XAUUSD📈 XAUUSD (Gold) – Buy Setup | 4H Timeframe
Market Context:
After continuous selling, price is now testing a strong 4H and Daily support zone.
A clear bullish candle has formed, signaling potential reversal.
— proper SL is essential.
🔔 Trade Plan: Buy Gold
Entry: Stop Loss: TP mentioned in charts
GOLDCFD trade ideas
#XAUUSD: Gold is likely to create a record highGold will be bullish since the US and Russia tension rises, creating uncertainty within the global investors. As of now gold rejected nicely due to negative NFP data affected the US Dollar. We have now two strong fundamentals views that is supporting our view. Please use accurate risk management while trading gold.
Good luck and trade safe. Please like and share for more
Team Setupsfx
GOLD → The rally following weak NFP data may continueFX:XAUUSD is moving into distribution (rally) on the back of unexpected NFP data released on Friday. The dollar is plummeting...
Fundamentally, the gold market is getting support from an influx of funds after the unexpectedly weak NFP report. Against this backdrop, Trump said that the employment data had been “rigged” to make him look bad...
I believe that the situation is somewhat different: the president's administration failed to control this moment, hoping to see positive dynamics. Powell now has a small trump card to control his actions. The reduction in interest rates will most likely be postponed until the fall.
Technically, on D1, gold is rebounding from the support of the global trading range, forming a local bullish trend that coincides with the global one.
Resistance levels: 3362.8, 3383, 3433
Support levels: 3345, 3334
Gold is exiting the local downward channel, breaking through resistance at 3334 and 3345. Consolidation is forming, and by the end of the session, the price will break through resistance at 3354.75. The market is quite strong. Focus on two levels: 3362.8 and 3354.7. At the opening of the session, the price may attempt to break through the resistance level of 3362.8. If gold consolidates above this level, growth may continue. If not, then before further growth, the market may test the support level...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bearish Continuation Ahead?!
Gold retested a recently broken significant liquidity cluster.
I see a clear sign of strength of the sellers after its test
with multiple intraday confirmation.
I think that the price will retrace to day to 3276 level.
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GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3317.7
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3326.4
My Stop Loss - 3313.0
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold Drops After Failing to Hold Above $3322📊 Market Overview:
Gold initially surged above the $3322 resistance, hitting $3329 amid Fed pause expectations. However, a rebound in the US dollar and profit-taking triggered a sharp drop back to $3315, signaling weakening bullish momentum.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $3322 – $3330
• Nearest support: $3308 – $3300
• EMA09 (H1): Price has fallen below EMA09 → turning short-term trend bearish
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• Failed breakout above $3322 with strong bearish H1 reversal
• Increasing volume during the drop → rising selling pressure
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue declining in the short term if it fails to hold above $3312. Bears have taken control after the failed breakout attempt. Risk increases for a move toward $3300–$3295.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $3318 – $3321
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3325
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3295 – $3292 (only with clear bullish signal)
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3288
Gold can reach resistance area and then continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Over an extended period, the price action of Gold has been contained within a large descending triangle, a pattern characterized by a series of lower highs testing a descending resistance line and a relatively flat support base. The major seller zone around the 3415 resistance level has consistently capped upward rebounds, establishing a clear downward pressure on the asset. The most critical recent development has been a decisive breakdown, where the price broke below a key ascending trend line and, more importantly, below the horizontal support at 3310. This structural break has shifted the immediate market dynamics, turning the former support area of 3310 - 3320 into a new ceiling of resistance. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario based on the principle of a breakdown and retest. It is anticipated that the price will attempt a corrective rally back towards this new resistance area around 3310. A failure to reclaim this level, confirmed by a strong rejection, would validate the breakdown and signal the continuation of the larger downward trend. Therefore, the tp for this next bearish leg is logically placed at the 3240 level. This target represents a significant area of potential support and a measured objective following the resolution of the recent consolidation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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XAUUSD Market Update – July 30 Late NY Recap🔸Macro Context
Markets are still digesting Powell’s ongoing speech with no clear pivot signals. While FOMC tone remained cautious, no dovish surprise emerged. Trump’s upcoming comments keep geopolitical risks elevated. USD remains firm. Gold is reacting within key HTF demand as intraday volatility cools off.
🔸Bias Overview
Weekly Bias:
• Bearish rejection from the major supply wick 3439–3350
• Structure still below 3345, maintaining downside pressure
• Weekly RSI cooling off — no bullish divergence yet
Daily Bias:
• Lower high locked below 3345
• Price reentered the imbalance toward 3272
• Clean structure remains bearish unless we reclaim 3302
H4 Bias:
• Lower high formed at 3314
• Current price testing HTF Extreme Demand Base (3289–3272)
• Still bearish unless we see a confirmed M15 or H1 BOS from demand
🔸Key Structural Zones
🔺Above Price (3272):
• 3289–3294
Decision Block – M30 OB + FVG. First sign of momentum shift if reclaimed.
• 3302–3314
Supply Reversal – H1 OB + previous BOS zone. EMA alignment adds pressure.
• 3345–3350
Major Rejection Zone – H4 origin of last leg down. Strong resistance area.
🔻Below Price (3272):
• 3254–3264
Imbalance + OB – H4 FVG + clean demand zone. Buy setup only on deep flush + reversal PA.
• 3227–3214
HTF Demand Base – Daily OB + historical volume shelf. Final structural floor before deeper downside opens.
🔸Battle Plan
▶ Scenario 1 – Bearish Breakout
If 3272 fails with momentum and no reversal signs, expect continuation into 3254–3264.
No long trades unless BOS confirms.
▶ Scenario 2 – Reactive Long from Demand
If price gives a strong reaction from 3272 with BOS on M15 or H1 and clears 3294, then a recovery into 3302 is possible. Only valid with confirmed PA + EMA shift.
▶ Scenario 3 – Choppy Rejection from 3294
If price tests 3294 but fails, watch for rejections back toward 3272. Scalpers can fade reactions if no bullish structure forms.
🔸Final Thoughts
Price is once again testing our Extreme Demand Base from July 28 (3289–3272). The zone remains valid — but execution depends entirely on confirmation. Bears still in control unless we reclaim 3302 cleanly.
No need to rush. Best RR setups are found at clean structural edges.
Patience = profits.
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With you all the way,
— GoldFxMinds
📊 Analysis based on Trade Nation TradingView charts.
Bullish Rejection from Support, Upside in FocusMarket Overview: On the M15 timeframe, XAUUSD shows signs of a short-term bullish reversal after a prolonged sideways range around the key support zone of 3,286 – 3,289 USD. Price faked out below this support but quickly recovered, forming a V-shape reversal, suggesting strong buying interest has returned.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zones:
- 3,286 – 3,289: Strong intraday support, tested multiple times with sharp rejections
- 3,274: Next significant support if the above zone fails
Resistance Zones:
- 3,300 – 3,304: First resistance target aligned with the recent high
- 3,308 – 3,312: Higher resistance area where supply may emerge
Technical Indicators:
EMA: Price has reclaimed the short-term EMAs, indicating bullish momentum on lower timeframes
RSI: Rising above 50 but not yet overbought – there’s room for further upside
Volume: Increasing volume during the bounce confirms buying strength
Trading Strategy:
- Bullish Scenario (Preferred): Entry Zone: Watch for pullback toward 3,290 – 3,292
Stop Loss: Below 3,285
Take Profit 1: 3,300
Take Profit 2: 3,304
Extended Target: 3,308 – 3,312 (if bullish momentum continues beyond breakout zone)
- Bearish Scenario (Alternate): Only valid if price breaks and closes strongly below 3,286
Short Target: 3,274 – 3,270
Note: Counter-trend strategy – higher risk, requires strong confirmation
Conclusion: Gold is showing a bullish price structure on the 15-minute chart. As long as price holds above the 3,286 – 3,289 support zone, the path of least resistance appears to be upward, with 3,300 and 3,304 as the next logical targets. Monitor price action closely during the U.S. session for a potential long setup.
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XAUUSD-3336.40 — a key level bulls want to defend.Why Gold Pulled Back
- Gold pulled back today after hitting $3439.04, just below resistance at $3451.53. Traders took profits ahead of key Fed and trade headlines. Right now, it’s trading around $3414.48, down 0.50%.
- The dip came after the U.S.-Japan trade deal eased geopolitical tension, cutting safe-haven demand. Plus, U.S. bond yields are climbing (10-year at 4.384%), which adds pressure on gold.
Support is building at $3374.42, with stronger buying interest expected around $3347.97 and the 50-day moving average at $3336.40 — a key level bulls want to defend.
Short-term looks a bit weak, but as long as gold holds above the 50-day MA, the bullish trend remains intact. Longer-term, weakness in the dollar, central bank gold buying, and concerns about Fed independence could push prices higher.
Watching the Fed’s July 29–30 meeting next
Gold Alert: Key Levels for Potential Sell Setup!Good morning, my friends 🌞
Here’s today’s gold analysis. I'm expecting a decline in gold prices, specifically from the 3,383–3,420 level.
Once a correction starts around that zone, my target will be 3,310. Gold has been riding a strong uptrend, and if we reach those levels, I’ll be expecting a pullback and opening a sell position accordingly.
Please set your stop loss based on your personal margin preferences.
Your likes and support are my biggest motivation for continuing to share these analyses. Thank you to everyone showing appreciation 🙏
GOLD falls on USD and trade talks, big data weekSpot OANDA:XAUUSD ended its rally this week on Friday (July 25) and closed down nearly 1%, mainly affected by the recovery of the US Dollar TVC:DXY and progress in trade negotiations that weakened safe-haven demand.
DXY recovered 0.27% on Friday to close at 97.642, ending a two-week low, making gold less attractive than its direct correlation.
Earlier, news of a US-Japan trade deal and a breakthrough in US-EU talks weakened the market's demand for safe-haven assets.
For the content of the US-Japan trade deal, readers can review it in the daily publications during the past trading week.
Data and Fed Expectations
The latest US jobless claims fell to a three-month low, suggesting the job market remains solid. This gives the Federal Reserve reason to maintain interest rates at 4.25%-4.50%, despite President Trump once again pressuring Powell to cut rates.
However, in the short term, the fundamental direction of gold may need to wait for the Federal Reserve to announce more policy signals at its meeting next week.
Speculative Longs Hit High Near April Peak
Data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that as of the week of July 22, the speculative net long position in COMEX gold rose by 27,211 lots to 170,868 lots, the highest level since April. This shows that as gold prices fall again, buyers are still actively deploying, waiting for more guidance from policy and data.
Last Week Review and This Week’s Fundamental Outlook
Last week, gold prices initially rose and then fell. Due to risk aversion and volatility in the US dollar, gold prices surpassed the $3,400/ounce mark at the start of the week, but as trade optimism increased and profit-taking emerged, gold prices fell back, trying to stay above $3,300/ounce.
Investors will face several major events this week:
Federal Reserve policy meeting (Wednesday): Markets expect interest rates to remain unchanged, but Powell’s speech could influence market expectations for a rate cut this year.
Macro data will be released in batches: including ADP employment data on Wednesday, PCE price index on Thursday and non-farm payrolls report on Friday. These data will determine the next move of gold.
Global central bank trends: The Bank of Canada and the Bank of Japan also hold policy meetings next week. Investors will be watching to see if their policy signals cause volatility in the US dollar and gold prices.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is in a rather important position after 3 consecutive corrective declines. However, the bearish momentum still keeps gold above the base price, which is an important psychological point for the bullish expectation of 3,300 USD.
In terms of position and indicators, gold has not completely lost the ability for a bullish outlook. Specifically, gold is still in a short-term rising channel and supported by the EMA21. On the other hand, it is still supported by the horizontal support level of 3,310 USD, followed by the psychological level of 3,300 USD and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
Gold will only qualify for a bearish cycle if it sells below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target will be around 3,246 USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci level.
RSI is sloping down, but has not yet crossed the 50 level, and in the current case, the 50 level acts as a momentum support for the RSI. It shows that there is still room for an increase in price, and if RSI sloping up from 50, it will provide a bullish signal with relatively wide room.
If gold rises above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level (3,371 USD), it will be eligible for a new bullish cycle with a target of around 3,400 USD in the short term, more than 3,430 – 3,450 USD then the all-time high.
In the coming time, in terms of position and indicators, gold still has a technical outlook leaning more towards the upside and the notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3371 - 3369⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3375
→Take Profit 1 3363
↨
→Take Profit 2 3357
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3303 - 3305⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3299
→Take Profit 1 3311
↨
→Take Profit 2 3317
GOLD Breakdown Setup | Clean Sell Targets Ahead!XAU/USD (Gold) Analysis – 2H Timeframe
After a clear rejection from higher levels, Gold has pulled back to retest the broken support zone around 3340–3350, which now acts as a resistance.
If the price sustains below this zone, we can expect a smooth move down toward clean liquidity areas below.
This is a textbook bearish continuation setup. 💥
🔻 Trade Idea – Short Setup:
• Sell Below: 3,340
• Target 1: 3,300
• Target 2: 3,280
• Stop Loss: 3,355 (above resistance zone)
🧠 Confluences:
• Bearish market structure
• Support zone retest
• Trend continuation
• High-impact USD news ahead (watch for volatility)
📅 Key Dates: July 30 – Aug 1
⚡ NY session could trigger the move!
Gold price continues to decrease, keep the rate unchanged✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 07/28/2025 - 08/1/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) looks set to close the week lower, pressured by upbeat U.S. economic data and progress in trade negotiations, which have reduced demand for safe-haven assets. Despite declining U.S. Treasury yields, the U.S. Dollar regained some ground. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,336, down nearly 1%.
Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% for the fifth time this year. Recent data supports this stance, with Initial Jobless Claims falling for the fourth straight week—signaling a resilient labor market—while Friday’s sharp drop in Durable Goods Orders, driven by weaker aircraft demand, adds a mixed tone to the outlook.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices continue to fall as interest rates remain unchanged almost this week. Along with the H4 time frame, prices continue to break important support and continue to follow a downward trend.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3350, $3428
Support: $3312, $3280, $3246
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold's Breakout Was a Trap. Here's the Real Plan Now.Gold has made its next move, and it was quite sharp. I was expecting a smoother correction with a return to the manipulation zone, but Gold followed a different scenario, which I described at the end of my last gold analysis:
Gold has practically confirmed its breakout from the global range it has been in since the beginning of June. The only thing that could prevent this is a complete engulfing of the bullish daily candle that broke the upper boundary of the range by a bearish candle, but I consider this an unlikely scenario.
The closed red daily candle, which completely engulfed the preceding bullish one, showed that the move was, in fact, an internal liquidity sweep . The price has not yet managed to break out of the range. Therefore, when I wrote "Gold has practically confirmed its breakout from the global range" , the daily candle had not yet closed, and the price had not secured its position above the range's upper boundary.
Essentially, it's not important how the price arrives at a Point of Interest (POI) . What matters is what we have now: the price has mitigated a manipulation in the form of a new daily order block that was formed inside the range.
Although the middle of a range is a highly unpredictable area for price movement, and I almost never consider it for entries, in this case, there is a strong exception that allows us to consider longs from this order block. The reason for this exception is the bullish order flow on the daily structure, which I have mentioned several times, and the ascending daily structure within the range. This structure allows us to identify the start of the last impulse and draw Fibonacci retracement levels, which will serve as an additional condition for our potential long setup. We can now see that the price has reached the 61.8% Fib level and has shown a reversal reaction to it. To see more precisely if there is a potential entry point, let's switch to the 4H timeframe.
On the 4H chart, we see that the 61.8% level has held, and we can look for entry confirmation on a lower timeframe. The 4H timeframe also shows that the liquidity sweep created a supply zone , which will act as resistance on the path of the next attempt to break out of the range. Due to this zone, considering a long from the current position is not optimal because the risk-to-reward ratio is too small. Furthermore, the price could reject from this supply zone and continue its correction to the next level, the 78.6% Fib level . To find an entry with a more acceptable R:R, let's move to the lower timeframes.
Two Potential Long Scenarios
SCENARIO 1: Entry from the 15M Demand Zone or 15M OB
The 15M timeframe shows a break of the 15M structure and the formation of manipulations in the form of a demand zone and a 15M order block within it.
► Setup Condition: I will consider a long position upon the mitigation of one of these manipulation zones and a clear reversal reaction from it. If the price continues to move up from the current levels, I will not enter due to the large stop loss required and the suboptimal R:R to the nearest resistance.
► Invalidation: A break below these support zones on the lower timeframe will invalidate this scenario.
SCENARIO 2: Entry from the 78.6% Fib Level
This scenario becomes active if the first one fails.
► Setup Condition: If the price breaks the 15M supports, I will watch for its interaction with the 78.6% Fib level . For a potential entry, this level must hold, show a reversal reaction, and be followed by confirmation on a lower timeframe.
► Invalidation: A decisive close below the 78.6% Fib level.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this wonderful, advanced TV community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always use a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
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Follow master candle for today's SELL strategy✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD has continued a strong downtrend. Yesterday's D1 candle closed with a 60-price decrease, forming a master candle that determines the market trend. With the market having a master candle, pay attention to the 25% or 50% candle zones to trade in the direction of the trend. Today's main trading strategy will be to SELL according to the master candle. The BUY strategy will only be implemented when the 3313 zone is broken.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3285-3270-3250
Resistance: 3301-3312-3333
SELL Trigger. Rejection 3301, 3312
Target 3250
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold keeps falling – is there more to come?Hello everyone, great to see you again!
Today, gold remains under pressure following a series of strong U.S. economic data releases, which have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for longer. As a result, the U.S. dollar has strengthened, Treasury yields have climbed, and gold has lost its footing.
On the H1 chart, XAUUSD is clearly trading within a descending price channel. Both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are acting as dynamic resistance zones. Recent attempts to rally have consistently failed at these levels, mirroring the bearish setup seen before July 29.
Currently, price is retesting a minor resistance area. If this retest fails, the next downside targets lie near 3,270 – and potentially down to 3,230 USD, which aligns with the lower boundary of the price channel.
From my perspective, the bearish momentum is likely to continue.
What about you? How do you think gold will close the day?
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold entered a corrective phase after reaching the top of its ascending channel. Price is now approaching the channel bottom, which coincides with a key support zone.
As long as the channel support holds, we expect a bullish reaction from this area, potentially driving price back toward the next target level.
The uptrend remains valid as long as price does not break and close below the lower boundary of the channel.
A rebound from channel support may signal the start of the next upward leg.
Invalidation occurs only if price breaks and holds below the channel.
💡 Will gold bounce from channel support and resume its rally? Share your view in the comments! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
My first take on XAUUSDI see this last fall as a very clear sweep of liquidity (the recent lows. After that i see an impulsive push away from this zone giving me a change of character. Left behind is an FVG on hopurly chart that aligns within the kill zone on my Fibonacci tool. and that is where i would enter. I would expect price to mitigate this FVG. Another confluence is that we created many IFVG's on the way up showing balanced price action. Only one more confluence i would have liked is a HTF order block from the liquidity sweep but only have one on the 5 minute. i will monitor. First tp is that internal liquidity from the move, second tp is the external liquidity where we have had consolidation and a few failed attempts to break above this opening gap fvg. thanks for looking. any comments welcome,
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
Due to there being no KOG Report last week so we won’t reference it, however, we did post the FOMC and NFP reports for the wider community to help them navigate the moves, which as you can see from the pinned ideas worked well.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
After the move we observed for NFP on Friday we would like to see some retracement in the sessions ahead. Looking at the 4H chart we have a reversal in play, but we still have no break out of this range! We’re simply playing the highs and the lows while price chops and whipsaws within it, which could be causing some new traders confusion and frustration.
We have a support level below 3350 and below that 3340 which will be the bias level for this week as bullish above. We then have the intra-day resistance level 3365-70 while there is an extension of the move into the 3385 level. Ideally, what we want to see here is support levels hold or a quick continuation on the open into the higher red box levels and the a potential for a RIP. That RIP however is most likely going to be a scalp unless we come down and break below that 3345-50 level.
We want to see how this reacts at these higher levels and if we do get a break of the boxes, otherwise, there is a chance we see another curveball like we suggested a couple of weeks ago, and we correct this whole move back downside with the first hurdle being 3340-35 on the flip.
We’re going to keep it simple here for now and usual we’ll update during the week once we have a clearer understanding of whether this wants to attempt a new all time high or not.
Please note, our liquidity indicator is suggesting a little higher but a pullback is on the way.
We’ll keep you updated.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3370, 3373, 3379 and above that 3384
Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3330, 3320 and below that 3310
RED BOXES:
Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3379, 3384 and 3390 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3346, 3340, 3335 and 3330 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG