Gold is falling. Where is the low point?Market summary:
Yesterday, thanks to the weakness of the US dollar, the US dollar once fell below the 99.0 mark. Spot gold rebounded from the low of 3293 hit earlier in the session, recovering all the losses during the day, and the highest point was near 3338.
It fell from the high point in the early Asian session on Tuesday, and has been consolidating in the 3300-3310 range so far. In my early analysis, I pointed out that there is a high probability that the fifth wave of the wave trend will fall at the beginning of this week, and as I predicted, it is completing the fifth wave of the downward trend.
Trend analysis:
From the four-hour chart, the fourth wave of rebound has been completed, so today is the fifth wave of the downward trend. Next, we look at the two target ranges.
The first target is around 3280, and the second is 3260-3350. And today, it is highly unlikely to stabilize above 3310, so don't choose to short at the rebound high point, the chance is very slim.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3310, stop loss at 3320, profit range 3380-3350.
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Lingrid | GOLD trend Continuation Targets April High RetestOANDA:XAUUSD has reclaimed the 3,350 level following a successful retest of the upward trendline, sustaining a bullish channel structure. After multiple breakouts and a clean consolidation above previous resistance, price is setting up for a potential move toward the 3,500 mark. A pullback and bounce near 3,330 would reinforce this bullish continuation scenario.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3,338–3,345
Buy trigger: strong bullish candle above 3,365
Target: 3,500
Sell trigger: break below 3,338 with volume
💡 Risks
Rejection near 3,365 could delay breakout
Breakdown below 3,338 weakens bullish trend
Consolidation flattening may reduce momentum burst potential
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
A Golden Opportunity!Gold topped out around $3500 a few weeks ago and has corrected in a healthy pullback to our $3160 target for buying support. The uptrend line was again touched yesterday to be followed by strong buying support, this is a golden buying opportunity...the current wave 4 will be followed by a potentially strong upward thrust.
Wave 5's in metals are usually the strongest, based on the current pattern and first three wave move, our next target is $4000!
Position now, and the rewards are immense...a truly golden opportunity.
Appreciate a thumbs up, good trading and God Bless you all!
The latest gold trend analysis strategy on June 12:
Analysis of key factors
Influence of CPI data
The core CPI in the United States in May only increased by 0.1%, which was lower than expected, indicating that inflation slowed down, and strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut (it is now expected to cut interest rates by 77 basis points in the next year). After the data was released, gold rose to $3,360/ounce in the short term, and the US dollar index plunged, reflecting the rise in risk aversion.
However, we need to be vigilant about the subsequent market's revision of inflation expectations, especially if the Fed releases hawkish signals at the June interest rate meeting.
Key technical points
Resistance: 3360-3363 (intraday high), 3380-3382 (previous high pressure).
Support: 3300-3310 (short-term psychological barrier), 3293 (recent low).
Daily signal: The 5-day moving average crosses the 10-day moving average, but the gold price temporarily stands on the 5-day moving average, forming a price divergence, and we need to be vigilant about the risk of a high and fall.
Market sentiment
Geopolitics (trade friction, central bank gold purchases) still supports the long-term bullish logic of gold, but the short-term technical side shows that the bullish momentum is insufficient, and there is strong resistance above 3350.
Operation strategy suggestions
Short-term trading
Sell short order strategy: If the gold price rebounds to the 3365-3370 range and is blocked (especially if there is a long upper shadow or the 1-hour chart closes negative), you can short with a light position, with a target of 3330-3310 and a stop loss of 3385.
Buy long order strategy: If it pulls back to 3300-3310 and stabilizes (such as closing a cross star or a positive line rebound), you can short-term long, with a target of 3330-3350 and a stop loss of 3290.
Trend tracking
Breakthrough direction confirmation: If it effectively breaks through 3382, it may open up space to rise to 3400; if it falls below 3293, it will go down to the support of 3270-3250.
Be cautious in following orders: Currently in the range of shocks (3293-3360), avoid blindly following before breaking through the previous high/low.
Risk Warning
Event Risk: Pay attention to the results of the US Treasury auction. Weak demand may further boost gold safe-haven buying.
Technical Correction: If the daily MACD forms a bottom divergence, it may trigger a larger rebound, which needs to be judged in conjunction with the K-line pattern.
Summary: The main focus during the day is high-altitude, and short orders are entered after the key resistance level of 3365-3370 is under pressure. If it quickly breaks below 3330, positions can be increased; long orders are limited to light positions at the support level. Strictly stop loss and wait for trend-following opportunities after the range breaks.
Rebound is a good opportunity to short goldGold gradually rebounded after touching 3295. The highest price has rebounded to 3338. Although the rebound has reached $43, the upward momentum is not strong during the rebound. Therefore, the current rebound cannot be confirmed as a reversal trend. Moreover, gold has not yet effectively broken through the 3330-3340 area. Gold is still weak in the short term. Gold still has the potential to fall after the rebound. It will at least retest the 3315-3305 area again.
Therefore, there is no need to fear the rebound of gold for the time being. The rebound of gold is a good opportunity to short gold. I think gold will at least retest the 3315-3305 area again, and even exceed expectations to the area around 3280. Shorting gold is the password for profit in the short term!
Iran hardens steel, gold rises!
📣Gold news
On Thursday (June 12, 00:00 in the Asian morning, spot gold continued to rise, reaching a high of $3,377 so far, a new high this week. The lower-than-expected US CPI data in May increased the possibility of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September, and the trend of the US dollar and the decline in US bond yields provided a favorable environment for gold prices. At the same time, tensions in the Middle East escalated on Wednesday, and Iran said it would attack US military bases in the Middle East if negotiations broke down. The sharp rise in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East has significantly increased the safe-haven demand for gold. Although the conclusion of the US-China trade agreement has eased some market pressure, the potential impact of tariff policies on inflation still needs to be vigilant. Looking ahead, investors need to pay close attention to Thursday's PPI data and the Fed's policy trends, while keeping an eye on the situation in the Middle East. Driven by risk aversion and expectations of loose monetary policy, the gold market still has room for upside in the short term.
📣Technical side:
Yesterday's CPI data was bullish. After a brief surge, it fell back to below 3330, and then fluctuated. The rise was not strong. Late at night, Trump again called on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 100 basis points. Confidence in the Iran nuclear negotiations decreased. In the next one to two weeks, he will send a letter to trading partners to set unilateral tariffs. Uncertain risks increased. Gold rose in contact with the CPI data. In the short term, the price broke through the 3348-3353 suppression. Consider going low around this position during the day, looking at the 3383-89 suppression, stop loss 3337, pay attention to risks.
💰Strategy Package
Today's trading strategy: long around 3349. Stop loss 3337, take profit 3383
Short around 3370, stop loss 3374, take profit 3350
Trend value trading is the only way for all investors to make profits. There is no shortcut, and don't be lucky. Any investor needs to go through the process of loss, capital preservation, and profit from the beginning of entering the market. The market is definitely not a long-term paradise for speculators. A successful speculation does not mean that it can be successful from beginning to end. Only stable and continuous profits can make a person successful. There must be rules here. If you don't break the rules, you won't be eliminated.
What Happens Next? Going short is logical?It seems, we have finished a 5 wave impulse and an ABC zigzag type correction. In wave theory, A-B-C correction which is a Zig-zag type correction takes back the %61.8 lenght of the previous impulse. Please check where the price closed today. EXACTLY 0,618 (%61.8) fibo retracement level of the previous impulse. Therefore, it is not a good idea to go for short if there is not a price close below 3305 in 4hrs chart on Monday.
GOLD going for New ATH? Reason Explained
You can see on chart i explained all with the reason. Till yesterday Before CPI release we were in 50/50 area you can call it consolidation. After taken out all the Bearish rejection now you can clearly see all the Bullish Array are Respecting and taking out Bearish Array, This means there is only weak Bearish Rejection area are remaining in the market . Now you can look for long trade if you want high probability trade that will be better idea . I am not looking Short Trade on gold till there is no any impulsive bearish rejection. Take a look on my analysis and manage your trade accordingly.
Trading Without an Edge Is Like Gambling Without the FunAt least in Vegas, you get free drinks.
Let’s cut the fluff.
You want to make money trading.
But here’s the problem no one wants to admit:
Most traders don’t have an edge. And they trade anyway.
Which means they’re not traders.
They’re just expensive gamblers in denial.
🎰 W elcome to the Casino Called “Charts”
In Vegas, the odds are clearly displayed.
You know the house has the advantage.
But in trading? You convince yourself you are the house.
You say things like:
-“This setup worked for someone on YouTube.”
- “Price is oversold, so it has to bounce.”
- “I just have a feeling it’ll go up.”
That’s not a strategy. That’s astrology.
If you can’t define your edge in one sentence, you don’t have one.
And if your edge isn’t tested over at least 100 trades — it’s fantasy.
🧠 What Is an Edge, Anyway?
An edge is not a pattern. It’s not always your gut.
It’s a repeatable, testable advantage in the market.
It could be:
- A statistical tendency in price behavior
- A setup with positive risk-to-reward over time
- A timing structure that aligns with volume or volatility
- Even psychological edge (you stay calm when others panic)
But here’s the key:
An edge is something that works often enough, with controlled risk, and consistent execution.
☠️ What Happens When You Don’t Have One
Let’s break it down.
Trading without an edge leads to:
- Random outcomes that feel emotional
- Overtrading because you’re chasing the next “feel good” moment
- Misplaced confidence after a few lucky wins
- Explosive losses when luck runs out
And worst of all?
You think you’re improving…
But in reality, you’re just getting better at losing slower.
🍹 At Least Vegas Gives You Something Back
Here’s the irony:
In Vegas, the drinks are free.
You get a show. You laugh. You know it’s a gamble.
In trading?
- You pay for your losses
- You pay for your education
- You pay for your psychology coach
- And nobody even gives you a free mojito.
If you're going to lose money without an edge, you might as well enjoy the music.
🎯 So How Do You Actually Get an Edge?
1. Backtest.
Find a setup that repeats. Track it. Chart it. Obsess over it.
2. Track your stats.
Your win rate, average R, time in trade. Know thyself.
3. Simplify.
An edge isn’t 12 indicators. It’s one thing done well.
4. Survive first, thrive later.
If you’re not around after 100 trades, your edge won’t matter anyway.
5. Learn from pain, not just profit.
Your losers have more to teach than your winners.
🧘 Final Thought – Stop Playing Pretend
If you wouldn’t go to a casino and bet $1000 on 25 without knowing the odds…
Why are you doing that in the markets?
Don’t call it trading if it’s actually coping.
Don’t call it strategy if it’s actually guessing.
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3326
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 3326
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3294
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Hanzo / Gold 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
How to arrange the gold price in the evening? Go long at 3330📰 Impact of news:
1. CPI data is profitable
2. The US CPI rose slightly in May, and Trump's tariff effect has not yet fully emerged
📈 Market analysis:
The trend line position of the 4H chart coincides and resonates with the middle track of the Bollinger Band, with 3326 as the watershed reference. This is why it is difficult to break below this point after repeated tests. Once it breaks below, the short-term trend is likely to fluctuate from strong to weak. However, the current support below is still strong at 3330-3326. The repeated rise and fall of data during the day also stopped the decline at this point. If the price does not lose here, the pattern of strong fluctuations will remain unchanged, and the bulls will gradually regain lost ground. At present, it is time for space. The operation suggestion for the future market is to continue to rely on the bullish trend above 3330, and 3330-3326 can be flexibly entered. At the same time, the RSI indicator is above 50 and there is still some space from the overbought zone. The signal is given that 3360, although the long upper shadow line K is closed, is very likely not the short-term top. After the sharp rise and fall in 1H, it went sideways and waited for the next wave of strength. If the night close is above 3326, the upper area will probably be 3350-3360. If the price can break through and stabilize this level, the upward pace will most likely accelerate to reach 3370-3380.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3330-3326
TP 3350-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD: Analysis and Strategy for June 9Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3400, support 3270
Four-hour chart resistance 3340, support 3290
One-hour chart resistance 3330, support 3305.
NFP data suppresses expectations of rate cuts, and the technical 4H/1H chart short positions suppress the rebound space. News and technical aspects simultaneously push gold down. In the short term, gold prices are running below the previous top and bottom conversion position of 3332. The US market focuses on the 3330 long-short dividing line. If it stands firm at 3330, you can follow up and buy, with a target of 3350; if it falls below 3290, continue to chase shorts to 3260.
Focus on today's China/US trade negotiations on the news: If there is no breakthrough in the London talks, risk aversion may drive gold to continue to rebound.
SELL: 3330near SL: 3335
BUY: 3295near SL: 3290