicating a downward slope.
Key Zones and Levels Identified:
Resistance/Stop Loss Zone (Red Rectangle):
This zone is marked from approximately 3,365.000 up to 3,370.000.
A "S/L" (Stop Loss) level is explicitly marked at 3,370.000. This suggests that a short position (selling) is being considered, with a stop loss placed above this resistance.
Entry Point (Grey Line):
An entry point for a trade is indicated by a grey horizontal line at 3,359.330. This is very close to the current price, suggesting a potential entry for a short trade.
Profit Target Zones (Grey Rectangle with Green Labels):
Three "Profit" levels are identified below the entry point:
3,351.700
3,344.870
3,332.480
These levels suggest potential targets for taking profit on a short position. The grey shaded rectangle represents the area where these profit targets lie, extending downwards from the entry point.
50% - Order Block (Teal Rectangle):
At the bottom left of the chart, there's a large teal-colored rectangle labeled "50% - Order Block."
This typically represents an area where significant institutional buying interest (or an accumulation of orders) is expected, potentially acting as strong support. The price has previously bounced off this area.
Possible Trading Strategy Implied:
The setup suggests a potential short-selling strategy for Gold Spot / USD, likely based on a continuation of the downtrend or a retest of previous resistance levels.
Entry: Around 3,359.330 (current price level).
Stop Loss: At or above 3,370.000, to limit potential losses if the price moves against the short position.
Take Profit: Phased profit-taking at 3,351.700, 3,344.870, and 3,332.480.
Target Support: The ultimate target appears to be within the "50% - Order Block" zone, suggesting the expectation of the price reaching or testing this strong support area.
Considerations and Further Analysis Needed:
Confirmation: The chart doesn't show any specific indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) that might confirm the downtrend or potential entry.
Volume: Volume analysis would be beneficial to assess the strength of price movements.
News/Fundamentals: Any upcoming economic data or geopolitical events could significantly impact gold prices.
Risk-Reward Ratio: A calculation of the risk-reward for each profit target would be useful to determine the attractiveness of the trade.
Market Structure: A deeper analysis of the market structure (higher highs/lows, lower highs/lows) could provide more context.
XAUUSD Elliotwaves updateWe are yet to complete wave 4. So far the structures supports the triangle correction and price completed wave "d" and started final wave "e". If we are correct we should expect price make another 3 waves down to complete wave 4 and then resume the bullish momentum. To take advantage of the overall trend one should find areas where price has high probability of finding support to take the trade.
Gold prices are under pressure, focusing on the Fed stormGold prices are under pressure, focusing on the Fed storm
Weekly gold price report: The rebound of the US dollar suppresses precious metals, and the market focuses on the Fed's policies and trade negotiations
Market review
On Friday (July 26), the international gold price was under pressure to fall, with spot gold falling 0.9% to $3,336.01/ounce, and COMEX gold futures closing down 1.1% to $3,335.6/ounce. The US dollar index rebounded from a low of more than two weeks, and the progress in US-EU trade negotiations weakened the demand for safe havens, which jointly suppressed the performance of precious metals.
Analysis of core influencing factors
The US dollar and trade situation
The US-EU trade agreement negotiations have entered a critical stage. The EU said that "the agreement is just around the corner", but member states still approved the potential counter-tariff plan. US President Trump said that he will negotiate with the EU on Sunday, with a probability of 50%. If the agreement is implemented, it may further suppress the safe-haven properties of gold.
The recent trade agreement between Japan and the United States also boosted market risk appetite, and funds flowed to risky assets.
Fed policy expectations
Despite the resilience of the US labor market (initial jobless claims fell to 217,000 last week, the sixth consecutive week of decline), the market generally expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged at its July meeting.
Trump has recently pressured the Fed to cut interest rates and even made a rare visit to the Fed headquarters, sparking discussions on policy independence. Some analysts believe that if inflationary pressures ease, the Fed may release dovish signals in the second half of the year.
Fund positions and central bank demand
As of the week of July 22, hedge funds' net long positions in gold increased to 170,868 contracts, the highest level since April, reflecting the market's long-term concerns about trade tensions.
Central bank gold purchase demand still provides structural support for gold prices.
Geopolitical dynamics
Israeli-Palestinian conflict: Hamas said that the ceasefire negotiations have made progress, but the US statement caused a surprise, and the progress of subsequent negotiations may affect market sentiment.
Russia-Ukraine situation: Turkey coordinates all parties to hold a leaders' summit in Turkey. Russia and Ukraine have agreed in principle to meet, and potential peace plans may reduce the safe-haven premium.
Outlook for the future
Key short-term events:
US/EU/China trade negotiations: If progress is optimistic, gold prices may fall to the support level of $3,300/ounce.
Federal Reserve July resolution: Pay attention to the policy statement's hints on the path of interest rate cuts and the Fed's response to political pressure.
US non-farm data: If the employment data is strong, it may strengthen the expectation of "higher for longer" interest rates.
Technical aspect: Near $3,300/ounce may attract buying, but breaking through the previous high requires clearer signals of monetary policy shift.
Risk warning: Repeated trade negotiations, escalating geopolitical conflicts or unexpectedly dovish Fed may reverse the decline in gold prices.
Gold Bullish Momentum still strongGeneral trend and momentum is still to the upside. We now have a nice pullback and an opportunity to buy low again. Price is currently reacting to an H1 TF demand zone. If this zone breaks, look for entries in H4 demand and continue to ride the bulls to All Time Highs.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Demand Zone Ahead
Gold is currently retracing from a key daily horizontal resistance.
Here are important structures to watch.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 3350 - 3377 area
Support 2: 3310 - 3324 area
Support 3: 3282 - 3301 area
Support 4: 3245 - 3374 area
Resistance 1: 3431 - 3451 area
Resistance 2: 3493 - 3500 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: rising trend line
Vertical and Horizontal Supports 1 compose a contracting demand zone.
Probabilities are high the price will pull back from that.
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